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ANALYSIS: Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Tyler Mahle has a 1.31 WHIP over the last month, far from ideal, but his 2.12 ERA, 30 strikeouts in 29 ⅔ IP and three wins over that same span will more than pay the bills. He has walked at least two in each of his last nine starts and only struck out more than five batters three times in that stretch, but he has curbed the longball of late (three in his last eight starts) en route to those better results.
Looking closer at his hot pitching since June 1, his 46.3% hard-hit rate, 35.2% pull rate and 32.4% fly-ball rate will likely come together for a HR/FB rate greater than 8.8%, especially at Great American Ballpark. His 4.25 SIERA probably shows that this is true, but you have to respect that guys can outpitch the sabers.
Even if he regresses, Mahle is a good addition in deeper leagues. He may not be a good guy to throw today against the Indians, but he is one to monitor closely for the future.
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