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2020 Outfield Rankings - H2H Points Leagues


We've been breaking down rankings for points leagues over the last couple of weeks in order to prepare fantasy owners for draft day. To check out previous analysis articles by position, click the following links: first base, second base, third base, shortstop, catcher, starting pitcher, relief pitcher.

Outfield is obviously the deepest of all positions on offense, but you will see clearly delineated tiers throughout our rankings. You'll need to strike early to obtain some of the most valuable assets in the game, although points league drafts typically see starting pitchers enter the discussion among the top-five. Do you go with Gerrit Cole over Mookie Betts? Max Scherzer or Juan Soto? Landing a stud outfielder can set your lineup on a good path but sacrifice your choices at infield positions that lack the same depth. For that reason, we're breaking down each tier for every position in points leagues.

All preseason long, RotoBaller has you covered with the latest rankings for all fantasy baseball league types. Here we present our points league rankings for outfielders, put together by analysts Nicklaus Gaut, Riley Mrack, and Pierre Camus.

 

Outfield H2H Points League Rankings

In case you missed it, our very own "Big Pick Nick" Mariano was named the #1 overall most accurate industry expert ranker for the 2018 season!

Rank Tier Player Name Position Nicklaus
Gaut
Pierre
Camus
Riley
Mrack
1 1 Mike Trout OF 1 1 1
2 1 Christian Yelich OF 4 2 2
3 1 Mookie Betts OF 3 5 3
4 1 Cody Bellinger 1B/OF 2 8 6
5 1 Ronald Acuna OF 8 17 4
6 1 Juan Soto OF 5 13 16
7 2 J.D. Martinez OF 15 18 14
8 2 Bryce Harper OF 18 19 22
9 2 Yordan Alvarez OF 19 30 27
10 2 Aaron Judge OF 34 26 24
11 2 George Springer OF 24 40 32
12 2 Charlie Blackmon OF 38 47 28
13 3 Kris Bryant 3B/OF 44 67 36
14 3 Ketel Marte 2B/SS/OF 35 77 42
15 3 Giancarlo Stanton OF 64 48 45
16 3 Austin Meadows OF 49 64 54
17 3 Eddie Rosario OF 56 73 51
18 3 Starling Marte OF 54 79 58
19 3 Michael Conforto OF 55 72 64
20 4 Marcell Ozuna OF 61 78 60
21 4 Michael Brantley OF 75 52 80
22 4 Nick Castellanos OF 67 71 73
23 4 Tommy Pham OF 66 80 89
24 4 Jorge Soler OF 78 82 76
25 4 Eloy Jimenez OF 63 76 98
26 4 Andrew Benintendi OF 76 63 109
27 4 Whit Merrifield 2B/OF 77 85 87
28 4 Jeff McNeil 2B/3B/OF 85 75 107
29 5 Joey Gallo OF 96 89 83
30 5 Trey Mancini 1B/OF 83 96 91
31 5 Max Kepler OF 87 102 90
32 5 Kyle Schwarber OF 102 101 112
33 5 Victor Robles OF 104 103 124
34 5 Yasiel Puig OF 107 109 126
35 5 Ramon Laureano OF 121 124 116
36 5 Willie Calhoun OF 118 118 131
37 5 Franmil Reyes OF 123 117 134
38 5 Bryan Reynolds OF 110 107 166
39 5 Khris Davis OF 116 108 162
40 5 Oscar Mercado OF 130 130 144
41 6 Lourdes Gurriel 2B/OF 135 139 136
42 6 Luis Robert OF 140 156 130
43 6 Andrew McCutchen OF 134 133 168
44 6 David Peralta OF 137 128 179
45 6 Brian Anderson 3B/OF 126 138 184
46 6 Lorenzo Cain OF 131 148 191
47 6 Shin-Soo Choo OF 151 151 169
48 6 Justin Upton OF 159 163 154
49 6 David Dahl OF 163 172 141
50 6 Joc Pederson 1B/OF 166 162 155
51 6 Hunter Renfroe OF 155 158 171
52 7 Adam Eaton OF 128 137 222
53 7 Tommy Edman 2B/3B/OF 144 206 161
54 7 Aristides Aquino OF 234 144 142
55 7 Ryan Braun OF 176 166 192
56 7 Scott Kingery SS/3B/OF 178 186 196
57 7 Nomar Mazara OF 181 165 216
58 7 Hunter Dozier 1B/3B/OF 191 189 199
59 7 Randal Grichuk OF 146 177 261
60 8 Danny Santana 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF 182 195 212
61 8 Anthony Santander OF 190 209 214
62 8 Jason Heyward OF 194 208 219
63 8 Kyle Tucker OF 230 229 163
64 8 Nick Senzel OF 262 190 173
65 8 Avisail Garcia OF 215 199 217
66 8 Alex Verdugo OF 202 196 233
67 8 Jurickson Profar 2B/OF 162 182 291
68 8 J.D. Davis 3B/OF 227 235 176
69 8 Mike Yastrzemski OF 188 187 277
70 9 Byron Buxton OF 241 247 165
71 9 Brett Gardner OF 209 215 264
72 9 Brandon Belt 1B/OF 207 223 263
73 9 Mallex Smith OF 213 286 201
74 9 Corey Dickerson OF 220 256 241
75 9 Kevin Kiermaier OF 246 245 245
76 9 Kevin Pillar OF 273 198 270
77 9 Garrett Hampson 2B/SS/OF 306 294 190
78 9 Niko Goodrum 1B/2B/SS/OF 239 224 284
79 9 Jo Adell OF #N/A #N/A 252
80 10 Jesse Winker OF 268 192 321
81 10 Nick Markakis OF 286 236 #N/A
82 10 Austin Hays OF 250 249 313
83 10 Brandon Nimmo OF 258 258 307
84 10 Kole Calhoun OF 164 387 275
85 10 Domingo Santana OF 217 309 344
86 10 A.J. Pollock OF 301 276 268
87 10 Austin Riley OF 323 285 242
88 10 Jose Martinez OF 345 331 178
89 10 Stephen Piscotty OF 255 281 325
90 10 Teoscar Hernandez OF 272 271 331
91 10 Kyle Lewis OF #N/A #N/A 293
92 11 Trent Grisham OF 305 308 266
93 11 Mitch Haniger OF 288 341 267
94 11 Eric Thames 1B/OF 333 322 244
95 11 Jackie Bradley Jr. OF 237 251 412
96 11 Jon Berti 2B/3B/SS/OF #N/A 375 226
97 11 Gregory Polanco OF 277 299 341
98 11 Dexter Fowler OF 318 284 332
99 11 Ian Desmond OF #N/A 385 243
100 11 JaCoby Jones OF 322 336 #N/A
101 11 Harrison Bader OF 320 340 #N/A
102 11 Josh Reddick OF 321 347 #N/A
103 11 Hunter Pence OF #N/A #N/A 342
104 11 Dylan Carlson OF #N/A #N/A 346
105 11 Marwin Gonzalez 1B/3B/OF 357 339 #N/A
106 12 Ian Happ 2B/3B/OF 354 357 336
107 12 Wil Myers 1B/OF #N/A 307 400
108 12 Victor Reyes OF 331 324 408
109 12 Leury Garcia SS/OF #N/A 389 320
110 12 Jarrod Dyson OF #N/A #N/A 355
111 12 Ender Inciarte OF 348 325 398
112 12 Dwight Smith OF #N/A 359 #N/A
113 12 Yoshitomo Tsutsugo OF #N/A #N/A 359
114 12 Aaron Hicks OF #N/A 361 369
115 12 Sam Hilliard OF #N/A #N/A 365
116 12 Shogo Akiyama OF #N/A #N/A 366
117 12 Alex Gordon OF 338 329 439
118 12 Yoenis Cespedes OF #N/A 369 #N/A
119 12 Brian Goodwin OF #N/A 371 #N/A
120 12 Clint Frazier OF #N/A 392 351
121 12 Jake Bauers 1B/OF #N/A 373 #N/A
122 12 Christin Stewart OF #N/A #N/A 374
123 12 Manuel Margot OF 352 377 395
124 12 Alex Dickerson OF #N/A 365 392
125 12 Seth Brown 1B/OF #N/A 380 #N/A
126 12 Raimel Tapia OF #N/A 381 #N/A
127 12 Delino DeShields OF #N/A 388 #N/A
128 12 Josh Rojas 2B/3B/OF #N/A #N/A 390
129 12 Tyler O'Neill OF #N/A 395 #N/A
130 12 Mike Tauchman OF #N/A 407 406
131 12 Josh VanMeter 1B/2B/OF #N/A 396 428
132 12 Josh Naylor OF #N/A 418 #N/A
133 12 Greg Allen OF #N/A 420 #N/A
134 12 Adam Duvall OF #N/A #N/A 434

 

Tier One

There's usually not much need to explain the first tier of players, as they are dominant in all categories and remain at the top of draft lists regardless of format. This time, there's one elephant in the rankings that requires some 'splainin'. I have Ronald Acuna at 17th overall, which makes him the fifth outfielder in my points-league rankings. Lemme 'splain.

I firmly believe Acuna should be the #1 pick in roto leagues and I've said as much on air (Youtube). This is a different format, though. Acuna's potential for 40 steals and 40 homers makes him a no-brainer in 5x5 leagues, but his .404 BB/K is far off from that of Yelich (.678 BB/K) and Trout (.917 BB/K). Both players would have outpaced Acuna far more in R+RBI if not for the 100+ AB deficit for each due to injury. The same argument holds water for Betts (.960 BB/K) and Bellinger (.880 BB/K), who now play in the same lineup and could boost each other's counting stats even more. Ultimately, his ranking is not a knock on Acuna in any way, it's just a matter of staying true to the axiom, "Know your league's settings."

 

Tier Two

My ranking of Aaron Judge is predicated on the idea that he'll see something close to 600 plate appearances, which he hasn't done the past two seasons. The Yankees are treating him with kid gloves this spring, which is a good thing. Projection systems aren't too concerned, as ATC has him slated for 39 HR, 93 RBI, and 103 R. Steamer is slightly more optimistic and projects him to be the 23rd-best player in points leagues. You would think his career 31.6% K% is a detriment in this format, but it's mostly offset by his 16.1% BB% and mammoth power. The main concern is health, which has to be considered.

Charles Cobb Blackmon is not an exciting early-round pick now that his speed has disappeared, but he's still an effective one. He was a top-50 player in points leagues last year and is projected to finish right around the same range, as high as 33 in CBS leagues. His .294 xBA ranked in the top 10% of the league last year and he even cut his strikeout rate by three points. If you're too skittish for Judge, wait a round and see if Blackmon is still around.

 

Tier Three

If you read Ariel Cohen's piece on "Finding Combo-Player Values" then you'd know that Austin Meadows is in an elite group that projects to have a Z-Score of 0.50 or more in all five offensive categories for roto leagues. That's great, but this is supposed to be points league analysis... Well, it stands to reason that if he is contributed well above league average in all areas that matter, he's going to be accumulating a lot of points too. His plate discipline isn't elite, but his 9.1% walk rate is one point above MLB average and his 22.2% strikeout rate is right in line with the rest of the league. He's only 24 and could take another step forward in 2020.

If there's one knock against Eddie Rosario, it's his pitiful 3.7% walk rate. Fortunately, he's dropped his strikeout rate accordingly for three straight years, down to 14.6% last year. His team context ensures that his production should maintain a high floor once more. If it looks like I'm down on him compared to Nick or Riley, it's nothing personal. You may notice many of the outfielders in this tier are a bit lower for me because of their relation to pitchers who I may have above them.

 

Tier Four

One outfielder I feel confident ranking around the 50th overall range is Michael Brantley. Steamer projections have him falling almost 20 spots this year, but there's no good reason to assume so. His HR/FB rate did jump by three points compared to the previous year but his barrel rate also increased by two points and it's not as if he saw a huge surge in homers, hitting five more in 2019 than 2018. Renowned for his plate discipline, he is one of the safest OF2 picks around.

Andrew Benintendi is a player I'm probably too high on, especially now that the Red Sox lineup has taken a hit with the loss of Betts. That does leave open the possibility that Benintendi bats leadoff, though. That circumstance could boost his run total and provide hope that he runs more, returning to the 20-steal mark. The talent is certainly there for him to surpass his career-best numbers from 2018. If he comes at a discount past the 80th pick in your draft, don't hesitate to pull the trigger.

 

Tier Five

Ah Joey Gallo, what do we do with you? If you're on a platform like ESPN that penalizes a full point for strikeouts, you leave him alone and let someone else take on that 38.4% K%. If you are in a Yahoo! league, which now doles out an extra half-point for homers and an extra point for R+RBI, you grab him much higher than his ADP and hope he stays healthy.

If you aren't a believer in Bryan Reynolds yet, watch MLB Network's Top 10 Left Fielders Right Now and see just how highly they think of him. Spoiler: he's third on the list, ahead of Austin Meadows, Giancarlo Stanton, and Tommy Pham. That's a debatable point but not one relevant to the fantasy world necessarily. Reynolds is a fantasy asset on the strength of his hit tool that produced a .314 average with a .296 xBA in his rookie season. He doesn't have a track record of big power and is rated at a 50 raw power, so there may not be more gains to come. The fact that the Pirates may be worse on offense after the trade of Starling Marte and no key free-agent additions on offense, unless you really want to count Jarrod Dyson, could be a concern. This is likely the reason Riley has him down 50 spots lower than Nick and me. A breakout doesn't seem imminent, but when you realize that he finished as the 135th-highest scoring player in composite points league rankings last year and is projected by ATC to produce comparable numbers with a slight uptick in counting stats to adjust for everyday playing time, a ranking around 110 seems pretty fair.

 

Tier Six and Lower

Adam Eaton isn't an exciting pick in roto, but he can be a sneaky source of points. Last year, he was among the league leaders in triples (seven) and HBP (13), along with 15 steals. A solid .279 average and .613 BB/K round out a solid profile.

Aristides Aquino could be the next Giancarlo Stanton or he could spend most of this year in the minors. There wasn't much middle ground with him between his August line of .320/14/33/22/2 and his September production of .196/5/14/9/7. A slugger with questionable playing time and a poor finish to last season would seem to be poison in points leagues. He very well could be, but there comes a point where he will be worth the risk as someone you can stream on a given week.

It would be easy enough for Kyle Tucker to get lost among the bevy of fantasy options in Houston. Nowadays, wondering whether budding young prospects are going to flourish is the last thing on the Astros' minds... If he can win a starting job over Josh Reddick, there is reason to think Tucker could be a steal in the latter half of fantasy drafts.

Although I'm a fan of baby Yaz, let's not forget former Giant Kevin Pillar. He signed with the Red Sox to fill a sizeable hole in the outfield and could be starting in center field while Alex Verdugo recovers from back issues. The initial reaction is to avoid Pillar in points formats based on his, wait is that possible, 2.8% walk rate??? He's never been one to be patient at the plate, but it's basically non-existent now as he chased 46.9% of balls outside the zone and swung at nearly 60% of all pitches he saw. That didn't prevent him from being the 90th point producer last season despite playing for a losing Giants club in a pitcher-friendly park.

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Dynasty Tiered Rankings and Analysis (Wide Receiver)

It's never too early for some fantasy football rankings, right? We here at RotoBaller firmly believe that, which is why we've already done rankings for the 2020 season. Standard. PPR. Dynasty. (Click the word "dynasty" to go see our complete dynasty rankings.) But what are rankings without some kind of context by which to understand... Read More


Assessing Dynasty Value in FFPC Startups

This is the time for dynasty leagues to plan rookie drafts and make preparations for another competitive season. But what if you're new to the dynasty world or deciding whether to dip your toe in the pool? First, you should read about Joe Nicely's experience jumping head first into a dynasty league with the sharks... Read More


Updated Dynasty Rookie Rankings: Post-NFL Draft Risers and Fallers

As the calendar begins to lean towards the summer, that tells fantasy owners to ramp up their preparations for the upcoming season. But what is on tap first for many is the rookie draft. We've been through the scouting combine, the NFL Draft has come and gone, and we know where these rookies will be... Read More


2020 IDP Rankings - Top 120 Defensive Players for Fantasy Football

Welcome back RotoBallers! Below you will find our staff's updated 2020 fantasy football rankings (top 120) for IDP formats. For those of you who are not familiar with fantasy football IDP leagues, these are formats where individual defensive players (IDP) are drafted by fantasy managers and accrue points for defensive stats like tackles, sacks, interceptions, etc. Our... Read More


Josh Hayes' 2020 Best Ball Avoids (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. The fantasy football season upon us! For those fantasy players looking to get an edge on their 2020 leagues, best ball formats are an awesome way to get an early look at where players are being drafted in terms of ADP, and which players... Read More


Nick Mariano's 2020 Late-Round Fliers (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We’re intentionally sidestepping the term “sleeper" because I don’t want to get wrapped up in debates over these guys not being “under the radar” enough. I may still throw it into the SEO field, though...no regrets. Instead, let’s discuss some late-round fliers at running... Read More


Justin Herbert - Fantasy Football Rookie Spotlight

As fantasy football players and NFL fans, every year we get excited about the NFL draft. It is a time of hope where a franchise's luck can change for the better or for the worst. This rings especially true for the teams that decide to select a quarterback. The starting quarterback of an NFL team... Read More