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About The Model Maniac
A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.
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The Model Maniac has written 138 articles so far, you can find them below.
Scottie Scheffler Looking To Bounce Back In Texas
Scottie Scheffler missed only his second cut of the season at The PGA Championship. Outside of his approach play, all other areas of his game let him down. He now heads back to Colonial for the third time in his career, hoping to improve on a missed cut and a T55. The biggest concern heading... Read More
Viktor Hovland Can Chip Away At Colonial Country Club
Viktor Hovland has gained off the tee in all but two of his 12 starts this season, while gaining on approach in all but one of those starts. His biggest weakness is his around the green play, gaining less than 0.28 total strokes in 11 of 12, often losing considerably in this department. Colonial CC... Read More
Sungjae Im Returns From COVID Protocols
Sungjae Im found himself in Korean COVID-19 protocols a week before the PGA Championship, which caused him to miss the second major of the year. Colonial Country Club suits Im's ball-striking ability. He is accurate and long off the tee, which is a premium requirement at a tight venue like this. His approach play has... Read More
Justin Thomas Eyeing Back-To-Back Wins
Justin Thomas, now a two-time PGA Champion, battled the worst weather that hit his wave of tee times to outduel Will Zalatoris in a playoff last weekend. Thomas gained at least 2.4 strokes in each major statistical category. His irons, typically the strength of his game, gained the least number of strokes. He gained over... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - PGA Championship
K.H. Lee has now cemented his nickname as TPC Lee with back-to-back Byron Nelson victories at TPC Craig Ranch. He out-birdied Jordan Spieth who wowed his home crowd with Houdini-like scrambling efforts and near hole outs from the fairway to finish second, one shot off the lead. Birdies were flying and the leaderboard ended up... Read More
Cameron Young A Steady Putter Away From Victory
Cameron Young has four finishes T3 or better in his rookie season but has not yet managed to get his hands on any hardware. He enters the week as one of the more popular plays courtesy of his controlled power off the tee that has reliably gained him an average of 0.9 strokes per round... Read More
Talor Gooch A Safe Play
Since his win at the RSM Classic in November, Talor Gooch has either finished in the top 30 or missed the cut. If Gooch makes the cut, you will most likely be rewarded with an impressive finish. He does the majority of his scoring with his irons, around-the-green game and with his putting. Over the... Read More
Will Zalatoris Looking To Continue Incredible Major Form
Will Zalatoris may have lost the trust of those that played him last week at the Byron Nelson, where he lost 4.26 strokes putting en route to his first missed cut since November. In his seven major appearances, Zalatoris has gained over 1.8 strokes per round in five of those starts, culminating in four top-eight... Read More
Joaquin Niemann Has Skill Set To Contend For PGA Championship
Joaquin Niemann entered his final round of the Byron Nelson in third place and ended his day T25, losing 5.69 strokes to the field in a single round. He will be looking to bounce back this week at a course that suits his impressive tee-to-green game. At a course that demands exceptional play around the... Read More
Scottie Scheffler Is A Smash Play At Southern Hills
Scottie Scheffler trails Justin Thomas by a fraction in strokes gained total on the 2022 season, but has four more victories than Thomas. Scheffler has risen to the top of the world rankings in rapid fashion and is playing golf at such an exceptional level that it will not be surprising to see him continue... Read More
Jason Day Remains A High-Risk, High-Reward Play
Jason Day remains a mixed bag of results. He has flashed rounds of brilliance with stellar iron play and a tidy short game that has always been a crutch to lean on during lackluster rounds. Day has also had a few recent rounds where he was not sure which direction the ball would fly off... Read More
Tiger Woods May Struggle At PGA Championship
With very little statistics to go off, it is tough to predict how Tiger Woods will play when he tees it up for the second time this year. He made the cut at The Masters which is essentially his backyard as he has played well there so many times. He heads to Southern Hills where... Read More
Xander Schauffele Riding High Into PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele displayed one of the most impressive 2.5 rounds of golf since Cameron Smith and Jon Rahm broke scoring records at The Tournament of Champions in January. After appearing to be headed for an imminent missed cut, eight strokes off the cut line early on Friday, he rattled off 13 holes of blistering ball... Read More
Justin Thomas Primed For Victory At Southern Hills
Justin Thomas has finished T8 or better in 75% of his regular starts this year. He lights up the strokes gained columns across the board, including putting which is an area of his game he has seen drastic improvement in. He is having the best statistical season of his illustrious career, gaining an average of... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - AT&T Byron Nelson
Keegan Bradley led the field in strokes gained putting at the Wells Fargo Championship last week. Let that sink in for a second. Keegan... Hansen... Bradley... led the field in strokes gained putting, but hit just too many bad shots in critical moments on Sunday to finish T2. In last week's article we noticed that... Read More
Will Zalatoris Desperate For Positive Putter
Will Zalatoris has gained strokes putting twice this season, with both instances coinciding with two of his three worst approach performances. He is one of the premier ball strikers on tour, crippled by a putter that refuses to gain even a fraction of a stroke needed to win golf tournaments. He has six top-20s in... Read More
Talor Gooch A Great Course Fit
Talor Gooch has 10 top-20s in 17 starts this season, including a win at The RSM Classic. He has been excellent on approach, around the green and putting all season, while his driver has driver has been a non-factor. Gooch is 13th on tour in birdie or better percentage, scoring under par a quarter of... Read More
Si Woo Kim A Safe Play
Excluding his withdrawal from The Players Championship, where he most likely would have missed the cut in atrocious conditions, Si Woo Kim has made the cut in all 10 of his starts this year. He has been stealthily steady off the tee, relying on a crisp combination of accuracy and distance. He has struggled to... Read More
Joaquin Niemann Can Capitalize On Impressive Ball-Striking
Joaquin Niemann is one of the longer drivers on tour, gaining off the tee in every start this year. Over that same time frame, he has only lost on approach once, at a hazard-stricken Honda Classic the week after winning the Genesis Invitational. Nieman is 15th in birdie or better percentage this season, circling his... Read More
Scottie Scheffler Looking To Continue Historic Run
Scottie Scheffler has now won four of his last six stroke-play events. He is gaining over a stroke per round ball striking this season, averaging 0.71 on approach and 0.33 off the tee. With the winning score at -25 last year, birdies are essential here and Scheffler is second in the field in that category,... Read More
Jason Day A High-Risk, High-Reward Play
Heading into the weekend leading the Wells Fargo Championship last week, Jason Day struggled to maintain the elite ball-striking performance that got him to the top of the leaderboard. He gained six strokes on approach in his first two rounds, flashing signs of the incredible potential that saw him win five events in 2015. Day... Read More
Xander Schauffele A Great Pivot
Xander Schauffele bounced back from an abysmal Masters missed cut with a win at the Zurich Classic team event, continuing to add wins to his eccentric PGA Tour resume. His game suits this course well, as he has gained on approach and off the tee in the majority of his starts this season. He is... Read More
Justin Thomas Can Run Away At Byron Nelson
Justin Thomas' worst finish in his 12 starts this season is T35. At a course that demands a lot of birdies, Thomas has made birdie or better on 28.75% of his holes this season, leading the field in that category. His approach play over the last two years and last 24 rounds both rank first... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Wells Fargo Championship
Jon Rahm finally found his way into the winner's circle. He had to fly to Mexico without 18 of the world's top-20 ranked golfers to do it, but still managed to get it done and punched his ticket to the Tournament of Champions. It was only a matter of time that his short game returned... Read More
Si Woo Kim Is A Fantastic Course Fit
At a golf course that demands accuracy off the tee, Si Woo Kim has the accuracy and length to overcome one of TPC Potomac's main defenses. Kim has lost strokes off the tee in only three of his 15 starts this season, gaining over 0.3 strokes per round in the other 12 events. In addition... Read More
Sepp Straka Leaning On Hot Putter
Sepp Straka has gained over half a stroke putting per round in his last six stroke-play starts. His white-hot putter is gaining the majority of his strokes each week. He has been consistent with his ball striking but has only gained over a stroke once this year, when he won The Honda Classic in February.... Read More
Jason Day Struggling With Ball-Striking
Jason Day has struggled to find any sort of consistency with his approach play this season, gaining on approach only twice in his nine starts. Although his off the tee stats are not as poor as his approach numbers, he has yet to gain strokes off the tee in back-to-back events this season. His inconsistent... Read More
Gary Woodland Will Battle Driving Inaccuracy At TPC Potomac
Gary Woodland has lost strokes putting in four of his last five starts. He gains most of his strokes off the tee as a result of his distance while sacrificing accuracy. At a course that demands more accuracy off the tee than tour average, Woodland's driving inaccuracies may haunt him this week. If he can... Read More
Rory McIlroy Not Playing To Price Tag
This may come across as a bold statement, but compared to Jon Rahm in Mexico last week, Rory McIlroy's form and course fit do not drastically separate him from the rest of the better players in the field. He has been playing well, though, gaining over a stroke per round ball striking in his limited... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Mexico Open
We can all be grateful that I never posted an article for the Zurich Classic as I lost every single bet and every single DFS lineup last week. I embraced the event's volatility, and the volatility embraced my generous donations to the DFS community and respective betting books. Breaking $100 has been a joy to... Read More
