Jon Anderson's SP Tiered Rankings and Projections, Part 2

3 years ago by Jon Anderson

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2. Tier Eight: Low K and Heartbreak

3. Tier Nine: Anybody's Guess

4. Tier Ten: Names I Wish Would Retire

5. Tier Eleven: Guys I'm Wrong About But Want To See Proof

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7. More Fantasy Baseball Advice

We're back to finish out my starting pitcher tiers! In Part One, we covered my top-38 starters, you can check that out here!

We'll reveal and review the rest of my top-75 starters in this post. I admit that things got a little sloppy for me near the end, but when I encounter a pitcher that I would just never consider at the going rate, I end up just throwing them way far down on my list because I know I'll never draft them anyways.

Let's get to it.

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Tier Seven: Coming Off Injury/Might Just Stink

Player			Current Projections
Name	Rank	ADP	GS	IP	W	ERA	WHIP	SO
Mike Clevinger	40	189	21	121	8	3.66	1.19	132
Luis Severino	41	180	30	122	9	3.87	1.18	128
Sonny Gray	42	181	29	160	11	4.13	1.27	170
Jack Flaherty	43	76	29	159	12	3.71	1.16	171

Clevinger and Severino are both talented enough to end up as a top-20 starter, but it has proven to be really tough for a pitcher to come back from missing this much time and really have a large fantasy impact. I'd rather not roll the dice.

I'm a bit of a Sonny Gray fan myself, and you can tell that I really don't like Flaherty. There's a good chance Flaherty makes me look incredibly silly here as I rank him lower than probably anybody else around.

My Favorite: Gray

My Fade: Flaherty

ADP Considered Upside: Clevinger

Tier Eight: Low K and Heartbreak

Player			Current Projections
Name	Rank	ADP	GS	IP	W	ERA	WHIP	SO
Chris Bassitt	44	138	29	168	11	3.73	1.19	160
Nathan Eovaldi	45	141	29	167	10	3.91	1.20	170
Tony Gonsolin	46	307	23	114	7	4.26	1.32	119
Ian Anderson	47	152	29	156	10	4.00	1.31	154
Blake Snell	48	117	28	146	9	3.80	1.25	176
Carlos Rodon	49	129	24	129	9	3.55	1.14	160

Yes, I plan to have a lot of Tony Gonsolin this year. Even I will admit this is a ridiculous ranking of him, but you've got to plant your flag somewhere.

I'm really off the Snells and Rodons of the world, I just don't want any part of betting on their health, and with Snell, that's not even the only question. I would much prefer a lower-ceiling but a higher-floor option like Bassitt, Eovaldi, Anderson, or Gonsolin here.

My Favorite: Gonsolin

My Fade: Rodon

ADP Considered Upside: Gonsolin

Tier Nine: Anybody's Guess

Player			Current Projections
Name	Rank	ADP	GS	IP	W	ERA	WHIP	SO
Josiah Gray	50	285	26	137	7	4.72	1.30	136
Jordan Montgomery	51	214	29	158	9	4.09	1.27	159
Tarik Skubal	52	195	30	159	9	4.10	1.24	175
Carlos Carrasco	53	300	24	130	8	1.20	1.26	132
Tylor Megill	54	215	21	113	6	4.34	1.27	120
Aaron Civale	55	265	29	163	10	4.46	1.27	135
John Means	56	220	29	162	9	4.14	1.16	146
Tanner Houck	57	202	19	116	7	4.09	1.28	21
Ranger Suarez	58	177	26	146	10	3.80	1.28	126
Triston McKenzie	59	233	26	137	7	4.51	1.24	132
Framber Valdez	60	145	28	173	12	3.68	1.31	150

There are a few boring but reliable pitchers here like Montgomery, Civale, Means, and Valdez, and also some high upside names like Gray, Houck, and McKenzie. This is the point where I really want to be near the back-end of my rotation, as exactly none of these guys are trustworthy for 2022 fantasy purposes. I find myself drafting a lot of Civale and Gray though, as I really like that combination together for the strikeout upside of Gray and the innings/ERA security of Civale.

My Favorite: Gray

My Fade: Valdez

ADP Considered Upside: Carrasco

Tier Ten: Names I Wish Would Retire

Player			Current Projections
Name	Rank	ADP	GS	IP	W	ERA	WHIP	SO
Anthony DeSclafani	61	214	30	162	10	4.19	1.26	142
Marcus Stroman	62	184	30	175	10	3.98	1.28	143
Adam Wainwright	63	204	27	170	11	4.00	1.25	136
German Marquez	64	258	30	184	11	4.56	1.32	176
Jameson Taillon	65	308	26	139	8	4.42	1.25	131
Adbert Alzolay	66	356	25	126	7	4.58	1.29	123

The first five names here are guys I'm just tired of thinking about. They have been jerking us around for so long in fantasy, and I am done with them. The last name there is someone I feel like will probably start doing that to me over the next few years, but he's someone I believe in at the current moment.

My Favorite: Taillon

My Fade: Wainwright

ADP Considered Upside: Alzolay

Tier Eleven: Guys I'm Wrong About But Want To See Proof

Player			Current Projections
Name	Rank	ADP	GS	IP	W	ERA	WHIP	SO
Huascar Ynoa	67	239	25	129	7	4.12	1.27	133
Andrew Heaney	68	306	25	134	9	4.38	1.23	144
Michael Kopech	69	169	22	129	9	3.77	1.21	162
Bailey Ober	70	269	26	137	8	4.18	1.20	138
Alex Wood	71	223	27	146	9	3.92	1.24	144
Tyler Mahle	72	130	30	167	10	4.33	1.28	179
Joe Ryan	73	222	24	133	8	4.18	1.12	141
Jon Gray	74	242	30	168	10	4.14	1.28	164
Sean Manaea	75	149	30	169	11	3.75	1.17	165

All of these guys, except Ynoa, Heaney, and Wood, should probably be a tier or two or several ahead of where I have them. However, I just can't really see myself pulling the trigger on any of them after I see where they go. There's just no chance I spend a top-200 pick on Kopech or a top-150 pick on Mahle, I mean come on. So they get tossed to this tier of guys that I admit are completely misranked.

My Favorite: Kopech

My Fade: All of them?

ADP Considered Upside: Ryan

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