Top 50 Fantasy Baseball Redraft Prospects for 2021 (Part 2)

Spring Training 2021 is almost here, which means it’s time to start thinking about prospects again. A strong pop-up performance from a rookie or two can have a massive impact on a fantasy manager’s season.

If we look back to the truncated 2020 season, we can easily locate a healthy dose of players that had strong performances for their respective clubs. Outfielders Kyle Lewis and Luis Robert provided a healthy dose of power. Third baseman Alec Bohm didn’t tap into his raw power as much as expected during his debut season but he was a strong performer nonetheless and produced a 136 wRC+. Infielder Jake Cronenworth built off a strong minor league showing in 2019 to become a key contributor for the Padres with a 125 wRC+ as well as positional versatility. On the pitching side, Ian Anderson and Tony Gonsolin — whom we heavily promoted during last year’s preseason — outperformed some of the larger names like Jesus Luzardo and Dustin May.

With an eye towards the 2021 season, we’re relaunching our annual Top 50 redraft prospects list which will be regularly updated throughout the season. Prospect projecting is never an easy task because the success of the projections relies on a few things we cannot control such as injuries and, most importantly, playing time opportunities which are far less certain for rookies than they are for established players. I've already provided detailed comments on the Top 20 rookies for 2021 in the first part of this series. Here are some thoughts on the other 30 prospects that could make an impact on your fantasy teams in the coming year.  

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Top Prospects for 2021 Fantasy Baseball

These prospect rankings are for 2021 redraft leagues.

Ranking	Player	Pos	Team	Age	ETA
1	Randy Arozarena	OF	TB	26	APRIL
2	Ian Anderson	SP	ATL	22	APRIL
3	Dylan Carlson	OF	STL	22	APRIL
4	Alex Kirilloff	OF	MIN	23	APRIL
5	Nate Pearson	SP	TOR	24	APRIL
6	Triston McKenzie	SP	CLE	23	APRIL
7	Jarred Kelenic	OF	SEA	21	MAY
8	Wander Franco	SS	TB	20	MAY
9	Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	PIT	24	APRIL
10	Ryan Mountcastle	OF	BAL	24	APRIL
11	Sixto Sanchez	SP	MIA	22	APRIL
12	Spencer Howard	SP	PHI	24	APRIL
13	Tarik Skubal	SP	DET	24	APRIL
14	Brent Rooker	OF	MIN	26	APRIL
15	Cristian Pache	OF	ATL	22	APRIL
16	Casey Mize	SP	DET	23	APRIL
17	MacKenzie Gore	SP	SD	22	MAY
18	Tyler Stephenson	C	CIN	24	APRIL
19	Andrew Vaughn	1B	CWS	22	MAY
20	Bobby Dalbec	1B	BOS	25	APRIL
21	Luis Patino	SP	TB	21	JUNE
22	Jo Adell	OF	LAA	21	MAY
23	Jazz Chisholm	SS	MIA	23	APRIL
24	Nick Madrigal	2B	CWS	24	APRIL
25	Andres Gimenez	SS	CLE	22	APRIL
26	Dane Dunning	SP	TEX	26	APRIL
27	David Peterson	SP	NYM	25	APRIL
28	Tanner Houck	SP	BOS	24	APRIL
29	Joshua Lowe	OF	TB	23	JUNE
30	Nolan Jones	3B	CLE	22	JUNE
31	Daulton Varsho	C/OF	ARZ	24	MAY
32	Alejandro Kirk	C	TOR	22	JUNE
33	Garrett Crochet	RP	CWS	21	APRIL
34	Daniel Lynch	SP	KC	23	MAY
35	Clarke Schmidt	SP	NYY	25	MAY
36	Jose Garcia	SS	CIN	22	MAY
37	Logan Gilbert	SP	SEA	23	JUNE
38	Shane McClanahan	SP	TB	23	JUNE
39	Josiah Gray	SP	LAD	23	JUNE
40	Forrest Whitley	SP	HOU	23	JUNE
41	Joey Bart	C	SF	24	JUNE
42	Reid Detmers	SP	LAA	21	JUNE
43	Vidal Brujan	2B	TB	23	JUNE
44	Brandon Marsh	OF	LAA	23	JULY
45	Trevor Larnach	OF	MIN	24	JULY
46	Drew Waters	OF	ATL	22	JULY
47	Royce Lewis	OF/SS	MIN	21	JULY
48	A.J. Puk	SP	OAK	25	JUNE
49	Brendan Rodgers	2B/SS	COL	24	JULY
50	Oneil Cruz	SS	PIT	22	JULY

 

Top Prospects for 2021 ranked 21-30

21. Luis Patino, SP, Rays: There’s no doubt that Patino was rushed to the Majors in 2020 but his talent is undeniable and he will eventually settle in as one of the top arms in baseball. The Rays know how to develop pitching so Patino is in a great place to continue to develop, but he may not have a huge impact on the big league roster until 2022.

22. Jo Adell, OF, Angels: Adell was another young player that reached the Majors before he was ready. The talented outfielder will be a successful big leaguer at some point but he needs some additional work to polish his contact skills before his raw potential is realized.

23. Jazz Chisholm, SS, Marlins: As it stands, Chisholm has a shot at securing the everyday shortstop gig in Miami but I’ve never been a fan. He’s an electric athlete with a tantalizing power-speed mix but he’s predominantly a fastball hitter who struggles against breaking balls. I also don’t have a ton of trust in either the Diamondbacks’ or the Marlins’ player development systems.

24. Nick Madrigal, 2B, White Sox: Madrigal has a natural feel for hitting as seen by his elite bat-to-ball skills and will no doubt be a threat to hit .300 multiple times throughout his career but his fantasy value takes a hit because he has little-to-no power (4% launch angle, 21% Hard Hit rate). On the plus side, he also has the speed to steal 20+ bases.

25. Andres Gimenez, SS, Indians: Gimenez moved from the Mets to the Indians during the offseason in the Francisco Lindor deal and I’m excited to see what the Indians development staff can do with the young shortstop. Gimenez had a strong launch angle during his MLB debut but he didn’t really hit the ball all that hard (nor has he flashed much power in the minors). I worry that he’s trying too hard to be a player that he’s not and should focus more on hitting the ball into the gaps and stealing bases.

26. Dane Dunning, SP, Rangers: I’ve been a big believer in Dunning for a few years now but he moved to the Texas Rangers organization during the winter and that seems to be where pitching prospects go to die. He does a nice job staying away from the heart of the plate while still throwing strikes and limits hard contact.

27. David Peterson, SP, Mets: Peterson had a strong debut with the Mets in 2020 but the club has spent a lot of energy building up the starting pitching depth in the organization which could make it harder for this young lefty to pitch meaningful innings in 2021 — especially if he struggles early or the club ends up with Trevor Bauer. If he does hold on to his starting gig, he projects as a solid-but-unspectacular contributor.

28. Tanner Houck, SP, Red Sox: Houck looked better in his brief MLB trial than he had in the minor leagues so the time spent at the alternate training site clearly benefited him. If he continues to show this form in 2021 (his secondary stuff was unhittable) then he could end up as a solid No. 3/4 starter for the Red Sox. If not, then the former first-round pick could end up back in the bullpen.

29. Joshua Lowe, OF, Rays: Lowe is basically Kyle Tucker-lite given his power-speed combination. He swings and misses a little more than the Astros’ breakout hitter but Lowe has really sped up his learning curve over the past 12-18 months.

30. Nolan Jones, 3B, Indians: Jones has an incredibly enticing mix of on-base skills and raw power — especially if he’s being looked at in an on-base league like Ottoneu. The Cleveland prospect has a massive ceiling if he can find a consistent launch angle that helps him consistently tap into that raw pop.

 

Top Prospects for 2021 ranked 31-40

31. Daulton Varsho, C/OF, Diamondbacks: The intriguing mix of power and speed could make Vasho a valuable fantasy player, especially as long as he maintains eligibility at catcher along with the outfield.

32. Alejandro Kirk, C, Blue Jays: Kirk is already growing into a bit of a legend, and he has a chance to be an excellent offensive catcher if… he can stop growing. He likely won’t steal enough playing time away from Danny Jansen in 2021 to be an elite fantasy option just yet.

33. Garrett Crochet, RP, White Sox: It’s possible that Crochet will work his way back into the starting rotation for the White Sox in 2021 but I’m expecting him to end up as a multi-inning, high-leverage reliever that can help bridge the gap to new closer Liam Hendriks.

34. Daniel Lynch, SP, Royals: The Royals debuted a number of talented arms in 2020 but the best is yet to come with lefties Asa Lacy and Lynch. The latter pitching prospect has the stuff to be a No. 2/3 starter but I’m concerned about his lack of durability.

35. Clarke Schmidt, SP, Yankees: Schmidt will have a lot of competition for innings in 2021, which hurts his initial value but, in the long run, he’s one of the club’s most promising and well-rounded starting pitcher prospects.

36. Jose Garcia, SS, Reds: Garcia didn’t have a great MLB debut in 2020 but the organization lacks middle infield depth so he’ll get another shot to prove he’s a developing, high-impact talent.

37. Logan Gilbert, SP, Mariners: These next two arms have a chance to really jump up the list if they get the call early enough in the 2021 season. Gilbert doesn’t have elite velocity but he throws strikes, keeps the ball in the yard, and has a chance for four average-or-better offerings.

38. Shane McClanahan, SP, Rays: This young lefty doesn’t get enough attention. He throws hard with a good breaking ball and his control has improved significantly since he was drafted 31st overall in 2018. He has the makings of a mid-rotation starter who keeps getting better.

39. Josiah Gray, SP, Dodgers: When the Dodgers get done sprinkling their prospect fairy dust on Gray, he’ll no doubt get every ounce of ability out of his elite athleticism (he’s only been focusing on full-time pitching for a few years now). With the Dodgers’ pitching depth, though, it’s hard to envision him getting 100+ innings at the MLB level in 2021.

40. Forrest Whitley, SP, Astros: On raw talent alone, Whitley should be much higher on this list. But I struggle to buy into his future too much until I see improved maturity and commitment from this young player (and also health). There should be an opportunity for Whitley to secure a big-league role in 2021 so I’m curious to see what he does with it.

 

Top Prospects for 2021 ranked 41-50

41. Joey Bart, C, Giants: Bart looks like one of the top-hitting catcher prospects in the game at times but significant swing-and-miss issues threaten to limit his ceiling at the MLB level. He needs further polish before he takes over for Buster Posey.

42. Reid Detmers, SP, Angels: Detmers will no doubt be one of the first 2020 draftees to reach the Majors due to his noticeable polish. Nothing about his stuff is elite although he has shown plus command/control which helps his stuff play up.

43. Vidal Brujan, 2B, Rays: Brujan is a small, speedy middle infielder who lacks a clear path to playing time in 2021. Still, his speed could be a huge asset to the Rays and fantasy managers… if he finds reliable playing time.

44. Brandon Marsh, OF, Angels: Marsh has a lot of raw talent and athleticism but he has yet to fully put it all together due to swing-and-miss issues and the inability to develop his raw power into useful in-game pop. Reports out of the alternate training site were very positive on his work there so keep that in mind if he gets off to a fast start.

45. Trevor Larnach, OF, Twins: Larnach finds himself way down the list due more to the depth ahead of him than anything against his skill set. He may very well develop into a 20-30 home run threat in the Majors but he has to work past Alex Kirilloff and Brent Rooker to find playing time.

46. Drew Waters, OF, Braves: Waters has always been young for the leagues he’s played in and he has intriguing athleticism. Unfortunately, his results have always been hindered by a poor approach at the plate.

47. Royce Lewis, SS, Twins: Yes, Lewis is further down on this list then you’re probably expecting. He has a lot of pedigree but he hasn’t shown enough above A-ball to really prove he’s ready to realize his full potential and be an impact MLB contributor.

48. A.J. Puk, SP, Athletics: Puk is another player that is way down on the list — much further than his talent would dictate — but the injuries he’s suffered over the past few years are worrisome. I’m not convinced he has the durability to stick as a starter but he could be an excellent high-leverage reliever.

49. Brendan Rodgers, 2B, Rockies: Like Puk above, Rodgers’ value takes a hit from the durability concerns related to repeated shoulder injuries. There is also a concern that he’s worn out his welcome in Colorado (although he may get one more shot due to the Nolan Arenado trade) and his offensive contributions will be hurt by leaving a very good hitter’s environment.

50. Oneil Cruz, SS, Pirates: Cruz has massive raw power but has a history of making poor choices and having questionable maturity. At 6-foot-7, he also has a lot of moving parts to his swing and a lot of holes that good pitchers will exploit.

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