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The 2021 MLB Season is moving along nicely and we are having a ton of fun with pitcher strikeouts props so far. We will be here week in and week out offering up advice for some of the best prop picks in the industry with Monkey Knife Fight.
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Today, we will look at a couple of games including the Nationals at Phillies and the Home Run Blast: Main Slate Contest.
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Nationals @ Phillies
More or Less Contest
Erick Fedde less than 4.5 strikeouts and Matt Moore less than 4.5 strikeouts
Fedde will be facing the Phillies who are posting a strikeout rate of just 22.6% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days while also posting an 11.5% walk rate, both of which are very solid numbers. While the Phillies are not posting a tremendous wRC+ mark, they are still posting a respectable 97 mark, which should be enough to give Fedde issues. Fedde has also faced the Phillies twice this season and has just five strikeouts across nine innings pitched and has also failed to reach this total in four of his previous five starts.
Moore has failed to reach this total in four of his previous five starts as well. He will be going up against a Nationals lineup that is currently posting a wRC+ mark of 154 over the previous 10 days, which is ranked third-best in baseball. They are also striking out at a rate of just 18.8% vs. left-handers over that same span, which is ranked ninth-best in baseball. All in all, this should be a tough matchup for Moore tonight.
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Home Run Blast: Main Slate
Home Run Blast Contest
Tyrone Taylor, Randy Arozarena, and Nelson Cruz more than .5 home runs.
Taylor has a matchup tonight vs. Tyler Anderson who has allowed a whopping 15 home runs to right-handers hitters this season. Taylor has been mashing lefties this season as he has five home runs across just 60 at-bats against them while also posting a .911 OPS.
Arozarena has another nice matchup vs. a left-hander in Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery has allowed 10 of his 12 home runs to right-handers on the season. Arozenrena is posting an .833 OPS with seven home runs off left-handers this season. He has also gone deep twice off of Montgomery across 12 at-bats.
We are going to stay in Tampa Bay and sort of hedge here as we only need one home run to hit our mark. Nelson Cruz has decimated left-handers as he has a 1.010 OPS in 2021 with six bombs. He also has nine career home runs with an .881 OPS inside Tropicana Field.
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