RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 190
CURRENT ADP: ~237 overall
ANALYSIS: I promise this isn’t because Lowe went a perfect 8-for-8 on stolen-base attempts in 2021. It’s neat, but please don’t pencil those again! Anyhow, Lowe should be a beneficiary of Corey Seager and Marcus Semien hitting up top, with a chance at 100 RBI near the heart of their order. Perhaps you’ve soured on him because the hot start in April 2021 (6 HR, 33 R+RBI, .277 AVG) gave way to middling rest-of-season returns, but that psychology is what I love to target.
Each year, Lowe has turned in a max exit velocity in the top 10% of the league, though he isn’t a Statcast darling. No, a wild 54.5% groundball rate in ‘21 clipped his .236 xBA though his 26-40-34 pull-center-oppo profile does help said grounders find gaps. In all, this is a volume play from a position of great opportunity in the heart of an improved Texas lineup. Don’t go expecting 30 homers or 10 steals to spring forth. But a neat 80-21-90-5-.260 line awaits us.
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