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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - PGA Championship

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud of our weekly PGA “One and Done” column. In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

It was a massive past week for Joe, as he took the lead in the contest after his stellar second-place showing from Daniel Berger at TPC Southwind. His nearly $700,000 payday was enough to jump both Josh and I in the standings, and it didn't help matters that Rory McIlroy and Collin Morikawa provided sub-par efforts over the four days to not account for Joe's massive showing.

Margins are razor-thin entering the PGA Championship, and it is still anyone's game coming into this portion of the season. Let's see who the guys are rolling with, and let's see if someone can finally generate a little separation from the group.

 

One And Done Staff Picks Overview

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a second season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

One and Done Selections - PGA Championship

Joe Nicely - Collin Morikawa

Alternate - Jason Day 

I’ve spent so much time the last couple of weeks telling everybody how much I love Brooks Koepka that I forgot to even think about who my OAD pick would be for the year’s first major. I guess anybody that reads, listens, or watches my PGA DFS content assumes it will be “The Big Game Hunter” - and maybe it should be - but I’m gonna go in a different direction for the PGA Championship.

Brooks kinda ruined my plans, as I was hoping he would continue his mediocre/uninspiring play right up until this week, at which time I would load up when nobody still believed in him, but he had to go and spoil everything with a vintage performance last week in Memphis...an outing that has my eight-year-old daughter ready to play him this week and forces me to look for alternative options in OAD formats (I’ll still have tons of Brooks exposure in DFS).

With several big guns still available in my arsenal, I suppose there are several reasons that I shouldn’t go with Collin Morikawa this week, but he’s a believe-it-in-my-heart pick that I’m rolling with. He’s probably too young (23-year-old) and too inexperienced in majors (a T35 in last year's U.S. Open his is his lone major start). But you know what? So was Jordan Spieth and so was Tiger Woods. Now, I'm not saying that Morikawa will have the same success in majors as those two, but I do believe he's a similarly-prodigious type of talent. He's the best young iron player I've seen since Tiger and ranks second in this ultra-elite field in SG: Approach over 50 measured rounds (roughly the length of his pro career), in addition to grading out third in SG: T2G and first in SG: Ball Striking over the same time period. Put simply, we don't see players come on to the PGA Tour and strike the ball this well for a sustained period of time unless they are extremely special.

In addition to his undeniable physical tools, Morikawa has demonstrated the mental toughness we look for in major champions. The youngster rebounded from a devastating loss at the Charles Schwab to score a playoff win against Justin Thomas - and what seemed like insurmountable odds - at Muirfield Village less than a month later. It all adds up to my belief that Morikawa is a special player...one that I’m willing to put my faith in this week.

Yearly Earnings - $3,513,306

Yearly Cuts Made - 16/19

 

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Like what you read today? You can show your support for Joe by using promo code NICE when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!

 

Spencer Aguiar - Daniel Berger

Alternate - Tiger Woods

I admittingly have made a bit of a disaster with my player pool entering the PGA Championship. The Covid-19 stoppage threw a monkey wrench into what I had planned for the year, and it has resulted in a meltdown of me missing five or my last 10 cuts.

The issue is that there isn't a quick fix solution. One of Rory McIlroy or Bryson DeChambeau was always meant to be the play when we got to San Francisco, but between DeChambeau's weather draw and McIlroy's current form, I struggle to justify the duo as a selection in this contest. It wouldn't shock me if either left Sunday as the victor, but using someone is final since it results in the termination of that player for the rest of the season. I'd prefer to wait and save each for a spot that looks cleaner for a payday, but it doesn't help that Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay have all been taken off my board entering the week.

Look, I don't need to be a rocket scientist to know that at least one of Joe or Josh will be hitting me with Brooks Koepka this week. I assume both are saving Thomas for somewhere else (a place that gives away a green jacket), and each has already used Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm. The options quickly start to become condensed of alternative routes that I think they may go. With all of that in mind, I have decided to swing for the fence by selecting Daniel Beger. I know the American will be popular in the betting/DFS scenes, but I do question how many OAD players will roll out the 27-year-old when push comes to shove. We can sit here and argue about Berger's lack of major success or even his shortage of achievement in California, but it is essential to remember that everyone has to start somewhere. I've been a believer that Berger will win a PGA Championship by 2025 for a few years now, and it appears as if he is finally starting to show that he is one of the elite players in the game.

Yearly Earnings - $3,207,393

Yearly Cuts Made - 14/19

 

Josh Bennett - Brooks Koepka

Alternate - Justin Thomas

The scenario that Brooks fans have been looking for has rounded right into shape. He went a few weeks struggling with different parts of his game and is now rolling into his top form heading into a major. It is no secret that Brooks plays his best in majors, and it’s even better that he’s coming in with great form. He may have a lingering injury, but it didn’t seem to bother him much last week and adrenaline should carry him through the weekend. It may not be as severe as Finau and his ankle at the Masters, but that’s as good of an example as any of golfers being able to play well through serious injuries for a few days. Brooks’ strengths are what you need to do well on this course; he’s long off the tee and relatively straight. He’s also strong (obviously) which will be very helpful if he does end up in rough so he can get the club through it easier. Brooks is a no-brainer in a major on a course that is a perfect fit for his game.

Yearly Earnings - $3,326,738

Yearly Cuts Made - 15/19

 

Running Totals

Joe Nicely Spencer Aguiar Josh Bennett
Sony Open Webb Simpson $455,400 Abraham Ancer $27,390 Webb Simpson $455,400
American Express Sungjae Im $162,475 Paul Casey $63,399 Sungjae Im $162,475
Farmers Insurance Tiger Woods $181,875 Hideki Matsuyama $22,950 Jon Rahm $817,500
Waste Management Jon Rahm $170,768 Webb Simpson $1,314,000 Hideki Matsuyama $97,212
Pebble Beach Jason Day $382,200 Patrick Cantlay $181,350 Jason Day $382,200
Genesis Invitational Bubba Watson $0 Dustin Johnson $234,825 Dustin Johnson $234,825
WGC Mexico Dustin Johnson $45,500 Justin Thomas $320,667 Tommy Fleetwood $125,500
Puerto Rico Open Alex Noren $0 Jhonattan Vegas $75,750 Alex Noren $0
Honda Classic Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Louis Oosthuizen $0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rory McIlroy $330,731 Tony FInau $0 Xander Schauffele $72,424
Charles Schwab Rickie Fowler $0 Matt Kuchar $0 Patrick Reed $243,750
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar $25,205 Justin Rose $129,575 Kevin Kisner $0
Travelers Championship Bryson DeChambeau $233,470 Sungjae Im $16,872 Bryson DeChambeau $233,470
Rocket Mortgage Viktor Hovland $131,875 Patrick Reed $0 Viktor Hovland $131,875
Workday Hideki Matsuyama $59,830 Rickie Fowler $59,830 Justin Rose $0
Memorial Patrick Cantlay $51,925 Xander Schauffele $171,585 Patrick Cantlay $51,925
3M Open Sam Burns $34,577 Bubba Watson $0 Tony Finau $250,800
WGC-St.Jude Daniel Berger $695,000 Collin Morikawa $106,200 Rory McIlroy $46,500
Barracuda Ryan Moore $69,475 Sam Burns $0 Denny McCarthy $20,883

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big.

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