We have a small two-gamer on the docket tonight with the last of the Game 4's. We tip off in Atlanta with the Hawks down 2-1 to Philly after losing the opener at home in Game 3. The nightcap is a suddenly revitalized Clippers team that is still down 2-1 in L.A.
Embiid dominated in the first three games of the series, so expect him to be out there again. The Jazz still haven't said whether Mike Conley will play, but if he does at this point, he will likely be on a minutes restriction. That leaves us with Danny Green joining the usual absences of Cam Reddish, Serge Ibaka and De'Andre Hunter.
This article will supply you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for the DraftKings on 6/14/21. You can also check out today’s FanDuel lineup picks. It’s also important to monitor injury news as a result of COVID-19 as the slate can completely change before line-up lock. Without further ado, let’s dive into the picks!
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Donovan Mitchell - SG, at Clippers ($9,000)
Mitchell has hit at least 5x value in five straight games at this price. Yes, the absence of Conley has something to do with that, but his assist numbers haven't spiked. Even if Conley returns, I think Mitchell at least comes close to 5x value again. When he has scored over 30 actual points in each of those games, he's more than halfway there just on points alone. Mitchell remains a safe play here.
Paul George - PG, vs. Utah ($8,600)
Utah has had a tough time handling George so far. They have done a nice job on Kawhi, but George has 131.75 DraftKings points in the first three games of the series. I wouldn't consider his games anything usual either. George is scoring at a high level, shaking off last year's terrible end to the playoffs for himself as well as the team. Dare we say that he's safe now?
Reggie Jackson - PG/SG, vs. Utah ($5,200)
Jackson wasn't as big of a piece in Game 3, but you can blame that on the blowout nature of the game. Most of Jackson's 29 minutes were played when the game was still contested. This is another good development for those of us looking for a cheap guard. Right now the ceiling is higher on Jackson than Clarkson. However, I will play Joe Ingles if Conley remains out. As of right now though, Jackson is where I'm going for value tonight in this game.
Bonus Guards: Trae Young ($9,200), Ben Simmons ($7,600), Bogdan Bogdanovic ($6,400), Seth Curry ($5,100)
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DraftKings DFS Forwards
Kawhi Leonard - SF, vs. Utah ($10,000)
Leonard came alive as the series moved to L.A., racking up 63.5 DraftKings points for the home crowd. Most of Kawhi's biggest games against Dallas came at home as well. The Clippers went down 0-2 to the Mavs as well and came back to win the series. Kawhi put up 55 DraftKings points in Game 4 of that series and was instrumental in the Clippers tying the series. He'll look to do the same here.
John Collins - PF/C, vs. Philadelphia ($5,900)
It has been a long time coming, but Collins' price is finally to a manageable level. He's not priced for a true ceiling game. Collins has between 24 and 33 DraftKinsg points in all but one playoff game so far. In the game that he missed that mark, Collins played just 15 minutes because of foul trouble. He's becoming a very reliable cash option, but it's pretty obvious that Collins has no real upside unless someone gets hurt. Even though he scored 23 actual points in the Game 3 loss, Collins still only mustered 30.25 DraftKings points and found himself in foul trouble down the stretch.
Danilo Gallinari - PF, vs. Philadelphia ($4,600)
Gallinari was a big scorer again in Game 3, but he only hauled in three rebounds to go with the points. There will be games like this for Gallinari, but it also shows why the upside is so high. The encouraging sign for me was that Gallinari played 30 minutes for just the second time in these playoffs for the Hawks. They need his shooting out there to hang with Philly.
Bonus Forwards: Tobias Harris ($8,100), Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,600), Royce O'Neale ($4,900), Nicolas Batum ($4,500)
DraftKings DFS Centers
Joel Embiid - C, at Atlanta ($10,500)
Embiid has 187.25 DraftKings points in 117 minutes in the first three games of this series. He's by far the best play at any price on this slate. He's not going to sit out. There's little danger of any more damage being done to the knee, so he'll be out there until Philly wins the title or is eliminated. You know what? I'll be playing him every slate until that happens. Embiid has the highest ceiling and arguably the highest floor. We all know by now that Atlanta can't guard him.
Clint Capela - C, vs. Philadelphia ($7,100)
Capela had by far his best game of the series in Game 3, putting up 37 DraftKings points in the loss. The only real difference from Capela was that he was more aggressive on the boards, hauling in 16 rebounds. Still, that total isn't much of an outlier when compared with his season stats. There is reason to believe that Capela can do it again. Collins becoming more of a scorer has hurt Capela's upside, but if he's going to keep getting those rebounding totals, Capela still has plenty of value.
Bonus Centers: Rudy Gobert ($7,400), Dwight Howard ($3,600)