Articles
Champ or Chump: Lindor, David Wright and Scherzer
By now, most 2015 fantasy leagues have already been decided. In an all season roto league, someone probably has a big enough lead in enough categories that the last week doesn't matter. H2H formats are winding down their playoffs, if they haven't already finished. You've set your last lineup in any weekly format, and any […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: Conforto, Corey Seager, and Sano
Last week, we examined three veterans that have managed to dramatically exceed their preseason expectations, a class of player that is disproportionately likely to bust the next year. This week, we look at another class of player likely to bust: The highly touted prospect that puts up strong MLB numbers in a limited sample size. […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Arrieta, Donaldson, and Greinke
While everyone follows the pennant races this time of year, many also become fascinated by who will win the end of season awards. Who will be MVP? Is so and so good enough for the Cy? This year is no exception, with particular attention paid to NL Cy Young and AL MVP. Josh Donaldson made […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Eovaldi, Thor, and Strasburg
Few things complicate a fantasy baseball owner's plans like September innings limits. You can understand why a team would want to protect its most valuable arm, but just because the real team is dead in the water doesn't mean a fantasy roster doesn't still need it. It becomes even more confusing if the team is […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Molina, Bogaerts, and Arenado
Astute readers may have noticed that this column has increasingly made references to 2016 in predicting what the future may hold for featured players. While the statistical trends referred to hold value over time, there is simply not enough season left to assert that they definitely - or even probably - will impact a player […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Heston, Fiers, and Iwakuma
The no hitter. Few events in sports can make a stadium root against the home team, but a no-no can. There is a virtual guarantee of a great defensive play to preserve the effort, adding to the excitement of the event. Like a championship, these gems live on well after their season has faded into […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Desmond, Shields, and Lester
Nothing can tank a fantasy season quite like an early round champ performing like a chump. I was personally burned by Jon Lester's horrific 2012 season, and have not been able to trust him since. James Shields in 2015 reminds me a lot of 2012, and I'm sure Ian Desmond would as well if I […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Longoria, Carrasco, and A-Rod
In any 2015 baseball broadcast or highlight package, you are bound to hear terms such as "exit velocity", "Stat-Cast", and "Route Efficiency". Print sources are getting in on the game as well, with Fangraphs introducing "Hard%", and by extension Soft% and Med%, to act as a proxy for exit velocity. Many people have caught a […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoJon Gray (SP, COL) - Waiver Wire Analysis
BALLER MOVE: Add in desperate situations or in deeper leagues with innings limits. OWNED IN: 6% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: Allow me to preface this by saying that a certain degree of desperation is required to roll the dice on a Colorado pitcher. That said, there are plenty of fantasy teams that might be able to […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Yoenis Cespedes, Jose Reyes, and Cole Hamels
The July 31st non-waiver trade deadline has come and gone, resulting in a good deal of moves that make little sense. Why did the Mets spend solid prospects on a one year rental that is showing all of the signs of a lucky season? Why is Jose Reyes a Colorado Rockie? Why did the Texas […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoYangervis Solarte (1B / 2B / 3B, SD) - Waiver Wire Pickups
BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues (Injury Replacement) OWNED IN: 12% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: The biggest complaint about the Padres' offseason was that they did nothing to improve a terrible infield, with only second sacker Jedd Gyorko showing any upside of the bunch. Gyorko and the Padres have failed, but Yangervis Solarte has been […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamps or Chumps: Zobrist, Kazmir, Cueto
This is one of the most exciting times in the baseball season, especially if your team is in the hunt. Trades are fun to speculate about, but they can change the fantasy landscape even more dramatically than the real world in which they take place. So, who to cover in an article like this? Tulo […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoAramis Ramirez (3B, PIT) - Waiver Wire Pickups
BALLER MOVE: Add in the deepest of leagues for power. OWNED IN: 55% of Fleaflicker leagues. ANALYSIS: There can be no doubt that Pittsburgh fans were excited to see one of their best players of the last decade get a chance to contribute for a winning Pirates team - even if he is doing so […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoMark Buehrle (SP, TOR) - Waiver Wire Pickups
BALLER MOVE: Add in Deeper Leagues OWNED IN: 38% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: Buehrle may seem mixed league relevant based on his 11-5 record and 3.23 ERA, but fantasy owners find his 4.49 K/9 to be a huge letdown. If you play in a league that uses K/9 or caps innings, you can stop reading now […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: Teixeira, Puig, and the ToddFather
The hardest thing about a column like this is not having all of the relevant data. I called Robinson Cano a Chump because his fantasy stats were bad and the underlying metrics weren't any better, but now it has come out that he had a bizarre stomach thing. There is no stat for bizarre stomach […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: Justin Turner, Jose Abreu, and The Dark Knight
This week, most columns like this one are focusing on those that made the All-Star team - after all, fantasy leagues are going through a quiet week because of it. I'm going to zig when the others zag because my team lost and instead cover players that were not involved in the game. Two were All-Stars […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Kyle Gibson, Joc Pederson, and Corey Kluber
You know, I'm actually kind of upset that Omar Infante is not going to the All-Star Game. Don't get me wrong - there is no way he's actually worthy of an All-Star selection. If he made it, though, Yost would have needed to perform a roster miracle to get 14 other teams represented, compromising quality […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoNeal Walker (2B, PIT) - Waiver Wire Analysis
BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues OWNED IN: 65% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: Neil Walker has been on a tear recently, hitting .600 in the month of July. Overall, however, Walker is actually just shy of his career norms. His current triple slash line is .278/.344/.419 with 6 HR, still solid production from a middle […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to make of Maikel Franco, Shelby Miller, and Carlos Correa
Younger players rule the day this week as we look at two rookies and a once hyped pitching prospect. The small sample sizes make determinations more difficult, but that is not going to stop their labeling as either Champs or Chumps. Lets begin. Maikel Franco (3B, PHI) The one exception to the preseason notion […]
Rick Lucks 9 years agoChamp or Chump: What to Make of Billy Burns, Pablo Sandoval, and Albert Pujols
Lately I feel as though I have discussed many pitchers in this space, so let's switch it up a little. This week, I will be discussing all people with bats. I'll also order the players in traditional batting order format: a fast guy will lead off, a contact guy will hit second, and a middle […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoChamps or Chumps: What to Make of Mike Pelfrey, Trevor May, and Big Papi
Did you realize that the Twins were in first place for a couple of minutes in a division that includes not only free spending Detroit but the American League All Star Team as well? They have since faded, but attaining first at all required quite a few players far exceeding preseason expectations, especially in their […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoWhy You Should Buy Yovani Gallardo in Very Deep Leagues
Why I'm Buying Yovani Gallardo in Very Deep Leagues While Gallardo has largely been written off by fantasy owners, he is currently enjoying a career revival, following up last season's solid 3.51 ERA with a 5-6, 3.45 performance this season. FIP largely buys him as well, with a 3.62 figure. The success has not been […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoChamps or Chumps: Lucas Duda, Sonny Gray, and Clay Buchholz
Nearly everyone now agrees that sabermetrics have a use both in MLB front offices and in the fantasy arena, but the extent of this belief still varies. The Boston Red Sox have a league average starting rotation according to the advanced metrics, and are therefore still a popular postseason pick in some analytical circles. Their […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoMike Foltynewicz (SP, ATL) - Waiver Wire Pickups
BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues OWNED IN: 10% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: So a 3-2 record with a 4.29 ERA from Mike Foltynewicz on a weaker team does not excite you at first glance. Okay, how about a 3.83 FIP. Still no? What about a 9.31 K/9? Now you're listening? Good. Atlanta's random assortment of […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoNate Karns (SP, TB) - Waiver Wire Pickups
BALLER MOVE: Add in Very Deep Leagues or Stream in Good Matchups OWNED IN: 20% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: Karns' numbers look league average at first glance - 3-2 with a 3.63 ERA - and his strikeout rate is acceptable at 8.13 K/9. The walks, however, can kill your WHIP - 3.92 BB/9 is simply dreadful. […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoChamps or Chumps: Bryce Harper, Gregory Polanco, A.J. Burnett
Once again, it is time to attempt to sort through the statistical noise that comes standard with every baseball season and work out whether current performances are sustainable or if significant regression should be expected. This week, we look at a pitcher making a strong case for Comeback Player of the Year, a Pirates outfielder […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoChamp or Chump Superstar Edition: What to Make of Slow Starts from Kershaw, Tulo, and Cano
You can never win your fantasy league on draft day, but you can lose it - especially if an early rounder doesn't pan out. This is the situation that Kershaw, Tulo, and Cano owners find themselves in. Every single one of them went in the first round in some leagues, and they almost never saw […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoWeek 8 Q&A: Live Fantasy Chat (5/28)
Thursday Evening – Live Fantasy Baseball Q&A RotoBaller writer Ross Wiliamson will be fielding all grounders, flies and line drives on Thursday May 28th at 9:00 PM EST. Lineup concerns, add/drops, trades, DFS questions – you name it, we cover it! Come join in on the fun, and get your fantasy baseball lineup, waiver wire and sit/start questions answered. We’ll do our […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoErick Aybar (SS, LAA) - Waiver Wire Analysis
BALLER MOVE: Add in Deeper Leagues OWNED IN: 50% of Fleaflicker leagues ANALYSIS: Once upon a time, Aybar was a contributor to a lot of fantasy titles. You could draft elite hitters regardless of position early in the draft, and then count on .280 with 20 SB and a bunch of runs scored from your SS […]
Rick Lucks 10 years agoChamps or Chumps: What to Make of Utley, Samardzija, and Bryant?
You know the drill by now. Each week we will check out three players, and break them down in sabermetric detail to determine if they are "Champs" or "Chumps". We help you cut through the fog to understand what's really going on with a player and whether or not their performances are sustainable (if they're […]
Rick Lucks 10 years ago