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Carlos Correa (SS, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 85

CURRENT ADP: ~100 overall

ANALYSIS: It seems like Correa has been around forever, so it may come as a bit of a surprise that he's only 27-years-old and entering the prime of his career. With six years of Major League Baseball experience heading into last season, it's clear that Correa is evolving as a player and made some obvious changes in his approach last year. There is no better way to identify his improved contact profile than to see that he was in the 74th-percentile in all of baseball in terms of contact rate after never finishing above the 56th-percentile in any other season and spending most of his years under the 40th-percentile. Not only did his patient approach lead to more contact but it led to a better quality of contact. His barrel rate jumped up to 9.4% and he also nearly doubled his rate of barrels hit over 100 mph.

Yet, despite all of these gains, I still think there is growth for Correa. He showed in 2019, when he hit 21 home runs in just 75 games, that there is another level to his power. He came close to unlocking that in the first half of the season, hitting 16 home runs in 82 games, but in the second half of the season, we saw his launch angle decrease to 10.9-degrees and his pull rate fall to just over 32%, which led to more live drives and fewer home runs. However, his groundball rate continues to come down and his exit velocity on balls in the air continues to improve, so I think there is some upside for Correa to push 30 home runs this year. He may no longer be a stolen base option (and really hasn't since 2016), but if he can hit .275 with 30 HRs and 190 RBI+Runs, that's great value at his current ADP.

 

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Corbin Carroll: Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 20

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 13% of leagues ANALYSIS: Corbin Carroll was a first-round pick for the Arizona Diamondbacks in the 2019 MLB Draft, a consensus top-50 prospect, and was rostered to the 2022 NL Futures Game team. The D-Backs outfield may be stocked with formidable talent, but Carroll is ambitiously […]

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JP Sears: Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 20

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 9% of leagues ANALYSIS: 26-year-old Oakland A's starting pitcher JP Sears has been absolute money, essentially from his sophomore season at the Citadel and on. After going in the eleventh round of the 2017 MLB Draft, Sears moved through the minor leagues at a solid pace […]

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Brian Serven: Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 19

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 0% of leagues ANALYSIS: After going in the fifth round of the 2016 MLB Draft, it took several years of up and down play in the minors for catcher Brian Serven to make his way up to the Colorado Rockies. Now that the 27-year-old former ASU […]

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Kyle Isbel: Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 19

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 1% of leagues ANALYSIS: 25-year-old Kyle Isbel got a little bit of burn last season with the Kansas City Royals to the tune of solid results, and while things have started a bit slower for the former third-round pick from UNLV in 2022, his power/speed skillset […]

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Ryan Pepiot - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Ryan Pepiot: Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 19

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 9% of leagues ANALYSIS: While the Dodgers may not need a ton of help this season, Ryan Pepiot has been a welcome recent addition to the LA rotation. A third-round draft pick in 2019, Pepiot earned his way into the top-100 prospect conversation before the start […]

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George Kirby - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

George Kirby (SP, SEA) - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups (Week 18)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 10+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 38% of leagues ANALYSIS: The Seattle Mariners hold an impressive slew of former college arms among their top prospect ranks, one of whom being former Elon University ace George Kirby. The 6'4, 215-lb. blue chip made an impressive run through the minors after going 20th overall […]

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Vinnie Pasquantino (1B, KC) - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups (Week 18)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 14% of leagues ANALYSIS: 24-year-old first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino came into the Kansas City Royals organization via the 11th round of the 2019 MLB Draft from Old Dominion University--far from the definition of "fanfare." However, after just three seasons and 898 AB in the minor leagues […]

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A.J. Puk (RP, OAK) - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups (Week 18)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 25% of leagues ANALYSIS: A.J. Puk was a project pick for the Oakland A's at 6th overall in the 2016 MLB Draft out of the University of Florida, and at age 27, the 6'7, 248-lb. lefty has definitely turned a corner. In 44.2 IP this season […]

2 years ago

Colin Poche (RP, TB): Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 3% of leagues ANALYSIS: If you follow my takes, you know I love college lefties from schools like Dallas Baptist, niche relievers, and late-round draft picks. 28-year-old Tampa Bay RP Colin Poche satisfies all of the above criteria. The Columbus, Ohio native was a 14th-round selection […]

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