RADIO
We have made it to Week 7 of the NFL season, and for now, all 11 games on the main slate are still on track to play this week. The Raiders are the only COVID scare at the moment, and they are not on the main slate, so we are all good on that front. The oddsmakers have caught onto the lack of defense once again, and we have six-game totals above 50 points, so scoring should be aplenty. On the flip side, that should lead to more pivots if it comes to high rostered players.
When looking at the Week 7 slate, there is a lot of value; if you have any questions, do not hesitate to chat it up with me on Twitter @bdentrek. Let me rephrase part of that real quick, there is a lot of value, but it is more mispriced players, not so much bargain shopping. At the early looks, before injury news, a good and balanced lineup should work out really well in cash. There are many players in the $5K and $6K ranges that fit the cash mold. The QB position is all about paying up or taking the value listed in this article. The RB position has some studs up top, a loaded $6K range, and potentially some strong value if injury news falls in the right direction. The WR position is the usual studs up top, but the $5K and $6K range brings a lot to be desired. Lastly, we do not have that Irv Smith Jr. type TE punt this week, but if news drops that Jonnu Smith is not active on Sunday, then Anthony Firsker is a strong value for the Titans.
This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, pass attempts, targets, or carriers. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season.
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Week 7 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays
Gardner Minshew II, JAX at LAC | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,200
Minshew Mania has not been quite the show it was in 2019, but he still has been a productive week in and week out. Outside of the Thursday night debacle versus the Dolphins, Minshew has scored 20+points in each game and has finished as the QB11-QB13 in fantasy. He faces a Chargers team on Sunday that ranks 30 versus quarterbacks this season. They allow nearly two passing touchdowns per game, over 280 passing yards, and over 25 fantasy points per game. The Jaguars are 7.5 point underdogs, which means they should be playing catchup all game, making for more and more Minshew chances to rack up fantasy points.
Joe Burrow, CIN vs CLE | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,100
Burrow has been a volume machine this season, and that should continue on Sunday versus the Browns. He faced the Browns in Week 2, where he threw it 61 times for 316 yards and three touchdowns. Now, 61 pass attempts are highly unlikely again this week, but he has thrown the ball at least 36 times in three of the last four weeks and has thrown for over 300 yards in each of those games. He takes on the Browns Defense, who allows over two passing touchdowns per game this season and allows over 20 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Burrow is a heck of a value, with a strong cash game floor on Sunday.
Week 7 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays
Mike Davis, CAR at NO | DK: $6,600, FD: $7,700
Davis is coming off his worst fantasy performance since taking over for Christian McCaffrey, yet still, put up 12+ points. He carried the ball 18 times but only had one catch on only three targets. Davis makes his money catching balls out of the backfield, which should happen again this week versus the Saints. Davis had at least six targets in each of his last four games to go along with 13 or more carries. He is could for 15+ touches with the upside of 20+, bringing a strong floor into play. The Saints Defense has been good versus the running back position this season but is giving up over five receptions per game to running backs, and as 7.5 point underdogs, a lot of dump-offs could be in Davis's future on Sunday.
D'Andre Swift, DET at ATL | DK: $5,400 FD: $6,100
The Lions made Swift a bigger piece of their gameplan in Week 4, and after a bye week, they made him the focal point of their backfield in Week 6. Going into Week 7 versus the 22 ranked defense versus running backs in the Falcons should lead to Swift's solid game. He is coming off a game with 17 touches, and 15+ touches game versus the Falcons should be a done deal unless Matt Patricia is dumber than we think. The Falcons allow nearly eight receptions and over 25 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, so lock in Swift for some cash game value.
David Johnson, HOU vs GB | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,300
DJ is not the sexiest of plays, but he brings a solid floor into Sunday's game. DJ has 16 or more carries in three straight games and should be in line for a similar workload versus the Packers, who rank 32 versus running backs. The Packers allow over 100 rushing yards per game and nearly seven receptions per game to running backs for over 30 fantasy points per game. The Texans are 3.5 point home underdogs with an implied team total of 27. The Texans should be moving the ball all game, and DJ should have his hand on the ball plenty for your cash games.
Week 7 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays
Terry McLaurin, WAS vs DAL | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,100
No, this is not an article from the previous week; I am writing up McLaurin again. He is a cash game staple at the price DK continues to price him at, where FD has at least made his price respectable. We want strong floors in cash games, which usually comes from a heavy workload; McLaurin has that weekly. He has had at least seven targets in every game this season. He has also scored double-digit fantasy points in five of six games. Now, he gets his best matchup of the season versus a Dallas Defense ranked 28 versus wide receivers. In reality, the Dallas D can't stop a nose bleed. They are third-worst in football versus the opposing teams WR1 when it comes to fantasy points, allowing 7+ points above league average. Over the last four games, the Dallas D is ranked 30 in versus WR, allowing two receiving touchdowns per game, and McLaurin should add onto that this weekend in your cash lineups.
Tee Higgins, CIN vs CLE | DK: $5,300, FD: $5,700
Higgins continues to see a massive workload in the Bengals offense, and that should not change versus the Browns on Sunday. Higgins has seen seven or more targets in four straight games, scoring double-digit fantasy points in all four games. Over the last four games, the Browns Defense ranks 29 versus wide receivers, allowing 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game. The Browns defense was torched by the Bengals passing game the first time these teams faced off, and there should not be a major change. The volume will be there for Higgins, who still brings strong value. His teammate Tyler Boyd is also quite the discount this week in a cheap Bengals stack.
Tim Patrick, DEN vs KC | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,500
There is a lot of other potential value below $5K, but we need to see more injury information. For now, Patrick fits the near punt value quite well. It is a tough matchup versus a strong Chiefs Defense, but it is a defense we saw the Raiders pass all over, and the Bills have some late success against last week. Patrick took over a stronger roll in the Broncos offense two weeks ago and since then has seen seven or more targets and has racked in over 100 yards in each game. He has scored double-digit fantasy points in three straight games as well. The Broncos are also getting healthy with Drew Lock and Noah Fant back. They are 9.5 point road underdogs this week, just like last week in New England, where they walked away with the win. They will be throwing a lot, and Patrick will be featured quite a bit again. Strong volume at a very nice price tag this week.
Week 7 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays
Logan Thomas, WAS vs DAL | DK: $3,500, FD: $5,000
"Hello, darkness, my old friend." Here we are again, Thomas, a cash game value. This was the standard value cash tight end to open the season, and he failed us repeatedly. Well, I am ready to jump back on board in this cushy matchup versus the Cowboys. Over the last four games, the Dallas D allows five receptions and nearly 15 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. Thomas has seen at least four targets in every game this season and now has Kyle Allen under center, and Allen loves to use his tight end as a safety net. Remember how much we loved Ian Thomas towards the end of last season? Thomas is a strong value, there are some better options if you want to pay up into the $4K range on DK, but if looking for pure price value, then Thomas is your guy.
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