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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings - Super Bowl LIV

It is finally here. The bittersweet moment of reaching the Super Bowl is a strange feeling for all NFL DFS players. On one hand, it's the Super Bowl so what is there not be excited about. However, it also means a long offseason without football. However, the best way to head into any break is with a victory, and hopefully, that is what we can achieve this weekend.

The Super Bowl obviously takes on a slightly different look when it comes to DFS to it than other weeks. With only one game on the slate both the DraftKings and FanDuel formats switch to the Captain/MVP style of gameplay. This style offers the chance to get creative and have some fun on Super Bowl Sunday.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for the 2019 Super Bowl. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Jimmy Garoppolo, SF @ KC | DK: $8,000, FD: $14,000

Garoppolo is not a cheap option, especially on FanDuel, by any means but he is value in comparison to fellow QB Patrick Mahomes. Garoppolo has been largely marginalized in the last two games, but we have seen him step up when required in shootouts. The game in New Orleans is a perfect example of this, and if the 49ers need to go toe-to-toe with Kansas City this weekend then Garoppolo could look like an incredible value when all is said and done Sunday. On FanDuel, if you are playing a QB then just simply take Mahomes, but on DraftKings, Garoppolo becomes an option.

Sammy Watkins, KC vs. SF | DK: $7,000, FD: $10,500

This is all about trying to find a cheap way to capitalize on the Chiefs passing offense. Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce are among the most expensive options on the slate, but Watkins is a relative bargain. If the 49ers decide to try and bracket Hill and Kelce out of the game then the very talented Watkins has another the chance to shine, after a strong showing in the AFC Conference Championship game.

Emmanuel Sanders, SF @ KC | DK: $5,200, FD: $7,500

Experience can often be key in these big games, and Sanders has plenty of experience of big moments. If the 49ers do have to go to the air in this game, then it may very well be Sanders who they need to step up. Much like with Watkins, I expect the Chiefs focus to be on George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, which could leave things open for Sanders to have a big day.

Kendrick Bourne, SF @ KC | DK: $3,400, FD: $7,000

Bourne has been one of the most underrated parts of this 49ers offense. He has served as somewhat of a safety blanket for Garoppolo, while also playing the role of red-zone threat when he has needed to. At a ridiculously cheap price, I would not be surprised to see Bourne in the end zone at least once in this game.

Matt Breida, SF @ KC | DK: $3,200, FD: $7,500

This is more gamble than safety but why not sprinkle some Breida into your lineups on the off chance he becomes a factor. Breida has not shined since Week 5 this season, but with Tevin Coleman getting injured in the NFC Championship game, Breida could be the perfect foil for Raheem Mostert. Breida's role could be especially important f this game is a shootout, as we saw him play a solid role in the passing attack last season for the 49ers. Breida is more of a value on DraftKings than FanDuel. On FanDuel if you are looking to get cheap at running back then a gamble on LeSean McCoy at $6,000 makes more sense.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings - Conference Championships

We have just two weeks of NFL football left in the 2019-20 season, but what a pair of games we have this week! In Kansas City, we have a clash of styles as the Titans and Chiefs go head to head in the AFC. Meanwhile, it will be the battle in the trenches in San Francisco, as the Packers try to reverse the humiliation they suffered at the hands of the 49ers earlier this season.

Considering we have seen six of the eight playoff games so far go under it is strange to see the two game totals being moved in an upwards direction this week. The Titans and Chiefs game is all the way up at 53 and should be our main source of offense this week. However, the Packers and 49ers both have offenses that can pile on the points as well, with their game total set at 46.5 heading into Friday.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for the Conference Championships of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Ryan Tannehill, TEN @ KC | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,700

Let's be completely honest here, you are playing Patrick Mahomes this week if you can. However, if you feel the need to pivot then Tannehill presents some value simply because many people will expect him to do nothing again this week. While I do expect Derrick Henry to dominate this game on the ground, I also believe that the Chiefs will be a juggernaut on offense and the Titans will need to open up the offense at some point. Even if Tannehill just throws a couple of touchdowns and for 200 yards he could return value on this price. If he sneaks in for a touchdown as well, then this could end up being the ultimate value play.

Jimmy Garoppolo, SF vs. GB | DK: $5,200, FD: $7,600

Garoppolo falls under the "let's get funky" angle when it comes to DFS this week. The matchup with Green Bay is middle of the road in terms of one to take advantage of, and the 49ers should try to dominate this on the ground. However, we know if he needs to that Garoppolo can stand up and be counted. If I am ranking QBs in order of preference this week, it goes: Mahomes, Tannehill, Garoppolo, Aaron Rodgers.

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Raheem Mostert, SF vs. GB | DK: $4,300, FD: $5,800

The running back position is scary outside of Henry this week, and even then is Henry really a lock to have another incredible game? As the fifth most expensive back, with a nice matchup against the Packers, Mostert is the value option on DraftKings. Last week was not great, but this season we have seen the 49ers turn to Mostert when they need him most. I expect this game to be closer than last week, and Mostert will be the man for the job.

Jamaal Williams, GB @ SF | DK: $3,800, FD: $4,800

Williams had 15 points on DraftKings the last time Green Bay went to San Francisco, making him one of the few Packers players not to be horrific. Most of his damage was done through the receiving game in that one, but he may just offer enough change of pace and style from Aaron Jones that we see him have success this week.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Sammy Watkins, KC vs. TEN | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,200

Go and read any breakdown of this week's game and you will see two Chiefs pass catchers names in every single article, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. Do you know who only gets a brief mention in a very few of these articles? Sammy Watkins. Watkins had two catches for 70 yards and a carry for 14 last week. The Titans Defense is going to make plans all week for Hill and Kelce, which should leave Watkins, who is very talented in his own right, the opportunity to go big.

Adam Humphries, TEN @ KC | DK: $3,000, FD: $5,000

Humphries could suit up for the first time since Week 13 in this game. The Titans paid a lot of money for him this past offseason and with the Chiefs focus on Henry and A.J. Brown, the slot receiver could be the target for a big game if he is active. This is really a shot in the dark type play that is only really viable on DraftKings where he is the base price. It is time for Humphries to come good on that contract, and what better time than now?

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Jonnu Smith, TEN @ KC | DK: $3,400, FD: $5,600

Make no mistake about it, Smith is a very talented football player, as that catch last week demonstrated. The Chiefs ranked 26th in the league against the tight end this season and Smith has the speed and athleticism to have a big game.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Divisional)

The Divisional Round of the playoffs is upon us. That means the return of fantasy heroes Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes to our player pool, suddenly making the quarterbacks on this slate look far better than last week. We also get the return to action of Aaron Rodgers and Jimmy Garoppolo, which is fun, but less exciting. Sadly this is our last slate of more than two games, meaning things will get even tougher from here on in.

Initially, this week opened with four totals over 45 points. The Minnesota San Francisco game has slid below that number now, but with 75% of the games on the slate at 47 points or above we could be in for a wild weekend of football.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Divisional weekend of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Aaron Rodgers, GB vs. SEA | DK: $6,500, FD: $8,500

This is really as simple as do you want Aaron Rodgers as the fifth most expensive quarterback on a week where only one set of numbers stands out from the crowd? The only defense allowing over 20 fantasy points per game to QB is the Houston Texans, and Patrick Mahomes cost $7,500 because of it. Instead, you can get Rodgers against a defense allowing over 18 FPPG and who at times allowed Josh McCown to move the ball on them last week. The strength of this Seahawks team when it comes to pass defense is down the middle of their defense, and therefore, I think we see Rodgers attacking them on the perimeter.

Jimmy Garoppolo, SF vs. MIN | DK: $5,600, FD: $7,300

The Vikings were very impressive last week defensively, but this seems too cheap for Garoppolo. The 49ers offense has not always been the most explosive, but Garoppolo has had his games. At this price you only need him to be serviceable and you will see a three times ROI. I am not in love with this option, but if I can save $900 to use at another position without major risk then why not?

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Damien Williams, KC vs. HOU | DK: $6,000, FD: $6,200

This game could be a battle of the running backs, with both defenses having their issues against the run. Last week Devin Singletary put up over 130 combined yards on the Texans, and Williams is the perfect player to exploit that this week. In his last five games, he has rushed for over 100 yards twice and over 60 yards a further two times. Down the stretch, the role in this offense has been his, and while there is concern that LeSean McCoy could suddenly reappear, you really need to take this gamble against a defense allowing over 20 FPPG to lead backs.

Carlos Hyde, HOU @ KC | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,600

The Texans showed the blueprint for winning this game earlier in the season. Control the clock is the key, and regardless of what the analytics say the running game is a great way to do that. In the previous matchup, Hyde carried 26 times for 116 yards and a touchdown as the Texans controlled the ball for nearly 40 minutes. It is not always the prettiest having Hyde in your fantasy team, but he should be a solid option this week facing a team allowing over 20 FPPG to lead backs this season.

Marshawn Lynch, SEA @ GB | DK: $4,800, FD: $6,700

Below the $5,000 mark this week you are essentially gambling, and I will gamble on Lynch against a defense that has had issues against the run. This will be his third game of the season and he should be starting to feel in the groove. This will be a cold-weather game in Green Bay and running the ball usually plays a big role in those types of contests. The Packers Defense has allowed over 18 FPPG to lead backs and I was encouraged to see Lynch get three targets last week.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Deebo Samuel, SF vs. MIN | DK: $5,200, FD: $7,100

I am expecting that we see Emmanuel Sanders pull the main coverage in this game, leaving Samuels with a matchup he can exploit. The Vikings Defense was solid last week but they have had a tendency to struggle at times this season, and Samuels has the talent to exploit that.

Will Fuller, HOU @ KC | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,800

Fuller really is the x-factor for this offense, especially if a defense does not have two lockdown corners. His speed makes it very hard for a team to completely double-teaming DeAndre Hopkins because they risk leaving a defender one-on-one with the speedy Fuller. However, my expectations are that the Chiefs will focus their attention on Hopkins, leaving Fuller to go wild on the other side of the field.

Marquise Brown, BAL vs. TEN | DK: $4,400, FD: $5,500

Matching up to the Ravens is always an issue and Brown is part of the problem. If you roll a coverage guy inside to check Mark Andrews then Brown can beat you on the outside. Brown will likely draw Adoree Jackson, which is not ideal, but also not the hardest of assignments. My reading of this game is that the Titans will sell out to stop the tight ends and the running game, which should open Brown to have a big game against a defense allowing 18 FPPG to lead receivers.

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Jacob Hollister, SEA @ GB | DK: $4,000, FD: $5,800

The game in Green Bay appears to have the most elements to exploit for tight ends. Both teams are fine but not great against the position, and both leading tight ends are cheaper than the other top tight ends. Hollister has been a reasonably big part of this offense this season averaging 6.1 targets per game over the last nine weeks. If you can work out the money for Andrews, Kelce or Kittle then that is the way to go, but if you need to be cheaper at the tight end position then look for Hollister.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Wild Card)

The playoffs are finally here, and while that means entertaining and exciting football, it also means small slates for DFS. These small slates are tough to create differentiation, and sometimes you need to be creative. This week we have an interesting situation with the weather sweeping across the USA right now. With one game Saturday and one game Sunday indoors, and the Eagles game expected to miss the worst of the weather, it could still be a high scoring day for DFS.

This week has seen some major shifts in projected totals in some places. The games in Houston and New England have seen the total creep up close to 45, almost matching the game in Philadephia. Meanwhile, the game in New Orleans has the highest total, sitting around the 50 point mark.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Wild Card weekend of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Drew Brees, NO vs. MIN | DK: $6,600, FD: $8,500

At the second-highest price on DraftKings and the highest on FanDuel you could say this is not a "value" pick. However, value is relative to the return on investment, and frankly, Brees has the chance to be the best there. This game has the highest expected total and the Vikings Defense has been suspect at times. The Vikings have the second-worst ranking in points allowed against quarterbacks this season among the eight teams playing.

Carson Wentz, PHI vs. SEA | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,300

The sixth-highest price at the position on DraftKings makes this more of a value pick there than the third-highest price at FanDuel. My initial feeling was that Tom Brady might be the play here, but with Storm Henry, no not Derrick Henry, expected to hit New England, that might not be a game you want much part of. Wentz is playing a defense that has been vulnerable at times this season, and he seems to have built an interesting rapport with his young patchwork receiving core.

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Devin Singletary, BUF @ HOU | DK: $6,000, FD: $6,200

This is the prime matchup of the week at the position, and the price is fairly reasonable on both sites. Singletary will more than likely be the lead back against a team allowing 24 FPPG to lead backs. Buffalo's method of winning this game should revolve around control of the ball, and that is what Singletary gives them. His only failure in recent weeks came against the Patriots, and we can forgive him for that.

Boston Scott, PHI vs. SEA | DK: $5,800, FD: $6,600

This one very much depends on Miles Sanders' situation, but even if Sanders is on the field I still think Scott can play a role. Coming off a three-touchdown, 150-yard game last week Scott will be full of confidence. The young back has looked to have a great burst in recent weeks, and his role in the screen game could be pivotal to the Eagles. The price might be a little on the high side if Sanders is active, but it has the potential for big rewards if Sanders is limited, with Seattle allowing over 20 FPPG to lead backs.

Sony Michel, NE vs. TEN | DK: $4,600, FD: $6,700

There is a stark difference in value on the two sites here, but on DraftKings this is an easy play. Over the last three weeks, Michel has averaged 19.33 carries per game, averaged over four yards per carry, and scored a touchdown. Storm Henry could also be pivotal in making the Patriots keep the ball on the ground and making it tough for defenders to react to Michel on a potentially slippery field in Foxborough Saturday night.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Greg Ward, PHI vs. SEA | DK: $5,200, FD: $7,100

Ward has finished with double-digit fantasy scores in each of the last three weeks and figures to be a crucial part of this team. No one in the Seattle secondary really scares you off Ward and they allow over 35 FPPG to opposing receivers. It might be the weirdest playoff DFS selection you ever make, but it might also be a game-changer for you.

Kenny Stills, HOU vs. BUF | DK: $4,600, FD: $6,800

Stills is the safer of the two secondary plays for the Texans this week. Fuller has the higher ceiling and at $300 more on DraftKings ($200 less on FanDuel!) should be the play if active. The Bills are likely to be coming into Saturday a little banged up in their secondary and Tre'davious White is likely going to be busy covering DeAndre Hopkins. Whoever draws the secondary options in the Bills Defense could be primed for a big day, and Still has double-digit returns in three of his last four games.

Tre'Quan Smith, NO vs. MIN | DK: $4,000, FD: $5,500

If you want safe then this is not a play for you, but if you want some upside at the back end of your cash game roster then just maybe you look at Smith. He has a touchdown in three of his last four, and four of his last six, but the safety of regular targets is not there. Smith has game-breaking ability and matched up against a mediocre Vikings secondary, allowing over 15 FPPG to number two receivers, he has the chance to put in a big return.

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Jonnu Smith, TEN @ NE | DK: $3,800, FD: $5,800

If you are playing on FanDuel just try and pay up for Dallas Goedert if Zach Ertz cannot suit up, because he is not that much more than Smith on that platform. However, if you are on DraftKings I really believe Smith could be in for a big day. Patrick Chung has had issues with the tight end position in the last few weeks, and Smith might be the best he has faced. The Patriots have allowed touchdowns to tight ends in two of their last three and nearly allowed a long one in the Bills game as well. Smith's speed makes him a game breaker and if the Patriots try to negate Henry and A.J. Brown it could open opportunities for Smith to make a big play.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 16)

After a fantastic week with a 13-game slate last Sunday, Week 16 sees us drop back down to an 11-game slate thanks to the triple-header on Saturday. In some ways, I actually prefer that, because it gives us two slates to play on the weekend. Even though Saturday's games are taking away a number of good options offensively, there is still plenty to be excited about on this Sunday slate.

This week has the potential to be extremely high scoring. Eight of the 11 games on the slate this week have a projected total of 45 or above. That leaves us we three games below that, and all three of those games feature offenses I am likely to avoid, except for the Denver Broncos matchup with the Detroit Lions.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Week 16 of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Philip Rivers, LAC vs. OAK | DK: $5,700, FD: $7,500

There have been so many questions surrounding Rivers recently, but this game offers a great opportunity for him to put some of those to bed. The Raiders are allowing over 23 FPPG to quarterbacks, which should give Rivers a chance to put up one of his best numbers of the season. This game also has the potential to be a shootout, which also plays into the potential of a big week for Rivers.

Drew Lock, DEN vs. DET | DK: $5,600, FD: $7,300

Lock crashed back down to earth last week, but he will not get many better opportunities to rebound than the one in front of him right now. The Lions are allowing over 22 FPPG to quarterbacks, and teams have just been slicing through them offensively recently. The weather Sunday is going to be incredibly mild which will only help offense even more.

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Marlon Mack, IND vs. CAR | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,300

Thankfully, Mack has been preparing for this matchup with two really tough games, ensuring that he will not be priced at the high end of the position. The Panthers are allowing over 20 FPPG to lead backs and 30 FPPG to the position overall. With there also being a decent chance that the Colts lead for a large portion of this game, we should see Mack get plenty of work.

Phillip Lindsay, DEN vs. DET | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,300

f you invested in Lindsay this season then it is likely you have found his output disappointing. However, this week he could be due to put in a big day against a Lions Defense which allows nearly 19 FPPG to lead backs and 29 to the position as a whole. Those numbers also make Royce Freeman a consideration at $4,000 if you are looking for a more boom-or-bust type play.

Patrick Laird, MIA vs. CIN | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,500

Last week's game script got away from Laird, but this week we should see him get more run. Cincinnati are solid against least backs, but allow nearly 30 FPPG to the position as a whole. That also makes Myles Gaskin an interesting option at $3,800.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Courtland Sutton, DEN vs. DET | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,100

I am not really sure the Lions are going to turn up here. There is really no motivation for them, their season is over and their coaching situation, at least in terms of the head coach is confirmed. Therefore, I think we see the Lions come out flat, while the Broncos will be motivated to show that this team is talented, but has just had some bad breaks. He has not been targeted less than five times in any game this season and faces a defense allowing an average of 18.3 FPPG to lead receivers this season.

Michael Gallup, DAL @ PHI | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,500

In the last matchup between these teams it was Amari Cooper who went big, with over 100 yards on five receptions. I simply cannot see the Eagles allowing that to happen again, and they should roll coverage over Cooper. That would leave Gallup one-on-one, and the talented young receiver should be able to take advantage. Randall Cobb at $4,100 is also an interesting play if you are looking for a high potential ROI.

Mike Williams, LAC vs. OAK | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,500

Williams has found the end zone in his last two games having been held to zero all season. The last meeting between these two was entertaining, and this one should be as well. The Raiders Defense really wore down on the back end last week, and if that happens again we could find Williams in the end zone once again.

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Jacob Hollister, SEA vs. ARI | DK: $4,200, FD: $5,700

We are back to targeting the Cardinals Defense against the tight end position once again. They allow an average of 20.6 FPPG to the tight end position overall this season, and Hollister is clearly the number one tight end in this offense.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 15)

Make the most of this 13-game slate this week, because next week the Saturday triple-header will bring us back down to an 11-game Sunday slate. The key message this week is about injuries. Last week was extremely tough for season-long and dynasty formats, but in DFS those injuries produce opportunities. Whether it is the established second-option or a sleeper, injuries open opportunities for us to exploit them to our gain.

This week is projected to be another high scoring week. 10 of the 13 games have a projected total of 45 or above, with the Houston-Tennessee game creeping into the 50 range. Of the other three games, we have one game which has slipped into the 30-point range, Eagles @ Redskins, which is frankly a pretty easy game to avoid.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Week 15 of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA @ NYG | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,300

Weirdly, this is a game I am really looking forward too. Given the issues both defenses have, this should be a high scoring game. Fitzpatrick has been given a boost for DFS with the return of Devante Parker and Albert Wilson to practice late this week. Against a Giants team allowing over 22 FPPG to quarterbacks, Fitzpatrick should have a chance for one of his good days.

Eli Manning, NYG vs. MIA | DK: $5,200, FD: $6,800

So, last week was fine, but not that great. However, this week has a chance to be very good for Manning. His matchup with the Dolphins Defense sees him face a team allowing over 22 FPPG to quarterbacks, and with the Giants Defense having issues as well, this game could descend into a shootout at some point.

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Todd Gurley, LAR @ DAL | DK: $6,000, FD: $7,600

This is a really strange price on DraftKings when it comes to Gurley, even if it is more balanced on FanDuel. Yes, he has struggled this season at times, but in large part that has been because of the Rams limiting his touches. With their playoff spot on the line, they can no longer afford to be careful with Gurley down the stretch. We have seen that play out in the last month or so. Ignoring the Ravens game which went wrong fast, here are his carries in three of the last four games; 25, 19 & 23. In those three games, he has scored 21.3, 18.5 and 21.3 points. This should not be a game that gets away from the Rams, and therefore, I am expecting to see somewhere close to 20 carries for Gurley. If he can also continue to chip in with three or four receptions as he has been, then even better.

David Montgomery, CHI @ GB | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,400

Montgomery's opportunities have been limited at times this season, but he has seen a solid amount of usage for a rookie. His matchup this week with a defense allowing 20 FPPG to lead backs and 27 FPPG to all backs is one that you can look to exploit in what should be a tightly fought contest.

Patrick Laird, MIA @ NYG | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,500

Not a sexy name, but one that has had a decent floor in recent weeks. Laird has scored double-digits in three of his last four games, largely thanks to his role in the passing game. In those three games, he has averaged five targets and 4.66 receptions per game. With a solid matchup, there is a chance Laird can offer you a very handy ROI at this price.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Devante Parker, MIA @ NYG | DK: $6,400, FD: $6,900

This is a little more expensive than I may normally look at for these options, but if Parker is fully cleared, he returned to practice Friday, then he has a chance to offer you WR1 upside this week. In the four games prior to last week, he had been targeted a minimum of 10 times per game. Again ignoring last week, e has scored double-digit fantasy points in his last nine full games and should have a chance to return at least that this week against a woeful Giants defense, which allows over 20 FPPG to lead receivers.

Sterling Shepard, NYG vs. MIA | DK: $5,400, FD: $5,900

If you want the gamble on a big day, then Darius Slayton ($4,700) is your play. However, if you want to aim for a solid floor, then Shepard is the play. He has had at least six targets in every game he has been active this season and appears to be someone that Manning really trusts when he is in the lineup. The Dolphins Defense has had issues with opposing receivers, and Shepard could be in for a nice outing.

Dede Westbrook, JAX @ OAK | DK: $4,700, FD: $6,000

Unfortunately, the loss of D.J. Chark means we need to look at other Jaguars receivers. However, this is one of those situations where an injury may well open up a big opportunity to take advantage of a cheaper player, at least on DraftKings. Westbrook has been solid this season. He averages 10.9 fantasy points per game and has seen six or more targets in the majority of his games this season.

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Tyler Higbee, LAR @ DAL | DK: $3,900, FD: $5,700

I am going to have a lot of Higbee this week. Back-to-back 100-yard games and another solid matchup makes for an opportunity for Higbee to be a great ROI on this price. Gerald Everett has been ruled out once again, so this is a real opportunity to exploit. Even on FanDuel, where he is more expensive, this is a price point I feel like we can exploit this week.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 14)

After weeks of seeing main slates sit around the 10- and 11-game marks we get a week of respite in Week 14. This week sees a relatively massive 13-game slate as our featured slate, and it is providing plenty of options for us to utilize. If you are out of your fantasy football playoffs then why not turn your attention to DFS and try to win some money?

As always we have a reasonable split when it comes to the totals this week. Intriguingly, not a single total is sitting below 40 this week, but we do have seven below 45. In a similar vein, there is not a single game with a projected total sitting over 50 right now. The remaining six games on the slate reside between the 45 and 50-point marks. That close grouping of all 13 games this week makes our choices even wider as ut keeps all of the games on the table at all positions.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Sam Darnold, NYJ vs. MIA | DK: $6,000, FD: $7,600

Last week just went badly wrong for Darnold and the Jets. However, they get the chance to bounce back this week with their revenge game against the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins Defense is allowing close to 23 FPPG to quarterbacks.

Derek Carr, OAK vs. TEN | DK: $5,000, FD: $7,500

This price offers real value for Carr. He has struggled the past two weeks, but that has been on the road in the cold. Now he comes back home, into milder weather, against a team who have at times been vulnerable to opposing passing games. This game has shootout written all over it and Carr is a huge value if that happens.

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Sony Michel/James White, NE vs. KC | DK: $5,600/$5,500, FD: $5,800

Your decision between Michel and White depends on how you see this game going. There are two main theories; either the Patriots try to use Michel to control the clock, aiming to give him 25-plus carries, or they are chasing the Chiefs offense all game and they have to turn towards White out of the backfield in the same way they did against Houston. You could make a case for playing both, but be prepared to be disappointed with one of them if you do, because their values are tied to two very different game scripts.

Phillip Lindsay, DEN @ HOU | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,300

Lindsay was just never able to put the hammer down last week in the matchup with the Chargers. However, this week he gets the opportunity to go against a Texans Defense who allows 19 FPPG to lead backs and over 28 points to the running back position as a whole. Those numbers would also make Royce Freeman ($4,000) a potentially sneaky GPP play if you need a boom-or-bust option who gets targets in the passing game.

Adrian Peterson, WSH @ GB | DK: $4,000, FD: $6,800

Derrius Guice is the sexy name in the Redskins backfield, but please do not forget about Peterson, who actually led the position in touches last week. Green Bay is allowing over 20 FPPG to lead backs and nearly 27 points to the position in total. There should be plenty of points to go around for the Redskins running backs this week, so give me the one I can get significantly cheaper.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

James Washington, PIT @ ARI | DK: $6,000, FD: $7,100

Always target the Cardinals Defense has been one of my mottos of DFS this season. Washingon is a little more expensive than we might like for this article. However, he sits a long way down the pricing at the receiver position and has the chance to return top-10 value this week. The Cardinals are allowing close to 20 points to lead receivers this season, and Washington has been in the 20-point range in three of the last four weeks.

Robby Anderson, NYJ vs. MIA | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,000

While many turn their attentions to Jamison Crowder this week, the numbers here tell you to pivot and look at Anderson. The Dolphins Defense is actually reasonably stingy against the slot wide receivers, but are allowing over 20 FPPG to lead receivers. Anderson is for all intents and purposes the Jets lead receiver, so ride him this week in what should be a great matchup for him.

Allen Lazard, GB vs. WSH | DK: $4,200, FD: $5,200

Lazard is coming off a huge week in New York last week. He seems to have planted his flag as a solid option in this team, and Rodgers was happy to take some deep shots to him last week. He is a little boom-or-bust for cash games, but this is a player who is very talented, and if he is open Rodgers will find him. Take the gamble because Lazard could be the player that gives you the biggest ROI on your roster this week.

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Jack Doyle, IND @ TB | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,600

The tight end position looks even worse than usual this week. However, Doyle has the potential to be the savior. With no Eric Ebron on the field, Doyle saw 11 targets and found the end zone this week. The Buccaneers Defense has trouble with the tight end position, allowing 16 FPPG this season.

Jonnu Smith, TEN @ OAK | DK: $3,100, FD: $5,200

Do not get me confused. Doyle is my guy all-day every day this week. However, if you need to save some cash then Smith should offer upside against a Raider Defense which ranks 24th against the position on DraftKings.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 13)

Let's all celebrate the end of the bye weeks, which means that our Sunday slates go back to being loaded with 13 games. Hang on, what do you mean it's only an 11-game slate?! The only downside of Thanksgiving is that it leaves just 11 games on the featured DraftKings slate for Week 13. That is not a huge issue, but having those extra games gives you more opportunities to differentiate yourself.

We have perhaps the best spread of games we have ever had this season in terms of projected totals. Six of the 11 games are projected over 45, one of which is projected over 50. Of the other five, two games fall below 40 points, with the remaining three between 40-and-45. That wide spread of projected totals offers plenty of opportunities to find some value this week.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Week 13 of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Sam Darnold, NYJ @ CIN | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,600

Darnold has really been rolling recently. The Jets quarterback has scored an average of 26.5 fantasy points in the last three weeks. Not only does he have seven passing touchdowns in that time, but he has also added another two on the ground. This could be another good week for Darnold against a defense allowing 22.5 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.

Nick Foles, JAX vs. TB | DK: $5,700, FD: $7,500

This is a play against the Buccaneers Defense as much as it is a show of strength in Foles. The Buccaneers are allowing over 23 FPPG to quarterbacks and their games often turn into a shootout. Foles and the Jaguars desperately need to really get rolling offensive, and this is the game to do it.

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Miles Sanders, PHI @ MIA | DK: $5,400, FD: $5,800

Last week saw a nice return from Sanders as he rolled for over five yards per carry against the Seahawks. This week is a much easier matchup, against a Dolphins Defense allowing an average of 18.8 FPPG against lead backs. This should be a game where the Eagles get their offense rolling and Sanders should be able to return double-digit fantasy points even if he only sees the 11 carries he has averaged the past three weeks.

Jonathan Williams, IND vs. TEN | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,800

How do you go against a guy who carried the ball 26 times last time out? The results in terms of yards per attempt are not pretty, but a 20-point return is not to be sniffed at. Williams should be the lead back once again this week in an offense that should keep the ball on the floor in an attempt to control the clock and the game. This could be another 20 carry week for Williams, which should yield close to 15 fantasy points.

Phillip Lindsay, DEN vs. LAC | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,300

This price is solid for Lindsay, who has seen double-digit carries in all but two of his games this year. The Chargers are allowing 17 FPPG to lead running backs this year, which is the role Lindsay continues to occupy for this offense. This is not a sexy pick, but it a pick with a nice floor, that could have a significant upside if Linsay can find the end zone.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Robert Woods, LAR @ ARI | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,100

I love this price on DraftKings for one of my favorite wide receivers around right now. Woods has not had the season he would have hoped for, but he has seen 20 targets across his last two games. In those two games, he has averaged 16 FPPG, and appears to be the favorite target of Jared Goff right now. The Rams offense needs to get right this week, and Woods is a big part of that.

Woods price does not really offer any value on FanDuel.

Chris Conley, JAX vs. TB | DK: $4,500, FD: $6,000

Conley has been a solid target in the Jaguars offense this season, seeing 38 targets through the last five weeks. Those targets have returned mixed results, but this week, against a defense nearly 50 FPPG to the wide receiver position he could turn those targets into a very successful week.

Auden Tate, CIN vs. NYJ | DK: $3,800, FD: $5,200

Tate will be one of many people in Bengals colors relieved to see Andy Dalton back under center. Tate has not completely rumbled with Ryan Finley, but he was seeing more targets with Dalton marshaling the offense. All of Tate's four double-digit performances came with Dalton, and with Dalton fighting for his career, he should be spreading the ball around plenty in this one.

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Ryan Griffin, NYJ @ CIN | DK: $4,300, FD: $5,600

It has become hard to ignore Griffin. He appears to have become a trusted target of Darnold and has found the end zone in both of the past two weeks. Griffin should see somewhere around three to five targets this week, and there is a good chance he will be leaned on around the red zone.

Dallas Goedert, PHI @ MIA | DK: $4,100, FD: $5,200

Last week was not pretty for Goedert, as he ended with just under 10 fantasy points. It was solid, but it was not the monster return you were hoping for. This week the Eagles offense will continue to be slightly under-strength and Goedert should be able to take advantage of this Dolphins Defense.

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NFL DFS Cash Game Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 12)

Week 12 brings us another 11-game Sunday slate to preview. It is a bittersweet week with four decent offenses on their bye in the Minnesota Vikings, Arizona Cardinals, Kansas City Chiefs, and Los Angeles Chargers. However, we still have plenty of interesting options to choose from.

As always we have a mixed week when it comes to totals. We have 6-of-11 games having a total of 45 or above. Just one game currently sits above the 50-point mark, Tampa Bay @ Atlanta. However, the other five games all have a projected total of 42 or below, including two games below 40. You will likely only find those games providing value at the running back position.

Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Week 12 of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.

 

Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Baker Mayfield, CLE vs. MIA | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,500

You would struggle to spin this season as anything other than disappointing for Mayfield. However, the schedule has not been kind to him, but it is softening down the stretch somewhat. This week he gets a Dolphins Defense allowing over 21 PPG to quarterbacks, with a receiver hell-bent on getting revenge on his old team. Cleveland have had an extra three days rest this week, which should only serve to make this a bigger mismatch.

Sam Darnold, NYJ vs. OAK  | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,400

Darnold is alive, long live Sam Darnold! The last two weeks have been a salvaging of the season in some ways for Darnold. 34 points each week, including two 20-fantasy point performances from Darnold himself, have left the Jets 3-7 and no longer a complete laughing stock. This offense is clicking and they are taking advantage of some nice matchups against struggling secondaries. They get another chance this week with the Oakland Raiders coming to town. The Raiders Defense has allowed over 22.5 FPPG to quarterbacks this season, and Darnold should be able to cash in on Sunday.

 

Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Kareem Hunt, CLE vs. MIA | DK: $5,600 FD: $5,600

It has been a solid start to 2019 for Hunt, who has scored 26.2 fantasy points in his two games this season. The value has come in the passing game, where he has seen 17 targets over the last two weeks. This week he faces a Dolphins defense allowing 28.4 FPPG combined to opposing running backs, so should have plenty of opportunities to add some points. If he finds the end zone this week then at this price you are laughing.

Miles Sanders, PHI vs. SEA | DK: $5,000, FD: $5,600

The Eagles look likely to be without Jordan Howard once again this week. At best he will be active but limited it would appear, which is good news for the value of Sanders. Last week was a tough matchup for Sanders against the Patriots, but he did flash moments that suggested he could be a force in the right situation. I am expecting to see Sanders get the majority of the carries in a game that the Eagles need to try and control as much as possible wth their offense.

Sony Michel, NE vs. DAL | DK: $4,600, FD: $6,300

This pick is perhaps not as "safe" as the Sanders pick because trusting a New England running back is never safe. However, it was about this time last year that New England decided to grind their opponents into submission, and this week they get the weather to do just that. On what should be a cold and potentially snowy day in New England, look for the Patriots to use their offense to attempt to starve the Cowboys offense of the ball. The Cowboys Defense allows over 18 FPPG to lead backs, and if Michel gives you that this week you will be dancing around your house on Sunday evening.

 

Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Terry McLaurin, WAS vs. DET | DK: $6,000, FD: $5,800

Scary Terry is back on our screens and in our hearts. The Lions Defense is allowing 18.6 FPPG to lead receivers this season. McLaurin and Haskins got themselves on track last week and should have the opportunity to go to the next level next week. McLaurin should be amongst the team leaders in targets and a double-digit return should be more than possible this week.

James Washington, PIT @ CIN | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,100

Who else is there for Mason Rudolph to target. The Steelers offense has been destroyed by injury this season and Washington is the last recognized receiver standing. He has seen 28 targets across the last five weeks, returning two double-digit scores in those weeks. He should see the bulk of the targets in this one, and while the matchup may not be a slam dunk, the volume should be enough to carry him through.

Hunter Renfrow, OAK @ NYJ | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,900

Renfrow has been on a solid run for the last three weeks, with three double-digit returns in the last four weeks. The Jets are one of the worst teams on the slate when it comes to facing number receivers, allowing over 15 FPPG. Renfrow could be in a for a nice game in what could turn into a shootout in New York this weekend.

 

Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks

Dallas Goedert, PHI vs. SEA | DK: $3,700, FD: $5,200

Like it or not Goedert is here to stay for fantasy purposes. He has seen 28 targets in the last five games, found the end zone three times and scored double-digits in those three games. He has fast made himself one of the more reliable parts of this offense, and the Eagles are going to need him if they are going to give their playoff hopes a huge boost this week.

Benjamin Watson, NE vs. DAL | DK: $3,100, FD: $5,300

New England is looking potentially a little short at the pass-catching positions this week. Philip Dorsett and Mohammed Sanu are banged up, so Watson presents an interest option to step up in this one. He has seen nine targets across the last two weeks and faces a Cowboys defense which ranks 30th against tight ends on DraftKings this season.

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Week 11 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Week 11 brings us back up to an 11-game slate with just four teams on a bye this week. Thie week sees the return of the New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Redskins, Denver Broncos, Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans back to the slate. That is an interesting mix of teams, but it does bring some nice DFS options back to the table for us.

This week has the potential to be a very entertaining week, with seven of the 11 games on the slate having a line of 45 or above. We do have a couple of low scoring games, but for the large part, there should be plenty of offensive options on the slate this week.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 11 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Derek Carr, OAK vs. CIN | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,600

Carr is perhaps a little more expensive than I would like, but on this slate, he is still a relative bargain. The Bengals are allowing nearly 25 PPG to quarterbacks, and we have seen Carr have some good performances recently. My only concern is that the Raiders may go for the ground and pound approach, and then if they get up big could go very vanilla on offense. However, the Raiders Defense has enough issues that I think the Bengals can stay close enough to make the Raiders keep their starters on the field.

Kyle Allen, CAR vs. ATL | DK: $5,300, FD: $7,200

I am not a huge believer that Carolina is a lock to have a good week in Week 11. The Falcons Defense was so good last week that I do not believe it was a one-off, and rather I believe that it was a change made during the bye week. However, you cannot get away from the fact the Falcons are one of the worst teams on the slate against quarterbacks. Allen is also one of the cheapest starters available this week, so makes an interesting option in your cash game lineups.

Week 11 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Devin Singletary, BUF @ MIA | DK: $6,000 FD: $6,700

Last week was both frustrating and promising for Singletary. On the one hand, he only carried the ball eight times. However, he also averaged over five yards per carry which is extremely promising. The Bills cannot afford to just keep putting the game on Josh Allen, because that is not the optimal way to run this offense. The Dolphins are allowing over 18 points to lead backs and 29 to running backs in total, making Frank Gore ($4,400) another potential play. This may not be a value on first glance, but if he can see double-digit carries he could end up being a value.

Brian Hill, ATL @ CAR | DK: $4,800, FD: $6,400

With Devonta Freeman ruled out, Brian Hill will take the lead back duties for the Falcons in what should be a great matchup for them. The Panthers Defense has allowed over 20 PPG to lead running backs this season. The only concern is the game script getting away from the run game for the Falcons, but I really think this game is going to be much closer than many expect. Hill is a big part of making that happen, and he could easily be looking at 20-plus carries this season.

Kalen Ballage, MIA vs. BUF | DK: $4,300, FD: $6,300

Last week was tough for Ballage, but the Colts rank reasonably highly when it comes to facing the running game. However, the same cannot be said for the Bills, who are allowing an average of 26 PPG to opposing backs.  Ballage saw 20 carries last week, and with the Bills generally being strong against the pass, the Dolphins should lead on the run game in this one.

 

Week 11 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Terry McLaurin, NYJ @ WSH | DK: $5,600, FD: $6,400

I resisted the urge to invest too much in this game, but McLaurin is hard to ignore. The rookie receiver has struggled lately, but now he is playing with his college quarterback, which should help reignite that spark. McLaurin should also be helped by the Jets allowing over 19 PPG to opposing lead receivers.

Mohamed Sanu, NE @ PHI | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,500

Sanu was targeted a whopping 14 times in the PAtriots last game, just his second in the offense. Considering the abysmal play of the Eagles secondary, and the fact his fellow receiver Julian Edelman is so expensive, this is a massive value for Sanu. The Patriots offense is going to have a point to prove this week, and this secondary is the one to do it against.

Auden Tate, CIN @ OAK | DK: $4,200, FD: $5,500

Last week was ugly for the Bengals. Let's not pretend any different. However, this week they face a Raiders defense which has a ton of issues of its own. They allow over 17 PPG to opposing lead receivers and nearly 15 PPG to secondary receivers. I like Tyler Boyd in this game at $5,200, but I would prefer the saving to get Tate, who could be just as effective.

 

Week 11 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

T.J. Hockenson, DET vs. DAL | DK: $3,600, FD: $5,100

After an explosive start, things have slowed down for Hockenson. However, it would appear the Lions are making a real effort to get their rookie tight end back into games, with 15 targets across the last two weeks. The Cowboys are allowing over 11 PPG to lead tight ends and over 15 PPG to the position in total, so Hockenson could be in for a third double-digit week this season.

Ross Dwelley, SF vs. ARI | DK: $3,400, FD: $5,000

This is simply about the matchup. With George Kittle expected to be missing, Dwelley has a chance to put up good numbers against an Arizona team allowing over 17 PPG to lead tight ends. Dwelley saw seven targets last week, and if he sees that this week, then he could be in line for close to 15 fantasy points.

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Week 10 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Six teams on a bye week mean that we have another slimmed-down 10-game featured slate on DraftKings this week. However, with plenty of bad defenses on the slate, including the Giants, Buccaneers, and Dolphins, there is still plenty of value to be found across the slate.

Four games on this slate have a line of 47 or above, with six games below 45, and three of the games floating around the 40 point mark. As always the higher lines will present us value in terms of the pass-catchers, with the lower lines offering more value to the running back position. Another consideration here is the weather, with snow already coming down in Green Bay, and the potential to affect the game come Sunday.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 10 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 10 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Jacoby Brissett/Brian Hoyer, IND vs. MIA | DK: $6,000/$5,900, FD: $7,600/$7,100

The Colts offense has been somewhat hit and miss this season, but this week against the Dolphins should offer them a chance to have a solid week. The Dolphins are currently allowing over 21 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks, and the Colts proved they could move the ball effectively on a much stiffer Steelers Defense last week. In terms of which quarterback you want, it may actually be Hoyer, as he is more likely to be a full go, and throw caution to the wind. However, both should be capable of a 20 point score this week, against a Dolphins team which has proven it will fight hard in these games.

Sam Darnold, NYJ vs. NYG | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,200

If Darnold does not do it for me this week I am done. The Giants are allowing 23 FPPG to quarterbacks, and now face a Jets team which should have enough talent to take advantage. The Jets offensive line has issues, but the Giants pass rush is hardly intimidating either.  This has to be the week for Darnold in what could prove to be a shootout, where we see him throw the ball 30 or more times.

 

Week 10 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

David Montgomery, CHI vs. DET | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,400

Much like with Darnold I am close to breaking point with this Bears team, but this is the week to roll with Montgomery. The Lions rank dead last in FPPG allowed to opposing leading backs, with their average FPPG of 24.5 being three points higher than the second-place Chiefs. Montgomery has seen 41 carries and nine targets the last two weeks and should have every chance to see similar numbers this week against the Lions.

Devin Singletary, BUF @ CLE | DK: $5,000 FD: $6,700

The Bills finally committed to Singletary as their lead back last week as he carried the ball 20 times, adding four targets, which all added up to a 23 point return. This week he faces a Cleveland team that allows an average of over 18 FPPG to opposing lead running backs. In what should be another tight game, I would expect to see Singletary build on his promising performance from last week.

Ronald Jones II, TB vs. ARI | DK: $4,300, FD: $6,300

Week 9 saw the first double-digit return in four weeks for Jones, thanks in large part to having 18 carries and a touchdown. It looks like he may have supplanted Peyton Barber as the number one option in the Buccaneers offense, and now he faces an Arizona team allowing over 19 FPPG to lead running backs.

 

Week 10 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Zach Pascal, IND vs. MIA | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,400

T.Y. Hilton has already been ruled out for next week, meaning Pascal should be one of the top options again this week. Last week he saw six targets, which he turned into 18.6 points, with Hilton missing. Pascal has also been averaging 4.8 targets per game at home this season and is now facing a Dolphins team allowing over 20 FPPG to lead wide receivers.

Jamison Crowder, NYJ vs. NYG | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,500

Crowder got back into the double-digits last week with eight receptions on nine targets for 84 yards and a touchdown. Generally, he has had a good rapport with Darnold this season, and he has seen at least five targets in every game Darnold has played this season. His ceiling is limited by the fact that many of his receptions tend to be short, but he found the end zone for the first time last week and could be in for a bump if Le'Veon Bell is limited. His matchup this week sees him facing a Giants team allowing 12 FPPG to slot receivers and over 20 FPPG to lead receivers, which he arguably is in this offense.

Cole Beasley, BUF @ CLE | DK: $4,100, FD: $5,500

Beasley is my solid floor player for cash games as often as I think he is viable. Last week his game was salvaged with a touchdown, as he saw a season-low two targets. However, Beasley has been a solid part of this offense this season, and the game against the Redskins last week kind of petered out, which may explain his limited usage. This week the game against the Browns should be closer and I expect to see Beasley play a big part for the Bills.

 

Week 10 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Jonnu Smith, TEN vs. KC | DK: $3,500, FD: $5,100

Last week was a crash back to earth for Smith, as he could only turn his five targets into 4.8 fantasy points. It looks as though Delanie Walker is going to miss another week, so Smith will get his chance to rebound against a Chiefs Defense which has allowed an average of 13.5 FPPG to the tight end position.

O.J. Howard, TB vs. ARI | DK: $3,300, FD: $5,000

Howard has missed the last two weeks but was back as a full participant this Wednesday, which suggests he is back to full health. Additionally, this week he sees the softest matchup in the league for tight ends, with the Cardinals having allowed over 17 FPPG to lead tight ends. Howard has the ability to rip defenses apart, and despite a limited role in the offense this season, this is a game to get him on track for the season. A great comparison here is the amazing week that rookie tight end T.J. Hockenson had in Week 1 against this Cardinals Defense.

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Week 9 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Week 9 brings with it a reduced featured slate, as not only do we have four teams on a bye, but also an early kickoff in London. Therefore, we are left with a 10-game slate, reducing our options. However, there are still plenty of values to be found for our cash game lineups.

This is a strange week in the NFL, especially on the Sunday slate. Just four games currently have a line above 45, with two of those being over 50. However, there are also two games with lines below 40, which severely limits the opportunities for value outside of the running back position.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 9 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 9 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Sam Darnold, NYJ @ MIA | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,300

It has been a couple of really tough weeks for Darnold. After the disaster in New England, he bounced back somewhat against the Jaguars with a 15 point performance. However, he has now thrown seven interceptions and just two touchdowns in the last two weeks and desperately needs a strong performance to get him back on track. Facing the Miami Dolphins should help Darnold, as the Dolphins have allowed an average of 23 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks this season, and just made Mason Rudolph look dangerous as a passer. The other aspect of this is that the Miami offense is showing signs of life, and therefore, should be able to be competitive enough to ensure that Darnold cannot take his foot off the gas in this matchup.

Derek Carr, OAK vs. DET | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,300

Carr rewarded me for his faith in him last week and I am jumping right back on him this week against Detroit. The Lions made Danel Jones look respectable last week, and Carr is a more polished player at this point. The Lions are allowing an average of 23.4 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks, and Carr comes into this game off the back of his first 20-point performance of the season. The Raiders may not have a ton of weapons on the field, but Carr has still been able to put up respectable results with this less than stellar cast of characters.

 

Week 9 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Derrick Henry, TEN @ CAR | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,800

Henry is the ultimate volume running back right now in the NFL. He has yet to log less than 15 carries in a single game this season, and that has resulted in double-digit points returns in six of his eight games so far. The only concern with Henry is that his ceiling is limited by his lack of involvement in the passing game, but he should have a solid game against a Panthers Defense which was ravaged by the 49ers run game last week and allow an average of 18.6 FPPG to opposing RB1s.

Melvin Gordon III, LAC vs. GB | DK: $5,000 FD: $6,300

Gordon finally found the end zone last week but yet another underwhelming performance has seen his price drop to a point it presents pure value. The Packers are allowing over 20 FPPG to opposing RB1s and Gordon should have an opportunity to break out for the 2019 season this week.

Royce Freeman, DEN vs. CLE | DK: $4,900, FD: $6,100

It has been a nice run for Freeman recently, as he has seen double-digit carries in all of the last four weeks. That has resulted in three straight weeks of double-digit returns, and two straight weeks in which he has found the end zone. Cleveland is allowing over 27 FPPG to opposing running back groups. This Denver group consists of Freeman and Phillip Lindsay, who both have the ability to put up solid points in this matchup.

 

Week 9 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Robby Anderson, NYJ @ MIA | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,200

Anderson has seen 22 targets in the last three weeks and now gets a matchup with the Dolphins, who are missing Xavien Howard in their secondary. The Dolphins are allowing over 20 FPPG to opposing WR1, which is the role I Anderson should play in this game.

Sammy Watkins, KC vs. MIN | DK: $4,900, FD: $6,000

Minnesota has had mixed results against opposing receivers. They have been good against WR1s, but have had some issues against secondary receivers, allowing an average of 13.5 FPPG. Watkins serves the secondary role in this offense now that Tyreek Hill is back, but should still see plenty of targets, having had eight or more in four of the five games he has seen significant time on the field.

Devante Parker, MIA vs. NYJ | DK: $4,400, FD: $5,800

Parker has been strong recently with four straight games of double-digit returns, thanks in large part to three touchdowns in that stretch. He has seen 18 targets in the last two weeks, and now has a matchup with a Jets team allowing 18.9 FPPG to opposing WR1.

 

Week 9 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Jonnu Smith, TEN @ CAR | DK: $3,800, FD: $5,500

Smith has really stepped up to the plate in the last couple of weeks following the absence of Delanie Walker. Smith has scored close to 30 points across the last two weeks, with 10 targets, 142 yards, and a touchdown. This week is a tougher matchup against the Carolina Panthers, but Tannehill seems fairly locked in Walker the last couple of weeks, and if Walker is missing again, then Smith could be in line for a second good week ina row.

Greg Olsen, CAR vs. TEN | DK: $3,500, FD: $5,300

In the same game as Smith, we also have a solid value on Greg Olsen. Olsen's role in the offense has been inconsistent with Kyle Allen commanding the offense, but he has had strong days against teams such as the Cardinals and Buccaneers. This week he is facing a Titans team that allows an average of just over 10 FPPG to opposing tight ends. While 10 points are nothing special, at the tight end position it is a more than acceptable return.

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Week 8 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Just two teams on bye this week means we have a 12-game slate once again in Week 8. This slate is absolutely loaded with talent and good matchups, presenting us with plenty of opportunities to take advantage this week.

This week we have seven games with a projected total over 45. The Seahawks Falcons game is up at 54, which could be far too high if Matt Ryan is gimpy or Matt Schaub is starting. We can also discount the game in London as far as I am concerned. We had two entertaining games in the Tottenham Stadium, but Wembley has been known to be more of a slog on natural grass, with the under hitting in the last four Wembley contests. The five games with totals below 45 can still offer us options, especially if those low totals mean players get priced down a little bit.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 8 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 8 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Ryan Tannehill, TEN vs. TB | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,900

Tannehill did a solid job in his first week as the Titans starter. This week the matchup should be even easier, as he faces a Buccaneers team allowing over 20 FPPG to opposing QBs. The Titans have weapons and Tannehill is the best QB they have right now for getting the most out of those weapons. This could be a big week against a very shaky secondary in the Buccaneers.

Derek Carr, OAK @ HOU | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,900

This could be a fun game. Both defenses have a lot of trouble defending the pass and we could see monster numbers from both QBs. With Josh Jacobs banged up the Raiders are going to have to rely more on the passing game to move the football. This should be the week that Carr breaks the 20-point barrier for the first time this season.

 

Week 8 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Latavius Murray, NO vs. ARI | DK: $5,800, FD: $6,200

This is one of those situations where you kind of want Alvin Kamara to be active Sunday, because it will drive people away from Murray who could be a sneaky good play this week. Murray was super effective last week returning 35 fantasy points. While Kamara will take some of that workload I still expect to see plenty of Murray this week. The Cardinals allow 18 FPPG to opposing RB1s, which is the role I see Murray having this weekend regardless of the Kamara situation.

Sony Michel, NE vs. CLE | DK: $5,200 FD: $6,500

It was a mixed Week 7 for Michel, who put up solid points thanks to a three-touchdown day. On a yards per carry basis, he was fairly mediocre, but the volume and goal-line carries saw him put up a respectable return. Michel has only seen single-digit carries in one game this season, and this week draws a defense allowing 20.7 FPPG to opposing RB1s.

Michel is a better value on DraftKings than FanDuel.

Ty Johnson, DET vs. NYG | DK: $4,900, FD: $5,200

This pick is all about opportunity for Ty Johnson, who is expected to take the bulk of the work vacated by Kerryon Johnson. So far Ty has not returned great numbers on the season, but the opportunity for a RB1 workload at a bargain-basement price relatively is impossible to pass up.

 

Week 8 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Kenny Stills, HOU vs. OAK | DK: $4,700, FD: $5,700

Stills might well be the highest owned player on the slate this week, but it is going to be hard to pivot away from him. With Will Fuller out last week, Stills saw five targets, pulling in four receptions for 105 yards. He should remain the secondary option to DeAndre Hopkins this week, and that is a valuable position against a secondary allowing close to 15 points against RB2s this season.

Corey Davis, TEN vs. TB | DK: $4,400, FD: $5,500

We finally saw the real Corey Davis last week. After being set free from his ball and chain, he demonstrated his talent with Tannehill under center. This game has the feel of a back-and-forth slugfest in which neither team can move the ball with the run game. We could easily see both QB throw over 40 times in this game and Davis could see double-digit targets.

Cole Beasley, BUF vs. PHI | DK: $4,200, FD: $5,600

I really like Beasley as a sneaky PPR high floor type play in this format. The Philadelphia Eagles Defense has its problems down the field, but I also expect Beasley to be able to exploit one of the worst pass defenses in the league underneath. Beasley saw another six targets last week and should get close to that in Week 8 as well.

 

Week 8 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Noah Fant, DEN @ IND | DK: $2,900, FD: $4,500

Fant is driving me and many other fantasy owners nuts with his inconsistency. The target share has been good this season, but Fant actually leads the league in drop%. The Colts allow an average of 15 fantasy points to opposing tight ends so this is the now-or-never moment for Fant this season for me.

Jonnu Smith, TEN vs. TB | DK: $2,800, FD: $4,900

This all depends if Delanie Walker is active. If he is not then I cannot get enough of Smith this week. Three targets, three receptions and 60 yards after taking over from Walker last week should all rise with a full week in the offense as a starter. Smith is a very talented tight end, who can make defenses pay if given the chance. The Buccaneers may present that chance, as they allow an average of 19 fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/26/19): MLB DFS Lineups

Game 4 of the World Series is upon us, and with it comes another Showdown game. This matchup sees Patrick Corbin and Jose Urquidy going head-to-head in perhaps the least impressive matchup of the series so far.

This game has the total set at 8, largely because it is being played outdoors in Washington in October. The cold weather generally depresses run-scoring and a slightly in blowing wind should add to that. However, the Astros' league-leading numbers against left-handed pitchers mean that Corbin is not the slam dunk pitching option we may hope for.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/26/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Captain Selection

Carlos Correa, HOU (@ WAS) - $11,400

When Correa has been on the field this season he has been good against pitchers of both hands. Against lefties he offers a solid floor, with a .308 batting average, .405 wOBA and a .231 wOBA. His solid numbers against right-handed pitching enusre that even late in games he can still provide you points.

 

DraftKings DFS Utility Selections

Jose Altuve, HOU (@ WAS) - $9,400 

Another Houston hitter with solid all-around numbers, but with exceptional numbers against left-handed pitching. This season with lefties on the mound he has a .331 batting average, .346 ISO and .429 wOBA.

Alex Bregman, HOU (@ WAS) - $9,000

This price on Bregman is baffling to me when he has been so good against left-handed pitchers this season. It is hard to argue with a .350 batting average, .473 wOBA and a .393 ISO.

Yordan Alvarez, HOU (@ WAS) - $8,000

A fourth hitter with solid numbers all-around for the Astros, but with a .307 batting average, .342 ISO and a .422 wOBA against lefties he is a must-have in your lineup if he is active.

Yan Gomes, WAS (vs. HOU ) - $5,800

This is simply a cost-saving mechanism, while also trying to get a Washington player in the lineup. There is nothing amazing about Gomes' numbers, but he did hit nine home runs in the second half of the season, giving him a .259 ISO.

Robinson Chirinos, HOU (@ WAS) - $5,000

Another money-saving option here, with a .202 ISO and a .389 wOBA against lefties, Chirinos offers the potential for good value at this price.

 

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Week 7 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Week 7 brings us an 11 game featured slate between the 1 pm and 4:25 pm kickoffs. Last week was a fascinating week and now we can use some of that knowledge to move into this week. Will the starts of Ryan Tannehill and Ryan Fitzpatrick improve the fantasy value of any of their receivers? Will any of the teams reverse the trends we have seen forming the last couple of weeks or will things continue to play out according to the status quo we have seen developing?

This slate has a nice even mix of totals, spread right across the range. We have six games with projected totals over 45, including the game in Atlanta which has a total as high as 52.5. We also have one game with a total down below 40, as the Chicago Bears and New Orleans Saints face off.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 7 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 7 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Daniel Jones, NYG vs. ARI | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,200

This should be a game where Jones gets back on track against the worst defense against opposing QBs. The Cardinals are allowing 26.3 FPPG to opposing QBs this season, and Jones is now getting Evan Engram and potentially Sterling Shepard back this week. Jones has had a couple of rough weeks but he should bounce back in Week 7.

Gardner Minshew, JAX @ CIN | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,900

It was a rough week in Week 6 for Minshew and the mania that surrounds him, as he scored just 5.72 fantasy points. This week he gets the 30th ranked defense against opposing QBs, allowing 22.3 FPPG. Minshew has scored 16 or more fantasy points in all but one of his games this season, and against a Cincinnati defense which has struggled to get any consistency this season, he should get right back to those double-digit scores this week.

 

Week 7 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Devonta Freeman, ATL vs. LAR | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,400

It has been a slow grind this season but Freeman has built up to some effective scores the past few weeks. He has now scored double-digits each of the last four weeks, but in the last three weeks, he has averaged 20.7 FPPG. Now he faces a Rams Defense which has been allowing over 20 FPPG to opposing RB1s.

Matt Breida, SF @ WAS | DK: $5,300 FD: $5,600

Breida has been up and down this season, but he has scored double-digits in each of his last four games. The Redskins are allowing 29.4 FPPG to opposing RBs but only 16.8 to opposing RB1's. With Raheem Mostert possibly out, Breida should see most of the carries as the RB2.

Frank Gore, BUF vs. MIA | DK: $5,200, FD: $6,000

This is not an exciting option, but Gore has a nice floor thanks to consistent double-digit carries in each game this season. He is also coming off his bye week and facing a defense that has allowed 21.2 FPPG to opposing RB1s and 36.6 FPPG to all opposing RBs. Gore could be in line for his best game of the season in this matchup.

 

Week 7 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

T.Y. Hilton, IND vs. HOU | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,600

This is really only a value play on DraftKings because of his FanDuel being the sixth most expensive receiver on the slate. Hilton is surprisingly cheap on DraftKings for a receiver who had an average of 21 FPPG through the first three weeks and has had his bye t get healthy after the Chiefs game. Now he faces a Texans Defense which has allowed 18.6 FPPG to opposing number one receivers.

Tyler Boyd, CIN vs. JAX | DK: $5,600, FD: $5,600

Last week was tough for Boyd but he should have the chance to bounce back against a Jaguars Defense which has struggled without Jalen Ramsey. The Jaguars have allowed an average of 20.4 FPPG to opposing number one receivers, and Boyd could see double-digit targets for the fifth game this season.

Cole Beasley, BUF vs. MIA | DK: $4,700, FD: $5,600

With John Brown potentially out we could see more targets for Beasley in this game. Beasley has seen nine or more carries in three of his five games this season. Most of the damage against Miami has been done by the WR1, but the Dolphins do allow 39.2 FPPG to opposing receivers.

 

Week 7 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Darren Fells, HOU @ IND | DK: $3,100, FD: $4,600

Fells has scored double-digit fantasy points in three of the last four weeks. He saw seven targets last time out and now faces a defense that averages 16.7 FPPG to opposing tight ends.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/19/19): MLB DFS Lineups

The ALCS remains alive thanks to a first-innings explosion from the Yankees offense against Justin Verlander last night. Now the teams head back to Houston for Game 6 as the Astros look to clinch the series without having to put their other ace, Gerrit Cole, on the mound again.

This game could be very entertaining. Both teams rotations have been stretched to breaking point and we are now going to see the weakest part of the units for both sides. That should make a fun, offense-laden game as the Yankees look to keep the series alive in Houston for at least one more day.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/19/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Captain Selection

Gary Sanchez, NYY (@ HOU) - $10,800

The strategy here is to save some cash at the captain spot and then load the lineup with upside in the flex. That left two options with good numbers against the opposing handed pitcher. Brett Gardner has solid numbers against right-handed pitchers, but I am going to go for Gary Sanchez to break his slump against the worst pitcher he has faced in this series. Against righties, Sanchez has a .243 batting average, a strikeout rate 11% lower than against lefties, a .302 ISO, and a .357 wOBA.

 

DraftKings DFS Utility Selections

Alex Bregman, HOU (vs. NYY) - $10,800

Bregman has had a great season, but his numbers against lefties are extremely impressive. He has a .350 batting average, .393 ISO, .473 wOBA and a 205 wRC+. He will likely face right-handed pitcher Chad Green once, but in his second and third PA which should come against J.A. Happ will give him the chance to explode for your squad.

Jose Altuve, HOU (vs. NYY) - $10,200 

Altuve is another Astros hitter with super numbers against lefties. He had a .331 batting average, .346 ISO and a .429 wOBA. Again he will face Green the first time up, but his numbers against righties are solid enough that he could even add points there as well.

Carlos Correa, HOU (vs. NYY) - $8,400

Correa has solid numbers against pitchers of both hands, but he should be one of the first to see Happ on the mound, so his numbers against lefties are worth a look. He has a .308 batting average, .405 wOBA and 160 wRC+ against lefties. His only slight downside against lefties is his .231 ISO, which is lower than against righties, but still a very positive number for a hitter who had 10 home runs in 107 PA in the second half of the season and has two home runs already in the postseason.

Robinson Chirinos, HOU (@ NYY) - $5,000

I have used Chirinos a lot in these playoffs because he has a solid amount of upside. However, he also has some safety against lefties, with a .274 batting average and a .389 wOBA. Additionally, he has also been better at home this season, with a .273 batting average, .256 ISO and a .383 wOBA.

Jake Marisnick, HOU (vs. NYY) - $4,400

Marisnick is my compromise to load the top part of my order. He has hit .333 in these playoffs and has a .301 wOBA and a .196 ISO against lef-handed pitchers this season. Anything you get from Marisnick is a bonus, but it allows you to load up on the big Astro bats further up the price range.

 

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/17/19): MLB DFS Lineups

Another Thursday, another single-game showdown for us to contemplate. In fact, from here on in every DFS contest for baseball will be a single-game affair. With the early completion of the NLCS we have seen the end of multiple baseball games a day for the 2019 season. However, with a blockbuster ALCS to conclude, let's take a look at our Thursday options as the Houston Astros and New York Yankees square off.

The total in this game is set at 8.5, with the Yankees as favorites. That would suggest that Masahiro Tanaka is in play as the Yankees pitcher. However, with the weather expected to be blowing hard out from the plate, this might be a time where you go without a single pitcher in your showdown lineup.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/17/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Captain Selection

Aaron Judge, NYY (vs. HOU) - $13,500

There were plenty of options for this spot, but I settled for Judge, who has had a solid series to date through his first three games. He is also hitting .294 with a .225 ISO at home, as well as having a .251 ISO and .354 wOBA against right-handed pitchers. His season-long numbers against lefties are actually better so he will be a tough guy for the Astros to neutralize with their bullpen.

 

DraftKings DFS Utility Selections

Gleyber Torres, NYY (vs. HOU) - $9,400

The young talented shortstop has solid numbers against both right- and left-handed pitchers. His .276 batting average, .256 ISO and .352 wOBA combined with 29 home runs when facing right-handed pitchers make him an easy selection in this one. Again another hitter who the Astros will struggle to neutralize through matchups.

Yuli Gurriel, HOU (@ NYY) - $7,600 

Gurriel's numbers against right-handed pitchers are pretty eye-watering. In 435 PA he has a .320 batting average, .244 ISO and a .376 wOBA. His numbers against lefties power-wise are solid enough to prevent him from being a complete dud if the Yankees match lefties against him later in the game.

Michael Brantley, HOU (@ NYY) - $7,400

With 19 of his 22 home runs coming off righties to go with a .323 batting average against them Brantley is a solid play in this one. His .226 ISO and .385 wOBA suggest at this being both a solid floor play as well as offering some upside.

Brett Gardner, NYY (vs. HOU) - $7,000

His overall numbers are not that pretty, but Gardner has been hitting third in the lineup and has solid numbers when righties are on the mound. His .265 batting average coupled with a .281 ISO and a .368 wOBA are nice numbers for this price.

Robinson Chirinos, HOU (@ NYY) - $5,000

A complete gamble on power here. Chirinos has 14 of his 17 home runs off right-handed pitchers, giving him a .260 ISO. His .227 batting average and .318 wOBA offer a low floor, but at this price, it is about playing for upside, so you can stack better hitters in other spots.

 

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Week 6 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Between the bye weeks and the early kickoff in London between the Buccaneers and Panthers we have just 20-teams in action on our main slate this week. However, even on a smaller slate than the last few weeks we should still have plenty of options for our value plays in cash game lineups.

An interesting week totals wise sees six of the 10 games having a total over 45, with just two below the 40-point mark. Having over half the games sit above 45 points should offer us plenty of options this week. However, it is actually a game sitting in the 40-to-45 point mark that is our most popular game for this article.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 6 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Gardner Minshew, JAX vs. NO| DK: $5,000, FD: $7,500

Despite a couple of impressive performances recently the Saints Defense has actually had its problems against the quarterback this season, allowing an average of 24.5 FPPG so far through five weeks. Minshew is a solid play, having never had less than 16 fantasy points in any game this season, and reaching the heights of the high-20s last week. His groin injury is certainly worth watching heading into Sunday, and if it is a problem I have a nice easy pivot for you at exactly the same price.

Case Keenum, WSH @ MIA | DK: $5,000, FD: $7,200

Case Keenum was not good the last we saw him, there is no denying that. However, he was banged up and without his number one threat in the form of Terry McLaurin. He will have McLaurin back in this one and will be facing a defense that allows an average of 27 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks. It has been a weird season for Keenum so far, but the Redskins quarterback can put up a lot of points quickly if he gets rolling. This game should be close and has the potential to be high-scoring.

 

Week 6 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Adrian Peterson, WSH @ MIA | DK: $4,500, FD: $6,200

You are going to notice that this is a game I am targeting a lot this week because the two defenses are as bad as they come. The Dolphins run defense has been a mess, allowing over 20 FPPG on average to number one backs and 40 FPPG in total to opposing running backs. Peterson has been disappointing so far, but this is his week to get going. He received double-digit carries in Week 2-through-4 as the lead back, and if he gets that in this matchup then you could see a nice return for your team.

Kenyan Drake, MIA vs. WSH | DK: $4,400, FD: $5,700

This is somewhat put up or shut up week for Kenyan Drake in terms of the lead back in this offense. The Redskins Defense has allowed an average of 17.6 FPPG to opposing running backs, which is fine, but it is also certainly a situation to attack. The game scripts this season have not been good for Drake, but this game should be closer than some of the Dolphins other games, which means we could see Drake get double-digit carries for just the second time this season.

Carlos Hyde, HOU @ KC | DK: $4,400 FD: $5,900

The way to beat this Chiefs team is control the clock and beat them using your offense in a methodical method. The Texans will know this after last week and that is where Hyde can play a role. The Chiefs allow an average of just over 20 FPPG to opposing number one backs,

 

Week 6 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Dede Westbrook, JAX vs. NO | DK: $5,100, FD: $5,800

Now this play could defend on Minshew but right now Westbrook is an easy selection for me in all DFS format. With Marshon Lattimore likely to be shadowing DJ Chark, Westbrook should be left to face up with PJ Williams out of the slot. The slot has been a massive weakness for the Saints this season, as they have allowed 21.5 FPPG to receivers out of the slot this season. Westbrook is a huge part of this offense, and should be able to bring home a big day for your team if Minshew is active.

Auden Tate, CIN @ BAL | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,500

Tate just about did the business last week for us thanks to his touchdown catch, and now he will get the chance to go again. I am expecting the Bengals to be chasing this game in the second half and the Ravens Defense is pretty mediocre on the back end. WR2's have averaged just over 13 FPPG against the Ravens this season, and Tate should be in line for some red-zone targets this week to try and take advantage of that.

Preston Williams, MIA vs. WSH | DK: $4,100, FD: $5,300

Let's go back to the fight for the bottom in Miami. I have spoken before about the Josh Rosen to Williams connection and it has been evident whenever Rosen has been in the game. Williams has seen 19 targets across the last two weeks and should get close to double-digits once again in this game. Washington allows an average of 18.6 FPPG to the top-two receivers on the opposing team, making both Williams and Devante Parker potential plays in this game.

 

Week 6 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Jared Cook, NO @ JAX | DK: $3,400, FD: $5,300

Cook is finally starting to come good for me and despite a bad matchup I am rolling with him again this week. 12 targets and a touchdown across the last two games has me believing that Cook is now a featured part of this offense and until I see otherwise I am rolling with Cook as much as I can.

Noah Fant, DEN vs. TEN | DK: $2,900, FD: $4,600

Seemingly the way to attack this Tennessee defense is the tight end position. Enter Noah Fant. Facing a team allowing an average of 15.6 FPPG to opposing tight ends, Fant is an absolute bargain at this price. His target share has been inconsistent this season, but this game should be one where the Broncos get him going, especially given how good the Titans are against backs and receivers this season.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/12/19): MLB DFS Lineups

We are back on a two-game day with both Championship Series contests taking to the field today. The Nationals will be looking to drive a stake into the Cardinals chances by moving to 2-0. Meanwhile, the Yankees will be hoping to take advantage of not having to face Justin Verlander or Gerrit Cole in Game 1 of the series.

The Astros and Nationals are the favorites in this one, with both sitting around the -150 region. However, the real intrigue lies in the totals, with the New York and Houston game sitting on a total around nine, while the Washington and St. Louis game has a total of seven.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/12/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Max Scherzer, WSH (@ STL) - $10,200

Since giving up those three runs early in the wildcard Scherzer has pulled it back with 12 innings in which he has surrendered just one earned run. No one else on the slate offers the upside he does, and the St. Louis offense is not one to be scared of in the same way the Yankees and Astros offense should be somewhat feared.

Adam Wainwright, STL (vs. WSH) - $6,200 

Wainwright was incredible last time out against the Braves. That was the first time he had thrown a scoreless outing in the postseason so I am not counting on it again here. However, at the cheapest price, I think he has a safer floor than either Zack Greinke or Masahiro Tanaka, and therefore the perfect partner for Scherzer's upside in what should be a low scoring contest.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

C - Gary Sanchez, NYY (@ HOU) - $4,000

I had the money so I paid for the top catcher on the slate in Sanchez. With 27 of his 34 home runs off right-handed pitchers, while hitting .243, he has a .302 ISO and a .357 wOBA.

1B - Yuli Gurriel, NYY (@ HOU) - $4,100 

Gurriel is coming off a second-half in which he hit .326 with 17 of his 31 home runs. He dominates against right-handed pitchers, with a .32o batting average, 24 home runs, a .244 ISO and a .376 wOBA.

2B - Howie Kendrick, WSH (@ STL) - $4,300 

Kendrick has just had a solid season, hitting over .300 against both right- and left-handed pitchers. Against righties, he has a .327 batting average, .221 ISO and a .385 wOBA.

3B - Gio Urshela, NYY (@ HOU) - $3,700

Urshela has resurrected his career this season in New York. Against right-handed pitchers, he has hit .320, with a .210 ISO and a .373 wOBA. 13 of his 21 home runs have come off of righties, and 13 have also come on the road.

SS - Gleyber Torres, NYY (@ HOU) - $4,400

Another Yankees hitter with good numbers against right-handed pitchers, as Torres has hit 29 of his 38 home runs off righties. He also has a .276 batting average, with a .256 ISO and a .352 wOBA.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

George Springer, HOU (vs. NYY) - $4,900

Springer finished the season hitting 10 home runs since the beginning of September. He also has good numbers against right-handed pitchers, with a .299 batting average, .322 ISO and a .407 wOBA.

Aaron Judge, NYY (@ HOU) - $4,400

Judge actually has better numbers against left-handed pitchers this season, but he still has a 121 wRC+ against righties. His .247 batting average means he has a low ceiling, but his .251 ISO and .354 wOBA demonstrate that if he gets it right he could give your team a huge boost.

Giancarlo Stanton, NYY (@ HOU) - $3,900

We do not really have any form to go with for Stanton as he did not play in the regular season. His career numbers are better against lefties, but he still has a career 134 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. With a career .261 ISO against righties, it is hard not to throw him at this price.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/10/19): MLB DFS Lineups

Thursday brings us a one-game slate between the Houston Astros and the Tampa Bay Rays. Therefore, for the first time this season we will be pivoting with this article and looking at some showdown game style options. For those unfamiliar with the showdown game mode, you select a roster of six players, with of those players being your "captain". The "captain" earns you 1.5x the fantasy points but also costs 1.5 times their standard salary.

The Astros are heavy favorites in this one, and with the projected total sitting around seven leaning on pitching might be the way in this lineup style.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/10/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Captain Selection

George Springer, HOU (vs TB) - $13,500

Springer has amazing numbers against right-handed pitchers this season, with a .299 batting average, 31 home runs, .322 ISO and a .407 wOBA. Getting him as the fourth most expensive hitter feels like a bargain and I am going to take full advantage.

 

DraftKings DFS Utility Selections

Gerrit Cole, HOU (vs. TB) - $12,000

I just could not work out how an $18,000 price for Cole as the captain works. therefore, I am going to name him as a utility, hope to lock in those 30 points a game he averages and then rely on a slightly cheaper captain to top me up. Cole is a stud and my feeling is that he returns you solid value even if Houston lose this game.

Austin Meadows, TB (@ HOU) - $8,400 

Meadows is my second captain choice tonight as he has a nice numbers against right-handed pitchers as well. So far this season he has a .298 batting average, 24 home runs, .278 ISO and a .394 wOBA. Using Meadows as your captain opens up the chance to be more flexible with other options, but Springer against Glasnow is a safer bet than anyone against Cole.

Ji-Man Choi, TB (@ HOU) - $7,400

Choi against righties is worth a gamble, with his .274 batting average, a7 home runs, .219 ISO and .364 wOBA

Willy Adames, TB (@ HOU) - $6,000

Adames has nice numbers in 2019 against right-handed pitchers, with a .292 batting average and a .347 wOBA. His ISO is lacking at .166 but this game has a feeling of being small ball about it and Adames could be an interesting factor.

Joey Wendle, TB (@ HOU) - $4,400

Wendle has started two games in this series and has solid if unspectacular numbers against right-handed pitching. His .261 batting average and .306 wOBA are a solid floor, even if his .136 ISO is underwhelming. At this price, he can contribute and that is all you can ask for less than $5,000

 

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/5/19): MLB DFS Lineups

Another two-game slate for us today, with the NL having their first mid-series break. That leaves us with the four AL teams to choose from, as the Houston Astros host the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees host the Minnesota Twins.

The two home teams are reasonably big favorites in this one, but the intrigue for the slate comes in the totals. The total in Houston is just 7.5, compared to 9.5 in the game in New York.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/5/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Gerrit Cole, HOU (vs. TB) - $10,800

Cole has been incredible this season and has taken it to another level in the second half. Since the All-Star Break, he has a 1.79 ERA, .160 batting average against and 156 strikeouts in 95 2/3 innings. In total this season he has 326 strikeouts in 212 1/3 innings. This is the easiest call of this entire slate.

Blake Snell, TB (@ HOU) - $7,500 

This is where it gets difficult because with just four pitchers there is not a lot to work with. You can rule Dobnak out almost immediately, and Masahiro Tanaka has been so up and down this season. Therefore, I am going to take a risk and throw Blake Snell into the lineup. The Rays desperately need this game. They had some success against Cole earlier in the year, and if they lose this one they then have to win a game against Justin Verlander. Therefore, I think we see Snell go five or so innings deep, and with that should come some strikeouts and good performance. Since returning from injury he has struck out 11 in just six innings but has also had some issues with walks. In GPP this is the play, but in cash I might go for the slight safety of Tanaka, especially with some pitcher-friendly weather in New York.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

C - Jason Castro, MIN (@ NYY) - $3,400

My general philosophy is going to be, take the cheapest Twins or Yankees hitter if noone springs off the page as a must-have. That is the case here, although Castro does have solid numbers against right-handed hitters, with a .254 batting average, 13 home runs, .244 ISO and a .358 wOBA.

1B - C.J. Cron, MIN (@ NYY) - $3,700 

This is a case of I really do not like this position and I am just looking for value. Cron's only real redeeming feature here is that he a .275 batting average, .245 ISO and a .354 wOBA on the road. His numbers are pretty poor against right-handed hitters, but I just want to save cash here to load up on the expensive pitching.

2B - Gleybar Torres, NYY (vs. MIN) - $4,000 

Torres has fantastic numbers against both handed pitchers and that is important in the playoffs, where teas mix and match pitchers regularly. Against right-handed pitchers, which opposing starter Randy Dobnak is, he has a .256 ISO and a .352 wOBA.

3B - Alex Bregman, HOU (vs. TB) - $4,800

Bregman has incredible numbers against left-handed pitchers this season with a .350 batting average, .393 ISO and a .473 wOBA.

SS - Jorge Polanco, MIN (@ NYY) - $4,100

This is a nice combination for Polanco, who has been better at home and against right-handed pitchers this season. On the road against righties, he has a .326 batting average, .259 ISO and a .400 wOBA.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Eddie Rosario, MIN (@ NYY) - $4,500

Rosario has had a solid season all around, and this price feels like a bargain. Against right-handed pitchers, he has a .274 batting average, .244 ISO, and a .331 wOBA.

Brett Gardner, NYY (vs. MIN) - $4,200

All of the good things Gardner has done this season has been against right-handed pitchers. Against righties, he has a .265 batting average. .281 ISO and a .368 wOBA.

Jake Marisnick, HOU (vs. TB) - $3,000

This is the key to my strategy in playing both the pitchers in Houston and Tampa Bay game. If MArisnick is in the lineup then $3,000 is a great price even if he does not score more than a point or two. Marisnick has a .196 ISO and a .301 wOBA against left-handed pitchers. Not great, but frankly we are just looking for anything from him at this price.

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Week 5 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Week 5 brings a fresh new look to the NFL as the games head to London for the first time. The good news is that the game remains in the 1 pm window and therefore ensures we have a nice juicy 12-game slate for our perusal. However, with the Lions on the bye this week we lose some interesting names, and with the Dolphins also getting a week off we also lose a great option to pick against.

This week is another fasciating week total wise. We do not have a single game projected to be in the 50s, but we have six games over the 45-point mark. However, we also have a couple of games projected to be low scoring, including the Titans and Bills, which has a projected line of just 38. You will not be finding many picks from that game in this article!

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 5 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 5 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Andy Dalton, CIN vs. ARI | DK: $5,700, FD: $7,500

Never has a game between two 0-4 teams had the potential to be such a much watch game of football. Both the Bengals and Cardinals have issues defensively, and that could lead to a lot of points, and a lot of back-and-forths. The Cardinals Defense is allowing over 25 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks and Dalton could be in a position to take advantage in this one. Usually, we are looking for volume here, but this time I can see Dalton having success even if he only throws the ball 25 times. The Cardinals defensive backs are a complete mess, with ther original top-two cornerbacks currently suspended and injured respectively.

Teddy Bridgewater, NO vs. TB | DK: $5,200, FD: $7,200

Ok, so Bridgewater has not been very good this season since taking over from Drew Brees, but you could argue the Saints have not really needed to force him to make plays. The Seahawks game was a situation where the Sants got up big, and the Cowboys game they really controlled the script and never needed to open up the offense. The Buccaneers are likely to pose a VERY different challenge. This Buccaneers team is fresh off hanging 55 points on the defending champion LA Rams, and their offense is not going to sit back. That is going to force the Saints and Bridgewater to let off the shackles and open up the passing game a little more. This could be a bargain price for a QB with the potential to be involved in a shootout facing a defense which has allowed close to 20 fantasy points a game to opposing QBs, while limiting the threat from some very good opposing running games. Brdgewater is going to need to be good to win this game, and he could be throwing 40 or perhaps even 50 times this season.

 

Week 5 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Devonta Freeman, ATL @ HOU | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,200

This game has desperation written all over it for the Falcons, and it those situation teams tend to ride their trusted options. Freeman is exactly that, despite his struggles this season. The Texans have struggled against opposing number one backs, allowing over 20 points per game on average. Freeman demonstrated with his 88 yards against Indianapolis that given the right situation he can make an impact. Look for Freeman to be a big part of the game plan for the desperate Falcons this week, and perhaps he can even find the end zone for the first time.

David Montgomery, CHI @ OAK (London) | DK: $5,200, FD: $5,700

This game has the makings of a wet low-scoring game of football in London, and that is the perfect situation to fire up Montgomery. Since the diabolical first game of the season, Montgomery has seen double-digit carries in each of his last three starts. Additionally, he is also averaging 3.66 targets per game over the last three games, so he should be in line for 15-20 touches. London games have had a trend of being grind-it-out type affairs and with the weather set to be rainy this weekend, this could be a game where the Bears look to control it on the ground. In that type of game Montgomery can even have value if he is not hugely efficient with his touches.

Ronald Jones II, TB @ NO | DK: $4,600 FD: $5,900

Yes, the Saints shut down Ezekiel Elliott last week. Yes, Eliott is a better running back than Jones. However, the difference here is that with the superb receiving weapons the Buccaneers have, the Saints will not be able to key on the run as much, and this should open up some holes for Jones. Jones has seen double-digit touches in three of the four games this season and should be in line for that again. Last week he sprung a handful of big plays which were called back for penalties but demonstrated just how effective he can be with the ball in his hands.

 

Week 5 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Larry Fitzgerald, ARI @ CIN | DK: $6,000, FD: $5,800

Ok, so maybe this is a little more expensive than you might want for a value play, but make no mistake Fitzgerald is absolutely a value play. Fitzgerald has scored double-digit fantasy points in three of the four games this season, found the end zone twice, and averages an impressive nine targets per game on the season. This game has the potential to be a shootout and the Bengals are allowing 13.3 points per game to WR1's and 14.5 FPPG to receivers out of the slot.

Curtis Samuel, CAR vs. JAX | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,500

Samuel is coming off a down game in Houston but has rea bounce back potential in this one. Samuel has averaged nine targets per game over his last three starts, which means he will always have the chance to put up numbers. The Jaguars have bee susceptible to number one receivers at times this season, allowing 22.6 FPPG to them. You could argue that Samuel is not the number one, but he certainly sees enough targets to be considered the number one, and at this price that safety in the target numbers is worth the gamble.

Auden Tate, CIN vs. ARI | DK: $3,500, FD: $5,300

Tate has seen 16 targets in the last two weeks, and with John Ross on the injured reserve that could increase this week. I spoke about how I think this game could be a shootout with both Dalton and Fitzgerald, and Tate has the potential to be a massive value, especially if the Cardinals try to double-team Tyler Boyd out of the game.

 

Week 5 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Jared Cook, NO vs. TB | DK: $3,400, FD: $5,300

There have been some promising signs that Cook is becoming a bigger part of this offense, having seen seven targets in Week 2 and another six in Week 4. The Buccaneers have given up 18.8 FPPG against opposing tight ends this season and let Gerald Everett have a solid week for the Rams last week. This game could be a shootout and Cook has a great chance to see 6-to-10 targets, as well as potential to find the end zone.

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. ARI | DK: $3,300, FD: $4,600

It has not been a great start to the season for Eifert this year, but that could all change this week. Every single week this season we have seen a tight end have a big week against the Cardinals. Number one tight ends have averaged over 25 FPPG against this Cardinals defense, and this price for Eifert is far too good to pass up.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (10/3/19): MLB DFS Lineups

After a season of looking of five or more game slates, we have the fun of a two-game slate to try and pick from. Today it is the turn of the National League, with the Los Angeles Dodgers hosting the Washington Nationals after the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals do battle in the afternoon.

The Dodgers and Braves are both home favorites as you would expect, with the Dodgers the bigger favorite at -170. In terms of totals, the higher projected line is in Atlanta, with the line set at nine, compared to a line of just seven in the game in LA.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/3/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Patrick Corbin, WSH (@ LAD) - $8,800

Essentially this broke down as either Corbin or Buehler as my number one, and the recent form was what swayed it. Buehler has been taken for 10 earned runs in his last two road start, whereas, Corbin has been solid throughout the second half, with his blips having tended to come at home recently. Corbin has a ton of upside with 238 strikeouts in 202 innings, so he has the ceiling to get up over the 20-point mark for your team in this one.

Miles Mikolas, STL (@ ATL) - $5,500 

The option for number two really came down to recent form. After a rough time in August, Mikolas has rebounded with a 3.34 ERA in September, Additionally, he has upped his strikeout performance across the last two months with 54 strikeouts in 58 innings. His success is polar opposite to the other cheaper option on this slate in Dallas Keuchel, so with the flash of a potential ceiling with the strikeouts in the last couple of months he becomes an easy pick for me on his current form.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

C - Tyler Flowers/Brian McCann, ATL (vs. STL) - $3,500/3,400

I am happy using either of the two Braves pitchers in this one, but my preference would be for Flowers, who has a .262 batting average and has hit 10 of his 11 home runs off right-handed pitchers. This season, he has a .345 wOBA and a .214 ISO against righties, as well as a solid .201 ISO in games at home this season. McCann is a solid fall back, having hit all 12 of his home runs off of right-handed pitchers, but his floor is lower, with a .324 wOBA.

1B - Paul Goldschmidt, STL (@ ATL) - $4,500 

It has not been the extreme Goldschmidt season we have been used to in the past, but his numbers against left-handed pitchers have still been solid. In 2019, he has hit .269 batting average, .298 ISO and a .395 wOBA. Dallas Keuchel has been a little bit vulnerable in recent starts, and Goldschmidt is a nice price to take advantage of it.

2B - Howie Kendrick, WSH (@ LAD) - $4,000 

I really like this price with Kendrick, despite the fact he is better against left-handed pitchers than righties. Even so, he has a .327 batting average, 11 home runs, a .221 ISO and a .385 wOBA when facing righties.

3B - Justin Turner, LAD (vs WSH) - $3,900

Turner really picked it up power wise in the second half, with 17 of his 27 home runs coming after the All-Star Break. He has been solid this season against both hands but has an impressive .294 ISO and .385 wOBA against left-handed pitchers.

SS - Trea Turner, WSH (@ LAD) - $4,700

The shortstop market is not very strong on this slate and therefore, I am biting the bullet and paying up for Turner, who has solid numbers against pitchers of both hands. Against right-handed pitchers he has been really impressive, he has a .292 batting average, .220 ISO and a .360 wOBA.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Cody Bellinger, LAD (vs. WSH) - $5,000

Bellinger has had a down second half, but he picked it back up in September with a .280 batting average. However, his season-long numbers have been impressive against pitchers of both hands and both at home and on the road. He has a .346 ISO at home and a .424 wOBA, as well as a .316 ISO against left-handed pitchers.

Marcell Ozuna, STL (@ATL) - $4,300

Using Ozuna in this situation is a play for upside at the risk of safety. Ozuna has struggled for consistency against left-handed pitchers, with a .217 batting average, but does bring a .265 ISO and a solid .310 wOBA to the table.

Jose Martinez, STL (@ ATL) - $3,900

After chancing my arm with Ozuna, I will go a little safer with Martinez, who has a .329 batting average against left-handed pitchers. He also has a nice power return, with a .271 ISO, .414 wOBA and a 160 wRC+, meaning he brings the best of both worlds to your team on this slate.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/28/19): MLB DFS Lineups

The final Saturday of the regular season is upon us! It does not feel that long ago that we were starting our DFS seasons, and now we onto my last regular-season article of 2019. To finish us off we were supposed to have a 10-game featured slate, but the schedule change with the White Sox and Tigers game has left it as a still reasonably big nine-game slate.

The Astros and Cardinals are the two biggest favorites on the slates, as both play meaningful games against opponents with nothing but pride to play for. Only the games in Texas and Colorado have a total over 10 today, but with the majority of hitters in those priced accordingly, we will mostly look to the collection of games projected to have around nine runs in them for the majority of our hitting options today

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/28/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Justin Verlander, HOU (@ LAA) - $12,800

If you can fit him in then don't overthink this. Verlander is averaging over 30 fantasy points per game in his last 10 outings and has only been below 20 points once in the last seven. The Angels have nothing to play for and Verlander is having his final tune-up ready for the playoffs next week. With a decent break before he next sees the mound there should be no reason he is pulled early either.

Steven Matz, NYM (vs. ATL) - $7,900 

It has been a couple of rough starts for Matz but he should be a solid option this time out. The Braves are easing into the playoffs with nothing left to play for and it should provide an opportunity for Matz to have another solid out. Prior to his last two starts, he had averaged 19.43 points in his previous four starts. If he can get back to that form then he could set you up for a really nice day at this price.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

C - Robinson Chirinos, HOU (@ LAA) - $4,200

With the White Sox Tigers game coming off the slate the catching options are either expensive or unexciting. I settled for a mid-priced Chirinos, who is hitting .270 this month and .262 in the second half. Chirinos has also hit .277 with a .390 wOBA against left-handed pitchers

1B - Matt Olson, OAK (@ SEA) - $4,100 

Olson is hitting .286 in the second half of the season and has a solid .261 ISO against left-handed hitters. He also has a very impressive .349 ISO on the road this year.

2B - Jose Altuve, HOU (@ LAA) - $4,700 

Altuve has rocked this year against left-handed pitchers, with a .320 batting average, .328 ISO and a .415 wOBA. He has also had a strong second half, hitting .320 with 20 home runs.

3B - Matt Chapman, OAK (@ SEA) - $4,000

With Chapman, it is all about power, as he has a .285 ISO against left-handed pitchers this season. Although those numbers are reinforced with a more than solid .349 wOBA and a 121 wRC+.

SS - Manny Machado, SD (@ ARI) - $3,800

Machado has not been good in general this season, but he has at least been solid against left-handed pitchers. Entering the penultimate day of the season he has a .315 batting average, .355 ISO and a ,436 wOBA.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Michael Conforto, NYM (vs. ATL) - $4,300

I like this matchup for Conforto, who has hit 27 of his 33 home runs off of right-handed hitters, has a .263 batting average, a .285 ISO and a .382 wOBA.

Austin Riley, ATL (@ NYM) - $3,900

I am hoping to see Riley back in the lineup today for a favorable matchup with left-handed pitcher Steven Matz. Riley has a .262 batting average, .385 ISO and a .382 wOBA when facing lefties this season.

Jose Martinez, STL (vs. CHC) - $3,800

Another player with good numbers against lefties this season is Martinez, who has a .329 batting average, with a .271 ISO and a .414 wOBA.

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Week 4 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Week 3 was a little bit calmer than the turbulence of Week 2. However, as always at this time of the season, we are still learning about the ever-changing landscape of the NFL and which players will feature in which roles. Now that we are into the bye weeks we have a slightly reduced 12-game slate, with the New York Jets and San Francisco 49ers getting an early week off.

For the large part, this has the makings of a high scoring week. We have three games on the slate with totals set at over or around 50. We then have another six over 45, before things quieten down a little in the 4:35 pm kickoffs. Those two matches combined have an average projected total of 38 points, and are, therefore, unlikely to provide s with two many DFS options this week.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 4 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Matthew Stafford, DET vs. KC | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,900

It has been a mixed season for Stafford so far, starting with a real high, before dropping each of the last two weeks. However, this game against the Chiefs is not going to be one that the Lions can win without a significant contribution from Stafford. The Chiefs offense should realistically hang 25-to-30 points up in this game and the Lions are going to need to go toe-to-toe with them. When Stafford has thrown this year he has been effective, ranking third in the league so far in aDOT. The Chiefs Defense has been stingier than I expected coming into the year, but Stafford has the weapons across the field to pick them apart and keep his team in this one.

Daniel Jones, NYG vs. WAS | DK: $5,300, FD: $7,300

What more can you say about Daniel Jones than what the stat line tells you; 336 yards, two passing touchdowns, and two rushing touchdowns. Now he faces a Redskins Defense allowing over 25 points per game to opposing quarterbacks and just made Mitchell Trubisky look good. The Redskins defense is nothing special, and importantly neither is the Giants Defense, which should see this game end up in a shootout much like last week. Jones will be hampered without Barkley, but he should still be able to put up points against a defense which has struggled every week so far.

 

Week 4 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Josh Jacobs, OAK @ IND | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,000

Jacobs usage has been somewhat frustrating the last two weeks, combining for just 22 carries the last two weeks after having 23 in the first week. However, he should find himself with a nice matchup against a Colts team that has been allowing an average of over 20 points to opposing number one backs. This game should not get out of hand as quickly as the Raiders game did last week, so hopefully, that means we will see more of Jacobs than 10 carries and two targets.

Wayne Gallman, NYG vs. WAS | DK: $4,600 FD: $5,800

With the departure of Barkley there are a lot of carries available in this offense this week. The Redskins have actually been pretty stingy against number one running backs, but the threat of Jones using his legs could open things up for Gallman. I am not expecting a high point per touch ratio from Gallman, but there is a very real chance he could see 15-to-20 touches and at this price that would offer a great opportunity for ROI in cash games.

Chris Thompson, WAS @ NYG | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,300

Thompson will be one of my regular options in this column, as I rarely expect his price to be inflated on either site, unless he suddenly explodes. The Giants are among the worst in the league when it comes allowing points to the number two backs. Thompson has seen an average of 10 touches per game so far this season, and those opportunities at this price are hard to find elsewhere.

 

Week 4 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

D.K. Metcalf, SEA @ ARI | DK: $4,800, FD: $6,100

As it turns out Metcalf can do a lot more than just run in straight lines. The rookie receiver has been an instrumental part of this Seahawks offense so far, seeing at least six touches in each of the three games so far. He has yet to see less than 60 yards receiving in any game and has made some impressive catches, which should boost Wilson's trust in him and mean he sees even more balls. The Cardinals have a woeful secondary and if the Seahawks continue to give Metcalf this many targets then look for him to have a monster day in the desert.

Terry McLaurin, WAS @ NYG | DK: $4,500, FD: $6,300

The injury news for McLaurin does put a slight spanner in the works here but with this being an early kickoff you should get time to pivot your lineup. McLaurin has been superb so far, averaging eight targets, 5.33 receptions and 85.6 yards per game. Additionally, he has found the end zone in all three games of his career so far. This week he gets an amazing matchup against a Giants secondary allowing a league-high 56.4 fantasy points to opposing wide receiver groups. If McLaurin is on the field he is the main threat in this offense and at this price you would be daft not to snap him up.

Preston Williams, MIA vs. LAC | DK: $3,900, FD: $5,200

The Williams and Josh Rosen connection has some deep roots and both will be hoping that can lead to them prospering this weekend. In his first game as the Dolphins starter, Rosen targetted Williams 12 times, giving him an impressive 31% target share. Williams still has some work to do on catching the ball, but the volume should be there and we saw in the preseason he has the talent to turn opportunity into production.

 

Week 4 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Trey Burton, CHI vs. MIN | DK: $3,800, FD: $4,900

Tight end value is pretty grim on this slate but Burton's matchup does offer potential. The Vikings have been allowing an average of 15.6 fantasy points to opposing tight ends, and the Bears passing attack may find that the best route to make inroads against a very good defense. You would like to see more than an average of 3.5 targets per game for Burton through the first two games he has played but given his injury they may just have been easing him in. This could be a big test of whether Burton can have any fantasy value this season. However, the best value on this slate on both sites may well lie with the man below, even if he is not as big of a value on FanDuel as he is on DraftKings.

Will Dissly, SEA @ ARI | DK: $3,600, FD: $5,400

It is hard to find much to be down about with Dissly this week. He comes into it off the back of 12 receptions, 112 yards and three touchdowns in the last two weeks. Now he draws a matchup with a defense which has allowed a league-high 27.3 fantasy points to opposing tight end ones. With Nick Vannett being traded, Dissly is the only show in town and should be in line for a big week.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/26/19): MLB DFS Lineups

The final Thursday is a weird day with a split-slate actually favoring the early slate in terms of the number of games. However, the focus for us here will be on the late slate, where we will be hoping for some entertainment despite not many playoff scenarios in play on the slate.

The Mets, Astros and the Athletics are the favorites on this slate by some distance, with all three having a line better than -200. The Indians are also dead on -200 and the Cubs are -177 so we have reasonably big favorites at this stage. Strangely we do not have a single game on this slate with a total of 10 or above. Four of the five games sit between 9-and-9.5 with the Mets and Marlins sitting in the region of 7.5 runs.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/26/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Sean Manaea, OAK (@ SEA) - $10,400

Here are the returns from Manaea so far since his return from injury; 18.9, 35.4, 26.5, 16.0. Those are some nice returns for both fantasy players and the Athletics, and this start could be up there among the best. The Mariners were nearly no-hit for the third time in a season last night by Zack Greinke and they were shutout for the second straight game. This offense that was at one point feared by opposition pitchers is going out with a whimper, and against a pitcher in the form of Manaea, this could be a really impressive day.

Aaron Civale, CLE (@ CWS) - $9,600 

If you can get Civale in your roster today then I would. The pitching options outside of Jose Quintana do not excite and Civale has offered decent floor and upside. Today he faces the White Sox, who have been hit or miss offensively in conditions which should benefit pitching. The only downside here is that Civale is unlikely to get you a massive three-times ROI, so if you want to take a gamble on someone like Felix Hernandez in GPP that is definitely in play.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

C - Roberto Perez, CLE (@ CWS) - $3,600

While the weather has a lean to the pitchers and Dylan Cease has been better recently there is still reason to chase a couple of Indians hitters in this one. Against left-handed pitchers, Roberto Perez has been solid, with a .266 batting average, nine home runs, .242 ISO and a .363 wOBA.

1B - Albert Pujols, LAA (vs. HOU) - $4,000 

Wade Miley has been struggling a lot recently and the Angels could take advantage of this today. When facing left-handed pitchers Pujols has 11 of his 23 home runs with a .262 batting average, .256 ISO and a .340 wOBA.

2B - Jose Altuve, HOU (@ LAA) - $4,800 

This was a tough position to pick today as no one really stood out. Therefore, I went with Mr. Trustworthy who has five home runs in September, with 20 and a .325 batting average in the second half. He has been worse against right-handed pitchers but he still has a .288 batting average, .219 ISO and a .326 wOBA.

3B - Matt Chapman, OAK (@ SEA) - $4,100

I just have this feeling we might see a Felix Hernandez special today in Seattle in what could be his last ever game as a Mariner. However, Chapman has a .253 batting average, 24 home runs, .352 wOBA, and a .246 ISO.

SS - Francisco Lindor, CLE (@ CWS) - $4,600

Another tough position today so I have gone for someone I just trust in the form of Lindor. Against right-handed pitchers, he has a .298 batting average, 23 home runs, .359 wOBA, and .258 ISO this season.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Michael Conforto, NYM (vs. MIA) - $4,600

The Mets season is all but done but you can bet they will want to finish with a bang tonight in their final home game of the season. Conforto has 17 home runs and a .275 batting average in the second half, as well as a .265 batting average, with a .287 ISO, and a .384 wOBA against right-handed pitchers this season.

Kole Calhoun, LAA (vs. HOU) - $4,300

Power is one thing you see regularly from Calhoun and he has a .215 ISO this season against left-handed pitchers. His numbers are not great but this is a pick against Wade Miley as much as anything.

Jason Heyward, CHC (@ PIT) - $3,900

There is not a lot to be excited about with Heyward, but he can offer a solid value play, especially against right-handed pitchers. This season, 19 of his 21 home runs have come off of right-handed pitchers, with 13-of-21 coming on the road. Against right-handed pitchers, he has a .202 ISO and a .350 wOBA this season.

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Week 3 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Week 2 was a struggle for many DFS players as things got wild and surprises sprung from all directions. However, we are now onto a new week and new hope. For those of you playing cash games hopefully, you had enough to get out of the week with a little profit, even if those GPP games were a struggle.

This week we once again have a 13 game slate, with the bye weeks not yet here. The headliner is the game in Kansas City with a total in the 52 region. However, with bad weather potential in that game and the players priced reasonably high, it is not a game you will see feature below. The rest of the games have an even spread of totals in the 40s and should provide plenty of opportunities to find some value.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 3 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 3 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Matthew Stafford, DET @ PHI | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,900

Matt Stafford has not set the world alight this season, but I really like this matchup for him. The Philadelphia defense gave up 380 yards and three touchdowns to Case Keenum in Week 1 and 320 yards and six touchdowns to Matt Ryan in Week 2. While they have a solid front seven they have a real weakness in the secondary, and quarterbacks and receivers have taken full advantage. The Eagles offense should be able to put up 20 or so points in this one so expect Stafford to be throwing plenty to try and keep up. As Stafford is the cheaper of the two on FanDuel he is the easy selection on that site.

Kirk Cousins, MIN vs. OAK | DK: $5,100, FD: $7,200

Trusting Cousins is not something you will find me doing often. However, he is facing a defense who has given up plenty of yards to opposing quarterbacks this season. In fact, where this Raiders Defense has had success has been against running games. The run game has been the main part of the Vikings offense so far this season and if they are blunted then Cousins will need to throw against a team who gave up 443 yards and four touchdowns last season. Yes, that was Patrick Mahomes, but that Raiders secondary is struggling for talent right now, and even Cousins should be able to pick them apart.

 

Week 3 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Devonta Freeman, ATL @ IND | DK: $4,900, FD: $6,200

I am largely off the Freeman train but his value has now dipped so low he is worth a play in both cash and GPP. My expectation is that many people will be put off by his ugly start and this could be a zig when everyone else zags moment. He is still the lead back in that offense and they need him to fire so everything can feed off him. Austin Ekeler had a field day against the Colts and Freeman needs to produce similar results or he will start losing more time.

Carlos Hyde, HOU @ LAC | DK: $4,500 FD: $6,000

This was a toss-up between Hyde and Frank Gore in this spot. However, I have been so impressed with how fast Hyde has looked this season. After looking a little slow and indecisive last year he is now hitting the holes with purpose. Hyde has seen 30 carries through two weeks and is averaging an impressive 5.8 yards per carry. His upside is limited it limited as he has just one target through two games, but he is facing a Chargers Defense who was gashed by Marlon Mack in Week 1. They bounced back against the Lions in Week 2, but still allowed 71 yards on 17 carries from Kerryon Johnson and Ty Johnson.

Miles Sanders, PHI vs. DET | DK: $3,900, FD: $5,400

The fantasy community is well and truly out on the Eagles rookie running back now, which has presented a value opportunity. Sanders leads the Eagles in carries with 21, and despite struggling in week 1, still saw 10 carries and four targets in their Week 2 game. The only risk here is that he loses more time to the more productive backs so far in the form of Jordan Howard and Darren Sproles. However, the Eagles seem committed to opening the game with Sanders and until we hear otherwise this price is a solid value.

 

Week 3 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Mike Williams, LAC vs. HOU | DK: $4,900, FD: $6,100

Williams came into the game banged up last week and still had 83 receiving yards on five targets. He even saw a couple of red-zone targets and should once again be the main red-zone threat for the Chargers. Now fully healthy he is the clear number two receiver behind Keenan Allen and should see his numbers rise now that he is back to full health.

Emmanuel Sanders, DEN @ GB | DK: $4,800, FD: $5,700

It is close to impossible to find a reason not to pick Sanders this week. Through two games he has 16 receptions, 184 yards, and two touchdowns. He has caught 80% of his 20 targets and has quickly proven to be Flacco's most trusted weapon. He will be facing a tough pass defense in the form of the Packers but the veteran receiver should be able to make plenty of positive plays and could be in line for five or more receptions.

Nelson Agholor, PHI vs. DET | DK: $3,600, FD: $4,800

The Eagles offense is banged up all over the place. Even if some of the receivers and tight ends suit up they will likely be limited. Perhaps the only fit and healthy Eagle right now is Agholor, who is coming off the back of an 11 target game in Week 2. I am really not sure who else the Eagles are going to have regularly this week, and with Detroit looking stout against the run last week, I expect to see the Eagles go to the air plenty.

 

Week 3 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Greg Olsen, CAR @ ARI | DK: $3,800, FD: $6,100

Wel Olsen made us all look stupid benching him because of his injury concern last week. Obviously there is a concern with Kyle Allen coming in for Cam Newton, but right now is Allen really a downgrade with the way Newton was playing? Olsen saw nine targets for 110 yards last week and now faces a defense who have been gashed by TJ Hockenson and Mark Andrews the last two weeks.

Olsen is not a great value on FanDuel, but is outside the top-five priced options so is still worth considering.

Austin Hooper, ATL @ IND | DK: $3,600, FD: $5,800

Hooper might be my favorite under the radar play at any position this season. The fourth-year tight end has caught 13 of his 15 targets for 111 yards. Not sexy numbers by any means but in PPR leagues he offers a decent floor. Matt Ryan trusts him and that is key in a game that could turn into a shootout in the second half.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/21/19): MLB DFS Lineups

Saturday brings us a full 15-game slate. Six of those games fall in the early part of the slate with the other nine making up the main featured slate for the day.

The featured slate brings us four monster favorites in the form of the Astros, Twins, Athletics and Dodgers, with all of them better than -300. We also have two teams with odds better than -200 in the Brewers and Braves, so there are plenty of pitching options to choose from. The biggest expected run totals on this slate can be found in Baltimore, Cleveland and Minnesota, but with plenty of pitching mismatches on the slate there are many opportunities outside of those three games.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/21/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Sean Manaea, OAK (vs. TEX) - $9,800

Manaea’s return from the disabled list could not really have gone much better. Three starts, 18 innings and just one earned run allowed with 21 strikeouts. Now he is facing a Rangers team with just three earned runs in their current three-game road trip. This should be both a nice floor and ceiling play on today’s slate.

Wade Miley, HOU (vs. LAA) - $5,700 

Miley is not far away from a rough stretch in which he allowed 12 earned runs for just one out across two starts. However, he bounced back last time out with a four-strikeout, two earned run, six innings outing at the Royals last time out. The Angels have all but given up on the season and Miley should be able to take advantage.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

C - Roberto Perez, CLE (vs. PHI) - $3,700

A solid, if unimpressive, season for Perez has at been headlines by his numbers against left-handed pitchers. This season he has a .252 batting average, .228 ISO and a .347 wOBA with lefties on the mound.

1B - Daniel Vogelbach, SEA (@ BAL) - $4,000 

It has been a nice season for Vogelbach against right-handed pitchers with 25 of his 30 home runs coming off them. His numbers against righties this season stand as a .231 batting average, .271 ISO, and .364 wOBA.

2B - Max Muncy, LAD (vs. COL) - $4,400 

Muncy’s numbers against righties are not spectacular but against Chi-Chi Gonzalez we aren’t looking for spectacular. Muncy has 22 home runs, a .256 ISO and a .362 wOBA.

3B - Josh Donaldson, ATL (vs. SF) - $4,100

Donaldson has nice numbers against righties this year. So far he has a .267 batting average, a .274 ISO and a .379 wOBA. He also has a whopping .332 ISO and .429 wOBA this season.

SS - Corey Seager, LAD (vs. COL) - $4,100

Seager is another hitter with solid numbers against right-handed pitchers. The young shortstop has a .285 batting average, .226 ISO and a .354 wOBA when righties are on the mound this year.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Mark Canha, OAK (vs. TEX) - $4,200

Canha’s value against lefties is due to his ability to get the ball out of the park. He has eight home runs against lefties this year, giving him a .248 ISO. He has also been good at clearing the fences at home, with a .276 ISO.

Joc Pederson, LAD (vs. COL) - $4,100

September has been good to Pederson. He has six home runs and an impressive .375 batting average so far this month. All 32 of his home runs this year have come when facing right-handed hitters, and 24 of them have come at home. He has a .304 ISO against righties and a .386 ISO as home this season.

Jake Marisnick, HOU (vs. LAA) - $3,500

Marisnick is a hitter I have used a few times this year against lefties because of his price. He has a .204 ISO against lefties and is part of one of the best lineups in the majors so for this price it is worth the gamble.

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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/19/19): MLB DFS Lineups

We have a very quiet Thursday in major league baseball. Just nine games which are fairly evenly spaced throughout the day makes for a couple of underwhelming slates. The early slate is made up of three games before a five-game slate kicking off at 6:35 pm. As always here we are chasing the biggest prize pool and will, therefore, turn our attentions to the evening slate.

Thursday's evening slate brings us three monster favorites in the form of the Yankees, Indians, and Twins. Of those three two of the pitchers terrify me in Masahiro Tanaka and Kyle Gibson, and you will not find them in any of my lineups today. The best game of the day is in Chicago, where the Cubs square off against the Cardinals in a clash to potentially take control of the NL Central. Totals wise we have two games projected to go over 10 runs, Minnesota and Baltimore, with the other three games projected to see nine or more runs, so it should be a fun day in the majors despite the small slates.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/19/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @benrolfe15.

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Mike Clevinger, CLE (vs. DET) - $11,400

Well, what is there to say really? This was between Clevinger and Jack Flaherty, and in the end, it came down to a higher upside pitcher facing a worse offense. It really is that simple on a slate where the mid-range pitching is not pretty that you just pay up for a man of this talent.

Drew VerHagen, DET (@ CLE) - $5,200 

I am breaking a lot of rules here. Picking pitchers against each other and picking someone I really think is bad. However, in order to get Clevinger, I needed to cut costs everywhere I could and VerHagen is a perfect way to do that. At just $5,200 he actually offers you upside as well. In 37 2/3 inning since the start of August, he has allowed 10 earned runs and struck out 34 hitters. The Indians lineup is not the most terrifying in the world and VerHagen offers the chance for a two or three times return on investment at a dirt-cheap price.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

C - Pedro Severino, BAL (vs. TOR) - $3,900

This is a pitching matchup I am expecting to be the worst of the day and you are going to find a couple of plays here from Baltimore. Severino is someone I do try and avoid at home, as he has just a .205 batting average and .295 wOBA in Camden Yards. However, his numbers against left-handed pitchers mean I cannot ignore him, with a .277 batting average, a .220 ISO and a .341 wOBA.

1B - C.J. Cron, MIN (vs. KC) - $3,900 

Yes, Cron is just hitting .225 in the second half, but he is almost hitting home runs at the same pace as the first half. His numbers against left-handed pitchers mean he is hard to ignore, as he has a .325 batting average, .325 ISO and a .417 wOBA.

2B - DJ LeMahieu, NYY (vs. LAA) - $4,600 

This is the first time in months that LeMahieu has been cheap enough for me to even consider him. However, he is absolutely worth it, especially at home against left-handed pitchers. He has a .413 batting average, .275 ISO and a .482 wOBA when facing lefties in Yankee Stadium.

3B - Hunter Dozier, KC (@ MIN) - $4,300

Dozier has been one of my go-to guys this year. Good against both left and right-handed pitching, and solid both at home and away. On the road against right-handed pitchers, he has hit 12 of his 26 home runs, with a .351 wOBA and a .278 ISO. Now he gets to face a pitcher in Kyle Gibson with an ERA over seven in his recent starts and he should be able to have a strong day.

SS - Paul DeJong, STL (@ CHC) - $3,600

I was desperately trying to avoid this game but I just love the price of a couple of guys. DeJong is also in a sweet spot, facing a right-handed pitcher on the road. 24 of his 27 home runs have come against righties, and 18 of those 27 have also been on the road. Altogether he has a .287 ISO and a .363 wOBA when facing righties on the road.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Trey Mancini, BAL (vs. TOR) - $4,900

I have ridden him all season so why not a couple more weeks? Mancini has a .268 ISO and a .371 wOBA when facing lefties, as well as a .251 ISO and a .360 wOBA in Camden Yards. The price is higher than I like because of the small slate, but for me, Mancini should have been this price all year.

Marcell Ozuna, STL (@ CHC) - $4,200

Another Cardinals hitter who has been best against right-handed pitchers and on the road. His .270 batting average, .236 ISO and .259 wOBA make him a solid play, even with the weather being against hitters and the tough pitching matchup.

Jason Heyward, CHC (vs. STL) - $4,000

I normally flat out refuse to pick against Jack Flaherty, but this time the value is right to do it. Heyward has 19 of his 21 home runs off righties, as well as a .354 wOBA, a .268 batting average and a .209 ISO.

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Contact Rate Risers and Fallers for Week 25 - Buy or Sell?

Welcome to Contact Rate Risers and Fallers for Week 25! Our premium tools allow us to get out ahead of trends in player performance, including contact rate. Every Wednesday, we'll be looking at some players that have seen an increase in contact rate and some that have seen it decline.

Contact rate can foretell a player's batting average and general hitting statistics, and any drastic change could signal a shift in performance. Contact rate shifts often act as a precursor to hot streaks and slumps.

Here is a breakdown of some of the biggest fantasy-relevant risers and fallers in contact rate over the last seven days.

 

Contact Rate Risers

Data current as of 9/18/2019 and taken from RotoBaller's Premium Tool.

 

Mitch Garver (C, MIL)

94% contact rate last seven days (+21%)

It has been a really impressive follow-up act from Garver this season, hitting .276 with 30 home runs in 338 PA. However, his second-half has been a little less impressive at least from a batting average point of view, with a .254 batting average. He has brought that back around in September, as he is hitting .310 with four home runs in 38 PA. His batting average increase this year is fascinating given his BABIP has dropped, and his K% rate has risen 2.2%. His contact rate has dropped this season, but his SwStr% has stayed identical to each of the last two years thanks to a 2.3% drop in O-Swing%, and a 1.5% drop in Z-Swing%.

The concern that those numbers should not have led to the batting average increase we saw this season is increased when you look at his power numbers. His exit velocity is incredibly impressive, but a 28.8% HR/FB rate is likely not sustainable into next season. Between the slight batting average concerns I have and the power regression, my anticipated advice for next season would be to use what is hopefully an end of season hot streak to sell Garver this offseason in your dynasty leagues. Also, use these numbers as caution when his ADP is soaring next spring.

 

Ramon Laureano (OF, OAK)

85% contact rate last seven days (+17%)

Laureano has built on his short stint in the majors in 2018 with a solid 2019. His batting average held, his K% has dropped and his ISO has taken that next step, with 22 home runs this season. However, his contact rate numbers do give me a reason for pause, as his SwStr% has jumped 1.4% thanks to an increase of 5.7% in Swing% coupled with just a 0.3% jump in Contact%. These numbers just concern me that the K% drop we saw this year is not real and would be enough for me to enter next year with some caution surrounding Laureano.

 

Joey Votto (1B, CIN)

91% contact rate last seven days (+14%)

2019 may have confirmed our fears that the incredible Joey Votto is heading in the same direction as Miguel Cabrera, down and out of fantasy relevance. Votto has seen a second straight dip in batting average down to .268 and he has managed just 15 home runs. More concerningly is the K% tipping over into a new career-high of 19.9%, and rising for the second straight year. His batted ball numbers are a major concern with his HR/FB sitting down at just 10% for a second straight year, having been up near 20% throughout his career. His BB% has also dropped in conjunction with a rise in his O-Swing% combined with a big drop in his O-Contact%. Do not let this hot streak at the end of the season fool you, Votto is all but done as a viable first base fantasy option entering 2020.

 

Contact Rate Fallers

Data current as of 9/11/2019 and taken from RotoBaller's Premium Tool.

 

Jackie Bradley Jr. (OF, BOS)

45% contact rate last seven days (-24%)

Speaking of bad years, Bradley has really struggled in 2019. His batting average has dipped to .221 and his K% is back up at those early-career numbers of 27%. The situation would be even worse if it wasn't for a hot month in June when he hit .315 with five home runs and struck out just 20.8% of the time. In three of the other five months, he has hit below .200 and struck out 30% or more of the time. His contact profile belies the concern as his SwStr% is up at a career-high 14.6% as his Z-Contact% has dropped 3.1%. There is a chance that Bradley will bounce back somewhat in 2020, but the excitement over him in fantasy should be done until he can prove otherwise.

 

Dee Gordon (2B, SEA)

60% contact rate last seven days (-20%)

Yikes, this is not what you want if you drafted Gordon. Injuries have limited him to just 399 PA entering play on Wednesday. He has stolen 22 bases which have to be considered acceptable, but his batting average did not really jump as we hoped. Also, his K% has snuck up. His SwStr% is up thanks to a dip in Z-Contact% from 94 down to 89, but those are numbers you can live with. The problem is that injuries appear to be limiting his contribution and that should lead to pause. His value next year will likely inflate because of his ability to swipe bases, but this little cold streak to end the season should be a warning to remind you that if he doesn't steal you 40 bases his value is extremely limited for your fantasy team.

 

Daniel Vogelbach (1B, SEA)

55% contact rate last seven days (-14%)

A really frustrating year for people who were invested in Vogelbach is coming to an end. On one hand, he has hit 30 home runs and increased his batting average from last season. On the other hand, his batting average is just .214 and he has a K% of 26. The power element of his game is legit, and he should be a regular 30 home run hitter if he maintains a FB% over 40. His contact profile is interesting as he has struggled to make contact with pitches in the zone but succeeded outside the zone. That is not a bad combination as those pitches in the zone are strikes whether he swings or not, and the fact he is getting to more pitches outside the zone is notable. However, the quality of contact is usually worse on pitches outside the zone, and in order to see real improvement in batting average, you would like to see him improve in the zone again next year. This is likely what Vogelbach is for fantasy, empty power. Good for DFS, not so much for season-long formats.

 

Contact Rate Risers and Fallers - Premium Tool

Identifying top batting average surgers for each week can help you spot the best pickups before your competition. RotoBaller's Premium Contact Rate Risers and Fallers tool has you covered every day. As thoughtful fantasy baseball players, we won't lead you astray. Here is a small sample:

This type of data is available as part of our Premium MLB Subscription and launched on April 22nd for the 2019 season. Don't settle for basic stats and surface-level advice from other sites. RotoBaller brings you advanced statistics and professional analysis that you need to win your fantasy leagues and DFS games because we're ballers just like you. We are your secret weapon!

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