RADIO
After a fantastic week with a 13-game slate last Sunday, Week 16 sees us drop back down to an 11-game slate thanks to the triple-header on Saturday. In some ways, I actually prefer that, because it gives us two slates to play on the weekend. Even though Saturday's games are taking away a number of good options offensively, there is still plenty to be excited about on this Sunday slate.
This week has the potential to be extremely high scoring. Eight of the 11 games on the slate this week have a projected total of 45 or above. That leaves us we three games below that, and all three of those games feature offenses I am likely to avoid, except for the Denver Broncos matchup with the Detroit Lions.
Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Week 16 of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.
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Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Philip Rivers, LAC vs. OAK | DK: $5,700, FD: $7,500
There have been so many questions surrounding Rivers recently, but this game offers a great opportunity for him to put some of those to bed. The Raiders are allowing over 23 FPPG to quarterbacks, which should give Rivers a chance to put up one of his best numbers of the season. This game also has the potential to be a shootout, which also plays into the potential of a big week for Rivers.
Drew Lock, DEN vs. DET | DK: $5,600, FD: $7,300
Lock crashed back down to earth last week, but he will not get many better opportunities to rebound than the one in front of him right now. The Lions are allowing over 22 FPPG to quarterbacks, and teams have just been slicing through them offensively recently. The weather Sunday is going to be incredibly mild which will only help offense even more.
Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Marlon Mack, IND vs. CAR | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,300
Thankfully, Mack has been preparing for this matchup with two really tough games, ensuring that he will not be priced at the high end of the position. The Panthers are allowing over 20 FPPG to lead backs and 30 FPPG to the position overall. With there also being a decent chance that the Colts lead for a large portion of this game, we should see Mack get plenty of work.
Phillip Lindsay, DEN vs. DET | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,300
f you invested in Lindsay this season then it is likely you have found his output disappointing. However, this week he could be due to put in a big day against a Lions Defense which allows nearly 19 FPPG to lead backs and 29 to the position as a whole. Those numbers also make Royce Freeman a consideration at $4,000 if you are looking for a more boom-or-bust type play.
Patrick Laird, MIA vs. CIN | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,500
Last week's game script got away from Laird, but this week we should see him get more run. Cincinnati are solid against least backs, but allow nearly 30 FPPG to the position as a whole. That also makes Myles Gaskin an interesting option at $3,800.
Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Courtland Sutton, DEN vs. DET | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,100
I am not really sure the Lions are going to turn up here. There is really no motivation for them, their season is over and their coaching situation, at least in terms of the head coach is confirmed. Therefore, I think we see the Lions come out flat, while the Broncos will be motivated to show that this team is talented, but has just had some bad breaks. He has not been targeted less than five times in any game this season and faces a defense allowing an average of 18.3 FPPG to lead receivers this season.
Michael Gallup, DAL @ PHI | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,500
In the last matchup between these teams it was Amari Cooper who went big, with over 100 yards on five receptions. I simply cannot see the Eagles allowing that to happen again, and they should roll coverage over Cooper. That would leave Gallup one-on-one, and the talented young receiver should be able to take advantage. Randall Cobb at $4,100 is also an interesting play if you are looking for a high potential ROI.
Mike Williams, LAC vs. OAK | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,500
Williams has found the end zone in his last two games having been held to zero all season. The last meeting between these two was entertaining, and this one should be as well. The Raiders Defense really wore down on the back end last week, and if that happens again we could find Williams in the end zone once again.
Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Jacob Hollister, SEA vs. ARI | DK: $4,200, FD: $5,700
We are back to targeting the Cardinals Defense against the tight end position once again. They allow an average of 20.6 FPPG to the tight end position overall this season, and Hollister is clearly the number one tight end in this offense.
