RADIO
Week 1 of the NFL season is in the books, and what a week it was. We saw a great Thursday night game between the Cowboys and Bucs. A dreadful performance from the Packers versus the Falcons. The Niners hang on in Detroit while losing Raheem Mostert, not using Brandon Aiyuk, and have Trey Sermon as a healthy scratch. We saw three rookie quarterbacks look like rookies at times while also holding their own, leaving plenty of optimism for the rest of the season. It was a wild week as usual, but also a week we cannot overreact to. This week, some of the best value in tournaments and cash games is taking advantage of other people's overreactions.
For Week 2, we will stick with the usual cash gameplan of looking for a solid floor and going from there, especially when it comes to value plays. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are not on the main slate, taking away some potential auto-plays. Do not worry, as Christian McCaffrey is in play, and in Week 1, he looked like the best player in fantasy once again. Alvin Kamara and Dalvin Cook also check the box at running back. For pay-up wide receiver and tight end, you will focus on DeAndre Hopkins, Tyler Lockett, Keenan Allen, Darren Waller, George Kittle, and many more. Cash will be fun this week without as many apparent values, so let's look at some of the top values I like this week. As always, there will be more, so feel free to contact me on Twitter with questions.
This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are somewhat swinging for the fences. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets, or carries. So, let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 2 of the 2020 NFL season.
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Week 2 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays
Joe Burrow, CIN at CHI | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,100
There are many viable cash game quarterbacks this week, but Burrow stands out as one of the better floor options at a discount. He went 20-27 last week for 261 yards and two touchdowns against a decent Vikings defense. Now he heads on the road to take on a Bears defense that allowed Matthew Stafford to throw for 321 yards and three touchdowns last week. A Bears defense that ranked 31st in the NFL, allowing 2.6 passing touchdowns over the previous nine games. The Bengals are 2.5 point underdogs with a team total of around 22. Look for Burrow to have another solid game with 20+ points insight this Sunday. He is bringing a great cash game floor into your lineups.
Teddy Bridgewater, DEN at JAX | DK: $5,300, FD: $7,000
If you would like to save a few more dollars than Teddy B makes for a solid cash game value at quarterback. Bridgewater is coming off a game where he went 28-36 for 264 yards with two touchdowns. He even threw in 19 yards on the ground. He scored over 20 fantasy points last week on the road versus the Giants and now heads into an even juicer matchup versus the Jags in Jacksonville. A Jags team that was embarrassed by the Texans last week. They allowed Tyrod Taylor to throw for 291 yards and two touchdowns. The Jags defense also allows 2.1 passing touchdowns per game over the previous nine games, which bodes well for Teddy B. This week, the Broncos are six-point road favorites with an implied team total of 25.5, which indicates well for another productive day from Bridgewater under center.
Week 2 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays
David Montgomery, CHI vs. CIN | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,300
The chalk value in cash will be Ezekiel Elliott, and that is fine, but I will save a bit of money and go with Montgomery in a solid matchup versus the Bengals. Montgomery is coming off a week where he had 108 yards, a touchdown, and a reception for 10 yards. Excellent performance in Week 1, especially in a game that saw the Bears playing from behind early and often. This week he takes on a Bengals offense that allowed the Bengals running backs to combine for nearly 30 fantasy points. They allowed only 67 yards on the ground, surprising, but they were torched in the passing game. A Bengals team that allows nearly 120 rushing yards per game over the last nine games while also allowing a rushing touchdown over those nine games. The Bears are favored at home and should rely more on Montgomery this week in a game that should be closer than last week. The workload should be there for Montgomery, which will bring a great cash game floor to your lineups.
Chase Edmonds, ARI vs. MIN | DK: $4,900 FD: $6,000
Some may consider Edmonds more of a tournament play, but I believe there is a solid floor in play in this weekend's matchup versus the Vikings. Edmonds is coming off a game with 12 carries for 63 yards and catching all four targets for 43 yards. Sixteen touches are right in line with what we should expect from Edmonds. He will face a Vikings team that allowed Joe Mixon to go off last week, rushing for 127 yards and catching four passes. In the previous nine games, the Vikings allowed 1.6 rushing touchdowns and nearly 123 rushing yards per game. It gets even better as the Cardinals are 3.5 point home favorites with a team total over 27. The Cardinals should be scoring early and often, and Edmonds should have his way with the Vikings defense at a rather nice discount.
Elijah Mitchell, SF at PHI | DK: $5,000, FD: $5,800
I am not sold on Mitchell as a smash play this week as I think Trey Sermon and JaMycal Hasty will still be involved. However, I know I am in the minority, and for that reason, Mitchell should be chalky, making for a solid cash game value when following the chalk. He is coming off a monster game where he ran for 104 yards and a touchdown but did not even receive a target in the passing game. Mitchell ran wild on a bad Lions defense and now takes on an Eagles defense that was not tested much in the running game last week. The Niners are only three-point favorites, resulting in more running of the football and a back and forth game, but there are many hands in the running back cookie jar for the Niners. Mitchell makes for good cash gameplay and is a value, but I am not super in love with the play like many are this week.
Week 2 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays
Marvin Jones Jr., JAX vs. DEN | DK: $4,700, FD: $6,100
Jones is coming off a monster game in Week 1 versus the Texans, where he caught five of nine targets for 77 yards and a touchdown. Jones was tied for second on the team in targets with Laviska Shenault Jr. They were second to D.J. Chark, who had 12 targets. Jones was second in targets but played in 90% of the Jaguars snaps, which was best at the wide receiver position. The Jags were throwing early and often last week to try and keep up with the Texans but couldn't.
We likely see a similar scenario this week as the Jags take on the Broncos. A Broncos team that allowed Daniel Jones to throw for 261 yards saw Sterling Shephard catch seven of nine targets for 113 yards. Jones should be that short target, safety valve. Hopefully, he will be playing out of the slot, which would bode well as Shephard feasted out of the slot. As six-point home dogs, the Jags should be throwing to keep pace, so enjoy the value of Jones again this week in your cash lineups.
Tim Patrick, DEN vs. JAX | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,400
Jerry Jeudy left last week's game with a high ankle sprain and will be out for four to six weeks, meaning more Patrick time for fantasy. He caught all four targets last week for 39 yards and a touchdown, but it gets better than that. Patrick played in nearly 70% of the Broncos snaps, second to only Courtland Sutton at the wide receiver position. Patrick was also the only wide receiver with red-zone targets last week with two. The other red-zone targets went to the tight ends. Last year when Sutton went down with an injury, Patrick took over as the top receiver and was a fantasy stud each week. I look for that to continue this week, especially against a Jaguars defense destroyed by the Texans last week.
Corey Davis, NYJ vs. NE | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,400
All preseason, Jets camp talked about how good Davis looked and Zach Wilson and Davis's relationship. That carried over to Week 1, where Davis caught five of seven targets for 97 yards and two touchdowns. Davis led all Jets receivers in snap % at 89%, air yards at 118, targets at 7 (tied with Braxton Berrios), and red zone targets with one. Davis was the main target for Wilson, and that should be in play once again this week. This week, the Jets are six-point underdogs against the Patriots, meaning a ton of throwing from the Jets. Belichick is excellent at exposing rookie quarterbacks and shutting down their top weapon, but Davis should feast just like DeVante Parker and Jaylen Waddle did last week for the Dolphins. There is some risk rostering Davis, but that is baked into the price, so the risk should be worth the reward.
Week 2 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays
Cole Kmet, CHI vs. CIN | DK: $3,700, FD: $5,100
I don't mind going full punt at tight end, but a player like Kmet could absolutely feast this week, and he is still not breaking the bank. Last week Kmet caught five of seven targets for 42 yards for nearly ten fantasy points. If he sneaks into the end zone, everyone would be drooling over him this week. Kmet was second on the Bears in targets last week, behind only Allen Robinson. He was also in on 73% of snaps trailing only Robinson and Darnell Mooney. He will take on a Bengals defense that allowed Tyler Conklins to catch all four targets last week for 41 yards. Kmet should be targeted heavily again this week as Andy Dalton's passing tree is quite limited. I wouldn't be shocked if Kmet finds the end zone at least once, if not twice this week, on his way to a monster game for far too cheap.
Adam Trautman, NO at CAR | DK: $3,000, FD: $4,500
If you are in the mood to go full punt at tight end, then Trautman is your man. He is coming off a week where he caught three of his six targets for only 18 yards, which many will find disappointing. However, I look at this as cash goodness. Last week we likely saw the absolute floor from Trautman. If he catches any of those three missed targets, we are talking about an excellent week at his price tag. He led the Saints in targets last week and was second to only Marquez Callaway in snaps. Facing Carolina could be a recipe for major success as they are 31 in the NFL over the last nine games, allowing tight ends 71 yards per game and 26th by allowing 0.6 touchdowns per game. Winston has always loved a tight-end safety valve, and Trautman is the perfect option.
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