Hitter Advanced Metrics Leaders - Expected Home Runs for Week 13

Home runs, we all love 'em. We've been told long ago that a certain sub-population fancies them even more than expected. It's time to figure out which hitters have been outperforming their expected home run totals and who may be underachieving and potentially due for positive regression. This week, I'll look at the biggest differences […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 13

If you're looking for a two-start streamer, Week 13 might prove to be pretty lucky. There are a ton of options out there but it's important to know which ones to trust. Every week, this fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups column will identify starting pitchers expected to make two starts in the upcoming fantasy baseball […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Leaders - Sweet Spot% for Week 12

This week, we'll dig down to a more micro level in order to see what we can take away from the leaderboard in sweet spot rate. That's essentially the goal for all hitters when they initiate a swing - to get that ideal trajectory that often results in a base hit and is necessary to […]

Fantasy Football Bold Predictions for Best Ball Leagues

Let's be real- if you want to win in fantasy football, it's going to take more than preseason preparation, smart drafting, and constant in-season management. It's going to take some luck. You want to take calculated risks with late-round fliers but also need to stray from the herd in order to avoid falling into the […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 12

Several clubs have multiple off days in the coming week so the number of choices for two-start streamers is limited. Fortunately, there are still a few good options out there even in deeper leagues. As a reminder, each week this fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups column will identify starting pitchers expected to make two starts […]

FFPC Best-Ball Tournament Stacks - Going All-In for Championship Week

The FFPC Best Ball Tournament is live with a prize pool of over one million dollars and a grand prize of $200,000. As if you needed the motivation to draft more best-ball teams... You're likely familiar with how a best-ball league works by now but the FFPC Best Ball Tourney is slightly different. A huge […]

Fantasy Football Breakouts, Busts, and Locks - Las Vegas Raiders 2022 Outlook

Welcome to our fantasy football Breakouts, Busts, and Locks, where we identify key players on each NFL team and project their fantasy value ahead of draft season. Today, we're going to look at the Las Vegas Raiders. There is a lot of change in store for the silver and black this season. Not only did […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Risers and Fallers - Sprint Speed for Week 11

Enough with the hitting stats, let's turn to something a little different this week and measure running. Steals are still an integral part of the fantasy baseball universe but it can be hard to determine who is capable of helping out in that category on a regular basis. That said, I'll provide some analysis on […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 11

Whether it's the way the schedules played out or I'm just feeling generous this week, there is a plethora of two-start streaming options that I feel good about. That includes a young pitcher who is just now jumping into the fantasy realm of consciousness. As a reminder, each week this fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups […]

FFPC Best-Ball Tournament Playoff Strategy and Stacks - Drafting to Win It All

This is one of the best times to draft for best-ball leagues, especially big tournaments like the FFPC Best Ball Tournament with a $200k prize! Rookies are being overhyped and are still overvalued. A consensus ADP has just started to form into something that will change drastically in a few weeks once training camp and […]

Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers for Fantasy Football - FFPC Best Ball ADP Analysis

It isn't close to the traditional draft season for fantasy football redraft leagues but best-ball drafts have been going on for months. High-stakes players who are looking to get an edge on the competition know how to extract the proper value for picks based on ever-shifting draft positions. If you play on a competitive platform […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Risers and Fallers - Barrel Rate for Week 10

It's finally time to roll out the barrels and there will be Brewers involved! Now that qualified hitters have well over 200 plate appearances under their belts, we can dive into the Statcast numbers to see who is making the biggest splash over the wall. It goes without saying (but here goes anyway) that you […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 10

The list is long yet the pickings are slim this week. Many of the two-start streamers have either proven they cannot be trusted to your fantasy teams or have worrisome matchups ahead. For those who have to delve into the risky streamer section, it is advisable to read the full analysis for each player to […]

Miami Dolphins Fantasy Breakouts, Busts, & Locks - Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, Raheem Mostert

Welcome to the first iteration of our offseason series breaking down the standouts for each NFL team for fantasy football purposes. The purpose is to identify one player set to break out or vastly overperform relative to ADP, a player likely to disappoint and become a draft bust, and one safe pick that can be […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Risers and Fallers - xSLG for Week 9

Rolling windows are one of the most effective ways to discern who the biggest risers and fallers are in a given area. Since power is at a premium this year, it seems only natural to examine expected slugging. For reference, here's the official definition according to MLB.com: "Expected Slugging Percentage (xSLG) is formulated using exit […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 9

As we enter June, it definitely is starting to feel like summer. This is when some of the bats start to kick in, although the new dead ball is certainly doing its best to suppress offense (great idea, Manfred!). Power and average have been harder to find on fantasy waiver wires but it has also […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Risers and Fallers - FB/LD Exit Velocity for Week 8

In order to get to stats like barrels and hard-hit rate, you have to start with exit velocity. Exit velocity begins to stabilize after 45 batted-ball events. We're going to get more specific in this edition by focusing on exit velocity for fly balls and line drives because that's where power is found. You could […]

Outfield Waiver Wire Pickups for Fantasy Baseball Week 8

With a quarter of the MLB season completed, it's a good time to reassess your roster to see where improvements can be made. The outfield position is the deepest in terms of eligible players and often the first place where young prospects get a shot to break through at the Major League level. Early in […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 8

This week presents a lot of high-risk/high-reward streaming options that could swing either way. There are also a couple of pitchers that I feel strongly about based on their upcoming schedule and recent trends. Every streamer brings a degree of risk, which is why they are available on the waiver wire in the first place. […]

Late-Round NFL Rookie Draft Picks to Target: Fantasy Football Dynasty Discounts

As soon as the NFL Draft winds down, dynasty leagues kick into action. Many rookie drafts have already begun and some, including FFPC leagues, have already wrapped up. There are plenty of other leagues that prefer to wait until rookie mini-camps end or training camps approach in order to have more time to prepare. That […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Risers and Fallers - xBA for Week 7

Last week, we dove into xwOBA (expected weighted on-base average) to see who is really maximizing their time at the plate. It's time we look at xBA (expected batting average) but with a twist. Some players are experiencing better batted-ball fortunes than others and it's bound to turn around at some point. Rather than examining […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 7

The good news is that there are more starters to feel confident about this week than usual. It is still early enough that a bad start or two can skew stats and disguise a quality pitcher who occasionally has an off day. Every streamer brings a degree of risk, which is why they are available […]

Running Back Risers and Fallers for Fantasy Football - FFPC Best Ball ADP Analysis

Veteran best-ball drafters look forward to this time each year because the NFL Draft creates an opportunity to take advantage of overreactions. Rookie ADPs inflate quicker than a helium balloon but those bubbles may bust just as easily when they don't pan out. Experienced FFPC players know how to account for shifting ADP by finding […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - xwOBA Leaders for Week 6

We're far enough into the season that we can dive into expected stats with some sense of reliability. Let's begin with everyone's favorite - xwOBA! Its given name is expected weighted on-base average and what it represents is the quality of each at-bat by a hitter. Statcast uses a combination of exit velocity, launch angle, […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 6

Some of the names may be the same but each week presents a change in schedule that determines a starter's fantasy value. The trickiest part of playing in weekly leagues is having to weigh talent vs. opportunity in the pitching realm. With many pitchers now having four or five starts under their belt, we have […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Swing & Take Leaders for Week 5

Admittedly, it's as exciting to measure 'swing and take' metrics as it would be to look at something like Barrels. One of them often results in a long fly ball that leaves the ballpark and puts runs on the scoreboard. The other can be a player staring at the umpire after watching a pitch hit […]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 5

Some of the names may be the same but each week presents a change in schedule that determines a starter's fantasy value. The trickiest part of playing in weekly leagues is having to weigh talent vs. opportunity in the pitching realm. With many pitchers now having four or five starts under their belt, we have […]

Undrafted NFL Free Agent Rookies to Watch for 2022 Fantasy Football Dynasty Leagues

Not every prospect's dream of hearing his name called during the NFL Draft will come true. Although this year's crop of skill-position players, especially QB and TE, were relatively weak compared to past classes (and supposedly next year's mega-class), there were still talented players who did not find a home. Undrafted free agents don't inspire too […]

Did Justyn Ross Get Drafted? 2022 NFL Draft Recap and Injury Concerns for Clemson WR

The 2022 NFL Draft is over and the top prospects have found new homes at the pro level. Except that some players like Clemson WR Justyn Ross, didn't get selected at all. An undrafted free agent can still make an impact in the NFL, though. Staying on top of the latest NFL depth chart changes […]

Hitter Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Average Exit Velocity for Week 4

We can finally start extrapolating something from one of the easiest Statcast metrics to decipher - exit velocity. This stat stabilizes after approximately 70 plate appearances or 45 batted-ball events. Last week, we looked at early leaders in maximum exit velocity because it doesn't take long to take something away from that metric. Keep in […]