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The King's FLEX Draft Observations: Superflex Picks and Strategies

As much as Tout Wars is a signal that fantasy baseball season has officially started, the FLEX Leagues are an important signpost that officially proclaim we have entered the fantasy football portion of the calendar. The FLEX (Fantasy League of Experts) leagues are the brainchild of fantasy industry standout Jake Ciely of The Athletic. He created the multiple leagues five years ago to spur industry camaraderie while giving fantasy players multiple league formats to follow so they could have access to the strategies and projected player outlooks from top experts.

I participated in the first FLEX draft of the season. It was a Superflex format with 11 other fantasy experts. This is a half-point PPR format with four points for TD passes. Starting lineups include one QB, two RB, three WR, one Flex, and one Superflex, plus a team defensive unit.

In this feature, I spotlight some of my own picks and some interesting choices from the other experts. You can listen to additional coverage of the FLEX drafts on-demand on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. A listing of the draft picks follows the commentary, via Fantrax.

 

The FLEX Superflex Draft Breakdown

Round One: It's no shock to anyone who follows my work that I took Lamar Jackson at fourth overall. Clyde Edwards-Helaire at sixth overall was an aggressive move, especially when Alvin Kamara was still on the board. The upside of CEH is obvious, but Kamara is much more proven with a better chance to get back into elite territory than for a rookie to land there. Edwards-Helaire has already missed rookie camps and OTAs and will not have a normal preseason. He may need more early-season time to get fully acclimated to the NFL. I like Edwards-Helaire a lot, just not in the middle of the first round.

Round Two: By the time it was my turn to pick in the second round, 13 RBs had been taken, so I needed to address the position immediately. Melvin Gordon was my highest ranked RB at that point. He is set for a bounce-back campaign as he should assume a heavy workload for the Broncos. Phillip Lindsay will be a clear second on the depth chart and Royce Freeman won’t get many touches. Three QBs went in the second round. Every Superflex draft is unique, as five QBs went in the first two rounds here, and five could go in the first round alone in another league. Be prepared to adjust to a unique flow in every Superflex or two QB draft.

Round Three: Working against a savvy group of experts, I needed to be less conservative, so I opted for Chris Carson, who could produce the best numbers of any RB remaining if he stays healthy. Carson was fifth in the NFL and second in the NFC in rushing yards last year despite missing one game and much of another at the end of the season. I was glad Todd Gurley was taken ahead of him, as the Atlanta RB is a major risk who will only produce adequately when available.  Leonard Fournette is not a sexy pick, but he was a smart one. He will still get a ton of attempts and can compensate for any perceived drop in receptions with positive regression in the TD department.

Round Four: In any draft, you need to go with the flow and anticipate when you should make a needed move at a position and when you can wait. I was not quite ready to take a QB yet, as a few players in my Top 16 were still available. So I went for JuJu Smith-Schuster, who should be statistically rejuvenated working with Ben Roethlisberger, who should return to his better form. D.J. Moore is a strong pick, as he nearly reached 90 catches and 1,200 yards last year, and his QB situation has improved. Le’Veon Bell can be better than last year if Adam Gase plays to his strengths instead of forcing him into his schemes.

Round Five: Again, I look for upside types when drafting against an impressive group of experts. Many fantasy analysts are a bit down on Amari Cooper, but I will gladly take him as a WR2. He will face less defensive attention with CeeDee Lamb now added to the Dallas WR group. Cooper can still explode in any given week. I was still willing to wait one more round at QB, as long as I landed a player inside my Top 20 or so. Baker Mayfield went ahead of Daniel Jones, who has already shown more promise than the Cleveland QB. Raheem Mostert is going to set out to show how much money he deserves, and will deliver some really big weeks in 2020.

Round Six: Being patient on a QB worked out, as Cam Newton is eager to regain respect and should perform at least well enough to start him in a redesigned New England RPO offense. His supporting cast is not star-studded but will fit the game plan well and help him author a comeback tale. Joe Burrow could be another rookie adversely affected by an unusual preseason in the early going. But he should still ultimately be a good reward for those who wait on a second QB in Superflex/two-QB formats.

Round Seven: I would rather not have two players from the same team in my starting lineup in most scenarios, especially when they do not involve a QB/WR connection, and I only really prefer Mahomes to Hill there. But there was no way I could resist the lure of DK Metcalf in my WR3 spot. He has a high-end WR2 ceiling in his second year. I am avoiding Michael Gallup because Lamb is going to surpass him on the Dallas depth chart no later than midyear. Ryan Tannehill is an underrated value play by this point and I nearly took him over Newton in the sixth round. He threw 16 TD passes in his last seven regular-season games and he rushed for four TDs in 12 games played. Don’t let his postseason statistical slippage dissuade you from taking him as a later QB2 option.

Round Eight: I strongly believe Tyler Higbee is going to build on his late-season momentum from 2019. I have seen Jared Goff try to develop a quality on-field connection with him since the preseason of his rookie year. I want no part of Ronald Jones. I will just call him “Nojo.” Tampa Bay drafted his replacement and signed a declined veteran because they don’t believe in Jones, and neither do I. His supporters claim he was improved last year. Well, when you consider he totaled just 77 yards from scrimmage as a rookie, it was pretty easy to “improve.”

Round Nine: Tyler Boyd slipped to me as an underrated value play here. He is coming off two consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and now he gets a QB upgrade. Burrow should start to feel more comfortable as the season progresses. In a format that so highly emphasizes QBs and RBs, I still ended up with a superb WR quartet of Smith-Schuster, Cooper, Metcalf and Boyd. Noah Fant is headed for a breakthrough season as he and Drew Lock ascend. Sony Michel could bounce back in an RPO offense while the threat of Damien Harris taking his starting job may also be an extra motivator.

Round 10: The backup QBs were getting scarce, and I wanted one who at least seemed to have a decent chance of keeping his starting job, so I went with Derek Carr. Diontae Johnson was a very nifty value pick at this point, as he should rise to a fantasy starter level with Roethlisberger back.

 

Later-Round Reflections

Marlon Mack gave me some RB depth even though it was not an exciting pick. The Carlos Hyde selection was essential because of Carson’s injury history. Breshad Perriman was a nice later-round upside target for me. Teammate Chris Herndon could play a prominent role in the Jets passing game this season. Hunter Renfrow is stirring a lot of internal buzz in Las Vegas as a breakthrough candidate. The same is true of Steven Sims in Washington.

On other teams, the Hayden Hurst selection at the end of Round 11 was a great value pick. He could threaten to be a Top 5 Fantasy TE this year. Golden Tate was a respectable pick in Round 13. He might be the leading WR for the Giants this year and still is very dangerous after the catch. Jalen Reagor (Round 13). could become the Eagles’ No. 1 WR as a rookie. Ke’Shawn Vaughn fell to Round 14, yet may still emerge as the Tampa Bay starter at RB at some point this season. Corey Davis (15) is not on my radar, even in an 18 round draft. A.J. Brown is the go-to WR now and Davis is unlikely to become the DeVante Parker of 2020. Parris Campbell (17) may become a viable fantasy option this season.

Round Pick Pos Player Fantasy Team
1 1 RB Christian McCaffrey Derek Van Riper - Athletic
1 2 RB Saquon Barkley Jim McCormick - ESPN
1 3 RB Ezekiel Elliott Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
1 4 QB Lamar Jackson Scott Engel - RotoBaller
1 5 QB Patrick Mahomes Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
1 6 RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
1 7 WR Michael Thomas Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
1 8 RB Alvin Kamara Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
1 9 RB Joe Mixon Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
1 10 RB Dalvin Cook Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
1 11 WR Julio Jones Chris Harris - Harris Football
1 12 RB Derrick Henry Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
2 1 RB Miles Sanders Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
2 2 RB Josh Jacobs Chris Harris - Harris Football
2 3 RB Nick Chubb Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
2 4 QB Dak Prescott Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
2 5 WR Davante Adams Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
2 6 QB Russell Wilson Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
2 7 RB Kenyan Drake Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
2 8 RB Austin Ekeler Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
2 9 RB Melvin Gordon III Scott Engel - RotoBaller
2 10 QB Kyler Murray Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
2 11 WR Tyreek Hill Jim McCormick - ESPN
2 12 TE Travis Kelce Derek Van Riper - Athletic
3 1 QB Deshaun Watson Derek Van Riper - Athletic
3 2 WR DeAndre Hopkins Jim McCormick - ESPN
3 3 RB Todd Gurley II Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
3 4 RB Chris Carson Scott Engel - RotoBaller
3 5 TE George Kittle Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
3 6 WR Chris Godwin Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
3 7 RB Aaron Jones Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
3 8 WR Mike Evans Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
3 9 RB Leonard Fournette Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
3 10 RB David Johnson Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
3 11 WR Kenny Golladay Chris Harris - Harris Football
3 12 WR Allen Robinson II Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
4 1 WR Adam Thielen Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
4 2 RB Le'Veon Bell Chris Harris - Harris Football
4 3 QB Josh Allen Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
4 4 QB Matt Ryan Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
4 5 QB Drew Brees Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
4 6 QB Aaron Rodgers Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
4 7 WR DJ Moore Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
4 8 RB James Conner Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
4 9 WR JuJu Smith-Schuster Scott Engel - RotoBaller
4 10 WR Cooper Kupp Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
4 11 QB Carson Wentz Jim McCormick - ESPN
4 12 WR Odell Beckham Jr. Derek Van Riper - Athletic
5 1 QB Tom Brady Derek Van Riper - Athletic
5 2 TE Zach Ertz Jim McCormick - ESPN
5 3 QB Baker Mayfield Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
5 4 WR Amari Cooper Scott Engel - RotoBaller
5 5 WR A.J. Brown Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
5 6 TE Mark Andrews Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
5 7 WR Robert Woods Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
5 8 RB Raheem Mostert Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
5 9 WR Calvin Ridley Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
5 10 QB Matthew Stafford Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
5 11 WR Courtland Sutton Chris Harris - Harris Football
5 12 QB Daniel Jones Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
6 1 QB Joe Burrow Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
6 2 TE Darren Waller Chris Harris - Harris Football
6 3 WR DJ Chark Jr. Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
6 4 RB Kareem Hunt Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
6 5 QB Ben Roethlisberger Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
6 6 WR Tyler Lockett Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
6 7 WR Terry McLaurin Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
6 8 WR Keenan Allen Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
6 9 QB Cam Newton Scott Engel - RotoBaller
6 10 WR DeVante Parker Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
6 11 RB Jonathan Taylor Jim McCormick - ESPN
6 12 WR T.Y. Hilton Derek Van Riper - Athletic
7 1 RB Mark Ingram II Derek Van Riper - Athletic
7 2 QB Kirk Cousins Jim McCormick - ESPN
7 3 RB Devin Singletary Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
7 4 WR DK Metcalf Scott Engel - RotoBaller
7 5 RB David Montgomery Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
7 6 QB Jared Goff Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
7 7 QB Jimmy Garoppolo Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
7 8 WR Jarvis Landry Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
7 9 WR A.J. Green Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
7 10 WR Michael Gallup Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
7 11 QB Ryan Tannehill Chris Harris - Harris Football
7 12 WR Marquise Brown Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
8 1 RB Cam Akers Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
8 2 QB Philip Rivers Chris Harris - Harris Football
8 3 WR Stefon Diggs Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
8 4 QB Sam Darnold Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
8 5 RB Ronald Jones II Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
8 6 RB James White Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
8 7 RB D'Andre Swift Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
8 8 QB Gardner Minshew II Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
8 9 TE Tyler Higbee Scott Engel - RotoBaller
8 10 WR Julian Edelman Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
8 11 WR Will Fuller V Jim McCormick - ESPN
8 12 RB Derrius Guice Derek Van Riper - Athletic
9 1 WR Christian Kirk Derek Van Riper - Athletic
9 2 QB Drew Lock Jim McCormick - ESPN
9 3 TE Hunter Henry Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
9 4 WR Tyler Boyd Scott Engel - RotoBaller
9 5 QB Teddy Bridgewater Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
9 6 RB J.K. Dobbins Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
9 7 TE Noah Fant Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
9 8 TE Evan Engram Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
9 9 WR Jamison Crowder Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
9 10 RB Zack Moss Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
9 11 RB Sony Michel Chris Harris - Harris Football
9 12 WR Marvin Jones Jr. Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
10 1 RB Jordan Howard Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
10 2 QB Tyrod Taylor Chris Harris - Harris Football
10 3 WR Brandin Cooks Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
10 4 WR Diontae Johnson Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
10 5 RB Matt Breida Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
10 6 WR Darius Slayton Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
10 7 QB Dwayne Haskins Jr. Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
10 8 WR Jerry Jeudy Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
10 9 QB Derek Carr Scott Engel - RotoBaller
10 10 WR Emmanuel Sanders Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
10 11 WR Deebo Samuel Jim McCormick - ESPN
10 12 RB Phillip Lindsay Derek Van Riper - Athletic
11 1 WR Anthony Miller Derek Van Riper - Athletic
11 2 WR John Brown Jim McCormick - ESPN
11 3 RB Tevin Coleman Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
11 4 RB Marlon Mack Scott Engel - RotoBaller
11 5 TE Jared Cook Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
11 6 WR Mecole Hardman Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
11 7 RB Latavius Murray Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
11 8 WR Sterling Shepard Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
11 9 WR CeeDee Lamb Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
11 10 TE Austin Hooper Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
11 11 RB Kerryon Johnson Chris Harris - Harris Football
11 12 TE Hayden Hurst Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
12 1 RB Alexander Mattison Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
12 2 TE Rob Gronkowski Chris Harris - Harris Football
12 3 TE Jonnu Smith Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
12 4 WR Preston Williams Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
12 5 TE Dallas Goedert Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
12 6 RB Tarik Cohen Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
12 7 TE Mike Gesicki Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
12 8 WR Curtis Samuel Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
12 9 RB Carlos Hyde Scott Engel - RotoBaller
12 10 WR Mike Williams Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
12 11 TE T.J. Hockenson Jim McCormick - ESPN
12 12 WR Allen Lazard Derek Van Riper - Athletic
13 1 WR Golden Tate Derek Van Riper - Athletic
13 2 QB Tua Tagovailoa Jim McCormick - ESPN
13 3 RB Nyheim Hines Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
13 4 WR Breshad Perriman Scott Engel - RotoBaller
13 5 WR Henry Ruggs III Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
13 6 QB Ryan Fitzpatrick Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
13 7 WR Sammy Watkins Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
13 8 WR Jalen Reagor Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
13 9 TE Blake Jarwin Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
13 10 WR N'Keal Harry Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
13 11 RB Darrell Henderson Jr. Chris Harris - Harris Football
13 12 WR Michael Pittman Jr. Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
14 1 RB Chase Edmonds Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
14 2 RB Antonio Gibson Chris Harris - Harris Football
14 3 RB Duke Johnson Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
14 4 RB Damien Harris Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
14 5 RB Ke'Shawn Vaughn Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
14 6 TE Jack Doyle Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
14 7 QB Nick Foles Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
14 8 RB Boston Scott Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
14 9 TE Chris Herndon Scott Engel - RotoBaller
14 10 TE Ian Thomas Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
14 11 RB Tony Pollard Jim McCormick - ESPN
14 12 RB Joshua Kelley Derek Van Riper - Athletic
15 1 WR Laviska Shenault Jr. Derek Van Riper - Athletic
15 2 WR Robby Anderson Jim McCormick - ESPN
15 3 WR Larry Fitzgerald Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
15 4 WR Hunter Renfrow Scott Engel - RotoBaller
15 5 RB AJ Dillon Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
15 6 WR Justin Jefferson Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
15 7 RB Adrian Peterson Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
15 8 WR Corey Davis Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
15 9 RB LeSean McCoy Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
15 10 TE Irv Smith Jr. Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
15 11 RB DeAndre Washington Chris Harris - Harris Football
15 12 WR Brandon Aiyuk Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
16 1 TE Jace Sternberger Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
16 2 RB Darwin Thompson Chris Harris - Harris Football
16 3 WR DeSean Jackson Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
16 4 DST Baltimore - DST Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
16 5 TE Eric Ebron Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
16 6 WR John Ross III Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
16 7 DST San Francisco - DST Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
16 8 DST Pittsburgh - DST Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
16 9 WR Steven Sims Jr. Scott Engel - RotoBaller
16 10 RB Devonta Freeman Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
16 11 WR James Washington Jim McCormick - ESPN
16 12 RB Ryquell Armstead Derek Van Riper - Athletic
17 1 DST Buffalo - DST Derek Van Riper - Athletic
17 2 WR Antonio Brown Jim McCormick - ESPN
17 3 DST LA Chargers - DST Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
17 4 DST Chicago - DST Scott Engel - RotoBaller
17 5 WR Parris Campbell Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
17 6 QB Jalen Hurts Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
17 7 WR Mohamed Sanu Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
17 8 RB Justin Jackson Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
17 9 RB Jamaal Williams Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
17 10 DST Cleveland - DST Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
17 11 DST New Orleans - DST Chris Harris - Harris Football
17 12 DST New England - DST Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
18 1 QB Mitchell Trubisky Adam Ronis - Fantasy Alarm
18 2 WR Denzel Mims Chris Harris - Harris Football
18 3 RB Darrynton Evans Mike Randle - RotoUnderworld
18 4 RB Benny Snell Jr. Joe Pisapia - Fantasy Black Book
18 5 DST Kansas City - DST Jody Smith - Fantasy Data
18 6 DST Minnesota - DST Jen Ryan - Football Diehards
18 7 QB Jameis Winston Eliot Crist - Fade The Noise
18 8 WR Randall Cobb Jeff Haseley - Footballguys
18 9 RB Ito Smith Scott Engel - RotoBaller
18 10 QB Justin Herbert Dane Martinez - Fantasy Freestyle
18 11 DST Philadelphia - DST Jim McCormick - ESPN
18 12 RB Anthony McFarland Jr. Derek Van Riper - Athletic



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Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Sleepers

Week 2 NFL Pick Em Selections for No House Advantage

Hello everybody and welcome! The 2022 NFL season is underway and that means our friends over at No House Advantage have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of. No House Advantage is a unique DFS prop picks site where you do not have to play against the house to... Read More


Wide Receiver Matchups to Target in Week 2: Greg Dortch, Terry McLaurin, Christian Kirk

Week 1 made some things come to light as we got some clarity on some murky situations. Unfortunately, many of our WR targets for DFS last week were victims of this. Robert Woods finished the game with one reception for 13 yards, as the Titans used the rookie receivers much more than him. Brandon Aiyuk... Read More


Carson Wentz - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Thunder Dan's NFL Betting Picks for Week 2: Top NFL Player Props Bets

Football season is back! Whether you like to bet game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you, and try to cover a little bit of everything! This year, I started my own free sports betting newsletter, and the good people here at RotoBaller are allowing me to share my picks... Read More


Fantasy Football IDP Injury Reports For NFL Defensive Players: Week 2 Updates for T.J. Watt, Jamal Adams, Jalen Thompson, Ed Oliver

T.J. Watt owners, you know the feeling... I had T.J. Watt in my home league last season. He was constantly checking out of games early with nagging minor injuries, but he must have led every IDP manager who started him to the playoffs. I went back to the well and drafted him early this year.... Read More


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