RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - AT&T Byron Nelson

2 years ago by Spencer Aguiar

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for the fourth season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Andrew Putters, Owen Vrabel, Matt Miller and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course which highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

One and Done Selections - Byron Nelson

Joe Nicely - Sam Burns

Alternate - Aaron Wise

I don’t know which is more frustrating…completely missing on a pick or having the winner as your alternate. I got a dose of each last week, as my actual pick Russell Henley underperformed, while my 1A and alternate, Max Homa, took down the Wells Fargo. Insert RAGE GIF here…

As we head to Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson, it feels as though this is a golf course on which anything can happen, as K.H. Lee took down the title at 25-under last year in TPC Craig Ranch’s debut on the PGA Tour schedule. Even though I think you can easily go outside the box this week, I’m going to stay very much inside of it with Sam Burns. He’s a sensible pick after a runner-up on this layout last year and he’s a player that I want to utilize this year, but don’t have a clear plan for. All that said, if you’re tailing my picks this year, you should probably roll with my alternate every week!

Yearly Earnings - $5,319,648
Yearly Cuts Made - 13/16

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Hayden Buckley -118 over Vincent Whaley gets to the window. @RotoBaller

4-0-1 in-tournament H2Hs this week
9-1-1 on the season. https://t.co/bGvwKIWIBu pic.twitter.com/se5s4mWjPi
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) January 16, 2022

Spencer Aguiar - Aaron Wise

Alternate - Sam Burns

I am asking for whatever comes my way by going off-script for this pick of not using a top-30 player in the world for a contest that doesn't demand anything abnormal, but here we are this week. To be honest, I struggled with what to do on this selection because I don't have a solid lean outside of Justin Thomas, and because of that exact answer I just stated, I don't believe in playing anyone that I might want to use later in the year is the route I want to go for the contest.

So after some back-and-forth internal discussions, I landed on Aaron Wise - a golfer that tends to run hot and cold in his performances and might just be hitting his stride at the right moment for us to go outside the box. The American has one of the best combinations in this field of par-five scoring and finding success at longer courses, and I am willing to take a gamble that he continues his blistering run where he has provided back-to-back top-21 finishes. In fairness, this selection might be the epitome of "getting too cute," but let's go for broke in an aggressive manner - all while saving our big guns for later.

Yearly Earnings - $6,184,735
Yearly Cuts Made - 15/16

Matt Miller - Sam Burns

Alternate -

I have officially hit my stride. Max Homa last week made it back-to-back outright winners in my weekly OAD picks and I'm looking to ride the momentum through this week. I will be taking Sam Burns and I feel like it's a nice spot to use him.

The last time we saw Burns he was teamed up with Billy Ho at the Zurich, where they finished 2nd. I don't put a whole lot of stock into that event other than the fact that he got some (somewhat) competitive golf in since his missed cut at the Masters. This week will be a stark contrast to the challenging Masters, last year saw a winning score of -25. We know that Sam Burns has the ability to go low.

He won the Valspar at the end of March at -17, gaining over eight strokes tee to green and seven strokes on approach. We also saw him win the Sanderson in the fall with a winning score of -22. Last year Burns finished 2nd at this event shooting -22.

I also don't feel the need to save Burns for anything moving forward. He's one of the stronger players in the field this week and isn't someone I plan on using at a major or big late-season event. Let's hope the hot streak continues and Burns makes it three straight winners for Team Miller.

Yearly Earnings - $4,558,314
Yearly Cuts Made - 13/16

Owen Vrabel - Joaquin Niemann

Alternate -

Yearly Earnings - $7,132,976
Yearly Cuts Made - 14/16

Josh Bennett - Sam Burns

Alternate - Jordan Spieth

Just when I thought I was clawing back into the contest, a couple of the boys in here hit Homa last week and sent me chasing again. I’m really liking the spot Burns is in this week so I’m rolling with him. If you watch him play at all, you’ll have noticed he has been notably bad off the tee the last few weeks. However, he’s been extremely good in all other facets of his game. I think that’s a good recipe for success this week because TPC Craig Ranch does not require you to be an accurate driver of the golf ball.

The course is long and gets longer by forcing a couple of layups off the tee on some longer holes (including par 5’s at times). Having length off the tee without much need for accuracy, combined with a stellar approach and around the green game from there should work wonders for Burns this week. Although one year of history may not be a perfect indicator, he did finish second in this event last year, so it at least somewhat appears his style of play can work here. Banking on that being the case, I have some more catching up to do!

Yearly Earnings - $4,455,331
Yearly Cuts Made - 13/16

Andrew Putters - Sam Burns

Alternate - Hideki Matsuyama

We are going chalk 101 this week. This course is a perfect fit for Sam Burns. TPC Craig Ranch is nothing but a birdie fest (not to mention 4 par 5s). Burns’s iron game has been solid this year and should be at an advantage off the tee. I know we have not seen much of him lately, but I am not worried. Sam Burns is a solid play this week.

Yearly Earnings - $2,873,286
Yearly Cuts Made - 10/16

Running Totals

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