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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for Week 3 of the NFL Season.
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Single Stat NFL Totals
Dalvin Cook over 80.5 rushing yards - Cook has been handed the ball a combined 42 times over the previous two weeks and has rushed for 192 yards. He is without a doubt one of the few bell-cow running backs in this league. Last week, the Seahawks faced another one of those backs in Derrick Henry and proceeded to run for 182 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 35 carries. While I do not expect Cook to rush for nearly 200 yards, 100 rushing yards is certainly in the realm of possibility. Currently, the Vikings are one-points dogs, which means Vegas expects this game to be close. In a close game like this, the Vikings are going to do everything they can to feed Cook the rock and try to keep the Seattle offense off the field as much as possible. He should get enough volume to get over this total on Sunday.
Mark Andrews over 49.5 receiving yards - Andrews is coming fresh off a Sunday night matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs in which he hauled in five of five targets for 57 yards. Now, he will be facing the Detroit Lions who allowed George Kittle to burn them for 78 yards on five catches with a long reception of 35 yards. The Ravens should be able to move the ball at will on this Lions Defense and Andrews will likely be the number two target behind Marquise Brown, which should put him in a good spot to get over this total.
Cooper Kupp over 77.5 receiving yards - Kupp has been hotter than a biscuit to start the season as he has hauled in 16 of 21 targets for 271 receiving yards and three scores. He will be facing off against Buccaneers cornerback, Ross Crockrell who has struggled quite a bit this season. The Rams and Bucs are also have a projected total of 54.5, which means there should be some serious scoring and passing in this game. Kupp has quickly become the favorite target of Matthew Stafford and he should be in line for a solid game.
Tom Brady under 300.5 passing yards - This is going to be a tall task for Brady this week. Last week, against a weaker Atlanta Falcons defense, Brady managed to throw for just 276 passing yards. While 276 is great, it is not quite the over 300 we are looking for this week against a stout Rams' pass defense. Thus far in 2021, they have allowed just 488 passing yards. In 2020, they led the NFL by allowing quarterbacks to average just 187 passing yards per game.
Alvin Kamara over 61.5 rushing yards - Kamara was given the ball 20 times in a blowout win against Green Bay in Week 1 and then carried the ball just eight times last week in a lopsided loss to the Carolina Panthers, so the game script is likely to play a role this week against New England. The spread is currently set at New England -3, so the game could be close. The Patriots have given up the 12th-most rushing yards through the first two weeks of the season by allowing 202 yards. They have also allowed 4.5 yards per carry to backs, which means we will need Kamara to get somewhere around 14 carries in this game. 14 carries should be more than doable as long as the game does not get away from the Saints again this week.
Other Recommendations - Ty'Son Williams over 59.5 rushing yards, Austin Ekeler over 54.5 rushing yards, Michael Pittman over 59.5 receiving yards
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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