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Welcome to Week 17 of the NFL Season! While this is the final week of the regular season, the fun will not end after today as Monkey Knife Fight will be offering up solid prop plays throughout the NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Titans at Texans and Jaguars at Colts.
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Recommended Prop Pick(s):
Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, and David Johnson more than 2.5 touchdowns.
This game currently has the highest total on the board with 56 points and should feature plenty of scoring. Derrick Henry thrashed the Texans in their last meeting for 212 rushing yards and two scores. The Titans need to win to assure themselves a playoff spot and will rely heavily on Henry as the Texans are currently allowing nearly 130 rushing yards per game to backs over the previous four weeks and are allowing 1.25 rushing touchdowns per game over the same span. Henry has also scored 15 touchdowns on the season and must be included in this prop.
The Texans have also been bad against the pass, which is why A.J. Brown will fit nicely into this prop. They are allowing over 188 receiving yards per game to the position over the previous four weeks and have allowed six receiving touchdowns. Brown has caught 10 touchdowns on the season and has also scored in nine of the Titans' previous 12 games. Fire him up.
David Johnson has seen a lot of work in recent weeks as he has 34 touches over the previous two weeks. The Titans are currently allowing backs to rush for over 122 yards per game and are also giving up 1.25 rushing touchdowns per game over the previous four weeks. Johnson is a versatile back that will also see action in the passing game and is definitely the Texan I would want to be included in this selection.
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Jaguars @ Colts More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Philip Rivers less than 294.5 passing yards and Mike Glennon more than 225.5 passing yards
While Rivers is certainly capable of going over this total against this horrific Jaguars Defense, he most likely will not have to. The Jags are awful vs. the pass but are also awful against the run as they have allowed running backs to rush for over 145 yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks last in the league. This is a game where the Colts will likely come out and establish Jonathan Taylor early and often en route to a victory that hopefully earns them a playoff spot. Rivers has also failed to reach this total in his previous four games, which just happens to coincide with the emergence of Taylor.
The Colts' pass defense has struggled lately as they have allowed quarterbacks to throw for an average of nearly 325 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks second-worst in the league. While Glennon is no star, he has managed to throw for over 225 passing yards in two of his four starts this season. These Colts have also allowed nine quarterbacks to throw for over this total on the season, including each of the last four they have faced. The Jaguars are also 14-point underdogs in this game, which could lead to additional pass attempts for Glennon in this one.
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