Articles
Miguel Gonzalez (SP, BAL) - Waiver Wire Analysis
BALLER MOVE: Continue Scouting OWNED IN: 58% of Fleaflicker Leagues ANALYSIS: His sterling 4-2 record and 2.93 ERA look appealing on the surface, but the underlying statistics suggest that Gonzalez is likely to regress in a big way. His 7.12 K/9 isn't bad, but represents a leap of a full strikeout from his 2014 figure of 6.28. […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoJames Paxton (SP, SEA) - Waiver Wire Pickups
BALLER MOVE: Ignore in shallow formats; Stream in 12+ team mixed formats OWNED IN: 21% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: Overall, Paxton has pedestrian numbers: 2-2 with a 3.59 ERA and 6.99 K/9. These middling numbers mask a massive month to month split, however, as his April ERA was an inflated 5.74 while the May figure […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoChamps or Chumps: Will Hanley, Bartolo, and Vogt Maintain Their Hot Starts?
It seems like the season has just started, but in many ways we are well into it at this point. It is becoming increasingly necessary to focus on this year's production, leaving 2014 in the rear view mirror. This week we look at a Boston "outfielder", a Mets pitcher that might make more sense for […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoJ.A. Happ (SP, SEA) - Waiver Wire Analysis
BALLER MOVE: Continue Scouting / Add in AL-Only Leagues ANALYSIS: So your offense is chugging along just fine, but your pitchers have underperformed your expectations thus far. You don't want to lose your league because of that, so you head to waivers to see what might be available. What's available? J.A. Happ, currently owned in 57% of […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoDan Haren (SP, MIA) - Waiver Wire Analysis
BALLER MOVE: Add in Very Deep Leagues / Matchup Streamer OWNED IN: 31% of Fleaflicker Leagues ANALYSIS: So you are still chugging along with an offense that can easily win you your league, but you need one more SP to really seal it. You looked into J.A. Happ, but then you remembered you want someone good. The […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoAndrus, Harang, and Dee Gordon: Real Deal or Impostors in Week 5?
A shortstop that is underperforming expectations, a pitcher that had no expectations, and a second sacker blowing his projections completely out of the water are on tap this week. Which shall we trust more: What we thought we knew heading into the season, or the data that the early season has given us? Without further […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoCozart, McHugh, and Keuchel: Real Deal or Imposter?
Another week, another round of ballplayers to approach with a critical eye. The Astros' twin aces have a lot to do with their current position in the standings, but is it sustainable? First, however, lets look at the Reds shortstop that is having a season no one saw coming. Zack Cozart, SS, CIN Cozart […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoReal Deal or Impostor: Will Graveman, Bauer, and Cruz Sustain Their Performances?
With 2 weeks officially in the books, we can finally begin to consider 2015 performances, at least to a certain extent. The small sample size waters remain treacherous, but approximately 10% of a player's season should not be completely ignored either. Three players that are now looked at far differently than they were in the […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoReal Deal or Impostor: Time to Sell on Mesoraco, Hughes, and Pearce?
Three Players Who You Should Considering Selling High On While this weekly column exists to determine whether you should trust a given player's performance, there are not enough data points to consider meaningful analysis of 2015 statistics. Last week we looked at three 2014 breakouts who we expect to continue their improved play, and this week we will look […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoReal Deal or Impostor: Why Dickey, Revere and Duffy Are Solid Waiver Wire Pickups for 2015
Three Players Who Should Carry Over Their 2014 Success Is that guy on waivers a flash in the pan or the final piece you need to win your league? In this weekly column, we will examine underlying numbers in order to determine whether a given player is the real deal at his current pace […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoFantasy Baseball Draft Strategy: When to Punt a Stat on Draft Day (Almost Never)
Fantasy owners are constantly trying to find something that will give them an edge, and one strategy that has been employed is to intentionally disregard a stat during the draft. The logic is simple enough: If all teams have the same number of auction dollars or draft picks, intentionally disregarding one stat provides an advantage […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoTravis d'Arnaud (C, NYM) - 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
Current ADP: 207.2 Rankings Status: Overvalued Analysis: The Metropolitan backstop is high on many sleeper lists this season due to a "power breakout" in the second half of the 2014 season. However, his rate stats indicate that while the second half was a change for Travis d'Arnaud, it is not one likely to lead to […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoFive Undervalued Catchers: Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
Bet on These Backstops Catchers are the bane of seemingly every fantasy owner's existence. They tend not to accrue as many PAs as other hitters, while real teams value their defense to the exclusion of any semblance of offensive production. What masochist decided we should have to roster two of these? Fear not - […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoTop Five Shortstop Sleepers for 2015: Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
Five Undervalued Shortstops for 2015 So you've had a great draft, taking the best player available in each round. You are reasonably certain you will contend in all categories, and then you remember that you still need to fill a SS and MIF slot and it is Round 17. Ugh. While shortstop can be a […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoThree Shortstops Who Will Underperform Their ADP: Rankings Analysis
Shortstop Buyer Beware Shortstop is traditionally one of the weaker positions on the fantasy baseball diamond, and 2015 figures to be no exception. With that being said, I find it difficult to justify buying these three shortstops at their currently inflated ADP prices, as they simply have very little chance to produce equal value - let alone […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoJose Abreu (1B, CWS) - Overvalued in 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings
CURRENT ADP: 7 RANKINGS STATUS: Overvalued ANALYSIS: Jose Abreu made a huge splash in his first MLB season, recording a robust .317 average to go along with 36 bombs. Bearing this in mind, it is easy to see how he would be a desirable Fantasy commodity heading into 2015. After all, he continues to play in […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoCraig Kimbrel (RP, ATL) - 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
CURRENT ADP: 50 RANKINGS STATUS: Fairly Valued ANALYSS: Craig Kimbrel has been the king of the fantasy closers since his first full season in the role in 2011, but somehow he has lost that distinction to Cincinnati's Aroldis Chapman heading into 2015. Nothing against Chapman, but Kimbrel should still be the first closer off the board on draft […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoJedd Gyorko (2B, SD) - 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
CURRENT ADP: 261 RANKINGS STATUS: Undervalued ANALYSIS: There is no doubt that Jedd Gyorko's 2014 season went disastrously awry. He managed to hit just .210 with 10 HR as he was held back by plantar fasciitis in the first half. There is hope for a rebound, however, as there are numerous signs that last year's failures were […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoAnthony Rendon (2B/3B, WAS) - 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
Current ADP: 18 Rankings Status: Overvalued Analysis: Qualifying at second base, third base, middle infield and corner infield is undoubtedly a good thing - that kind of roster flexibility can really give your team an edge. Anthony Rendon had a solid season last year, sporting a .285 batting average with 21 HR, 14 SB and […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoAnthony Gose (OF, DET) - 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
Current ADP: 385.7 Rankings Status: Undervalued Analysis: The term "sleeper" is incredibly overused in fantasy sports today, but here is a player deserving of the title. Anthony Gose has tremendous speed, twice stealing over 70 bags in the minor leagues - most recently in 2011 (79 against only 17 CS). Last year, he swiped 15 […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoBryce Harper (OF, WAS) - 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis
CURRENT ADP: 33 RANKINGS STATUS: Overvalued ANALYSIS: If you guessed that this article is about how Bryce Harper has yet to live up to the hype, you're right! He is a .270 hitter that can't stay on the field (139 games in 2012, 118 in 2013, and 100 last year), has never hit 25 HR, and is currently being way […]
Rick Lucks 10 years ago