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Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! This week, the PGA event is The Rocket Mortgage Classic.
The tour returns to Detroit, Michigan this week for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. With only a few events left, players on the FedEx Cup bubble will be jockeying for position to maintain their card and make the playoffs.
Let's get to my DFS pivot plays for the week. Good luck with your DFS lineups, and be sure to check out all of our other PGA DFS and betting articles each week!
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The Rocket Mortgage Classic - DFS Lineup Pivots
Fade: Kevin Kisner ($9,100)
Kevin Kisner is gathering some steam in DFS this week. While he is not projected to be very high-owned, there looks to be some reasons to fade. Kisner has played well in his last two starts.
It has been much improved for the South Carolina native as he missed five straight cuts prior to the Travelers. Kisner finished in sixth place that week. He then went on to record a top 25 place finish at The Open.
Some may look at Kisner’s performances and think he could be in great form for this week. However, at The Travelers, Kisner did not have that great of ball striking week.
His finishing position was largely due to gaining 7.7 strokes on the greens. At a firm and fast St. Andrews, Kisner received rollout on the fairways which helped with his lack of distance.
Over his last 24 rounds, Kisner ranks 113 in strokes gained ball-striking, 119 in strokes gained off-the-tee, and 105 in strokes gained on approach. Those are not numbers you want to see from a golfer who is $2,200 more expensive from his last start. This is a time to sell on Kisner and pivot to other options.
Play: Tony Finau ($10,600)
Tony Finau is currently projected to be the lowest owned golfer in the 10k range. This is likely due to the bias that a golfer cannot perform well in back-to-back weeks.
This is a type of bias we can take advantage of. Finau is arguably playing the best out of any golfer in this range. He won last week at The 3M Open. Finau was a ball-striking machine, gaining 16.6 strokes tee-to-green and 7.9 on approach.
Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks first tee-to-green, third in ball striking, and second in DraftKings points. Don’t buy into the bias that a golfer can’t win or play well in back-to-back weeks.
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Mark Hubbard ($8,000)
Mark Hubbard has been playing some great golf of late. He has gained strokes on approach in four straight starts, highlighted by gaining 7 at The Barbasol. Hubbard also has gained momentum with the putter.
He has gained strokes with the putter in six consecutive starts. Finally, over his last 24 rounds, he ranks second on approach and 16th in DraftKings points.
Christopher Gotterup ($7,400)
Chris Gotterup has carried a lot of steam in the DFS community since he first start on tour. His salary and ownership projections look as if they are coming back to earth.
After a missed cut at The Barbasol and a 31st last week, now may be the time to buy on Gotterup. He gained 4.7 on approach last week and 7.5 tee-to-green. His finishing result would have been better if he did not lose three strokes putting last week. Over his last 24 rounds, Gotterup ranks ninth on approach and 13th in ball striking.
Stewart Cink ($7,100)
Currently projected to be in the low single digits is Stewart Cink. Cink has quietly played solid golf lately. Last week at The 3M, he gained 4 strokes on approach and 10.5 tee-to-green.
Over Cink’s last 24 rounds, he ranks 24th tee-to-green and 12th in ball striking. Look for Cink to contend this week at low ownership.
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