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Statcast Hitter Studs and Duds - xBACON Leaderboard

2022 Fantasy Baseball Busts & Overvalued Players
Potential fantasy baseball busts, overvalued MLB players, and who to avoid for fantasy baseball drafts

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 17

Welcome back to the Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who […]

3 years ago

freddy peralta fantasy baseball rankings starting pitchers draft sleepers

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Midseason Review

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. I have covered both Statcast and Fangraphs metrics to help identify hidden value as well as sell-high candidates. With […]

3 years ago

garrett cooper fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers waiver wire pickups

Statcast Leaderboard - Exit Velocity Midseason Review

It's All-Star time, sadly. I say that because there is precious little baseball to watch this week. This presents the opportunity for reflection, so we will once again look back on the first half leaderboard for Statcast. This time, we will review the top players in average exit velocity, hard hit rate, and barrels. As […]

3 years ago

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 16

Welcome back to the Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who […]

3 years ago

The Bigger Picture - Searching for Second-Half Splits

We must mentally brace ourselves for the darkest period of the calendar year - three days without a Major League Baseball game and one day without a regular-season game from any of the major professional sports. As fans, we hate the break. The players understandably love it and have been looking forward to the time […]

3 years ago

Zack Wheeler - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury nNews

Pitcher Risers and Fallers Since Sticky Substance Enforcement

On June 21st, MLB decided to really crack down on foreign substances used by pitchers. "Random" inspections of pitcher gloves and clothing were instituted to make sure pitchers were not using an illegal sticky substance to get a better grip on the ball. This created quite the buzz in the fantasy baseball community. We've had more […]

3 years ago

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Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - WAR for Week 15

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. As we near the All-Star break, I thought it made sense to focus on an all-encompassing metric for […]

3 years ago

Statcast Leaderboard - Expected Statistics Midseason Review

Although the All-Star break is still a week away, Major League baseball has crossed into the second half of the schedule. Rather than focusing on one metric, it might be useful to examine leaderboards for all expected statistics in the Statcast realm. In this iteration of Statcast hitter analysis, I will review the top players […]

3 years ago

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 15

Welcome back to the Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers could consider cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who is […]

3 years ago

The Bigger Picture - Where We've Gone Wrong This Year

Expectations are a dangerous thing. They can dictate our decision-making processes well into the future and prevent us from seeing things as they truly are. The baseball season is the longest of any professional team sport, spanning eight full months including spring training. That means a lot will change throughout the course of the season […]

3 years ago

Three Up, Three Down: Home Run Outliers to Buy or Sell

A huge key to having success at the game of fantasy baseball is being able to spot outliers. The game of baseball, more than most other sports, is largely dictated by randomness, at least over the short term. Even with the pretty large three-month data sample we have, randomness can still rule the day. My […]

3 years ago

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Statcast Hitter Studs and Duds - xBA Analysis for Week 14

It's been a while since we delved into xBA. We're now halfway through the season so it's a good time to see whose batting average is due for course correction, whether it be positive or negative. Often, although not always, players with sizeable discrepancies in BA-xBA are due for regression. Identifying these outliers can be […]

3 years ago

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Relievers Swinging-Strike Rate for Week 14

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. In week 9, I wrote an article about starting pitchers' swinging-strike rates (SwStr%) and this week I will show […]

3 years ago

Making Sense of Tampa Bay's Pitching Staff

OK, seriously — is there any tougher pitching staff to decipher in fantasy than Tampa Bay's? Between the never-ending merry-go-round that is their closer committee, their frequent use of openers and then the normal issue of back-end rotation guys not being fantasy assets, it can be difficult to stay on top of which pitchers you […]

3 years ago

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 14

Welcome back to the Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers could consider cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who is […]

3 years ago

freddie freeman fantasy baseball rankings MLB injury news DFS picks

The Bigger Picture - It Isn't Really a Marathon

"It's a marathon, not a sprint." This axiom is one of the most tired expressions in all of baseball and is often used to prevent us from ascribing significance to a slump. The baseball season is the longest among all professional sports, spanning 162 games and six months, not including spring training and postseason action. […]

3 years ago

Zack Wheeler - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury nNews

Three Up, Three Down: Pitchers to Buy & Sell

The pitching league leaders are about to cross the 100-inning mark of the year, which means we have accrued quite a bit of data to analyze. We can now have a significant amount of confidence in our data analysis given that we've seen guys on the mound for nearly three full months. A huge key […]

3 years ago

Statcast Hitter Studs and Duds - Fastball Run Values (Week 13)

The news regarding MLB's unexpected crackdown on foreign substances has been well-documented by now. It will surely have a negative impact on pitchers, but the effect on hitters may largely depend on their batted-ball profile. The pitch that has seen the biggest discrepancy for the top aces due to increased spin rates is the good […]

3 years ago

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - ERA-SIERA for Week 13

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. In week 6 I wrote an article about SIERA Studs and Duds and alluded to a future article […]

3 years ago

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 13

Welcome back to the Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers could consider cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who is […]

3 years ago

Spin Rate Kings Who May Be Toppled

The talk of the town is spin rate. If you spend any time following MLB discussion, you have certainly heard all about the league's crackdown on pitchers using foreign substances to help their grip and spin on the baseball. Like most other topics, there are lots of people on both sides of the argument. No […]

3 years ago

The Bigger Picture - Substance Ban Makes Things Worse (For Now)

It only took 118 years, but Major League Baseball is finally taking a hard stance on the illegal use of foreign substances by pitchers. Better late than never! The ethical issues surrounding both sides of the debate will be left for another space. The intention here is to get into the logistics of the on-field […]

3 years ago

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Slider Profiles for Week 12

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. For the past two weeks I have looked at pitchers' various movement profiles for curveballs and changeups using Statcast's […]

3 years ago

Cedric Mullins - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Betting Picks, DFS Advice

Statcast Hitter Studs and Duds - xSLG Analysis for Week 12

Slugging is a fairly simple metric by baseball standards but once Statcast gets into the mix, it's a bit more complicated. According to MLB.com, "Expected Slugging Percentage (xSLG) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed." Base hits are still weighted with home runs being four times […]

3 years ago

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 12

Welcome back to the Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers could consider cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who is […]

3 years ago

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. fantasy baseball rankings MLB news sleepers DFS lineup picks

The Bigger Picture - Sizing Up 60 Games

We did it. We got through 60 games of the Major League season and yet, it isn't nearly over. Of all the trials and tribulations the abbreviated 2020 season brought, one of the greatest difficulties is having to invoke the caveat of the shortened season when conducting statistical analysis. Although we could take the current […]

3 years ago

pablo lopez fantasy baseball rankings starting pitcher draft sleepers MLB injury news

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Changeup Profiles for Week 11

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. Last week I started taking a look into pitchers' relative success of certain pitches using Statcast's pitch movement […]

3 years ago

Statcast Hitter Studs and Duds - Barrel Rate Analysis for Week 11

Believe it or not, this will be our first foray into barrels this season. Certain statistics take longer to become significant, so it made sense to accumulate more data before digging into barrels. Those familiar with this series already know that the obvious names like Aaron Judge, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Nelson Cruz won't be […]

3 years ago

The Cut List: Week 11 - Time to Let Go? Injury Special

Welcome back to the Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers should consider cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who is […]

3 years ago

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