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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, April 28th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Royals vs. Twins
The Royals take on the Twins on Friday, April 28th 2023 at Target Field, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Royals (6-20) vs. Minnesota Twins (15-11)
- Date: Friday, April 28th 2023
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Royals vs. Twins
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Kansas City Royals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Minnesota, the Royals have a record of just 6-20. This places the team 5th in the AL Central. Kansas City will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 5-8 away from home.
Being favored one times in 26 games, Kansas City has a record against the runline of 9-17. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 12-12.
Jordan Lyles gets the start for the Royals with a below .500 record at 0-4. Jordan Lyles will take the mound with an ERA of 4.88. Currently, opponents are batting just .237 against the right-hander. Jordan Lyles has given up seven home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .330. With a total of eight walks, Lyles has a WHIP of 1.15.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Kansas City, as they are the 29th-ranked scoring team, averaging 3.2 runs per game. So far, the Royals have combined for a team batting average of just .215, placing them 29th in the league. Along with their low batting average, the team has hit just 19 home runs (26th). Kansas City's offense currently sits 30th in OBP, coming in at .271.
Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 15-11, the Kansas City Royals will host the Kansas City Royals, currently ranked 1st in the AL Central. In their 13 games at Target Field, the Twins have a strong record of 8-5.
With an above .500 record against the runline at 15-11, Minnesota has been favored 65.4% of the time this season. The team has an over/under record of 10-13, with an average betting line of 8.
For Minnesota, Pablo López will look to pick up a win over Kansas City, as he has a record of 1-2. Compared to other starting pitchers, Pablo López has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 3.00. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .215. So far, López has given up two home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .275. With a total of eight walks, López has a WHIP of 1.03.
Minnesota's offense comes into this game averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. Through 26 games, the Twins have the 21st-ranked batting average at .234. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 8th in home runs, with a total of 33 deep shots. Up to this point, Minnesota has been getting on base at a rate of just .304, placing them 24th in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Royals vs. Twins
Heading into today's matchup between Minnesota and the Royals, the Twins are the heavy favorite at -262 on the moneyline. Minnesota's implied win probability sits at 72.38%. The MLB prediction model has Minnesota covering the runline, led by what should be a strong outing from Pablo López.
Recommended Betting Pick: Twins -1.5
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