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Back-to-back five-game slates on the weekend in the NBA, and we have a very interesting one in store for tonight with Giannis and Luka at the top, a myriad of intriguing mid-to-high range plays, and scarce value. The Pelicans-Rockets and Bucks-Clippers affairs are profiling to be the top ones to target in our lineups as they're miles ahead of the rest in terms of implied totals, projected pace, and fantasy points allowed.
The Hawks-Mavericks contest definitely has some appeal as well, while the Celtics-Magic and Pacers-Cavaliers games are on the lower end of the interest scale from a DFS standpoint. The key injury situations to keep an eye on are Domantas Sabonis, Darius Garland, Malcolm Brogdon, John Collins, and Josh Hart.
This article will provide you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 2/6/22. Remember to monitor NBA injury news and our live-updating NBA injury updates tool as the slate can completely change before lineups lock. As always, feel free to follow my Twitter (@RING_DFS) - I post about a variety of things but mainly NBA DFS with my K-Rate and Positional K-Rate model. Let's get to it - good luck RotoBallers!
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DraftKings and FanDuel Guards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Luka Doncic - PG, DAL vs. ATL ($12,000 DK, $11,600 FD)
I said it last weekend and I'll say it once again - I'm not in the business of fading Luka Doncic when he's on a heater. He has scored at least 30 real-life points and exceeded 64.5 DK points in four straight games. His latest outing was a 33/13/15 masterpiece of a triple-double that included two steals (79.25 DK points) against the Sixers. He's averaging a 36.1% usage rate and 1.51 FPTS/min this season; he jumps to a remarkable 39.4% usage rate and 1.71 FPTS/min with Porzingis, Hardaway Jr., and Sterling Brown off the floor this season. The game environment isn't the most ideal as Dallas likes to slow the pace down, but it does have a decent implied total and the Hawks' inability to slow down opposing guards is going to be a bit of an issue for them against Doncic. They're allowing the sixth-most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards, which results in Doncic clearly being the top pay-up option on tonight's slate.
Kevin Porter Jr. - PG/SG/SF, HOU vs. NOP ($5,600 DK, $6,700 FD) | Better DraftKings play
Porter's price dropped $1,200 on DraftKings since his last game, which doesn't make a ton of sense since he only played 11 minutes due to an illness. It's a great spot for us to take advantage of his mispricing as the Rockets-Pelicans game is projecting to be the top game environment to target on the slate. It features the highest implied total, fastest projected pace, and the most combined fantasy points per game allowed among tonight's games. He needs just 28.5 DK points to hit 5x value - he averages 29.7 DK points per game on the season and has been over that number in each of his last seven games. He's fully capable of putting up 40-50+ DK points in the right matchup and I think we're getting one here.
Reggie Jackson - PG, LAC vs. MIL ($6,300 DK, $7,000 FD)
I generally haven't loved targeting the Clippers in DFS this year, but Jackson has popped off at times and his salary is too low for the spot he's in tonight. He's averaging a team-leading 30.7% usage rate and 1.02 FPTS/min with Paul George and Eric Bledsoe off the floor this season, as they will be tonight, and he went for an impressive 49 DK points last game against the Lakers. The Bucks-Clippers contest has a high implied total and fast projected pace, and while the Bucks are generally solid at defending PG's, they're allowing the 11th-most fantasy points per game to the position over their last seven games. We could certainly see another big game from the veteran Jackson tonight.
Others to consider: Devonte' Graham ($5,300 DK, $5,400 FD), Jalen Suggs ($5,900 DK, $5,500 FD) Cole Anthony ($7,100 DK, $6,900 FD), Darius Garland ($8,800 DK, $8,100 FD), Trae Young ($9,000 FD), Jalen Brunson ($6,500 DK, $5,800 FD), Eric Gordon ($4,000 DK), Jalen Green ($4,600 DK, $4,600 FD), Marcus Smart ($5,500 DK, $5,600 FD)
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DraftKings and FanDuel Forwards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Brandon Ingram ($8,700 DK, $7,800 FD) | Better FanDuel play
You need to be getting plenty of exposure to the Pelicans today. They're #1 in my K-Rate model as they hold the highest implied total, fastest projected pace, and most favorable fantasy matchup on the slate against the lowly Rockets. Ingram has returned to his typical role as the team's leading scorer after missing five games in late January, and he just put up 53 DK points in his last time out on Friday. The Rockets are allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing teams this season and as long as this game stays close (currently NOP -5.5), Ingram will be valuable as a core piece tonight.
Bobby Portis - PF/C, MIL vs. LAC ($5,500 FD, $6,400 DK) | Better FanDuel play
Portis' price on FanDuel is just wrong. He does have games where he just disappears and the bottom falls out, but his 31.2 FD points per game season average is well over what'd he'd need for 5x value tonight and he just showcased his monster ceiling (50.3 FD points) in limited minutes last night against the Blazers. Portis plays center for the Bucks in most situations, and that's an area that the Clippers really struggle to defend as they're allowing the sixth-most fantasy points per game to the position this season (second-most FPPG over their last 30 games). The game environment is incredible and it should stay competitive enough for Portis to receive his full run (currently MIL -5), so keep rolling with the underpriced big man on the Bucks.
Dorian Finney-Smith - SG/SF, DAL vs. ATL ($4,500 DK, $4,100 FD)
Others to consider: Jarrett Allen ($7,100 FD), Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,400 FD), Luke Kennard ($4,200 DK), Isaac Okoro ($4,000 DK, $3,800 FD), Josh Hart ($6,600 DK, $6,700 FD), Jaylen Brown ($8,200 FD)
DraftKings and FanDuel Centers - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Jonas Valanciunas - C, NOP vs. HOU ($8,300 DK, $7,200 FD) | Better FanDuel play
JVal's production has taken a bit of a hit recently, and that has coincided with the return of usage-hog Ingram to the lineup. That being said, he's criminally underpriced over on FanDuel in what is the perfect "get-right" spot against the undersized Rockets. The Rockets are allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing teams and opposing centers this season. They also hold the worst defensive rating and play at the fastest pace in the entire NBA. We can't ask for a better spot to get to all kinds of Pelicans tonight, but I find myself prioritizing the studs in Ingram and JVal.
Alperen Sengun - C, HOU vs. NOP ($4,100 DK, $4,300 FD)
Others to consider: Wendell Carter Jr. ($6,900 DK), Maxi Kleber ($4,200 DK), Jaxson Hayes ($5,000 DK, $5,500 FD)
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