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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of on this special Wild Card edition, including the Ravens art Titans, Bears at Saints, and Browns at Steelers.
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Ravens @ Titans
Recommended Prop Pick:
Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown. and J.K. Dobbins more than 2.5 touchdowns
This game has the highest total on the board at 55 and should feature plenty of scoring between two high-powered offenses.
Derrick Henry is the anchor of this prop as he has scored 17 rushing touchdowns on the season and has scored in 10 of the Titans 16 games, including six games with multiple touchdowns. In the previous four weeks, Henry has rushed for a whopping 710 rushing yards and five touchdowns. He will be facing a Ravens Defense that has allowed three rushing touchdowns to running backs over the previous four weeks, which ranks 13th-worst in the league. They are also allowing backs to average 5.15 yards per carry over the previous four weeks, which certainly sets up nicely for Henry in this one.
A.J. Brown is another big-time scoring threat for the Titans. On the season, Brown has scored 11 receiving touchdowns. He has also scored in all but four games in which he has played for the Titans in 2020. While the Ravens have only allowed three receiving touchdowns to wideouts over the previous four weeks, Brown is a different animal. He has scored in five of the Titans' previous seven games and has also scored in three of their previous four. He is a must include in this prop much the way he was last week when he went for 151 receiving yards and a touchdown vs. the Texans.
While I would love to add Lamar Jackson to this prop, he is not an option, but J.K. Dobbins makes a ton of sense here as well. Dobbins has become the feature back for the Ravens in recent weeks, and this is noted by the fact that he has averaged nearly 13 carries per game over his previous six games and has also scored in every one of those games, including a two-score game in Week 17. He will be facing a Titans Defense that has allowed running backs to rush for over 115 yards per game over the previous four weeks and has also allowed five rushing touchdowns over that same span.
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Bears @ Saints
Recommended Prop Pick:
Mitchell Trubisky more than 240.5 passing yards: The Saints have been decent against the pass, but still rank 18th in the league by allowing nearly 230 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks. This is likely to be a game where the Bears rely on the arm of Mitch a bit more than usual, especially considering they currently sit as 10-point road underdogs. Trubisky has been solid lately as he has thrown for an average of 250 passing yards per game since taking over the reins of the offense again in Week 12. He has also gone over 240 passing yards in five of his six starts over that span.
David Montgomery less than 70.5 rushing yards: While the Saints have been allowing backs to rush for over 99 rushing yards per game over the previous four weeks, I do not think the Bears are going to be fortunate enough to give Montgomery the ball enough to get over this total. In their first meeting back in Week 8, Montgomery was able to accumulate 89 rushing yards on 21 carries in a tight 26-23 ball game. This is a game where the Bears are 10-point underdogs and are likely to be throwing the ball more to keep pace with the Saints. I also feel like the Bears are the type of team that will outsmart themselves in this one and abandons Montgomery at the first sign of trouble.
Emmanuel Sanders more than 65.5 receiving yards: Sanders has come on strong lately as he has 17 receptions for 222 yards and two scores over his previous three games. He has gone over this total in two of those three games and hit 63 receiving yards in the other game. He will be facing a Bears Defense that is allowing nearly 144 receiving yards to wideouts over the previous four weeks. While Michael Thomas is expected to return this week, it is not certain that he will be at 100% and Sanders could still be a preferred target in this one.
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Browns @ Steelers
Recommended Prop Picks:
Nick Chubb, Diontae Johnson, and JuJu Smith-Schuster more than 54.5 fantasy points
This contest starts with a stud running back in Nick Chubb. Chubb has scored in seven of the Browns' previous eight games. He has also averaged nearly 17 carries per game over that span and rushed for over 100 yards in four of those games. He will be going up against a struggling Steelers Defense that has allowed running backs to rush for an average of 111 yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks ninth-worst in the league over that span. They have also given up a rushing touchdown in each of those four games. Chubb should see the ball plenty in this game and could be in line for a monster performance.
It is no secret the Steelers enjoy throwing the ball and that is exactly why I like two of their receivers in this prop. Diontae Johnson and Juju Smith-Schuster are the top dogs in Pittsburgh over recent weeks as they have seen a total of 60 targets and scored three combined touchdowns from Weeks 14-16. They will undoubtedly see a large target share in this game as they will be facing a Browns Defense that has allowed wide receivers to haul in an average of over 160 receiving yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks 13th-worst in the league over that span. They have also given up a total of five receiving touchdowns to the position over that same span and have allowed the 13th-most fantasy points.
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