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Updated MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top-101 Baller Ranks

max scherzer fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers mlb injury news

The middle of August signals a turn into the fantasy season's stretch run! Are you and your rotation ready?

Last week, we looked at arms who moved at the deadline, and this week, we'll turn back to some fun leaderboards (with stats since July 1st) going into Tuesday. Let's get to it with the latest edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

As is tradition, these fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings are geared toward traditional 5x5 leagues. Injured players are left off of this iteration. Let's move along with my top-101 SP for the rest of 2022!

Featured Promo: For this week only, take 50% off any full-season or yearly Premium Pass on the site! Just enter discount code THANKS when checking out. Thanks for being a reader, and Happy Holidays! Sign Up Now!

 

Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

Stat Leaders (July 1-August 8) -- SIERA:

Rank Name SIERA
1 Jacob deGrom 1.01
2 Shohei Ohtani 1.99
3 Spencer Strider 2.23
4 Gerrit Cole 2.59
5 Max Scherzer 2.60
6 Braxton Garrett 2.71
7 Kevin Gausman 2.73
8 Robbie Ray 2.74
9 Yu Darvish 2.77
10 George Kirby 2.77

I try to be reasonable with minimum inning cutoffs but deGrom is actually that good. You’d expect to find most of these arms here aside from Garrett and perhaps Kirby. Put some respect on their names!

CSW:

Rank Name CSW%
1 Jacob deGrom 37.00%
2 Shohei Ohtani 36.00%
3 Max Scherzer 33.90%
4 Shane Bieber 33.60%
5 Shane McClanahan 33.10%
6 Braxton Garrett 33.00%
7 Brandon Woodruff 32.70%
8 Gerrit Cole 32.40%
9 Aaron Ashby 32.30%
10 Dylan Cease 32.20%

No surprise to see carryovers from the previous list as a healthy CSW rate provides fuel for SIERA. This eases any pain for McClanahan backers who ctrl+F his name in any SP list, though. A few of these guys are living in the zone a bit too much, especially Ashby, but the talent is undeniable for these studs.

Fangraphs Dollars Earned:

Rank Name Dollars
1 Max Scherzer $15.70
2 Triston McKenzie $12.70
3 Spencer Strider $12.60
4 Max Fried $12.60
5 Justin Verlander $12.50
6 Carlos Rodon $11.70
7 Brandon Woodruff $10.70
8 Aaron Nola $10.40
9 George Kirby $10.40
t-10 Sandy Alcantara $10.10
t-10 Cole Irvin $10.10

Hey, value doesn’t only come from whiffs and SIERA isn’t a category in most fantasy leagues so let’s just check the wallet. This is why Scherzer deserves the No. 1 spot, while McKenzie has tossed four scoreless quality starts in seven outings since July began. Irvin isn’t an overpowering arm but he’s attacking the zone well and hasn’t allowed more than two earned in a start since June 29th.

BABIP (highest):

Rank Name BABIP
1 Patrick Corbin 0.446
2 JT Brubaker 0.442
3 Patrick Sandoval 0.422
4 Nick Pivetta 0.419
5 Frankie Montas 0.400
6 Daniel Lynch 0.390
7 Nick Lodolo 0.388
8 Sean Manaea 0.376
9 Kevin Gausman 0.372
10 Robbie Ray 0.361

Corbin needs to get demoted to the bullpen out of mercy, or maybe into a pitching coach role. To be fair, Corbin is backed by the worst defense in terms of Defensive Runs Saved at -44. Most of these pitchers boast the strikeouts to wiggle out of bad-luck jams. Gausman allows me to raise an interesting point that the Blue Jays are tied for the third-most DRS (48) and sixth-best Outs Above Average mark (15) while posting the fourth-worst UZR (-17.1) in the bigs.

BABIP (lowest):

Rank Name BABIP
1 Jesus Luzardo 0.129
2 Trevor Williams 0.160
3 Kyle Gibson 0.184
4 Jose Urquidy 0.186
5 Jacob deGrom 0.188
6 Jameson Taillon 0.194
7 Cole Irvin 0.200
8 Tyler Mahle 0.208
9 Zack Wheeler 0.218
10 Chris Flexen 0.220

Some smaller samples here but it’s always good to keep this in mind. All BABIP is not created equal but it is generally untenable to hold anything at the extremes of the spectrum. And also remember that home runs don't factor into BABIP. As I finish this piece up tonight, I've seen Urquidy surrender three home runs but his BABIP on the night was just .154, and he had only given up two home runs in his last five starts combined, but he still got the win! Good or bad luck, you decide.

 

Top-101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

These are rest-of-season fantasy baseball rankings for starting pitchers.

EV = Earned Value via Fangraphs (Last 30 Days), $ = My projected dollar value (think auction), PV = Previous $ Value

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ PV Trend Notes
2 1 Max Scherzer 1 $15.70 45 42 3.0 ▲ Incredible month, consistent as heck
3 1 Jacob deGrom 2 $4.10 44 42 2.0 ▲ Re-injury risk all that remains
1 1 Sandy Alcantara 3 $10.10 43 42 1.0 ▲ Modest Ks only blemish
-3 1 Corbin Burnes 4 $7.40 43 44.5 -1.5 ▼ Still great but rising walks
-3 1 Shane McClanahan 5 $7.50 43 43 0.0 ▬ Also still great, just not as great as others
1 1 Justin Verlander 6 $12.50 42 40 2.0 ▲ Will innings be managed ahead of playoffs
-1 2 Gerrit Cole 7 $4.90 42 42 0.0 ▬ Few mistake pitches, but all being punished
1 2 Shohei Ohtani 8 $8.90 40 38 2.0 ▲ 35% K-BB rate since July 1 is insane
-1 2 Zack Wheeler 9 $7.00 39 39 0.0 ▬ Steady SP1, reliable
0 2 Joe Musgrove 10 $2.90 38 38 0.0 ▬ Recent bumps but can't slide much
0 2 Carlos Rodon 11 $11.70 37 37 0.0 ▬ Like him staying in SF, K's streaming in
0 2 Brandon Woodruff 12 $10.70 36 36 0.0 ▬
1 3 Aaron Nola 13 $10.40 33 31 2.0 ▲
-1 3 Max Fried 14 $12.60 32 32 0.0 ▬
3 3 Dylan Cease 15 $8.30 31 28.5 2.5 ▲ Unreal run prevention given ~10% BB%
-1 3 Alek Manoah 16 $2.60 29.5 30 -0.5 ▼
-1 3 Kevin Gausman 17 $6.30 29 30 -1.0 ▼
2 3 Julio Urias 18 $7.00 27.5 26.5 1.0 ▲
2 3 Yu Darvish 19 $6.90 26 24.5 1.5 ▲
2 3 Shane Bieber 20 $4.70 24.5 23.5 1.0 ▲
2 3 Spencer Strider 21 $12.60 24 22 2.0 ▲ 1 of 3 with >40% K rate since July 1
3 3 Luis Castillo 22 $6.20 23 21 2.0 ▲
1 4 Nestor Cortes 23 $5.30 22 21.5 0.5 ▲
-5 4 Logan Webb 24 $4.80 22 27.5 -5.5 ▼ Strikeouts back down, ratios can't outweigh it
2 4 Tony Gonsolin 25 $4.00 19 18 1.0 ▲
2 4 Chris Bassitt 26 $7.40 19 18 1.0 ▲
-1 4 Robbie Ray 27 $2.50 18.5 18 0.5 ▲
1 4 Cristian Javier 28 $2.50 17.5 17.5 0.0 ▬
1 5 Freddy Peralta 29 $0.60 17 17.5 -0.5 ▼ Shake that rust off
1 5 Charlie Morton 30 $5.30 16.5 16 0.5 ▲
1 5 Kyle Wright 31 ($1.50) 16 16 0.0 ▬
1 5 Frankie Montas 32 ($1.50) 15.5 16 -0.5 ▼ Awful 1st NYY start but STL is good!
1 5 Framber Valdez 33 $6.40 14.5 14.5 0.0 ▬
2 5 Luis Garcia 34 $4.20 14 14 0.0 ▬
0 6 Pablo Lopez 35 $3.30 13.5 14.5 -1.0 ▼
3 6 Andrew Heaney 36 $3.40 13 13 0.0 ▬ LAD likely saving bullets for playoffs
4 6 Triston McKenzie 37 $12.70 13 12 1.0 ▲
-1 6 Nathan Eovaldi 38 $2.10 12.5 13 -0.5 ▼
-1 6 Logan Gilbert 39 $1.00 12.5 13 -0.5 ▼ Harsh to judge NYY matchups heavily
0 6 Lucas Giolito 40 $5.80 12 12.5 -0.5 ▼
1 6 Zac Gallen 41 $6.80 12 12 0.0 ▬
5 6 Jesus Luzardo 42 $4.30 12 10 2.0 ▲ Love seeing strong control right off IL
3 6 Tyler Anderson 43 $8.20 11.5 10.5 1.0 ▲
-1 6 Jordan Montgomery 44 $1.90 11.5 12 -0.5 ▼ Busch friendlier than Yankee Stadium
-1 6 Joe Ryan 45 $1.60 10.5 11 -0.5 ▼ Crooked 10 ER game skews ERA hard
-1 6 Jose Berrios 46 $3.60 10.5 11 -0.5 ▼ Can't trust him, can't quite drop him
1 6 Tyler Mahle 47 ($0.80) 10.5 10 0.5 ▲ Looks to thrive away from GABP
7 6 Lance Lynn 48 $2.10 10 8.5 1.5 ▲ Control way up of late, trust back
2 6 Alex Wood 49 $6.40 10 9 1.0 ▲
2 6 Mike Clevinger 50 $2.50 9.5 9 0.5 ▲
10 6 George Kirby 51 $10.40 9.5 7.5 2.0 ▲ Excellent control makes great foundation
11 6 Reid Detmers 52 $9.30 9 7.5 1.5 ▲ Refined arsenal keeps on succeeding
1 6 Jose Urquidy 53 $8.20 9 8.5 0.5 ▲
8 6 Alex Cobb 54 $9.90 8.5 7.5 1.0 ▲ Luck turning, schedule been rough
-5 7 Nick Lodolo 55 $2.50 8 9 -1.0 ▼
0 7 Sonny Gray 56 $1.70 8 8 0.0 ▬
3 7 Carlos Carrasco 57 $6.60 8 7.5 0.5 ▲
-9 7 Sean Manaea 58 ($1.20) 7.5 10 -2.5 ▼ Sharp fade, command has evaporated
-6 7 Taijuan Walker 59 $0.20 7.5 8.5 -1.0 ▼
-3 7 Miles Mikolas 60 $2.40 7 8 -1.0 ▼ I'm forgiving about Coors but WOOF
3 7 Tarik Skubal 61 $4.80 7 7 0.0 ▬
7 7 Braxton Garrett 62 $7.60 6.5 6 0.5 ▲
4 7 Martin Perez 63 $2.10 6.5 6.5 0.0 ▬
1 7 Adam Wainwright 64 $1.50 6.5 7 -0.5 ▼
6 7 Merrill Kelly 65 $9.80 6.5 5.5 1.0 ▲ Some luck but locating very well
N/A 7 Edward Cabrera 66 $1.60 6 N/A N/A Threw 20-pitch bullpen July 5
1 7 Blake Snell 67 $9.30 6 6 0.0 ▬
2 8 Marcus Stroman 68 $5.00 5.5 5.5 0.0 ▬
-11 8 Patrick Sandoval 69 $6.30 5.5 8 -2.5 ▼ Raw stuff but lacks command, polish
-4 8 Aaron Ashby 70 $1.30 5.5 7 -1.5 ▼ Ditto
1 8 Keegan Thompson 71 $2.20 4.5 4.5 0.0 ▬
4 8 Kutter Crawford 72 $7.00 4.5 3.5 1.0 ▲
9 8 Jose Quintana 73 $7.20 4.5 2 2.5 ▲
4 8 Brady Singer 74 $8.40 4 3.5 0.5 ▲
8 9 Ranger Suarez 75 $5.50 3.5 2 1.5 ▲
N/A 9 Jose Suarez 76 $2.50 3.5 N/A N/A More sliders, a new changeup = success
-18 9 Michael Kopech 77 ($3.40) 3 7.5 -4.5 ▼
-5 9 Nick Pivetta 78 ($1.60) 3 4 -1.0 ▼
-2 9 Noah Syndergaard 79 $1.70 3 3.5 -0.5 ▼
-6 9 Josiah Gray 80 ($4.60) 3 4 -1.0 ▼
-2 9 Jameson Taillon 81 ($1.90) 2.5 3 -0.5 ▼
-2 9 Drew Rasmussen 82 $6.50 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
1 9 Eric Lauer 83 $2.90 2.5 2 0.5 ▲
1 9 Jeffrey Springs 84 $1.90 2 1.5 0.5 ▲
1 9 Madison Bumgarner 85 $2.40 2 1.5 0.5 ▲
1 10 Johnny Cueto 86 $5.80 1 1 0.0 ▬
2 10 Corey Kluber 87 $8.10 1 1 0.0 ▬
2 10 Kyle Gibson 88 ($0.10) 1 1 0.0 ▬
10 10 Spenser Watkins 89 $9.00 1 1 0.0 ▬
2 10 Justin Steele 90 $5.20 1 1 0.0 ▬
3 10 Mitch Keller 91 $5.00 1 1 0.0 ▬
3 10 Jake Odorizzi 92 $4.30 1 1 0.0 ▬
3 10 Jakob Junis 93 $2.60 1 1 0.0 ▬
6 10 Graham Ashcraft 94 $4.40 1 1 0.0 ▬
-7 10 Paul Blackburn 95 ($2.00) 1 1 0.0 ▬
-5 10 Cal Quantrill 96 $1.30 1 1 0.0 ▬
-4 10 Chris Flexen 97 $0.50 1 1 0.0 ▬
0 10 Brad Keller 98 $3.20 1 1 0.0 ▬
2 10 Domingo German 99 ($0.60) 1 1 0.0 ▬
3 10 Jordan Lyles 100 $3.50 1 1 0.0 ▬
3 10 Kris Bubic 101 $2.60 1 1 0.0 ▬


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