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Week 10 of the NFL season is in the books, and what a week it was. First, we saw the return of Cam Newton as the Panthers took down the Cardinals in Arizona. Then we saw the Bucs off a bye week lost to the Washington Football Team. We also saw the return of Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson as they dueled in Lambeau, where the Packers came out victorious, giving Wilson his first shutout. There were also many blow out including the return of the Chiefs over the Raiders. It was another wild fantasy week, and Week 11 should be no different.
For Week 11, we will stick with the usual cash gameplan of looking for a solid floor and going from there, especially when it comes to value plays. Value this week is quite spread out. The popular moves will be paying up for running backs this week since most after AJ Dillon and James Conner are a bit suspect for cash. You can always pay up for Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, and even Joe Burrow at the quarterback position, who are in great spots this week. The real value, as usual, is at the wide receiver position, where there is a ton of options (three mentioned below). It will once again be an excellent week for cash lineups, so pay close attention to the news this week as even more value can open up.
This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are somewhat swinging for the fences. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets, or carries. So, let's look at the cash value plays for Week 11 of the 2021 NFL season.
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Quarterback DFS Value Plays - Week 11 Cash Games
Cam Newton, CAR vs. WAS | DK: $5,100, FD: $7,500
Newton returned last week against the Cardinals, and albeit with a small workload, it was a successful appearance. Cam completed three of four passes and carried the ball three times for 14 yards on his way to two touchdowns. He was also a vocal leader on the sideline, which led to a much better all-around game for the Panthers. Now he heads into a home game against WFT, and he has been taking the majority of the first-team reps in practice this week, meaning he should be starting at these very cheap price tags.
Cam will take on a WFT defense that ranks 32 on the season, dead last versus opposing quarterbacks. They have been a little better of late but still rank 23rd over the previous four weeks. Over the previous four weeks, they have allowed an average of 276 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and 20 fantasy points per game. WFT is also tied for last in the league by allowing a QB1 performance in six games this season. Expect Cam to take advantage of this struggling defense as well as an implied team total of 23.5.
Many will roster Cam or an even cheaper Joe Flacco this week. Do not be those people that roster Flacco. If not paying up for the many solid options mentioned above, then roster Cam and walk away, using all those savings for other elite options.
Justin Fields, CHI vs. BAL | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,800
Many will think this is a crazy cash game play, and I get that argument. But, at the same time, there is a lot to like about Fields, especially in cash games. Over his last two games, we have finally begun to see Fields produce fantasy production that we have been waiting to see. He posted 19 and 29 fantasy points in his last two games, where he threw a touchdown in each game and, more importantly, ran for at least 45 yards in each game. In addition, Fields is using his legs, which is fantasy gold, especially in cash games and cash game values.
This week he takes on a Ravens defense that ranks 25th over the last four weeks versus quarterbacks. They allow an average of 275 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns, and over 20 fantasy points per game. The Bears are also coming off a bye week which could benefit Fields as well. We saw the Bears scheme more towards Fields's strengths over the last couple of weeks, and now the bye week should make things even better. If Fields continues to develop the way he should, he won't be this cheap much longer. His running upside alone makes him cash viable, and the price tag makes him a great value.
Running Back DFS Value Plays - Week 11 Cash Games
AJ Dillon, GB at MIN | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,000
The Big Man will run wild this weekend and is one of my top plays in all formats. With the injury to Aaron Jones, we saw Dillon take over the lead back duties last week and rack up 21 carries and two touchdowns. Dillon has been a solid back-up to Jones this season, seeing double-digit touches most games, and now will be basically on his own in a very favorable matchup versus the Vikings.
Dillon will take on a Vikings defense that ranks 22nd on the season versus running backs. They allow over 100 rushing yards per game, a touchdown, and over 20 fantasy points per game. The Vikings' defense has been exploited most weeks, and when it comes to running backs, they have allowed an RB1 or RB2 nine times this season. The Packers are 2.5 point favorites this week with an implied team total of 26. Dillon should get the ball early and often on his way to 20+ touches yet again. He is a lock-in cash games this week and will be in many tournament lineups as well as a Derrick Henry-type week may be upon us.
Darrel Williams, KC vs. DAL | DK: $5,400 FD: $6,300
When looking at cash game backs, touches are king as well as great offensive environments. Well, Williams hits both those marks. He has 19 or more touches in four of his last five games and has scored double-digit fantasy points in each of those four games. Williams will also be in a great game environment this week as the Chiefs take on the Cowboys with a game total of 56, which is far and away from the highest total on the slate. The Chiefs are 2.5 point favorites with a 29.5 point implied total, meaning we should see a lot of Williams in this game. He is just adding to the cash game goodness.
The game environment is excellent, but the matchup versus the Cowboys is quite lovely as well. He will take on a Cowboys defense that ranks 16th against opposing backs over the last four weeks. They allow an average of 125 rushing yards, a touchdown, and well over 20 fantasy points per game. The Chiefs can't throw all day, and they will want to use Williams out of the backfield quite a bit. Look for a solid floor with tons of upside with Williams this week.
Jeff Wilson Jr., SF at JAX | DK: $5,100, FD: $5,000
First, playing Wilson assumes Eli Mitchell is out this week with his fractured finger. Second, it is still risky as there are a lot of backfield options with the Niners, but Wilson appears to be the guy based on his Week 10 production. Once Mitchell went down with his injury, Wilson received ten carries, basically the bulk of his backfield duties with Deebo Samuel.
Suppose Wilson is the starter he makes for a great play based on a phenomenal matchup versus the Jags. It's a Jags defense that has played much better of late but is still massively susceptible to a beat down. The Niners roll into Jacksonville as near touchdown favorites and an implied team total of 26. They will run it early and often, and Wilson would be a massive benefactor of this game environment and inherited starting role. Keep an eye on the news, as Wilson can be another great source of value this week.
Wide Receiver DFS Value Plays - Week 11 Cash Games
Hunter Renfrow, LV vs. CIN | DK: $5,800, FD: $6,100
Renfrow has been as consistent as they come for fantasy purposes. Renfrow has seen five or more targets in every game this season and has scored double-digit fantasy points in all but one game. Over the last three games, it has been even better for Renfrow as he has seen at least eight targets in all three games, suitable for a team-leading 22.8% target share. He has seven receptions in each of those games and touchdowns in each of the last two games. It gets better. Renfrow also leads the team with six red-zone targets over the previous three games, suitable for a 26% target share. Renfrow is a favorite of Derek Carr, and that should not change this week against the Bengals.
Tee Higgins, CIN at LV | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,500
Similar to Renfrow, Higgins has been a consistent cash game force. He also has at least five targets in every game this season while scoring double-digit fantasy points in all but one game. Over the last three games, he is second on the Bengals with a 26.13% target share, just behind a 28.83% share for Ja'Marr Chase. Higgins has also seen four end-zone and four red-zone targets over the last three weeks. Higgins has been putting up consistent fantasy production week in and week out, all without scoring a touchdown since Week 2. Look for Higgins to have another big week, and if he finds the end-zone, then lookout.
Rashod Bateman, BAL at CHI | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,800
Bateman joined the Ravens in Week 6 and has been a target monster over the last four games. Over the four-game stretch, Bateman has been targeted at least six times each game. The six or more targets is suitable for an 18.67% target share which is third on the team behind Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews. Bateman has produced with those targets, catching four or more in three games and scoring double-digit fantasy points in three straight games. This week Bateman and the Ravens face a Bears' defense ranked 27th versus wide receivers, meaning another strong week should be in store for Bateman.
Week 11 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays
Adam Trautman, NO at PHI | DK: $3,300, FD: $4,800
Trautman has been an up-and-down season, but with Trevor Semien taking over, Trautman has once again become a fantasy target. Trautman has been targeted at least six times in three straight games, which is good for a tie for first with a 17.27% target share with Deonte Harris. Trautman also has four red-zone targets over the last three games, which boosts that fantasy appeal. This week Trautman will take on an Eagles' defense that is dead last on the season versus tight ends and, over the previous four weeks, are allowing well over 20 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends.
Geoff Swaim, TEN vs. HOU | DK: $2,800, FD: $4,600
With the loss of Henry and all the other injuries the Titans have been dealing with, Ryan Tannehill has been looking at Swaim's way quite a bit. Over the last three games, Swaim has been targeted four or more times, suitable for a 16.47% target share which is second on the team behind A.J. Brown. Swaim has caught at least four of the targets in each of the last three games and has found the end zone in each of the previous two games. He takes on a Houston defense this week that ranks 28th on the season versus tight ends and should set up for another quality fantasy week for an excellent, cheap price.
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