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Week 13 of the NFL season is in the books, and what a week it was. First, we saw the return of Kyler Murray, and the Cardinals rolled once again. Then we saw the Chargers bounce back in a big way by dismantling the Bengals, to the surprise of many. I may have buried the lead; the Lions picked up their first win of the season, beating the Vikings on a last-second touchdown. The Seahawks picked up a big win versus the Niners, while the Colts rolled and much more from another wild week of NFL action.
For Week 14, we will stick with the usual cash gameplan of looking for a solid floor and going from there, especially when it comes to value plays. Value this week is quite spread out. The popular moves will be paying up for Dak Prescott at quarterback, grabbing some mid-priced running backs, and a high-end receiver like CeeDee Lamb and Chris Godwin. For now, barring more injuries, it should be a more straightforward week with cash.
This article will look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are somewhat swinging for the fences. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, passing attempts, targets or carries. So, let's look at the cash value plays for Week 14 of the 2021 NFL season.
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Quarterback DFS Value Plays - Week 14 Cash Games
Taylor Heinicke, WFT vs. DAL | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,100
Due to volume alone, Heinicke has brought an excellent floor to each game in recent weeks. Heinicke has attempted 30 or more passes in eight of his last nine games while putting up double-digit fantasy points in each game and 15 or more points in five games. Heinicke also brings a solid rushing floor each week, including three or more carries in four straight games.
This week he has a tough matchup versus the division rival Cowboys, but a matchup that he can still take advantage of if he stays efficient. On the season, the Cowboys rank 28th versus opposing backs but rank 17th over the last four weeks. They allow an average of 257 passing yards with 5.5 carries for 34 yards and 17.5 fantasy points per game over the previous four games. This week, Heinicke and the Football Team are 4.5 point underdogs with an implied team total of 22. This game is set up for Heinicke to thrive from a fantasy perspective, and if you are looking for a cash value at quarterback, he is your man.
Taysom Hill, NO at NYJ | DK: $5,600, FD: $7,700
If Hill were 100% healthy, he would be the clear-cut top value in cash and maybe the top value period. Unfortunately, Hill is dealing with a mallet finger which will hinder his throwing ability but should still allow him to run wild, which we want for fantasy goodness. There is still the chance Hill's finger gets worse, and he is removed for Trevor Siemian. Regardless, we saw what Hill could do last week: throwing 19-41 with two touchdowns (four picks) and running for over 100 yards as he racked up over 25 fantasy points.
Hill is in line for another solid matchup this week as 5.5 point favorites and an implied team total of 24. The Saints are favored versus a Jets team that ranks 25th over the last four games versus opposing quarterbacks. They are allowing two passing touchdowns and nearly 20 fantasy points per game over the previous four games versus opposing quarterbacks. If Hill can play the entire game, he can make for a great cash game with his rushing ability. Of course, we have to follow the injury reports and decide if the risk is worth it, which is tough for cash games.
Quick Note- If Hill is out and you are looking for another value, keep an eye on Cam Newton. He is affordable on both sites, and after a bye week, he may be back to putting up some fantasy goodness versus a bad Falcons team.
Running Back DFS Value Plays - Week 14 Cash Games
Antonio Gibson, WFT vs. DAL | DK: $6,000, FD: $7,400
Gibson has been a fantasy machine since the WFT came back from their bye week in Week 10. He has 19 or more carries in all four games with 88+ rushing yards in three straight games, and more importantly, 5+ receptions in two consecutive games. WFT has been getting Gibson the rock early and often, leading to 20+ fantasy points in three of the last four games. This is the Gibson we have wanted, and we are finally getting. The best part is he is still too cheap this week.
This week in a matchup versus the Cowboys in Washington. A matchup versus a Cowboys defense that has been outstanding versus opposing running backs this season. Gibson may be an arduous task, but the volume alone will be great for Gibson. With WFT as 4.5 point underdogs, Gibson should get the ball a lot and give us cash game goodness. Lastly, Gibson has faired well against the Cowboys in his career. Over the past two seasons, he has been averaging nearly 15 fantasy points per game versus the Cowboys. I love Gibson this week, and I expect another big weekend for the WFT go-to back.
Javonte Williams, DEN vs. DET | DK: $5,900 FD: $6,700
First off, continue to monitor the status of Melvin Gordon, who has been a limited practice participant this week, but it looks like he will give it a go this week. With that being said, if Gordon goes, I still do not think it's a lot of playing time and not enough playing time to ruin Williams's fantasy viability.
Now to how good Williams has been with Gordon out of the way. Last week Williams carried the ball 23 times while also making six catches. He finished with 17 touches the previous week after Gordon left with an injury. Williams racked up 20+ fantasy points in the last two games and could be in line for another massive game against the Lions.
A Lions defense allows an average of one rushing touchdown and 112 rushing yards per game over the last nine games. The Broncos are 10 point favorites with an implied team total of 26 which means the Broncos should be relying heavily on the running game once again. So fantasy goodness should be coming Williams way once more.
Wide Receiver DFS Value Plays - Week 14 Cash Games
Jamison Crowder, NYJ vs. NO | DK: $4,700, FD: $5,500
Initially, I was writing up Elijah Moore here, but he has not practiced this week and is trending towards not playing on Sunday. If Moore suits up, he is back in the cash discussion, but with Moore likely out and Corey Davis now out for the season, insert Crowder into the value conversation. This season, Crowder has seen five or more targets in all but one game and has scored double-digit fantasy points in two of the last three games.
Crowder and the Jets take on the Saints this weekend, and that could be a tall task as they are playing better of late but have struggled versus wide receivers on the season. They rank 26th versus wide receivers on the season, allowing nearly 183 receiving yards per game and almost 40 fantasy points per game. The Jets have been playing from behind all season, and that should continue this week as they are 5.5 point underdogs, which means throw and throw some more. Crowder is a great possession receiver and fares better in PPR (DK) formats. Regardless he is affordable and should see many targets from Zach Wilson on Sunday.
DJ Moore, CAR vs. ATL | DK: $6,200, FD: $6,800
Moore's overall fantasy results have been highly inconsistent, but his workload and floor have been tremendous. Moore has been targeted seven or more times in every game this season, with four or more receptions in all but one game. More importantly, Moore has scored 15+ fantasy points in back-to-back games with Cam Newton back under center. It is also quite lovely that Moore gets one of the best matchups in football against the Falcons this Sunday.
Moore and the Panthers will face a Falcons defense that ranks 25th on the season versus wide receivers and 31st over the last four games. Over those four games, the Falcons are allowing at least one receiving touchdown to a wide receiver per game and 40+ fantasy points per game. The Panthers are 2.5 point favorites, and 22.5 points implied team totals bode well for the Panthers to put in some fantasy work versus the Falcons. Expect Moore to continue to roll with Newton and roster him everywhere as he is far too cheap this week.
Hunter Renfrow, LV at KC | DK: $6,100, FD: $6,700
Want to talk consistency? Let's talk Hunter Renfrow. He has been a fantasy monster of late, especially with Darren Waller injured. Renfrow has been targeted nine or more times in four of the last five games and has scored 17 or more fantasy points. Renfrow has been a force in the Raiders offense and should be another focal point in a challenging game versus the Chiefs on Sunday.
The Chiefs is a tough matchup as their defense has stepped up in a big way over the last month or so, but do not worry. With the Raiders as 9.5 point underdogs, the Raiders will be playing from behind and should be throwing it all over Arrowhead as they try and keep things close. No Waller and a significant underdog are a recipe for Renfrow's success this week. Do not be scared to roster Renfrow this week because the Chiefs' defense has improved.
Tight End DFS Value Plays - Week 14 Cash Games
James O'Shaughnessy, JAX at TEN | DK: $2,900, FD: $4,500
Dan Arnold was a big part of the Jags passing game, and once he went down with an injury, it was O'Shaughnessy's time to shine. Over the past two games as the lead tight end, O'Shaughnessy was targeted at least five times in each game with five receptions. Even in Week 1, pre-Dan Arnold days, O'Shaughnessy caught six of eight targets. O'Shaughnessy should once again be a focal part of the Jags offense as they are nine-point underdogs versus the Titans.
He'll face a Titans defense that has allowed an average of five receptions, 50 yards, and ten fantasy points per game over the last four games. Trevor Lawerence needs a safety valve, and the tight end position has been that man. So look for Lawerence to be often throwing as the Jags play from behind, and look for O'Shaughnessy to get his fair share of targets on Sunday.
Jared Cook, LAC vs NYG | DK: $3,200, FD: $5,100
The Chargers receiving game is looking like quite the mess right now. If Keenan Allen and Mike Williams miss Sunday's game due to COVID monitoring, then Cook and some other value receivers could be in play. Regardless, Cook should be in play, but he becomes an even better play if Allen and Williams missed the game. Even with the usual suspects at receiver, Cook has been targeted four or more times in six of his last seven games. He has also scored five or more fantasy points in five games.
It also helps that Cook is facing a Giants defense that has been torched by the tight end position. Over the last four games alone, they have allowed an average of six receptions and 63 yards to go along with 12 fantasy points per game. The Chargers are 10 point favorites with a 26.5 implied team total, meaning they should be scoring early and often. Cook should get fed this Sunda, making a great value tight end.
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