Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

PGA DFS: Vegas Report - Sentry Tournament of Champions


Welcome back to the PGA DFS: Vegas Report! A seven-tournament fall swing officially began the 2019 PGA season, but many golf fans consider the Sentry Tournament of Champions as the actual start to the annual campaign. And while I will admit that this week does feel more like the official inception of the year, our betting season got off to a blazing start in the fall. We produced nine top-10 finishes throughout the first seven events, which included an outright victory on Matt Kuchar at odds of 66/1 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic, three additional top-three finishes with golfers of 80/1 odds or higher and a 4-2-1 head-to-head betting record.

I didn't have the luxury to begin these articles until July 4th of last season, but I want to thank everyone that has been around since the commencement of this piece. I would also like to welcome any new readers that have come across this article and are looking to find PGA betting success. Our primary goal will always be to provide value in both outright wagers and head-to-head bets being offered for a given tournament, but since we get a chance to begin fresh this season, I would like these reports to include even more in-depth betting strategies. It is nice to break down why we are backing a specific head-to-head play, but deciphering how large our edge is and how that correlates with our bet sizing is very important.

I look forward to another successful year and hope this article can continue to render some useful information that will help you grow as a gambler. Without further ado, let's get right into some value plays we will be targeting for the 2019 Tournament of Champions.

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and Fanduel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course.

Editor's Note: Our friends at Fantasy National have built some incredible DFS Golf lineup tools including a Lineup Optimizer, Stat Engine, Ownership Projections and Course Breakdowns. They are by far the best daily fantasy Golf tools in the industry. Seriously. You can read all about them here and see screenshots. 

Sign Up Now!

 

2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions - Kapalua (Plantation Course) - 7,452 Yards - Par 73 - Greens Bermuda.

Designed by Ben Crenshaw and Bill Coore in 1991, the Kapalua Plantation Course is a beautiful venue that starts the 2019 season off with an easy test for the players. There have been two instances of 30-under par or better at the event, and the course record is held by KJ Choi (2003) and Graeme McDowell (2011), who both shot a 62 in losing efforts.

While Kapalua shouldn't be viewed as anything other than a birdie-fest, it can become much more difficult if the winds blow. However, despite wind playing a factor, the fairways are extremely wide, and the greens are some of the most available on tour. The one caveat that does make Kapalua unlike other accessible venues is the fact that it consistently yields some of the worst proximity to the hole numbers of any event. Elevation swings and gusts of wind are the main factors for that statistic, but it very rarely affects scoring.

Three-putt avoidance does become more critical, but par-five scoring will most likely decide the tournament. All four par-fives generate nearly a 50 percent birdie or better rate, which includes the par-five fifth hole that produces almost a 70 percent birdie or better percentage. Five of the next seven easiest holes range between 350 to 400 yards so finding players that succeed between that distance will also be crucial.

Pick to Win

Webb Simpson (25/1, DK Price $8,500, FD Price $10,000)

Taking on the top of the board in any tournament is never easy, and it is going to be extremely difficult to ignore the big names in a 34 player event, especially considering that this isn't the most robust field we have ever seen. The bottom 15 guys come into the week at odds of 50/1 or higher, and while they shouldn't be discredited, I do believe that the winner will be one of the top players in the field.

My gambling mentality is always to find value where it is presenting itself, which is why it is so difficult for me to justify backing Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm or Rory McIlroy -- who all enter the week at odds of 10/1 or lower. Bryson DeChambeau, who is currently listed at 12/1, does have some intrigue at his price, but I'd rather invest in Justin Thomas at 8/1 if I wanted to get involved with the very top of the board.

If you are looking to take one golfer this week, I believe Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas are the two most likely winners of the event. But it must be noted that if you do decide to place a wager on either of the two, it is the end of your outright card. Gambling is all about bankroll management, and you don't want to become overly invested in any single event.

I eventually veered away from Thomas because I didn't entirely trust him in blustery conditions. And Johnson might be the best player in the world, but 5/1 is way too shallow. I'd prefer to back the American in a head-to-head matchup, rather than to take on such a small price for him to win.

When searching for actual value in the tournament, the first name that stuck out to me was Webb Simpson. The 33-year-old earned his bid into the Tournament of Champions by capturing the title at the world-renowned Players Championship, a course that also features Bermuda greens and windy conditions. The victory at TPC Sawgrass was Simpson's first win since 2013, but the American found himself knocking on the door for additional breakthroughs all season long. He recorded seven top-10 finishes in 2018, which included three top-six results in his last four events of the year.

At the end of the day, though, not being able to find the winner's circle more frequently has placed him in a weird position when it comes to his odds. Simpson enters the week as the eighth most expensive player on DraftKings, 10th on FanDuel but just 12th in the betting market. There isn't always a direct correlation between DFS pricing and outright odds, but you can see that there is some discrepancy of what his actual value is in Hawaii. We aren't talking about a vast disparity here, but every point matters when we are in this range, and I think he should be about 18/1 for this tournament.

Since 2014, Simpson has gained 2.076 strokes total per round in windy conditions, the 18th best total for any player on tour. And as mentioned above, the five-time PGA Tour winner has been dominant on Bermuda greens during his career. In his last 50 rounds compared to the field on Bermuda, Simpson ranks second in strokes gained on par-fives, second in strokes gained with his short game, third in strokes gained-putting, fifth in par-four scoring between 350-400 yards, fifth in strokes gained approach, seventh in three-putt avoidance and seventh in birdies or better gained. He is currently projected to be the eighth highest owned player on DraftKings, but I wouldn't put too much stock into that. Everyone is going to be widely used in a 34 player field.

 

Patrick Reed (20/1, DK Price $8,200, FD Price $10,300)

I am a little frustrated with the movement that Patrick Reed's outright price has had over the last few days. I was going to install him as my pick to win when he was at 25/1, but he has fallen to 20/1 at the time of writing this. I still think there is value to be had at his new number, but it has slightly depreciated the expected value on the wager.

With my article being released every Wednesday, these are things that sometimes can happen if you don't get in front of the market. However, I will never include a wager if I think the value is completely gone. So the question becomes, what should Reed's real odds be for the event? I'd have installed him at 16/1, so I believe we still have a little value left in the number.

Reed won his first major at the 2018 Masters to earn his invite to the Tournament of Champions but did disappoint slightly throughout the rest of the year. Maybe that is unfair to say because he did produce five top-10 finishes in his final 18 tournaments, but he was unable to put together many Sunday rounds when he needed them most.

In the American's past three appearances at the Kapalua Plantation Course, he has provided three top-six finishes, including a win in 2015 and a runner-up result in 2016. Part of his success has to do with his strength on Bermuda greens and immaculate around the green game. In Reed's last 24 rounds on Bermuda compared to the field, he ranks first in strokes gained on par-fives, third in strokes gained with his short game, sixth in par-four scoring between 350-400 yards and ninth in strokes gained approach.

I do have some concerns about his lack of explosiveness on easy courses and believe he is better suited for a difficult test, but he is a top-notch Bermuda player that can excel in windy conditions. Since 2014, the 28-year-old has gained 2.328 total strokes per round in wind conditions of at least 14 MPH, ranking him 15th on tour and sixth in this field.

I am not a huge fan of the amount of publicity the six-time PGA Tour winner is receiving this week, but as I mentioned for Webb Simpson, a small field event will cause some similar sentiments throughout the industry. And frankly, his price is just too good for somebody with his course credentials. Reed is the 11th most expensive player on DraftKings, eighth on FanDuel and eighth in the betting market.

Head-to-Head Play of the Week

For those of you that follow my articles weekly, you will know I am not a massive fan of no-cut events, particularly when it comes to head-to-head wagers. I think our edge gets diminished because all players are guaranteed four rounds, and it forces us to survive some weird Sunday swings.

I think the bookmakers did an excellent job this event of not giving us too many mismatches to choose from either. For that reason, I am going to pass on the card this week and will get back into the swing of things during the Sony Open. If you are looking for a potential pivot option in your DFS lineups, Brooks Koepka is an alternative choice that has a chance to win but won't be as highly owned as his counterparts.

2019 Head-to-Head Record (4-2-1)

+2.70 Units Year-To-Date From H2H Bets

Tournament Head-to-Head Bet Bet My Picks Finish Opponent Finish Result Total
Safeway Open Sangmoon Bae +130 Over Chris Kirk 1.00 Units to Win 1.30 MC (+2) MC (E) Loss -1.00
CIMB Classic Kevin Na -120 over Kevin Tway 1.50 Units to Win 1.25 T19 (-17) T27 (-13) Win 1.25
CJ Cup Paul Casey +100 over Marc Leishman 1.25 Units to Win 1.25 T18 (-8) T18 (-8) Push 0
WGC-HSBC Thomas Pieters +120 over Kevin Na 1.00 Units to Win 1.20 T18 (-1) T54 (+10) Win 1.20
Shriners Austin Cook +100 over Russell Henley 1.00 Units to Win 1.00 MC (+1) MC (-1) Loss -1.00
Mayakoba Kevin Chappell +100 over Charley Hoffman 1.25 Units to Win 1.25 T41 (-9) MC (+2) Win 1.25
RSM Classic Patrick Rodgers -105 over Bronson Burgoon 1.05 Units to Win 1.00 2nd (-19) MC (+2) Win 1.00


2019 Outright Bets That Have Finished Inside the Top-10

Player Event Odds Finish Position
Matt Kuchar Mayakoba Golf Classic 66/1  1
Chesson Hadley CIMB Classic 110/1  T2
Ryan Palmer CJ Cup 150/1  T3
Sam Ryder Shriners Hospitals 80/1  3
Jason Day CJ Cup 13/1  T5
Zach Johnson RSM Classic 40/1  T7
Kevin Kisner RSM Classic 40/1  T7
J.B. Holmes Safeway Open 60/1  9
Shubankar Sharma CIMB Classic 150/1  T10

Premium DFS Golf Tools and Lineup Optimizer

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

Our friends at Fantasy National have created some game-changing DFS Golf tools, and you can read all about them here. They are hands-down the best daily fantasy Golf tools in the industry.

Sign Up Now!

 

Fantasy National Golf Club

Fantasy National Golf Club


eSports Premium Tools

NHL Premium Tools

RotoBaller Player News

Jakob Poeltl7 months ago

Jakob Poeltl Records Second Double-Double In Three Games
José Altuve7 months ago

Jose Altuve Will Be Absent From Wednesday’s Lineup Amid Slump
Pablo Sandoval7 months ago

Donovan Solano, Pablo Sandoval Out Of Tuesday’s Lineup
Ronald Acuña Jr.7 months ago

Ronald Acuna Jr. Scratched From Lineup Due To Injury
Blake Snell7 months ago

Blake Snell Plans To Ramp Up To Five IP Wednesday
Joe Musgrove7 months ago

Joe Musgrove Placed On Injured List With Triceps Ailment
George Springer7 months ago

George Springer Absent From Lineup For Fifth Straight Game
Ryan Braun7 months ago

Ryan Braun Returns To Lineup Tuesday Batting Fifth
Leury García7 months ago

Leury Garcia Placed On Injured List
Edwin Encarnación7 months ago

Edwin Encarnacion Returns To Lineup Tuesday
DeMar DeRozan7 months ago

DeMar DeRozan Scores Efficient 23 Points
Keldon Johnson7 months ago

Keldon Johnson Has Best Game Of Career
Seth Curry7 months ago

Seth Curry Listed As Out For Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo7 months ago

Giannis Antetokounmpo Listed As Questionable
Eric Bledsoe7 months ago

Eric Bledsoe, Donte DiVincenzo Sidelined Tuesday
Wesley Matthews7 months ago

Wesley Matthews Sitting Out Versus Washington
Daniel Theis7 months ago

Daniel Theis Will Play Tuesday
Tobias Harris7 months ago

Tobias Harris Out On Tuesday
PGA7 months ago

Sungjae Im Looks To Find Form At Wyndham
Kevin Kisner7 months ago

Kevin Kisner Heads To Carolina In Sharp Form
Paul Casey7 months ago

Paul Casey Riding Positive Momentum Into Wyndham
Russell Henley7 months ago

Russell Henley Brings Hot Irons To Wyndham
Webb Simpson7 months ago

Webb Simpson An Elite Option At Wyndham
Alex Smith7 months ago

Alex Smith Could Compete For Starting Job
Travis Fulgham7 months ago

Packers Claim Travis Fulgham
Sony Michel7 months ago

Sony Michel's Status Still Uncertain
Lamar Miller7 months ago

Patriots Sign Lamar Miller
Alvin Kamara7 months ago

Alvin Kamara Dealt With Torn Knee In 2019
Nasrat Haqparast7 months ago

Nasrat Haqparast Gets Back On Track With Win
Andrew Sanchez7 months ago

Andrew Sanchez Scores Big First-Round Knockout
Justin Jaynes7 months ago

Justin Jaynes Submitted In Third Round
Gavin Tucker7 months ago

Gavin Tucker Wins Via Rear-Naked Choke
Ryan Blaney7 months ago

Ryan Blaney Wrecked Out By Teammate, Finishes 38th
Erik Jones7 months ago

Erik Jones Fades Late, Finishes 27th At Michigan
Denny Hamlin7 months ago

Denny Hamlin Comes Up Just Short In Race Two At Michigan
Kevin Harvick7 months ago

Kevin Harvick Sweeps Michigan
7 months ago

Andreas Johnsson Activated from IR, Will Play in Game 5
7 months ago

Joonas Korpisalo Back in Net for Blue Jackets
7 months ago

Zach Werenski and Ryan Murray Both in Lineup for Game 5
7 months ago

Victor Hedman Awaiting Injury News
Austin Dillon7 months ago

Austin Dillon Crashes Late, Finishes 31st In Race One At Michigan
Aric Almirola7 months ago

Aric Almirola Struggles In Race One At Michigan
NASCAR7 months ago

Bubba Wallace Nabs Top-10 Finish At Michigan
Brad Keselowski7 months ago

Brad Keselowski Runner-Up Again At Michigan
A.J. Green7 months ago

A.J. Green Looking Explosive In Practices
T.J. Hockenson7 months ago

T.J. Hockenson Activated From COVID List
NFL7 months ago

Miami Dolphins Sign Chester Rogers
Peter Barrett7 months ago

Peter Barrett Unable To Get His First Octagon Win
Erik Jones7 months ago

Erik Jones Ends Up In 11th At Michigan
Youssef Zalal7 months ago

Youssef Zalal Wins Third Bout Of 2020
MMA7 months ago

Ali Al Qaisi Drops Debut In Very Close Contest
Irwin Rivera7 months ago

Irwin Rivera Earns Hard-Fought Decision In Opener
7 months ago

Daniel Castano Struggles A Bit In His Debut
7 months ago

Eric Hosmer Activated Off IL, Rejoins Lineup Saturday
Oakland Athletics7 months ago

Frankie Montas Sharp Again Vs Astros
Jarvis Landry7 months ago

Jarvis Landry Activated From PUP List
7 months ago

Carey Price Blanks Penguins In Series Clinching Game 4
7 months ago

Anthony Beauvillier Scores Twice As Islanders Advance To Round One
7 months ago

Auston Matthews Keeps Toronto Alive With Overtime Winner
7 months ago

Oliver Ekman-Larsson Quietly Adds to Growing Point Total
7 months ago

Darcy Kuemper Shuts the Door on Nashville, Makes 49 Saves
7 months ago

Chris Paul Leads Team in Scoring Again
7 months ago

Luguentz Dort Stays Productive
7 months ago

Ja Morant Posts 19 Points And Nine Assists
7 months ago

Jonas Valanciunas Extends Double-Double Streak
7 months ago

Dillon Brooks Scores Game-High 22 Points
7 months ago

Zach Plesac A Risky Play Saturday
Utah Jazz7 months ago

Tony Bradley Records A Double-Double Off The Bench
Utah Jazz7 months ago

Jordan Clarkson Leads Jazz With 24 Points
San Antonio Spurs7 months ago

DeMar DeRozan Remains Quiet On Friday
San Antonio Spurs7 months ago

Jakob Poeltl Ends Double-Double Drought
San Antonio Spurs7 months ago

Derrick White Scores Team-High 24 Points
Atlanta Braves7 months ago

Braves and Phillies Game Postponed Due To Weather
7 months ago

Joey Logano Will Start On The Pole At Michigan
Texas Rangers7 months ago

Joey Gallo Out Of Lineup On Friday
7 months ago

Cam Bedrosian Not Throwing Yet
Peter Barrett7 months ago

Peter Barrett Looks To Build From Contender Series Win
Jason Day7 months ago

Is Jason Day Back?
Brooks Koepka7 months ago

Brooks Koepka Will Try To Three-Peat The PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth7 months ago

Can Jordan Spieth Keep It Within The Trees?
Rory McIlroy7 months ago

Rory McIlroy Hopes To Overcome Recent Woes
7 months ago

Joey Wendle At Shortstop Tuesday
7 months ago

Mookie Betts Participates In Modified Hitting Drill
7 months ago

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Leads Thunder With 24 Points
7 months ago

Shogo Akiyama Leading Off On Friday
7 months ago

Ryan Yarbrough Looking To Keep Momentum Going Thursday
7 months ago

Travis d'Arnaud, Tyler Flowers Activated Wednesday
7 months ago

Kevin Newman Gets Day Off On Wednesday
7 months ago

Khris Davis Absent Versus Rockies
7 months ago

Ji-Man Choi Leaves Tuesday's Game Early
7 months ago

Tanner Roark Terrific In Win Over Nationals

Today’s Most Read Articles


Warning: file_get_contents(/var/www/rotoballer.com/api/trending/trending.data): failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /var/www/rotoballer.com/wp-content/plugins/php-code-for-posts/Classes/Shortcode.php(91) : eval()'d code on line 3

Warning: Invalid argument supplied for foreach() in /var/www/rotoballer.com/wp-content/plugins/php-code-for-posts/Classes/Shortcode.php(91) : eval()'d code on line 6

More Recent Articles

 

Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts for Week 7

It's Week 7 and we are officially halfway through the fantasy regular season. With fingers crossed that the season continues to operate with minimal disruption, we can allow football to the forefront of our minds as it appears all games will be played as scheduled this week. Assuming that's the case, fantasy GMs rostering Ravens,... Read More


Booms and Busts - Starts and Sits for Week 7 Lineups

Week 6 in the NFL brought what may be one of the cleanest weeks of action to begin the season. With no catastrophic injuries affecting teams for the remainder of the year, the play on the field seemed to settle in as the more well-known players performed up to par. With big weeks from Derrick... Read More


Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: DeSean Jackson Helped Off The Field Thursday Night K.J. Hamler Could Make His Return In Week 7 Devonta Freeman Questionable To Return Monday Night Michael Thomas Officially... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 6 Analysis

Your wide receivers remain essential components toward your primary goal of securing league championships. As this unique regular season continues to unfold, an expanding assortment of tools is available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge regarding this critical position. Those results are contained in this weekly statistical breakdown of multiple categories,... Read More


Week 7 IDP Rankings, Streamers, and Notes

The big IDP news of the week happened just this Thursday morning, as our rankings were being finalized. It was pretty big news, too. Yannick Ngakoue was traded to the Baltimore Ravens! Let’s discuss just how big this news is, and whether it’s good or bad for his short and long term fantasy prospects, shall... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings  ... Read More


Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Week 7

The fantasy trade market is always a fun one to evaluate. Articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" pieces but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to trade for those that are cold and trade away those hot. Now, six weeks into the season, we have several big-name players underperforming... Read More


Re-Evaluating the Rookie Running Back Class of 2020

We're six weeks into the 2020 NFL season and are starting to get some good ideas of what usage patterns are looking like. Which means we probably have enough data now to start to re-evaluate where certain players stand in relation to other players. For example, we've got a better idea of how this year's... Read More


WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid - Week 7

The CB Matchup Chart has been a helpful resource all season, specifically in Week 6. Last week's article was predictive in forecasting boom games for Julio Jones, Justin Jefferson, and Christian Kirk. It also predicted let-downs from Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp, and Mike Evans. This week's chart will give the most accurate landscape of CB matchups yet,... Read More


Pivot Plays and Post-Waiver Pickups - Week 7

Things are starting to get difficult for fantasy football managers. Indianapolis, Minnesota, Miami and Baltimore all have the week off, so fantasy managers are already playing shorthanded. Fielding a full lineup is going to be tough as it is if you have a few injuries. If one of your key guys is listed as questionable... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Shallow and Deep-League Pickups

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. Each week we will be providing streamer advice for all of those who need it, which is pretty much anyone and everyone. Streaming players with the best matchups each week as well as during your stud's bye weeks is an integral part of winning a fantasy championship... Read More


Lies, Damned Lies, and Fantasy Football Statistics (Week 7)

The more data we get as the season goes on, the better equipped we are to interpret matchups and make informed decisions. Then Week 6 comes along and blows it all to hell. The unpredictability of sports is what keeps us intrigued, as frustrating as it may be at times. Numbers are supposedly to be... Read More


Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts for Week 7

It's Week 7 and we are officially halfway through the fantasy regular season. With fingers crossed that the season continues to operate with minimal disruption, we can allow football to the forefront of our minds as it appears all games will be played as scheduled this week. Assuming that's the case, fantasy GMs rostering Ravens,... Read More


Booms and Busts - Starts and Sits for Week 7 Lineups

Week 6 in the NFL brought what may be one of the cleanest weeks of action to begin the season. With no catastrophic injuries affecting teams for the remainder of the year, the play on the field seemed to settle in as the more well-known players performed up to par. With big weeks from Derrick... Read More


Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: DeSean Jackson Helped Off The Field Thursday Night K.J. Hamler Could Make His Return In Week 7 Devonta Freeman Questionable To Return Monday Night Michael Thomas Officially... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 6 Analysis

Your wide receivers remain essential components toward your primary goal of securing league championships. As this unique regular season continues to unfold, an expanding assortment of tools is available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge regarding this critical position. Those results are contained in this weekly statistical breakdown of multiple categories,... Read More


Week 7 IDP Rankings, Streamers, and Notes

The big IDP news of the week happened just this Thursday morning, as our rankings were being finalized. It was pretty big news, too. Yannick Ngakoue was traded to the Baltimore Ravens! Let’s discuss just how big this news is, and whether it’s good or bad for his short and long term fantasy prospects, shall... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings  ... Read More


Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Week 7

The fantasy trade market is always a fun one to evaluate. Articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" pieces but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to trade for those that are cold and trade away those hot. Now, six weeks into the season, we have several big-name players underperforming... Read More


Re-Evaluating the Rookie Running Back Class of 2020

We're six weeks into the 2020 NFL season and are starting to get some good ideas of what usage patterns are looking like. Which means we probably have enough data now to start to re-evaluate where certain players stand in relation to other players. For example, we've got a better idea of how this year's... Read More


WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid - Week 7

The CB Matchup Chart has been a helpful resource all season, specifically in Week 6. Last week's article was predictive in forecasting boom games for Julio Jones, Justin Jefferson, and Christian Kirk. It also predicted let-downs from Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp, and Mike Evans. This week's chart will give the most accurate landscape of CB matchups yet,... Read More


Pivot Plays and Post-Waiver Pickups - Week 7

Things are starting to get difficult for fantasy football managers. Indianapolis, Minnesota, Miami and Baltimore all have the week off, so fantasy managers are already playing shorthanded. Fielding a full lineup is going to be tough as it is if you have a few injuries. If one of your key guys is listed as questionable... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Shallow and Deep-League Pickups

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. Each week we will be providing streamer advice for all of those who need it, which is pretty much anyone and everyone. Streaming players with the best matchups each week as well as during your stud's bye weeks is an integral part of winning a fantasy championship... Read More


Lies, Damned Lies, and Fantasy Football Statistics (Week 7)

The more data we get as the season goes on, the better equipped we are to interpret matchups and make informed decisions. Then Week 6 comes along and blows it all to hell. The unpredictability of sports is what keeps us intrigued, as frustrating as it may be at times. Numbers are supposedly to be... Read More


The King's Week 7 Fantasy Football Lineup Rankings (Premium Content)

Welcome back, RotoBallers!  Below you will find my Week 7 fantasy football lineup rankings. The ranks are available in PPR, Half PPR and Standard formats. They will be updated as needed, so make sure to check back for the latest versions. Skill Position analysis is primarily based on the PPR ranks. The rankings are powered by... Read More


Slow Starters Ready to Break Out in Fantasy?

We are now more than a third of the way into the fantasy football season and a seemingly clearer picture is available across the landscape. After a pandemic-shortened offseason and lack of preseason exposure, there were plenty of worries headed into the first month specifically. Thus far, one of the most prevalent topics with regards... Read More


Fantasy Football Warning Signals for Week 7

The warning signals get brighter by the week since we have more data to work from. The larger the sample size the easier it is for us to connect the dots from the latest trends. Football is a game of small samples and many variables, making it one of the hardest sports to predict. How... Read More


How to Value Clyde Edwards-Helaire with Le'Veon Bell in KC

Clyde Edwards-Helaire or Jonathan Taylor? Coming into the season this was the biggest question for fantasy GMs, both dynasty managers who were thinking long-term and redraft managers who wanted to know who would be better for this season. There were many different theories and believe me when I say, both sides thought they were 100%... Read More


NextGen Stats - Quarterback Breakdowns and Takeaways

It's been a month since the last time we took a look at our beloved quarterbacks. Numbers are numbers, and numbers don't lie. You can twist them, but looking at them objectively, numbers say that no matter what, rushing the ball is almost always a worse option than passing it in today's game. That's why... Read More


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More


Coaching Matters: Offenses That Will Improve From Week 6

This series continues into its sixth week of where I dive into offensive areas that will improve or decline based on coaching in order to glean insight as to fantasy football value. In Week 6, we saw performances such as Ryan Tannehill throwing for 364 passing yards, the Houston Texans running backs combining for 66 rushing yards, and the New... Read More


Tape Tells All: D'Andre Swift's Week 6 Performance

Welcome to another edition of Tape Tells All. I've been thinking of rebranding as just TAPE. All-Caps like that. Probably wouldn't be a good idea for SEO purposes, right? Anyways, this week we'll be discussing Detroit Lions rookie running back D'Andre Swift. Swift set a lot of career highs this week, with bests in carries... Read More


Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

Week 6 was like the 2020 of fantasy football weeks. All those great matchups meant nothing, those studs let you down, and your bench likely went crazy. The good news is that we didn't have any season-ending injuries to running backs or games canceled due to COVID, so in retrospect maybe we shouldn't complain. The... Read More


FAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Whether it's injuries, bye-week blues, or simply poor performance, we've got the waiver-wire cure...but it just might cost you! Alongside our famous waiver wire pickups list and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Budget (FAB). In... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 7 Lightning Round

Week 6 was relatively healthy and had no coronavirus delays, so let's just take a moment to bask in that. That said, we still saw Miles Sanders (knee) and Zach Ertz (ankle) go down, while Mark Ingram (ankle) has a bye to get healthy. Week 7 byes are Baltimore, Indianapolis, Miami, and Minnesota. Let's get... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Fantasy GMs are to be commended for rising to the unique challenges that have unfolded during this regular season. Injuries to critical players is an unwelcome reality that occurs every year. This is also the case for backs that were expected to operate as RB1s, but have been relegated to committees. However, this season has... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Six weeks of NFL football are behind us, aside from a pair of Monday games, including a late afternoon game between the Bills and the Chiefs. In terms of wide receiver production this week, we didn't have the huge breakouts like we had in Week 5. Chase Claypool didn't score four touchdowns. In fact, only... Read More


More Recent Articles

 

Dissecting Contact Quality In Search Of Fantasy Bargains

Of the 1,015 hitters sampled(1) between 2015 and 2019, there were only 14 instances of hitters making more productive contact against pitches outside of the strike zone than against pitches inside of the strike zone based on xwOBAcon. Based on the same sample, the average hitter was a whopping .116 points better against pitches inside... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 23rd, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 23rd, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Lineup Order Risers and Fallers: AL West 2020 Review

It’s the offseason and there are about to be a bunch of moving parts. This allows for speculation in terms of players gaining or losing playing time, moving up or down a batting order and much more. The idea here is to highlight some lineup situations for each team and some potential winners or losers... Read More


2021 1st & 2nd Year Players with James Anderson - Benched with Bubba (Episode 317)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by James Anderson (@RealJRAnderson) on episode 317. The guys will go over 30+ first and second-year players. They will discuss their current ADP's in the 2 Early Mocks, what to expect of the players in 2021, and much more. They also go over some listener questions, compare Juan Soto to Mike... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 21st, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 21st, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 20th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 20th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Bubba and Bat Flip 54: 2 Early Mocks APD Player Debates - Benched with Bubba (Episode 316)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by Bat Flip Crazy (@BatFlipCrazy) to take a deeper look at the 2 Early Mocks ADP. They go over some of the positions and look at players with similar ADPs and debate. Going around the diamond discussing some players people are high on and some they are down on with a... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 18th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 18th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 17th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 17th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


2021 Early Mock ADP Values & Reaches: WPC+ Videocast

Pierre Camus and Nicklaus Gaut prepare for the 2021 fantasy baseball season with a look at early mock draft results from the RotoBaller Expert mock. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller... Read More


Statcast Season Review: 2020 Barrel Leaders (Hitters)

The 2020 MLB season will always be one for the record books, even if everything that took place will have multiple asterisks attached to it. Evaluating Statcast numbers is a nice way to find hot and cold hitters, as well as underachievers and overachievers. Now that the regular season is over, let's reflect on the... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 16th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 16th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 15th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 15th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 14th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 14th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Bubba and Bat Flip 53: 2 Early Mocks APD Trends & More - Benched with Bubba (Episode 315)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by Bat Flip Crazy (@BatFlipCrazy) to take a deeper look at the 2 Early Mocks ADP. They dig into trends, some interesting risers/fallers, and much more. They also go over some listener questions at the end to keep the Fantasy Baseball information coming even in the offseason. Be sure to subscribe... Read More