The Annual IDP One-Man/Multiple Personalities Mock Draft

As is our tradition, we close the pre-season every summer with a new One Man Mock with Multiple Personalities. As always, this will be a standard IDP format with our traditional IDP scoring (0.5 points per half-tackle, 1 point per solo, 2 points for PDs or FRs, 3 points for sacks, and 4 points for forced turnovers). It is also a full PPR scoring system.

Starting rosters in this mock will consist of 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1Flex, 1DL, 1LB, and 1DB. There will be three bench positions, as well.

As usual, this draft will be comprised of multiple personalities that should reflect the common draft strategies found in most “home” fantasy drafts. While we will include some traditional personalities in this mock, we will also include some extreme drafters who will help us better reflect how your final drafts will finish. Thus, the teams drafting in this mock will have the following draft strategies/personalities….

 

1. Safety First- This drafter will avoid risk whenever possible, valuing consistency overall;
2. The Mavericks- This team is a wild card and doesn’t stick to any big plan;
3. Risk It 4 Biscuits- This manager chases upside and doesn’t care about risks;
4. Zero RB 4 Life- This team employs the zero running back strategy;
5. BPA- This is a consistent manager who always takes their “best player available”;
6. Half-Back 2 Da Future- This team always goes running back heavy with early picks;
7. The Basic B's- This team drafts whoever the analysts tell them to;
8. Catching Glory- This team prefers pass catchers early but isn't pure Zero RB;
9. Jack Reacher- Reacher will get his guy, often a round or two early;
10. The Trend Setters- This team will start runs at positions like QB and TE. They will value securing the best player(s) at a position, whether those positions are deep or not;
11. The Carbon Copies- This is an analyst who tries to load up on RBs and WRs early;
12. The Traditionalists- Another BPA manager who drafts like your typical analyst.

 

Round 1

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
1	1	Safety First	Jonathan Taylor	Colts	RB
1	2	Mavericks	Christian McCaffrey	Panthers	RB
1	3	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Derrick Henry	Titans	RB
1	4	Zero RB 4 Life	Cooper Kupp	Rams	WR
1	5	BPA	Justin Jefferson	Vikings	WR
1	6	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Austin Ekeler	Chargers	RB
1	7	The Basic B's	Dalvin Cook	Vikings	RB
1	8	Catching Glory	Ja’Marr Chase	Bengals	WR
1	9	Jack Reacher	Najee Harris	Steelers	RB
1	10	The Trend Setters	Travis Kelce	Chiefs	TE
1	11	The Carbon Copies	Joe Mixon	Bengals	RB
1	12	The Traditionalists	CeeDee Lamb	Cowboys	WR

There are no major surprises in this first round. The typical names are taken, and they go in a traditional order. In most non-Superflex formats, you will see Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffery going first and second in some order, and it's no different here, even with an outlier drafter like Mavericks picking second.

After JT and CMC are gone, the order of the next six picks will depend on who is in your league. Drafters willing to take risks early should be attracted to the upside of Derrick Henry or Dalvin Cook at a thin RB position while safer minds will gravitate towards Cooper Kupp or Justin Jefferson. However, the ideal draft position this year may be pick #7 or #8, which is a position that could net you a duo such as Ja’Marr Chase and Mark Andrews. That would be a near-perfect start for Zero RB enthusiasts.

 

Rounds 2-3

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
2	13	The Traditionalists	D’Andre Swift	Lions	RB
2	14	The Carbon Copies	Alvin Kamara	Saints	RB
2	15	The Trend Setters	Stefon Diggs	Bills	WR
2	16	Jack Reacher	Mark Andrews	Ravens	TE
2	17	Catching Glory	Davante Adams	Raiders	WR
2	18	Basic B’s	Tyreek Hill	Dolphins	WR
2	19	Halfback 2 Da Future	Aaron Jones	Packers	RB
2	20	BPA	Deebo Samuel	49ers	WR
2	21	Zero RB 4 Life	Michael Pittman	Colts	WR
2	22	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Saquon Barkley	Giants	RB
2	23	Mavericks	Javonte Williams	Broncos	RB
2	24	Safety First	Keenan Allen	Chargers	WR
3	25	Safety First	D.J. Moore	Panthers	WR
3	26	Mavericks	Kyle Pitts	Falcons	TE
3	27	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Josh Allen	Bills	QB
3	28	Zero RB 4 Life	Patrick Mahomes	Chiefs	QB
3	29	BPA	Leonard Fournette	Buccaneers	RB
3	30	Halfback 2 Da Future	A.J. Brown	Eagles	WR
3	31	Basic B’s	Mike Evans	Buccaneers	WR
3	32	Catching Glory	Tee Higgins	Bengals	WR
3	33	Jack Reacher	Chris Godwin	Buccaneers	WR
3	34	The Trend Setters	Nick Chubb	Browns	RB
3	35	The Carbon Copies	Courtland Sutton	Broncos	WR
3	36	The Traditionalists	James Conner	Cardinals	RB

People overdraft quarterbacks every year. Regardless of your format or who you play with, most non-industry drafts will see a passer go amongst the first 30 picks. Sleeper has Josh Allen's ADP at #21^st overall, while Patrick Mahomes is # 32^nd. Most fans think the QB position is more consistent and safer than it is. However, this notion that the top quarterback taken will be the “best” passer in your league hasn’t proven true in recent years. In fact, the top quarterback taken in drafts hasn’t finished as a top-three fantasy QB in any of the past seven seasons.

 

Rounds 4-5

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
4	37	The Traditionalists	Terry McLaurin	Commanders	WR
4	38	The Carbon Copies	Brandin Cooks	Texans	WR
4	39	The Trend Setters	Justin Herbert	Chargers	QB
4	40	Jack Reacher	Lamar Jackson	Ravens	QB
4	41	Catching Glory	George Kittle	49ers	TE
4	42	Basic B’s	David Montgomery	Bears	RB
4	43	Halfback 2 Da Future	Travis Etienne	Jaguars	RB
4	44	BPA	J.K. Dobbins	Ravens	RB
4	45	Zero RB 4 Life	Diontae Johnson	Steelers	WR
4	46	Risk It 4 Biscuits	D.K. Metcalf	Seahawks	WR
4	47	Mavericks	Jaylen Waddle	Dolphins	WR
4	48	Safety First	Ezekiel Elliott	Cowboys	RB
5	49	Safety First	Darnell Mooney	Bears	WR
5	50	Mavericks	Jalen Hurts	Eagles	QB
5	51	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Mike Williams	Chargers	WR
5	52	Zero RB 4 Life	Marquise Brown	Cardinals	WR
5	53	BPA	Cam Akers	Rams	RB
5	54	Halfback 2 Da Future	Breece Hall	Jets	RB
5	55	Basic B’s	Darren Waller	Raiders	TE
5	56	Catching Glory	Gabriel Davis	Bills	WR
5	57	Jack Reacher	Dameon Pierce	Texans	RB
5	58	The Trend Setters	A.J. Dillon	Packers	RB
5	59	The Carbon Copies	Michael Thomas	Saints	WR
5	60	The Traditionalists	Russell Wilson	Broncos	QB

Quarterbacks continue to go off the board too early here, but that should be expected with your average draft. You also shouldn't discount how often people will start a run at the position after seeing one or two go off the board early. These runs happen often, especially in drafts with short clocks and anxious drafters.

There are also several incredibly common reaches in this range of the draft. Gabriel Davis is a tremendous breakout candidate, but here he is taken very close to his ceiling with no consideration of his floor. Dameon Pierce and Travis Etienne also go off the board too early, but their pre-season hype will drive someone in your league to overinvest. As someone who rated Pierce as the 3^rd best back in this rookie class back in January, even I will hesitate to take him at his current cost.

Finally, you do see a couple of veterans who offer solid upside if you can find them in this range. Darren Waller and Michael Thomas have disappointed fantasy fans recently and continue to deal with injuries. However, those nagging injuries could tank their draft stock, especially after Thomas saw a surge in ADP this August before his latest injury report came out. Risk is involved, but the upside makes both veterans worthy of going in this range.

 

Rounds 6-7

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
6	61	The Traditionalists	Allen Robinson	Rams	WR
6	62	The Carbon Copies	Jerry Jeudy	Broncos	WR
6	63	The Trend Setters	T.J. Watt	Steelers	DL/LB
6	64	Jack Reacher	Derwin James	Chargers	DB
6	65	Catching Glory	Rashaad Penny	Seahawks	RB
6	66	Basic B’s	Joe Burrow	Bengals	QB
6	67	Halfback 2 Da Future	Amon-Ra St. Brown	Lions	WR
6	68	BPA	Tom Brady	Buccaneers	QB
6	69	Zero RB 4 Life	Dalton Schultz	Cowboys	TE
6	70	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Elijah Moore	Jets	WR
6	71	Mavericks	Drake London	Falcons	WR
6	72	Safety First	Rashod Bateman	Ravens	WR
7	73	Safety First	Allen Lazard	Packers	WR
7	74	Mavericks	JuJu Smith-Schuster	Chiefs	WR
7	75	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Kadarius Toney	Giants	WR
7	76	Zero RB 4 Life	Elijah Mitchell	49ers	RB
7	77	BPA	Hunter Renfrow	Raiders	WR
7	78	Halfback 2 Da Future	Adam Thielen	Vikings	WR
7	79	Basic B’s	Micah Parsons	Cowboys	DL/LB
7	80	Catching Glory	Chase Edmonds	Dolphins	RB
7	81	Jack Reacher	Tony Pollard	Cowboys	RB
7	82	The Trend Setters	Brandon Aiyuk	49ers	WR
7	83	The Carbon Copies	Josh Jacobs	Raiders	RB
7	84	The Traditionalists	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	Chiefs	RB

Here you see the first defenders come off the board. Traditionally this is too early to take a defender in standard IDP leagues like this one, but 2022 is an outlier year for player valuations. With significant questions surrounding the opportunity share of some of fantasy's most talented players, many may prefer a surefire defensive star like T.J. Watt over players with opportunity concerns like Elijah Moore, Josh Jacobs, or Devonte Smith might get. We would still wait until the ninth round, but many won't.

As for analyzing the actual picks of these defenders, this is their proper order. Watt has passed Derwin James as the top defender in our ranks because the Steelers’ leader has a cleaner bill of health and didn’t miss significant camp time with a holdout. Parsons will likely be the third defender off the board in leagues where he is DL eligible, as he provides a higher tackle floor than most linemen and elite sack potential. These three are in a tier by themselves when it comes to fantasy defenders, at least in leagues where the two pass rushers qualify as DLs.

The final point about this range is the sheer volume of tantalizing risk. Kadarius Toney, Moore, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Brandon Aiyuk, Rashaad Penny, and Drake London all have the talent to win you any week in fantasy. However, they all carry immense downside as well. Expect the seventh and eighth rounds of your draft to be full of picks based on potential, as there are fewer obviously “safe” options this year than there usually are.

 

Rounds 8-9

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
8	85	The Traditionalists	Dallas Goedert	Eagles	TE
8	86	The Carbon Copies	Kyler Murray	Cardinals	QB
8	87	The Trend Setters	Robert Woods	Titans	WR
8	88	Jack Reacher	Devonte Smith	Eagles	WR
8	89	Catching Glory	Kenneth Walker III	Seahawks	RB
8	90	Basic B’s	Kareem Hunt	Browns	RB
8	91	Halfback 2 Da Future	T.J. Hockenson	Lions	TE
8	92	BPA	Amari Cooper	Browns	WR
8	93	Zero RB 4 Life	James Cook	Bills	RB
8	94	Risk It 4 Biscuits	DeAndre Hopkins	Cardinals	WR
8	95	Mavericks	Nick Bosa	49ers	DL
8	96	Safety First	Zach Ertz	Cardinals	TE
9	97	Safety First	Dak Prescott	Cowboys	QB
9	98	Mavericks	Jordyn Brooks	Seahawks	LB
9	99	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Christian Kirk	Jaguars	WR
9	100	Zero RB 4 Life	Miles Sanders	Eagles	RB
9	101	BPA	Tyler Lockett	Seahawks	WR
9	102	Halfback 2 Da Future	Skyy Moore	Chiefs	WR
9	103	Basic B’s	Damien Harris	Patriots	RB
9	104	Catching Glory	Rhamondre Stevenson	Patriots	RB
9	105	Jack Reacher	George Pickens	Steelers	WR
9	106	The Trend Setters	Devin Singletary	Bills	RB
9	107	The Carbon Copies	Cole Kmet	Bears	TE
9	108	The Traditionalists	James Robinson	Jaguars	RB

With Nick Bosa, the Mavericks secure my pick for Defensive Player of the Year in this range. While Bosa isn't likely to outperform stars like Watt and Parsons in pure fantasy production, he could challenge both for the sack title in 2022. He and Myles Garrett are neck-and-neck for third defensive lineman off the board in most formats, as long as Watt and Parsons are both DL eligible in your league.

One real outlier in this range that should surprise many is where Jordyn Brooks ends up. Brooks is the first linebacker off the board in this mock because of Roquan Smith's holdout and Shaquille Leonard's injury concerns. With those two carrying real questions about how they will start the season, expect Brooks to make a push for the top LB off the board in many fantasy drafts.

Finally, it's worth pointing out just how badly some teams have to reach for running back help in this range. Teams like Catching Glory and Zero RB waited on the RB position purposefully in this mock, forcing them to chase upside with players who carry considerable questions this season. James Cook and Rhamondre Stevenson are logical Zero RB options, but you can’t feel good with them as Day 1 starters.

 

Rounds 10-13

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
10	109	The Traditionalists	Chris Olave	Saints	WR
10	110	The Carbon Copies	Garrett Wilson	Jets	WR
10	111	The Trend Setters	Bobby Wagner	Rams	LB
10	112	Jack Reacher	Roquan Smith	Bears	LB
10	113	Catching Glory	Trey Lance	49ers	QB
10	114	Basic B’s	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	Chiefs	WR
10	115	Halfback 2 Da Future	Myles Garrett	Browns	DL
10	116	BPA	Shaquille Leonard (aka Darius Leonard)	Colts	LB
10	117	Zero RB 4 Life	Devin White	Buccaneers	LB
10	118	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Dawson Knox	Bills	TE
10	119	Mavericks	Brian Robinson	Commanders	RB
10	120	Safety First	De’Vondre Campbell	Packers	LB
11	121	Safety First	Jordan Poyer	Bills	DB
11	122	Mavericks	Chase Claypool	Steelers	WR
11	123	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Aaron Donald	Rams	DL
11	124	Zero RB 4 Life	Treylon Burks	Titans	WR
11	125	BPA	Pat Freiermuth	Steelers	TE
11	126	Halfback 2 Da Future	Aaron Rodgers	Packers	QB
11	127	Basic B’s	Blake Martinez	Giants	LB
11	128	Catching Glory	Danielle Hunter	Vikings	DL
11	129	Jack Reacher	Trey Hendrickson	Bengals	DL
11	130	The Trend Setters	Jeremy Chinn	Panthers	DB
11	131	The Carbon Copies	Joey Bosa	Chargers	DL
11	132	The Traditionalists	Maxx Crosby	Raiders	DL
12	133	The Traditionalists	Eric Kendricks	Vikings	LB
12	134	The Carbon Copies	Logan Wilson	Bengals	LB
12	135	The Trend Setters	Michael Carter	Jets	RB
12	136	Jack Reacher	Melvin Gordon	Broncos	RB
12	137	Catching Glory	Jamal Adams	Seahawks	DB
12	138	Basic B’s	Kyle Hamilton	Ravens	DB
12	139	Halfback 2 Da Future	Budda Baker	Cardinals	DB
12	140	BPA	Brian Burns	Panthers	DL
12	141	Zero RB 4 Life	Haason Reddick	Eagles	DL/LB
12	142	Risk It 4 Biscuits	C.J. Mosley	Jets	LB
12	143	Mavericks	Antonio Gibson	Commanders	RB
12	144	Safety First	Cordarrelle Patterson	Falcons	RB
13	145	Safety First	Harold Landry III	Titans	DL
11	146	Mavericks	Antoine Winfield Jr.	Buccaneers	DB
13	147	Risk It 4 Biscuits	Kenny Moore II	Colts	DB
13	148	Zero RB 4 Life	Harrison Smith	Vikings	DB
13	149	BPA	Minkah Fitzpatrick	Steelers	DB
13	150	Halfback 2 Da Future	Foyesade Oluokun	Jaguars	LB
13	151	Basic B’s	Julio Jones	Buccaneers	WR
13	152	Catching Glory	Cole Holcomb	Commanders	LB
13	153	Jack Reacher	Jakobi Meyers	Patriots	WR
13	154	The Trend Setters	Michael Gallup	Cowboys	WR
13	155	The Carbon Copies	Johnathan Abram	Raiders	DB
13	156	The Traditionalists	Jevon Holland	Dolphins	DB

Closing out this mock, we see an unsurprising push for defenders late in the draft. In most standard IDP leagues like this, you will see many managers utilizing this wait-and-see strategy with defenders. For people new to IDP, think of this strategy as the same as devaluing Kickers and D/ST units in standard drafts. This strategy can work in casual formats but doesn’t work in deeper or more competitive defensive alignments. If you employ this strategy at DB, Kyle Hamilton and Jevon Holland should be your primary targets.

These final rounds also help expose how far some players have fallen during this pre-season. Antonio Gibson's stock is tanking, and the perception surrounding him may have finally fallen beneath his actual value. The Memphis product shouldn’t be a top-90 pick anymore, but he’s worth a flier late. The same goes for Michael Carter and Cordarrelle Patterson, both of whom are low-ceiling players who should have bigger offensive roles than fantasy managers think.

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