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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday August 31st, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mariners vs. Tigers
The Mariners take on the Tigers on Wednesday August 31st at Comerica Park, Detroit. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners (71-58) vs. Detroit Tigers (50-79)
- Date: Wednesday August 31st, 2022
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mariners vs. Tigers
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Seattle Mariners - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Seattle Mariners travel to take on the Detroit Tigers with a record of 71-58, placing them 2nd in the AL West division. When playing away from home, the Mariners have played well posting a record of 36-30. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 9-3 win over Detroit. For the year, Seattle has played a total of 41 series, going 22-16-3.
Marco Gonzales gets the starting nod for Seattle, looking to improve his overall record of 9-12. Against the Mariners, Gonzales is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 3.97. His batting average allowed of .277 compared to other pitchers. Per 9 innings, Gonzales is giving up an average of 1.35 home runs, well above the MLB average. Overall, he has notched 79 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 13.0%. Thus far, Marco Gonzales has had problems with walks, averaging 2.75 per 9 innings.
On offense, Seattle comes into the game averaging 4.15 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of +9. So far, the Mariners have combined for a team batting average of .231, placing them 25th in the league. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .189. Despite having a low batting average, they are one of the best power hitting lineups in the league, averaging 1.15 home runs per game (12th). To date, Seattle has the MLB's 16th rated OBP, sitting at .313. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 9.5%.
Detroit Tigers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Detroit Tigers come into this road contest vs Seattle with a below .500 record (50-79). In the AL Central division standings, the team ranks 5th. The Tigers hope to avoid dropping further below .500 at home, as they are currently 28-36 at Comerica Park. Detroit will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Mariners by a score of 9-3. Currently, the team has a below .500 record in their 42 series, coming in at 10-24-8.
Tyler Alexander gets the start for the Tigers with a below .500 record at 3-8. Compared to other starting pitchers, Alexander has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 4.83. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .282 against him. So far, home runs have been a problem for Alexander. Through 63 innings of work, he has already given up 1.43 deep shots. For the season, Tyler Alexander has a K/BB ratio of 2.2. This has come on a strikeout percentage of 12.0%.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Detroit, as they are the 30th ranked scoring team, averaging 3.32 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled late in games, ranking 28th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Through 129 games, the Tigers have struggled to string together hits, ranking 27th in team batting average (.229). For the season, 29.6% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just .59 deep shots per game (30th). Before today's game, the team has one of the worst barrel rates in the league at 5.9%. To date, Detroit has the MLB's 29th rated OBP, sitting at .285. The team is generating walks at a rate of 6.5%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mariners vs. Tigers
Heading into today's matchup between Seattle and Detroit, the Mariners are the heavy favorite at -158 on the moneyline. Seattle's implied win probability sits at 61.24%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Seattle on the moneyline. Instead, its recommended to take the Tigers on the runline at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Tigers +1.5 Runline
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