RADIO
Hey RotoBallers, my name is Rob Giltner and I'm excited to join the incredible RotoBaller PGA crew this year. In this article, you will find my top PGA DFS Pivots for Draftkings for The American Express. I pumped to assist you in any way possible to help make us all some money in DFS!
Pivoting can be easily defined as shifting from a highly-owned golfer to a lesser-owned golfer at a similar price point. Pivoting helps create leverage in DFS. Leverage allows us to gain an advantage over the field in GPPs. This Leverage increases our chances to win a tournament. In GPP DFS, we are competing with, at times thousands of other entries. Pivoting and creating leverage helps separate ourselves from these other entries.
The separation allows us to maximize our chances of winning a GPP. An example of this would be if golfer A is $9000 and 30% owned and Golfer B is $8900 and 10%, we could pivot off golfer A and go to golfer B for the leverage. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!
The American Express: DFS Lineup Pivots
Pivot Off Talor Gooch ($9,700) to Tony Finau ($10,200)
Talor Gooch is currently projected to be one of the highest-owned golfers in the field. This is likely due to his good course history at this event. In four starts, Gooch has not missed a cut and has a top-five finish. The 30-year-old American also picked up momentum this fall by having three top fives and a win at The RSM Classic. Gooch’s approach game led him to his strong fall swing. Gooch gained an average of four strokes on approach during this time. However, in his last two tournaments, Gooch has only gained on average .65 on approach. While these past two events could be an outlier, I am willing to pivot off Gooch with the idea he could be regressing with his irons. It may be the time to sell on Gooch.
Tony Finau is getting overlooked as he is priced between Patrick Cantlay and Sunjae Im. Finau arguably has stronger course history at The American Express. He finished in fourth-place last year while gaining 9.4 strokes tee-to-green. Over the last two years, Finau has had more wins, top 10s, and made cuts than Gooch. While Finau is priced higher than Gooch, the ownership discount will likely be substantial. This difference makes Finau an excellent pivot option.
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Rob by using the discount code BALLER when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!
Pivot Off Seamus Power ($9,500) to Will Zalatoris ($9,100)
Seamus Power’s strong play has not gone unnoticed. He has five top 15s in his last six starts. Power has also played The American Express three times, highlighted by an 11th-place finish in 2018. Although he has strong recent form, there is evidence to suggest he is overvalued. Before the spring of 2021, Power only had three top 10s in his career on the PGA Tour. The Irishman has excelled tee-to-green and on approach over the last eight months. However, he lost strokes on approach last week at The Sony Open. His third-place-finish at Waialae was attributed to the 5.2 strokes he gained putting. Power has not shown the type of back class that should warrant owning him at high ownership and salary.
Will Zalatoris has had poor recent form. We last saw Zalatoris compete at The Mayakoba Classic, where he had a missed cut. His current form is likely to cause a single-digit ownership number. However, Zalatoris has strong back class. He has three top 10s in majors early in his young career. I do not think many would have guessed at this time last year, that Power would be more expensive and higher owned than Zalatoris.
Pivot off Hayden Buckley ($7,200) to Andrew Putnam ($7,100)
For a golfer in the $7000 range, Hayden Buckley is projected to be highly owned. Buckley had two top 10s this past fall and 12th place-finish at The Sony last week. Buckley has been very inconsistent early in his career. He has three missed cuts out of seven starts. His ownership this week could be a case of recency bias. A golfer at this stage of his career, like Buckley, is not worth owning at high ownership.
There is a lot to like about Andrew Putnam this week. In his last four starts at The American Express, Putnam has four made cuts and had a T10 in 2020. Putnam could also be trending with his ball-striking. In his past two starts, he has gained strokes consecutively tee-to-green. He has not accomplished that since March of 2021. Lastly, the putting surface this week will play more like a Poa surface. Putnam ranks 12th in the field putting on Poa.
Win Big With RotoBaller
Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big.Congrats @tenndolly2 ???
— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020
Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt
