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Week 4 of the NFL season is coming to a close and the Monday Night Football slate features two fun matchups as the Green Bay Packers take on the Atlanta Falcons and the Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots! The Packers and Falcons game currently has a 56.5 over/under with the Packers being favored by 7.5 points while the Patriots and Chiefs game sits at an over/under of 50 with the Chiefs being favored by 11 points.
In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for Monday Night Football on October 5th, 2020 (Week 4). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on FanDuel. Lineup construction can differ greatly from FanDuel to DraftKings with the biggest difference being the Captain and MVP slots. On DK, you'll pay 1.5x the salary of a player in order to roster them as your captain while the price doesn't change on FanDuel.
If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!
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DFS Quarterbacks
Patrick Mahomes
Mahomes is arguably the best quarterback in the league and while the Patriots Defense can be stingy (thanks to the game planning of Bill Belichick), Mahomes should never be overlooked in any matchup. Through the first three weeks of the season, Mahomes is averaging 299 passing yards and three touchdowns per game which is resulting in 31.3 DK points per game. The Patriots are tied for second in the league with four interceptions on opposing quarterbacks but they have allowed seven passing touchdowns which are tied for the third most amount in the league. The Patriots have gotten to Mahomes in the past as he has had five passing touchdowns but three interceptions in just two career games played. Mahomes is viable in all formats as he carries the largest upside at the quarterback position on this two-game slate.
Aaron Rodgers
If you were looking to get a little bit of a discount (double-check) and not spend up for Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers is in a great spot to pivot too. Rodgers is coming off of an impressive performance as he threw for 283 yards and three touchdowns on the road against the Saints on Sunday Night Football and has been in great form to start the 2020 season. Through his first three games, Rodgers has totaled 887 yards and nine touchdowns while having no interceptions. The Falcons Defense has struggled mightily as they are second to last in passing yards allowed per game (350.3) while also being second to last in points allowed per game to opponents (36). If Rodgers is able to get star receiver Davante Adams back in the mix tonight, he should be able to have his way against a porous Falcons defense.
Other plays: Matt Ryan
DFS Running Backs
Aaron Jones
The Packers running back situation has really started and stopped with Aaron Jones this year. He has been on fire to start the season as he has been a do-it-all kind of back for the Packers. Jones is averaging 101 rushing yards per game while also averaging over one rushing touchdown per game and is heavily involved in the passing game as he is seeing six targets per game as well. The Falcons have been solid against the run but have struggled to defend against the position on passing situations as they have allowed over 100 yards receiving and are tied for the most receiving touchdowns from opposing running backs (2). With how involved Jones is in both the rushing and passing game, it is hard to pass him up in all formats.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
The Chiefs rookie running back has shown flashes of upside in this Chiefs offense and has really seen an involvement in their passing game over their last two games played. Edwards-Helaire has recorded 11 catches on 14 targets while racking up over 100 receiving yards over his last two games while also averaging 15 rushing attempts over that two-game span. The Chiefs have committed to the run a little more this year as they look to balance their offensive attack which means Edwards-Helaire could be more involved as the season progresses. The Patriots defense will have their hands full containing Hill, Watkins, and Kelce, so Edwards-Helaire could find himself in favorable matchups throughout the night.
Other plays: Todd Gurley II, Rex Burkhead
DFS Wide Receivers
Julio Jones
Julio Jones looks to be good to go for tonight's game against the Packers and while he has gotten off to a slow start due to injuries, he could be in line to bounce back against Green Bay. His price point seems too good to be true on DK at just $6,000 and with Calvin Ridley garnering more attention than he has in the past, it could allow for more one on one matchups with the Packers secondary. green bay has done well against opposing receivers as they have only allowed 417 receiving yards to opposing wideouts. With this game projected to be a high-scoring affair, Jones seems to be a great play in all formats.
Tyreek Hill
The speedy Hill has found success against the Patriots in previous games and with other big named receivers on the slate, he could go a tad overlooked in tournaments. Hill has played four games against the Patriots and is averaging 7 catches and 94.75 receiving yards per game while also hauling in four touchdowns in that four-game sample size. The Patriots really try to shut down weapons like Travis Kelce and opposing running backs so it could be a big night if Hill can get behind the Patriots secondary.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
With Allen Lazard set to miss this game, MVS could take on a bigger role in the offense. In their last game against the Saints, Davante Adams sat out which meant it was up to Lazard and MVS to produce at the receiver position but MVS drew the unfortunate task of being blanketed by stud corner Marshon Lattimore. Lattimore shut down MVS while as Rodgers keened in on Lazard but this could all change this week with the emergence of Adams back into the lineup. While he is more of a big-play threat for this Packers offense, MVS could see an uptick in targets especially if Adams is unable to go as well. Coming into this game, MVS is tied for the second-most targets on the team at the wide receiver position with Lazard and has the third-highest snap percentage on this offense (68.8%) so if needing a value play from this team, MVS would be one to look at.
Other plays: Davante Adams, Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage, Sammy Watkins, N'Keal Harry
DFS Tight Ends
Travis Kelce
Kelce is the best tight end in the game and is one of Mahomes' top targets to go to in key games. Kelce has been heavily involved in the Chiefs offense to start the 2020 season as he is seeing nine targets per game and is averaging 18.6 DK points per game. The Patriots have done well limiting Kelce's upside as he is averaging 65 receiving yards against them and has only hauled in one receiving touchdown in four career games against them. The New England defense has been stellar against opposing tight ends so far this season as they have held tight ends to just eight total receptions for 73 receiving yards. Even though the matchup is tough for Kelce, he offers the most upside at the position and should not be overlooked in tournaments.
Robert Tonyan
With all of the injuries to the Packers receiving corps, Robert Tonyan could see an uptick in targets in tonight's game. Tonyan has seen eight targets over the last two games and has eclipsed double-digit DK points over that same time span. The Falcons have struggled to defend against opposing tight ends as they have allowed over 300 receiving yards and four touchdowns to this position in their first three games of the season.
Other plays: Hayden Hurst
DFS Defense/Special Teams
Kansas City Chiefs Defense
The Chiefs definitely got lucky with Cam Newton being labeled as out for this game (COVID) and will either face Brian Hoyer or Jarrett Stidham. Neither of those quarterbacks carries the upside that Cam provides to the Patriots and even though Bill Belichick will have some tricks up his sleeve for the Chiefs Defense, it is hard to imagine Hoyer or Stidham having the type of impact on the game like Newton presents. The Chiefs defense has done well so far as they are limiting opponents to scoring just 20 points per game which is fifth overall in the league. For the Patriots to win this game, they will need to pound the rock consistently but part of their success on the ground is the threat of Newton running the ball himself
Other plays: Green Bay Packers Defense
Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs!
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