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Jon Anderson's SP Tiered Rankings and Projections, Part 2

We're back to finish out my starting pitcher tiers! In Part One, we covered my top-38 starters, you can check that out here!

We'll reveal and review the rest of my top-75 starters in this post. I admit that things got a little sloppy for me near the end, but when I encounter a pitcher that I would just never consider at the going rate, I end up just throwing them way far down on my list because I know I'll never draft them anyways.

Let's get to it.

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Tier Seven: Coming Off Injury/Might Just Stink

Player Current Projections
Name Rank ADP GS IP W ERA WHIP SO
Mike Clevinger 40 189 21 121 8 3.66 1.19 132
Luis Severino 41 180 30 122 9 3.87 1.18 128
Sonny Gray 42 181 29 160 11 4.13 1.27 170
Jack Flaherty 43 76 29 159 12 3.71 1.16 171

Clevinger and Severino are both talented enough to end up as a top-20 starter, but it has proven to be really tough for a pitcher to come back from missing this much time and really have a large fantasy impact. I'd rather not roll the dice.

I'm a bit of a Sonny Gray fan myself, and you can tell that I really don't like Flaherty. There's a good chance Flaherty makes me look incredibly silly here as I rank him lower than probably anybody else around.

My Favorite: Gray

My Fade: Flaherty

ADP Considered Upside: Clevinger 

 

Tier Eight: Low K and Heartbreak

Player Current Projections
Name Rank ADP GS IP W ERA WHIP SO
Chris Bassitt 44 138 29 168 11 3.73 1.19 160
Nathan Eovaldi 45 141 29 167 10 3.91 1.20 170
Tony Gonsolin 46 307 23 114 7 4.26 1.32 119
Ian Anderson 47 152 29 156 10 4.00 1.31 154
Blake Snell 48 117 28 146 9 3.80 1.25 176
Carlos Rodon 49 129 24 129 9 3.55 1.14 160

Yes, I plan to have a lot of Tony Gonsolin this year. Even I will admit this is a ridiculous ranking of him, but you've got to plant your flag somewhere.

I'm really off the Snells and Rodons of the world, I just don't want any part of betting on their health, and with Snell, that's not even the only question. I would much prefer a lower-ceiling but a higher-floor option like Bassitt, Eovaldi, Anderson, or Gonsolin here.

My Favorite: Gonsolin

My Fade: Rodon

ADP Considered Upside: Gonsolin

 

Tier Nine: Anybody's Guess

Player Current Projections
Name Rank ADP GS IP W ERA WHIP SO
Josiah Gray 50 285 26 137 7 4.72 1.30 136
Jordan Montgomery 51 214 29 158 9 4.09 1.27 159
Tarik Skubal 52 195 30 159 9 4.10 1.24 175
Carlos Carrasco 53 300 24 130 8 1.20 1.26 132
Tylor Megill 54 215 21 113 6 4.34 1.27 120
Aaron Civale 55 265 29 163 10 4.46 1.27 135
John Means 56 220 29 162 9 4.14 1.16 146
Tanner Houck 57 202 19 116 7 4.09 1.28 21
Ranger Suarez 58 177 26 146 10 3.80 1.28 126
Triston McKenzie 59 233 26 137 7 4.51 1.24 132
Framber Valdez 60 145 28 173 12 3.68 1.31 150

There are a few boring but reliable pitchers here like Montgomery, Civale, Means, and Valdez, and also some high upside names like Gray, Houck, and McKenzie. This is the point where I really want to be near the back-end of my rotation, as exactly none of these guys are trustworthy for 2022 fantasy purposes. I find myself drafting a lot of Civale and Gray though, as I really like that combination together for the strikeout upside of Gray and the innings/ERA security of Civale.

My Favorite: Gray

My Fade: Valdez

ADP Considered Upside: Carrasco 

 

Tier Ten: Names I Wish Would Retire

Player Current Projections
Name Rank ADP GS IP W ERA WHIP SO
Anthony DeSclafani 61 214 30 162 10 4.19 1.26 142
Marcus Stroman 62 184 30 175 10 3.98 1.28 143
Adam Wainwright 63 204 27 170 11 4.00 1.25 136
German Marquez 64 258 30 184 11 4.56 1.32 176
Jameson Taillon 65 308 26 139 8 4.42 1.25 131
Adbert Alzolay 66 356 25 126 7 4.58 1.29 123

The first five names here are guys I'm just tired of thinking about. They have been jerking us around for so long in fantasy, and I am done with them. The last name there is someone I feel like will probably start doing that to me over the next few years, but he's someone I believe in at the current moment.

My Favorite: Taillon

My Fade: Wainwright

ADP Considered Upside: Alzolay 

 

Tier Eleven: Guys I'm Wrong About But Want To See Proof

Player Current Projections
Name Rank ADP GS IP W ERA WHIP SO
Huascar Ynoa 67 239 25 129 7 4.12 1.27 133
Andrew Heaney 68 306 25 134 9 4.38 1.23 144
Michael Kopech 69 169 22 129 9 3.77 1.21 162
Bailey Ober 70 269 26 137 8 4.18 1.20 138
Alex Wood 71 223 27 146 9 3.92 1.24 144
Tyler Mahle 72 130 30 167 10 4.33 1.28 179
Joe Ryan 73 222 24 133 8 4.18 1.12 141
Jon Gray 74 242 30 168 10 4.14 1.28 164
Sean Manaea 75 149 30 169 11 3.75 1.17 165

All of these guys, except Ynoa, Heaney, and Wood, should probably be a tier or two or several ahead of where I have them. However, I just can't really see myself pulling the trigger on any of them after I see where they go. There's just no chance I spend a top-200 pick on Kopech or a top-150 pick on Mahle, I mean come on. So they get tossed to this tier of guys that I admit are completely misranked.

My Favorite: Kopech

My Fade: All of them?

ADP Considered Upside: Ryan



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