RADIO
Welcome back to my PGA DFS lineup picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings! Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by a fraction of a percent, so if you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, you can contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports.
Once you are done reading the article, please check out my weekly spreadsheet in the link below to get started on your research. There you will be able to weigh the categories however you see fit once you make a copy.
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PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Wyndham Championship
We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - a powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you want to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file." We hope you enjoy!
Sedgefield Country Club
7,127 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bermuda
Sedgefield Country Club was designed by Donald Ross in 1926 but was re-modeled and toughened in 2007 by Kris Spence. The venue should be considered a straightforward par 70, measuring in at 7,127 yards, and will reward plodders who can find the fairway off the tee. The greens are typical of a Ross design, featuring small surfaces and undulation throughout the property, and three-putt avoidance does come into play because of the speedy nature of the complex.
Eight of the par-fours measure between 400-450 yards, and the two par-fives at the facility yield an eagle rate of 6.2% and 3.8%, respectively. Birdie or better percentage will play a factor since the event routinely plays around 20-under par or better, and players who excel with wedges between the distances of 125-175 yards will be at an advantage over the field. Ball striking will play a heavy factor in determining who can create scoring opportunities, and we should place some emphasis on players who excel in finding fairways.
Let's Look At The Stats
| Stat | Sedgefield | Tour Average |
| Driving Distance | 281 | 282 |
| Driving Accuracy | 62% | 62% |
| GIR Percentage | 72% | 65% |
| Scrambling Percentage | 68% | 57% |
| Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.67 | 0.55 |
Key Stats
Let's quickly run through how I built my model.
- SG: Total Under 7,200 Yards (10%)
- SG: Total Donald Ross (10%)
- SG: Total Easy Scoring (10%)
- Weighted Scoring (20%)
- Fast Bermuda + Three Putt (15%)
- Weighted Total Driving (17.5%)
- Weighted Proximity (17.5%)
I will take a deeper dive into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on Twitter.
Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)
We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players
***There are five players priced above $10,000. Please remember that my DFS article is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter.
Safest Play: Sungjae Im ($10,500) - I will pull a minor shocker here since the common belief is that Webb Simpson will naturally be inserted as my "safest play" of the week, but I do believe early ownership is correct in wanting to go to Sungjae Im, especially for cash-game builds. If the popularity remains somewhat condensed for Webb, I don't have any issues taking some shots on him in GPPs, but the South Korean is starting to trend with his ball-striking - a deadly combination for him on Bermuda.
Most Upside: Shane Lowry ($10,600)/Sungjae Im ($10,500) - The two seem interchangeable to me. Ownership will decide a lot.
Favorite GPP: Shane Lowry ($10,600) - We have a slight discount currently on Shane Lowry versus Sungjae Im. It is too early in the week for any concrete decisions, but the nearly four percent rebate is noteworthy enough.
Fade: Will Zalatoris ($10,900) - Consider this a mixture of Will Zalatoris' overall top-priced total and some of the uncertainty for him when he is forced to club down. The American has yet to crack the top 25 in two attempts at this track, and while I am not necessarily predicting an implosion, my model is finding red flags to push him outside the top 20 names.
Most Likely Winner: Shane Lowry ($10,600)/Sungjae Im ($10,500)
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the discount code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!
Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players
$9,000 Range
It is a small enough range that let's rapid-fire off a few early thoughts about each player.
Russell Henley ($9,800) - While I love Henley's upside, I have no interest if he is going to push 20%+. There is real volatility here. I'd rather go up and play Horschel if directly comparing ownership amounts.
Corey Conners ($9,600) - Intriguing GPP target because of his ball-striking.
Tyrrell Hatton ($9,400) - There doesn't seem to be a massive difference between Conners, Scott and Hatton if the Englishman is going to be half the ownership.
Adam Scott ($9,200) - Scott should have won the event last year. You could make the same argument for Russell Henley, but the Aussie had a three-foot putt to end the playoff early and couldn't convert.
Harold Varner III ($9,000) - Ownership is currently higher than I would care to see.
Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players
$8,000 Range
Denny McCarthy ($8,900), Joohyung Kim ($8,600), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,400), Brian Harman ($8,300) and Justin Rose ($8,000) are the five players in this section to grade as positive values both against their DraftKings price and ownership. Bezuidenhout is my favorite target as of Monday, as he possesses that same J.T. Poston/Kevin Kisner prototype and will be one of the more overlooked golfers.
Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players To Consider ($7,000+)
The list removes all players outside the top-50 in overall or upside rank + negative totals against their DraftKings price, upside and ownership. We will break this list down more as ownership continues to trickle in over the next few days.
*** The names showing would be my early leans that I am going to take a deeper dive on over the next few days.
Sub-$6,000 Options To Consider
All the players below were inside the top-65 in one of the two iterations and also positive during either the differential against DraftKings price or ownership. You can use my model to get a complete breakdown of the field, but this condensed things down nicely as a first run.
Early Lean For Favorite Player in Each Range:
$10,000 - Sungjae Im ($10,500)
$9,000 - Corey Conners ($9,600)
$8,000 - Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,400)
$7,000 - Adam Svensson ($7,500)
$6,000 - Ryan Armour ($6,700)
Win Big With RotoBaller
Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big.Congrats @tenndolly2 ???
— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020
Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt
