MLB DFS Prop Picks for 7/5 - Monkey Knife Fight

3 years ago by Kipp Heisterman

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The 2021 MLB Season is moving along nicely and we are having a ton of fun with pitcher strikeouts props so far. We will be here week in and week out offering up advice for some of the best prop picks in the industry with Monkey Knife Fight.

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Today, we will look at a couple of games including the Dodgers at Marlins and Brewers at Mets.

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Dodgers @ Marlins

More or Less Contest

Trevor Rogers more than 6.5 strikeouts and Walker Buehler more than 6.5 strikeouts

Both of the teams involved in this game are striking out quite a bit against the opposing pitcher's hand. The Dodgers are currently striking out at a rate of 29% over the previous 10 days against left-handers, which is ranked third-worst in baseball. They are also posting a walk rate of just 1.6%, which is clearly ranked worst in baseball. Rogers has been solid at home this season as he has a 2.18 ERA with 39 strikeouts across 33 innings pitched and he has gone over this total in two of his previous four starts while just missing it in the other two starts.

Buehler will be facing a Marlins' squad that is striking out at a rate of 29% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days, which is ranked second-worst in baseball over that span. He has managed to go over this total in two of his previous three starts. The Marlins are also walking at just a 7.8% rate vs. righties over the previous 10 days, which should help Buehler's cause in this one.

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Brewers @ Mets

More or Less Contest

Brandon Woodruff more than 7.5 strikeouts and Tylor Megill more than 4.5 strikeouts

Woodruff has been solid all season and has gone over this total in five of his previous seven starts. He will be facing a strikeout-heavy Mets team as they are currently posting a K rate of 28.8%, which is ranked third-worst in baseball over the previous 10 days. They are also struggling to score off righties as they are posting just a 70 wRC+ mark, which is also ranked third-worst in baseball over that span.

Megill is a bit of a tough call as he only has two starts under his belt this season. In his most recent starts, he managed to strike out eight Atlanta Braves. He will be facing the Brewers in this one who have shown the propensity to strikeout out vs. righties on the season as they have the 12th-highest rate over the previous month. This will likely be a close prop, but if Megill is able to get to the fifth or go a little deeper in his third start of the season, he should be able to get over the hump in this one.

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