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Charlie Morton (SP, ATL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 80

CURRENT ADP: ~96 overall

ANALYSIS: Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Charlie Morton bounced back in his first year in Georgia, posting a 14-6 record, 3.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 7.7 BB%, and 28.6 K% in 185.2 innings. His 3.18 FIP backs up his success, and he's now produced a sub-3.60 FIP the last six seasons, with an xERA below 3.80 three of the past four. His success stems from a curveball with six more inches of horizontal movement than average and generated a 40.1 Whiff%. He pairs his curve with a four-seamer that often hits 96 MPH, increasing its average velocity by about 2 MPH from 2020. He should be able to keep his K-rate up, considering he produced an elite 30.9 CSW%.

His less-than-ideal chase rate might scare some fantasy managers. However, hitters didn't make much contact when they did chase, as Morton ranked eighth in O-Contact% at 54.5%. He also did an excellent job of fooling hitters in the zone, ranking fourth in Z-Swing% at 64.6%. He turned 38 in November but has shown no signs of slowing down and should be ready for Spring Training after experiencing a playoff-ending shin injury. The Braves will be a good team again, making Morton a possible four-category contributor. He's being drafted 96th overall, which is pretty late when guys like Alek Manoah and Dylan Cease are going before him.

 

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BALLER MOVE: Add in 10+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 38% of leagues ANALYSIS: The Seattle Mariners hold an impressive slew of former college arms among their top prospect ranks, one of whom being former Elon University ace George Kirby. The 6'4, 215-lb. blue chip made an impressive run through the minors after going 20th overall […]

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Vinnie Pasquantino (1B, KC) - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups (Week 18)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 14% of leagues ANALYSIS: 24-year-old first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino came into the Kansas City Royals organization via the 11th round of the 2019 MLB Draft from Old Dominion University--far from the definition of "fanfare." However, after just three seasons and 898 AB in the minor leagues […]

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A.J. Puk (RP, OAK) - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups (Week 18)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 25% of leagues ANALYSIS: A.J. Puk was a project pick for the Oakland A's at 6th overall in the 2016 MLB Draft out of the University of Florida, and at age 27, the 6'7, 248-lb. lefty has definitely turned a corner. In 44.2 IP this season […]

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Colin Poche (RP, TB): Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 15+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 3% of leagues ANALYSIS: If you follow my takes, you know I love college lefties from schools like Dallas Baptist, niche relievers, and late-round draft picks. 28-year-old Tampa Bay RP Colin Poche satisfies all of the above criteria. The Columbus, Ohio native was a 14th-round selection […]

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