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Running Back Best Ball Rankings and Analysis (Part 2) 2022

Elijah Mitchell - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

We have progressed beyond the most dormant weeks of this offseason and the player movement that has transpired during free agency has already fueled encouraging rises and concerning falls in the stock of various players. The highly-anticipated NFL Draft is also approaching, which will create another notable shift in the fantasy landscape as each selection is announced.

The Best Ball draft process is also escalating, as fantasy managers embrace the opportunity to assemble rosters that will not require any additional management following the conclusion of your drafts. That’s why the team at RotoBaller is providing the latest updates in our tiered rankings. that will help you prepare for every draft in this popular format.

We will also deliver analysis of the latest tiered rankings following every update. That includes my two-part series that will examine the always-critical running back position. This article will place the spotlight on tiers 4-9, and you can find a full breakdown of tiers 1-3 here.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including Best NFL Series, MLB Series, NBA Writer, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

RB Best Ball Rankings

Position Rank Position Tier Player Name Overall Rank Overall Tier
1 1 Jonathan Taylor 1 1
2 1 Derrick Henry 2 1
3 1 Christian McCaffrey 3 1
4 1 Austin Ekeler 4 1
5 1 Najee Harris 7 1
6 2 Dalvin Cook 10 2
7 2 Joe Mixon 11 2
8 2 Javonte Williams 13 2
9 2 D'Andre Swift 14 2
10 2 Nick Chubb 18 2
11 2 Antonio Gibson 21 3
12 2 Breece Hall 24 3
13 2 Aaron Jones 26 3
14 3 Cam Akers 27 3
15 3 Saquon Barkley 28 3
16 3 Alvin Kamara 29 4
17 3 David Montgomery 30 4
18 4 Elijah Mitchell 34 4
19 4 Ezekiel Elliott 35 4
20 4 Josh Jacobs 38 4
21 4 Leonard Fournette 42 4
22 4 J.K. Dobbins 50 5
23 4 Michael Carter 51 5
24 5 Damien Harris 56 5
25 5 Travis Etienne Jr. 60 6
26 5 Devin Singletary 61 6
27 5 Kenneth Walker III 70 6
28 5 Kareem Hunt 72 6
29 5 AJ Dillon 76 7
30 5 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 78 7
31 6 James Conner 80 7
32 6 Miles Sanders 85 7
33 6 Melvin Gordon III 87 8
34 6 Isaiah Spiller 88 8
35 6 Rashaad Penny 91 8
36 6 Chris Carson 93 8
37 7 Chase Edmonds 94 8
38 7 Alexander Mattison 102 9
39 7 Tony Pollard 104 9
40 7 Rhamondre Stevenson 108 9
41 7 Darrel Williams 112 10
42 7 Darrell Henderson Jr. 117 10
43 8 Ronald Jones II 119 10
44 8 Khalil Herbert 131 10
45 8 Sony Michel 136 11
46 8 Kenneth Gainwell 137 11
47 8 Jamaal Williams 142 11
48 8 Chuba Hubbard 147 11
49 8 Rachaad White 148 12
50 8 Gus Edwards 149 12
51 8 Ke'Shawn Vaughn 150 12
52 8 J.D. McKissic 158 13
53 8 D'Onta Foreman 162 13
54 9 Kenyan Drake 164 13
55 9 Raheem Mostert 165 13
56 9 Jerick McKinnon 167 13
57 9 James White 170 13
58 9 Nyheim Hines 174 13
59 9 James Robinson 181 14
60 9 Zamir White 182 14
61 9 James Cook 185 14
62 9 Jordan Howard 193 14
63 9 Dameon Pierce 196 14
64 9 Jermar Jefferson 199 14
65 9 Samaje Perine 202 15
66 9 Boston Scott 203 15
67 10 Matt Breida 206 15
68 10 Mark Ingram II 207 15
69 10 Kyren Williams 211 15
70 10 Trey Sermon 213 15
71 10 D'Ernest Johnson 214 15
72 10 Tyler Badie 217 15
73 10 Duke Johnson Jr. 218 15
74 11 Mike Davis 220 15
75 11 Tyler Allgeier 221 16
76 11 Jerome Ford 225 16
77 11 Myles Gaskin 227 16
78 11 Justin Jackson 228 16
79 11 David Johnson 232 16
80 11 Rex Burkhead 239 16
81 11 Brian Robinson Jr. 242 16
82 12 Zack Moss 243 16
83 12 Devonta Freeman 245 16
84 12 Jeff Wilson Jr. 248 17
85 12 Phillip Lindsay 254 17
86 12 Chris Evans 255 17
87 12 Marlon Mack 256 17
88 12 DeeJay Dallas 260 17
89 12 Devontae Booker 262 18
90 12 Latavius Murray 265 18
91 12 Jaret Patterson 266 18
92 12 Abram Smith 268 18
93 12 Giovani Bernard 269 18
94 12 Sincere McCormick 271 18
95 13 Jerrion Ealy 276 18
96 13 Mike Boone 279 18
97 13 Wayne Gallman 286 18
98 13 C.J. Verdell 290 18
99 13 JaMycal Hasty 294 18
100 13 Carlos Hyde 297 18
101 13 Joshua Kelley 298 18
102 13 Jalen Richard 302 19
103 13 Damien Williams 303 19
104 13 Tevin Coleman 309 19
105 13 Ty Johnson 310 19
106 13 Tarik Cohen 311 19
107 13 Salvon Ahmed 312 19
108 13 Darrynton Evans 313 19
109 13 Hassan Haskins 314 19
110 13 Kalen Ballage 315 19

 

Tier 4

Elijah MitchellEzekiel Elliott, Josh Jacobs  Leonard Fournette, J.K. Dobbins, Michael Carter

Mitchell was the 11th back to be selected during the 2021 NFL Draft when San Francisco secured him in Round 6 (194th overall). He catapulted multiple backs – including third-round pick Trey Sermon – while vaulting atop the 49ers’ depth chart and sustaining RB1 duties throughout the season. Mitchell easily led the team in carries and rushing yardage despite missing six different matchups due to lingering injuries (shoulder/finger/knee). Mitchell also finished 13th overall in attempts (207/18.8 per game), eighth in rushing yardage (963), and his 87.5 yards per game average was only exceeded by Henry, Taylor, Chubb, and Cook.

Weeks 1-18 Yards/Gm
Derrick Henry 117.1
Jonathan Taylor 106.5
Nick Chubb 89.9
Dalvin Cook 89.2
Elijah Mitchell 87.5
Joe Mixon 75.3

 

Weeks 1-18  YAC
Jonathan Taylor 941
Nick Chubb 692
Najee Harris 675
Joe Mixon 543
Elijah Mitchell 515
Antonio Gibson 503

He was also fifth in yards after contact (515) while capturing a 64.3% snap share. Sermon and Jeff Wilson Jr. could conceivably provide competition for touches, but Mitchell has secured Kyle Shanahan’s trust as the 49ers’ primary back.

Elliott has descended from his customary position among the first-round selections as fantasy managers’ sense of urgency for seizing the three-time Pro Bowler has dissipated. This has been underscored by his current ADP (50/RB21), which is the lowest of his career. Elliott did finish at RB6 last season. He was also seventh in attempts (237/13.9 per game and rushing yards (1,002), and was also sixth in touchdowns (10). 

However, he also manufactured a career-worst 58.9 yards per game average, while his average in yards after contact per attempt dropped to 1.7. He was also relegated to career-lows in receiving yards per game (16.9), and yards after catch per reception (5.9). Elliott was contending with a torn PCL during the season and should theoretically operate with better health in 2022. However, he will also turn 27 in July, and the explosive Tony Pollard continually lurks as a source of siphoned touches.

Jacobs has functioned as the primary back during his three years with the Raiders, but he began the offseason amid uncertainty surrounding the team’s intentions of exercising the fifth-year option on his contract. The former first-round selection had averaged 18.4 attempts per game during 2019-2020 (18.6/18.2), but that diminished to 14.5 in 2021. That contributed to his career-low 58.1 yards per game average, which declined from the 79.8 that he attained during the previous two seasons.

However, Jacobs also assembled favorable numbers while finishing fourth overall in attempts (128/18.3 per game), rushing yardage (539/77 per game), and 100-yard performances (2) during Weeks 12-18. He also tied for sixth in touchdowns (4), while establishing new career-highs in targets (64/4.3 per game) receptions (54/3.6 per game), and receiving yardage (348/23.2 per game). Former Patriot Brandon Bolden was added to the backfield and will pilfer pass-catching opportunities. However, Jacobs should retain RB1 responsibilities as the Las Vegas offense transforms under head coach Josh McDaniels.

Fournette flourished as an every-down back, while soaring to RB3, and leading his position in targets (84/6.0 per game), and receptions (69/4.9 per game) from Weeks 1-15. He was also third in receiving yards (454/32.4 per game) entering Week 16 before the troublesome hamstring sidelined him during Tampa Bay’s final three matchups.

Weeks 1-15 Targets Targ/Gm Rec Yards
Leonard Fournette 84 6 69 454
Najee Harris 80 5.7 62 405
Austin Ekeler 79 5.6 62 558
D'Andre Swift 70 6.4 56 429
Cordarrelle Patterson 64 4.9 48 524
Ezekiel Elliott 59 4.2 44 265
Myles Gaskin 56 4 45 217
Josh Jacobs 55 4.6 47 324
Alvin Kamara 55 5.5 38 348
J.D. McKissic 53 4.8 43 397
Aaron Jones 53 4.1 42 340

Fournette was also 10th in rushing yardage (812/58 per game) and 11th in attempts (180/12.9 per game) before his injury, and would have finished at the periphery of 1,000 yards if he had sustained his per game average throughout the year. Fournette also secured a 63.2% snap share while functioning in his workhorse role, and should outperform his ADP (77/RB27) if he surfaces in a favorable environment.

Dobbins was being drafted as an RB2 last season (ADP 27/RB16) before he experienced a season-ending torn ACL in August. He will now re-emerge as the lead back within a Baltimore ground game that dropped from a league-high 55.8% run play percentage in 2020 to 12th during 2021 (42.6%). The Ravens predominantly relied on a mixture of Devonta Freeman, Latavius Murray, and their signal callers (Lamar Jackson/Tyler Huntley) to compile yardage during the season.

However, the return of Dobbins, Gus Edwards (ACL), and a healthy Jackson (ankle) should enable that trio to commandeer the majority of carries. Dobbins generated 805 yards (53.7 per game) and nine touchdowns on 134 attempts (8.9 per game) during 2020 and could exceed those numbers this season. That has resurrected Dobbins' status as an RB2, and he can be targeted at the onset of Round 4.

Carter was infused into a favorable environment during his rookie season, as the Jets backfield did not contain an unquestioned feature back. He operated in a rotation with Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson. However, that did not prevent Carter from leading the backfield in snap share (41.3%), carries (147/10.5 per game), rushing yardage (639/45.6 per game), and receptions (36/2.6 per game).

Carter also tied for second among all backs with 37 targets (6.2 per game) from Weeks 4-10 and was fourth in receiving yardage (258/43 per game), and fifth in receptions (26/4.3 per game). Carter also averaged 12.4 attempts, and 48.7 rushing yards per game from Weeks 4-11, before a high ankle sprain sidelined him for three games. Carter should emerge from training camp with an expanded workload, provided that the Jets do not add formidable competition for touches during the upcoming weeks.

 

Tier 5

Damien Harris. Travis EtienneDevin Singletary, Kenneth Walker III, Kareem Hunt, AJ Dillon, Clyde Edwards-Helaire

New England’s distribution of touches to multiple backs limited Harris’s snap share to 36.8%, but he still assembled the best numbers of his career. That includes his team-high 929 yards (61.9 per game) which placed him 10th among all backs. He also finished 11th in yards before contact (469), ninth in yards after contact (460), 17th in carries (202/13.5 per game), fifth in red zone attempts (44), and second in carries inside the 10 (30).

Harris capitalized on those opportunities near the goal line by stockpiling 15 touchdowns, which vaulted him to second overall. Harris should be entrusted with a respectable workload once again. However, the perpetual presence of Rhamondre Stevenson will impede Harris from commandeering sizable touch totals on a frequent basis. That reduces the motivation for selecting Harris before Round 6.

Etienne accumulated 6,107 yards from scrimmage and 78 touchdowns during his career with Clemson. That included 1,600+ rushing yards in both 2018-2019 and 48 receptions/588 receiving yards in 2020. This incentivized Jacksonville to seize Etienne during Round 1 of the 2021 NFL Draft (25th overall), which created an opportunity for him to display his enticing home-run capabilities. Unfortunately, Etienne’s devastating Lisfranc injury kept him sidelined throughout the 2021 regular season.

However, he is now positioned to confiscate a sizable role within a revamped Jaguars’ offense that will be spearheaded by Doug Peterson. The torn Achilles that was suffered by James Robinson in December has left his status unsettled while expanding a pathway for Etienne to perform with an extensive workload. Etienne should also remain heavily involved in the transformed attack after Robinson returns.

Singletary’s workload was suppressed by a rotation with Zack Moss during Weeks 1-10. as their attempts per game averages were virtually even (Singletary 8.9/Moss 9.0). Matt Breida was also injected into the equation. However, Singletary captured an expanded touch total in late November, which extracted him from the encumbrances of an overcrowded backfield.

He soared to fourth in snap share (74.5%) from Weeks 12-18, while finishing eighth in attempts (105/15 per game). Singletary also vaulted to seventh in rushing yardage during that sequence (455/65.0 per game), while finishing third in touchdowns (5). The elevated touch total also propelled him to career highs in carries (188), and rushing yardage (870). Singletary also led Buffalo’s backfield in targets (50/2.9 per game), receptions (40/2.4 per game), and receiving yards (228/13.4 per game), and eluded a major threat to his pass-catching opportunities when J.D. McKissic returned to Washington. Singletary should also retain his late-season responsibilities as Buffalo’s RB1 if the Bills do not inject additional backs into the equation.

Walker averaged 108.5 attempts and 8.5 touchdowns with Wake Forest in 2019-2020 but became a Heisman Finalist after transferring to Michigan State in 2021. He also vaulted to second overall in rushing yardage (1,636) last season, while finishing eighth in attempts (263), and touchdowns (18).

He also completed the 40-yard dash in 4.38 at the NFL Combine and registered 34.0 inches in the vertical jump, and 10’,2” in the broad jump. He should be one of the first two backs to be selected in the upcoming NFL Draft, and his ADP has elevated to Round 7 of best ball drafts.

Hunt missed nine matchups last season (calf/ankle), while finishing third behind teammates Nick Chubb and D’Ernest Johnson in attempts (78), and rushing yardage (386), His per-game averages of 9.8 attempts and 48.3 rushing yards would have produced season-long totals of 167 carries/821 yards if he had sustained those averages from Weeks 1-18. Hunt has now averaged 3.3 per game since 2020, after finishing eighth overall with a 5.5 per game average in 2019.  He should function as Cleveland’s RB2 behind Chubb. However, Johnson is a restricted free agent, who was extended an original-round tender by the Browns. His return would reduce Hunt’s chances of operating with a massive workload if Chubb is sidelined during the year.

Dillon’s snap share increased from 14% in 2020 to 43% last season, as he also played in all 17 of the Packers’ regular season matchups. His burgeoning workload facilitated his rise to the team lead in rushing attempts (187), rushing yardage (803), while he finished 20th among all backs in each category. He was also 13th in first downs (50), after completing the year at 11th overall in red zone attempts (39), and 13th in carries inside the 10 (21). Dillon also led the Packers in rushing touchdowns (5), collected 34 of his 37 targets, and generated 313 receiving yards. He will remain highly involved in the Packers’ ground game and his stock would soar if Jones becomes unavailable for any reason.

Weeks 1-18 Inside 20 Inside 10 Inside 5 TD
Jonathan Taylor 85 41 26 18
Austin Ekeler 46 25 12 12
Dalvin Cook 45 26 12 6
Sony Michel 45 24 6 4
Damien Harris 44 30 14 15
Antonio Gibson 43 25 12 7
David Montgomery 43 24 12 7
James Conner 41 28 16 15
Leonard Fournette 40 25 11 8
Alvin Kamara 40 17 9 4
Nick Chubb 39 22 10 8
AJ Dillon 39 21 10 5

The rapid descent in Edwards-Helaire’s career trajectory is underscored by the enormous drop in ADP since he became a first-round selection during the 2020 NFL Draft. His prospects of operating with a sizable workload in Andy Reid’s high-powered attack motivated managers to seize him fifth overall during the 2020 draft season but he is currently being drafted in Round 8 (ADP89/RB30) as a consequence of injuries and underwhelming performances. That includes the disappointing results from 2021, when he missed seven matchups, only manufactured 517 yards, and averaged 2.3 targets, 1.9 receptions, and an anemic 12.9 receiving yards per game. Edwards-Helaire appears destined to have his weekly touch totals restricted as the Chiefs distribute opportunities to other backs.

 

Tier 6

 James Conner, Miles SandersMelvin Gordon IIIIsaiah Spiller, Rashaad Penny, Chris Carson,

Conner remained in Arizona’s lineup during 15 matchups, which established a career-high. He also finished eighth overall with 41 red zone attempts, while vaulting to third in carries inside the 10 (28), and second with 16 attempts inside the five. Conner capitalized on his opportunities by generating a career-best 15 rushing touchdowns, and those frequent visits to the end zone propelled him to RB5. It may be difficult for Conner to replicate last year’s propensity for generating touchdowns. However, his importance to the Cardinals’ attack has been solidified following his new contract (three years-$21 million), and Chase Edmonds’ departure for Miami.

Sanders should enter Week 1 atop Philadelphia’s depth chart as he enters the final year of his rookie contract. He will be operating in an offense that led the league in run play percentage (51.2%), although the Eagles also kept Jordan Howard, Boston Scott and Kenny Gainwell involved as the season progressed. Sanders led the team in attempts (137/11.4 per game), and rushing yardage (754/62.8 per game). However, he also failed to register a touchdown, while missing five games (ankle/hand).  The constraints of Philadelphia’s overcrowded backfield will remain, which should keep Sanders available until Round 9 in your drafts.

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Even though many within the fantasy community were envisioning a significant workload for Williams as the 2021 regular season advanced, Gordon completed the year with an equal number of carries (203). He also led Denver with 12.7 attempts and 57.4 yards per game, was 15th overall in red zone attempts (37), and 13th with 21 carries inside the 10.

Gordon also doubled Williams’ touchdown total (8/4), while maximizing his opportunities to remain involved in the Broncos attack. He should retain a reasonable workload once again, regardless of whether he is operating in a rotation with Williams, or performing in a committee with another franchise.

Spiller averaged 5.5 yards per attempt and assembled 2,993 rushing yards during his three years with Texas A&M, while also collecting 20+ receptions in each of his seasons as an Aggie. He possesses a favorable blend of attributes that can keep him in the field as a rookie. That includes his decisiveness and physical style that supplies the ability to accrue yards after contact. Spiller chose not to participate in the 40-yard dash during the NFL Combine and delivered uninspiring results in the broad jump and vertical jump. However, he will have an opportunity to perform more impressively at Texas A&M’s upcoming Pro Day.

Penny averaged just 30.5 yards per game from 2018-2020 and the uninspiring results intensified from Weeks 1-13 last season (15.6 per game). However, the former first-round selection erupted statistically from Weeks 14-18, while exploding for a league-best 134.2 per game during that sequence.

Penny also led all backs in rushing yardage (671), touchdowns (6), and rushes of 20+ (11), while his late-season surge launched him to second overall in Football Outsiders’ DVOA (Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average). His home-run potential will result in an opportunity to build upon last year’s statistical explosion, but it is unclear whether that will transpire in Seattle.

Carson’s current ADP is over 100 slots below his draft position from one year ago as 42 backs are being drafted before he is finally chosen in Round 13. The oft-injured Carson has now missed 33 matchups since 2017, including his 13-game absence during 2021. Carson is recovering from surgery following his protracted neck issue but could receive a sizable role in a reconstructed Seattle offense whenever he resurfaces in the lineup – particularly if Penny does not re-sign with the Seahawks. Carson will turn 28 in September, and concerns surrounding his availability should delay his selection until your draft has progressed beyond Round 10.

 

Tier 7

Chase Edmonds, Alexander Mattison, Tony Pollard, Rhamondre StevensonDarrel WilliamsDarrell Henderson

Edmonds attained career highs in attempts (116/9.7 per game) and rushing yardage (592/49.3 per game) during 2021 despite missing five matchups (ankle/toe/rib). He still led Arizona’s backfield in targets (53), and receptions (43/3.6 per game), was 13th among backs in receptions, and tied for ninth with a 4.4 target per game average. His ADP is also rising after his relocation in Miami (two years, $12.6 million), as he will have the opportunity to commandeer a favorable workload in head coach Mike McDaniel’s redesigned offense.

Alexander Mattison is unreal ?

(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/wtYUcVypBN

— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) October 10, 2021

Mattison remains relegated to a modest workload whenever Dalvin Cook is in Minnesota’s lineup. However, he is also capable of delivering RB1 numbers whenever Cook is sidelined, as that immediately vaults Mattison into responsibilities as the Vikings’ workhorse back. Mattison climbed to RB7/RB6 in Weeks 3 and 5 (51 carries/225 rushing yards) while Cook was encumbered by an ankle injury, and rose to RB8 in Week 13 (22 attempts/90 yards) when Cook was unavailable once again (shoulder). Mattison remains an outstanding safeguard for anyone who has drafted Cook and should provide favorable weekly scoring totals whenever he garners a sizable touch total.

Pollard remains embedded among the most coveted insurance policies with fantasy managers who are committed to securing backups for their starting backs. He secured new career highs in snap share (35%), rushing attempts (130/8.7 per game), rushing yardage (719/47.9 per game), targets (46/3.1 per game, receptions (39/2.6 per game), and receiving yards (337/22.5 per game).

Pollard was also fourth in yards before contact per attempt, (3.1), and fifth in yards after contact per attempt (2.5). He would also soar into RB1 territory if Elliott would miss any matchups during the season.

Stevenson extracted himself from Bill Belichick’s doghouse to average 14.9 attempts per game from Weeks 9-17. He also capitalized on his opportunities by finishing 10th overall in yardage during that sequence (498/71.1 per game).

He also eclipsed 100 yards in two of those outings, while attaining a 44.8% snap share. Stevenson will operate in a rotation with Harris but is worthy of targeting in Round 9 of your upcoming drafts.

Henderson secured new career highs in attempts (149/12.4 per game), and rushing yardage (688/57.3 per game). He also averaged 4.6 yards per attempt but was second behind Sony Michel scoring in both categories. Henderson was also sidelined during six contests (knee/reserve-COVID), while Cam Akers confiscated lead-back duties during the postseason. Akers will sustain his extensive workload while Henderson will be limited to a weekly allotment of carries.

Williams is currently an unrestricted free agent although his career-best production during 2021 has elevated him into tier 7. Williams accrued a career-high seven starts and led Kansas City’s backfield in attempts (144/8.5 per game), rushing yardage (558/32.8 per game), targets 57/3.4 per game) receptions (47/2.8 per game), and receiving yards (452/26.6 per game). He was also fifth among all back in yards after catch per reception (9.3) and can become a viable resource, regardless of whether he resurfaces with the Chiefs, or emerges in a new environment.

 

Tiers 8-9

Ronald Jones II, Khalil Herbert, Sony Michel, Kenneth Gainwell, Jamaal Williams, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, Gus Edwards, Ke'Shawn Vaughn, J.D. McKissic, D'Onta Foreman, Kenyan Drake, Raheem Mostert, Jerick McKinnon, James White, Nyheim Hines, James Robinson, Zamir White, James Cook, Jordan Howard, Dameon Pierce, Jermar Jefferson, Samaje Perine, Boston Scott

The backs that are contained in tiers 8 and 9 are located from RB43 to RB66 in our rankings, but their value could rise or descend due to various factors that emerge as the offseason progresses.



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