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Week 11 of the NFL season offers plenty of chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.
The New Orleans Saints are tied with the Green Bay Packers for the best record in the NFC. Both teams are 7-2 but there is one obvious difference as they head into Week 11.
The Saints, unlike the Packers, will be without their future Hall of Fame quarterback. Drew Brees is out with broken ribs and the Saints are apparently going with Taysom Hill at quarterback.
That will be a different look for the Saints, going from Brees, who has run for 65 yards total in the past five-and-a-half seasons, and Hill, who has run for 134 yards in the past three games. Hill also has 205 yards passing for his career while Brees has nearly 80,000 passing yards.
It should be a different look in the Falcons-Saints game Sunday.
Here are some Star Shootout angles to consider for Sunday’s games on Monkey Knife Fight:
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STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES
MORE OR LESS
Matt Ryan LESS THAN 288.5 PASSING YARDS
Matty Ice is averaging 305.1 passing yards per game this season so the Falcons don’t have a lot of trouble moving the ball. And yet, he has thrown for 289 or more yards just three times and the Saints have allowed an average of 231.4 passing yards per game and haven’t given up more than 284 passing yards to any quarterback this season.
Ben Roethlisberger MORE THAN 279.5 PASSING YARDS
Big Ben has put up 251.9 passing yards per game this season but has more than 300 in back to back games and is facing a Jaguars Defense that essentially depends on the kindness of strangers, giving up a league-worst 8.2 net yards per pass attempt, with five of the past six opposing quarterbacks passing for at least 280 yards against Jacksonville.
Deshaun Watson LESS THAN 275.5 PASSING YARDS
As bad as this season has been for the Texans, Watson has been able to move the ball, averaging 282.1 passing yards per game and he had thrown for more than 280 yards in five straight games before managing just 163 in a big wind at Cleveland last week. He faces a Patriots team that has allowed 7.8 net yards per pass attempt, the second highest mark in the league, but has only allowed two quarterbacks to pass for more than 275 yards this season.
Julio Jones MORE THAN 19.5 FANTASY POINTS
The Patriots secondary is vulnerable and has allowed four opposing receivers to put up 20 PPR points in a game this season. None of them are close to Jones’ quality as a receiver. Since returning from injury Jones has produced at least 20 points in three of four games.
Alvin Kamara MORE THAN 22.5 FANTASY POINTS
An average game for Kamara this season includes 126 yards from scrimmage, 7.4 receptions and 1.2 touchdowns per game. So long as he can find the end zone once against Atlanta, this should be an achievable target.
RAPID FIRE
Nick Chubb +16.5 rushing yards vs. Derrick Henry
Chubb has been a beast for the Browns when he’s in the lineup, running for more than 100 yards in three of his past four games, with the only exception being in Week 4, a game in which he was injured after running for 43 yards on six carries. He takes on an Eagles Defense that has allowed more than 65 rushing yards to an individual running back once this season. Henry is obviously a workhorse for the Titans and has five 100-yard rushing games. He goes up against a Ravens Defense that has allowed two 100-yard rushers this season, both coming within the past four games. With two very productive runners, getting those extra yards makes Chubb more appealing.
STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES
MORE OR LESS
Justin Herbert MORE THAN 285.5 PASSING YARDS
The Chargers rookie was held 200 passing yards last week for the first time in his eight starts. He matches up with a Jets team that has allowed more than 285 passing yards four times. It comes as no surprise to anyone that the Jets have one of the worst pass defenses in the league, allowing 281.8 passing yards per game and 7.7 net yards per pass attempt.
Aaron Rodgers LESS THAN 285.5 PASSING YARDS
Rodgers has been great this season, averaging 286.4 passing yards per contest. He takes on an Indianapolis Colts squad that has allowed two quarterbacks to throw for 300-plus this season while the rest have all finished with less than 250 passing yards.
Joe Flacco LESS THAN 235.5 PASSING YARDS
In three starts for the Jets, Flacco has averaged 214.3 passing yards per game, though he did go for a season-high 265 yards in Week 9. The Jets are coming off a bye week and take on the Los Angeles Chargers, a team that has been better than average against the pass this season. They have allowed more than 235 passing yards four times this season, though just once in the past four games.
Dalvin Cook MORE THAN 99.5 RUSHING YARDS
The Vikings have been feeding Cook a steady diet of carries – 82 in the past three games – and he has four games this season with more than 130 rushing yards. He takes on a Dallas team that has allowed 5.0 yards per carry which is not nearly strong enough against the run to slow down Cook.
Aaron Jones LESS THAN 18.5 FANTASY POINTS
Even though he doesn’t get to carry the ball as often as some other backs, Jones is still hugely productive. His average game this season is 103.4 yards per game, 4.0 receptions per game and 1.0 touchdowns per game. On average, that would put Jones at 20.3 fantasy points per game. Maybe he should be able to put up at least 19 fantasy points but the Colts Defense doesn’t buckle easily, allowing 3.5 yards per carry while not one running back has picked up 19 PPR points against Indianapolis this season.
RAPID FIRE
Keenan Allen +1.5 receptions vs. Davante Adams
Even after he was held in check by Miami last week, Keenan Allen is averaging a career-high 7.2 receptions per game. Adams, who is battling an injury, is averaging 8.7 receptions per game. The difference may be that Adams has a difficult matchup against Indianapolis.
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