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About The Model Maniac
A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.
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The Model Maniac has written 29 articles so far, you can find them below.
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - The Players Championship
This series has got off to an incredibly sweaty start with Berger blowing a Sunday five-shot lead two weeks ago, and Hovland letting a Sunday back-nine lead slip through his fingers last week. As much as it stings to have come so close, twice, the entertainment value of having a horse in the race on... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Arnold Palmer Invitational
I typically write up the intro on Sunday evening, but in order to avoid it sounding like an obituary, I slept on it. A few more cups of coffee and the lingering taste of Sunday's belched-up Berger will hopefully disappear quicker than his final round five-shot lead. It was an absolute roller coaster of an... Read More
Sahith Theegala Well-Rested Heading Into API
Sahith Theegala had a much-needed break after playing six consecutive tournaments, including an emotionally draining T3 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. The rookie has shown that he has all the tools required to contend on the PGA Tour. Other than an impressive stretch of putting, gaining strokes in six of his last seven starts,... Read More
Matt Jones A Risky Play
After a disappointing title defense at the Honda Classic, Matt Jones will be looking to get his game back on track. He is an extremely streaky player that is capable of gaining or losing massive amounts of strokes with his putter and irons. At a course that punishes errant shots, Jones will have to bring... Read More
Garrick Higgo Brings Volatile Game To First API
Garrick Higgo's statistical profile is very volatile. Amidst mini streaks of consistent gains, there are events where he loses extreme amounts of strokes to the field in any random major area. His length off the tee is the only reliable element of his game. Regardless of his inconsistencies, he has managed to make three consecutive... Read More
Russell Henley A Safe Play At API
Russell Henley has made every cut in the nine tournaments he has played this year. Henley is one of the best iron players in the field, gaining over six strokes on approach four times this season. He has also gained over a stroke with his putter in five of his last six starts and will... Read More
Max Homa Looks To Capitalize On Great Recent Form
Max Homa has three top-15 finishes in his last four starts, gaining over 3.2 strokes putting in all four events. He has also gained strokes with his irons in each of those tournaments. With a recent uptick in driving distance gaining him strokes off the tee in six of his eight starts this season, Homa... Read More
Corey Conners A Tough Decision At Bay Hill
Corey Conners has been one of the premier ball-strikers on tour the last two seasons. He has gained over 0.26 strokes off the tee per round in every start so far in 2022. His iron play typically gains more strokes than his driver, but he has lost 0.57 and 0.45 strokes per round on approach... Read More
Luke List Can Overpower Bay Hill
As one of the best ball-strikers in the field, Luke List has the length and approach game to be a contender at this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. List has only gained strokes with his putter once in nine recorded starts this season, winning the Farmers Insurance Open with 1.25 strokes gained putting per round. In... Read More
Scottie Scheffler A Great Course Fit At Bay Hill
Scottie Scheffler's recent all-around game has been the reason for five consecutive top-25 finishes. This impressive stretch of recent form includes a win at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, where he lost strokes on approach but gained over 12 strokes with his driver and putter. In four of his last six starts, he has gained... Read More
Rory McIlroy A Ball-Striking Conundrum
Rory McIlroy has incredible history at Bay Hill with top-10 finishes in his last five appearances, including a win. He has been incredible with his driver in his last three starts, gaining an average of over 0.7 strokes off the tee per round. He has also been remarkable on the greens, gaining over 1.3 strokes... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Honda Classic
Not sure how to safely tell your wife that you bet on a golf tournament that she thinks you know nothing about? Looking to impress your man with an outright ticket for a special occasion? Living a life of single serenity and wanting to hitch your loyalties to a few golfers who will hopefully be... Read More
Jhonattan Vegas Seeking Sixth Top-30 Finish At Honda Classic
Jhonattan Vegas has a remarkable five top-30 finishes in his last seven Honda Classic appearances. Vegas enters the week with perennially prolific off-the-tee numbers, gaining an average of 0.36 strokes at The Genesis Invitational. His 0.36 strokes gained off the tee last week was his worst driving performance of his six recorded starts this year.... Read More
Matt Jones Striking Irons Well Before Title Defense
Matt Jones will be looking to defend his Honda Classic title this week. Jones has made a career on tour as a scrambling specialist, ranking 18th last season in strokes gained around the green while also gaining strokes with his putter. With water hazards looming everywhere at The Honda Classic, he enters the week having... Read More
Garrick Higgo A High-Risk, High-Reward Play
Playing in his maiden Honda Classic, Garrick Higgo is looking to break into the top 20 for the first time this season. Higgo enters the week off a T21 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, where he gained strokes in all four major statistical categories. The most consistent areas of his game are driving and... Read More
Avoid J.T. Poston At The Honda Classic
J.T. Poston has three top-40 finishes in his last four Honda Classic appearances. He missed the cut last year, foreshadowed by three poor approach performances leading into the week. The years he made the cut, he gained strokes on approach in preceding tournaments. This year, he has lost strokes on approach the last four times... Read More
Alex Noren Has Upside At The Honda Classic
Alex Noren has flashed upside potential in one of his three most recent starts, finishing T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. He also owns a third-place finish at The Honda Classic in 2018. Noren has proven he has the recent form and course history to contend this week. His strokes gained on approach seem... Read More
