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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday August 15th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Nationals
The Cubs take on the Nationals on Monday, August 15th at Nationals Park, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (47-66) vs. Washington Nationals (38-78)
- Date: Monday August 15th, 2022
- Time: 7:05 ET
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Nationals
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Washington, the Cubs have a record of just 47-66. This places the team 3rd in the NL Central division. Heading into play, the Cubs have won half of their 54 road games, sitting at 22-32. The Cubs will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Reds by a score of 8-5. So far, Chicago has won less than half of their series, going just 14-17-5.
Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Cubs with a below .500 record at 3-5. With an ERA of 4.2, Stroman has had his struggles on the mound. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .239. Per 9 innings, Stroman is giving up an average of 1.37 home runs, well above the MLB average. Heading into the game, he has struck 23.0% of the batters he's faced. In his outings, Marcus Stroman is putting batters on through walks at an alarming rate, averaging 2.27 walks per 9 innings.
Chicago's offense enters play with the 21st-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.16 runs per game. This includes posting a season-long run differential of -72. The Cubs combined batting average currently sits at .245, placing them 14th in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 8.28 hits. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 1.01 per game, good for 16th in the league. Up to this point, Chicago has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 10th at .319. While their current wOBA of .312 is similar to the league average.
Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals come into this road contest vs Chicago with a below .500 record (38-78). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 5th. In their 60 games at home, the Nationals have a record of just 18-42. Washington will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Padres by a score of 6-0. To start the year, the team has picked up just 8 series wins, going 8-26-2.
For Washington, Josiah Gray will look to pick up a win over Chicago, as he has a record of 7-8. Gray will be looking to bring down an ERA of 4.81. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .235 against the right-hander. Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Gray. So far, he has allowed 29 home runs, leading to a per-9 average of 2.33. Josiah Gray takes the mound with a K/BB ratio of 2.76. This has come while striking out 26.0% of the batters he's faced.
Washington's offense comes into this game averaging just 3.78, placing them 26th in the MLB. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 25th in runs scored through 4 innings. Heading into play, the Nationals are hoping their strong batting average of .248 will start translating into runs. This includes batting .262 over their last 3 games. Although the team is hitting for a high batting average, they have struggled to generate power, ranking 28th in the league at .82 home runs per contest. Before today's game, the team has one of the worst barrel rates in the league, 6.2%. Up to this point, Washington has been getting on base at a rate of .315, placing them 15th in all of baseball. The team is generating walks at a rate of 8.0%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Nationals
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and Washington, the Cubs are the heavy favorite at -154 on the moneyline. Chicago's implied win probability sits at 60.63%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Chicago on the moneyline. Instead, it's recommended to take the Nationals on the runline at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Nationals Runline
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