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MLB DFS Prop Picks for 8/31/22
Joe Musgrove over 5.0 strikeouts- Musgrove has let us down a bit lately, but he has hit this total in four of his previous six starts and has a solid matchup against the Giants tonight. Over the previous two weeks, the Giants have posted the fourth-highest K rate against righties with a rate of 25%. They have also posted just a 63 wRC+ over that same span, so Musgrove should also be able to limit the damage and get relatively deep in this one as he has also gone at least six innings pitched in four of his previous six starts.
Triston McKenzie over 5.5 strikeouts - This one could be a bit tight, but McKenzie has gone over this total in four of his previous six starts. He will be facing the Orioles, who have posted a K rate of 24.6% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks, which ranks fifth-worst in baseball over that span. They are also posting a mediocre wRC+ mark of just 86 and their walk rate over that same span ranks in the bottom half of the league, which is good news for McKenzie as he can find himself in trouble here at times.
Gerrit Cole over 8.5 strikeouts - Cole has a tremendous matchup tonight as the Angels are posting the worst K rate in baseball against right-handers over the previous two weeks (and have for some time) with a rate of 26.6%. Cole has hit nine or more strikeouts in 11 starts this season and has feasted on teams that rank near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts vs. right-handed pitching. He is also fresh off an 11-strikeout performance against the Athletics and should be revved up for this one.
Jose Quintana over 4.0 strikeouts - The matchup for Q is pretty solid in this one as the Reds are struggling vs. left-handers by posting a K rate of 25.8% (fourth-worst) and a walk rate of just 6.6% (eighth-worst) over the previous two weeks. Quintana has matched or eclipsed this total just once in his previous four starts but has faced some tough competition in terms of K rates vs. lefties over that span.
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