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Welcome to the NFL's Divisional Round! The NFL Playoffs are in full swing and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of on this special Divisional Round edition between the Browns at Chiefs and Buccaneers at Saints.
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Browns at Chiefs
Recommended Prop Pick:
Nick Chubb, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce more than 2.5 touchdowns
This game currently has the highest total on the board at 56 points and we should see plenty of scoring as both of these defenses have struggled a bit in 2020.
Nick Chubb has been solid for the Browns in 2020 as he has rushed for over 1,000 yards and managed to score 12 touchdowns. The 12 touchdowns are obviously why he is included in this prop. He has played in 12 games for the Browns this season and managed to score in nine of those games with multiple touchdowns coming in three of those games. He has also scored in seven straight games for the Browns, including last week vs. the Steelers in the Wild Card Round. The Chiefs have allowed 12 touchdowns to backs on the season, but have also given up the 10th-most rushing yards to backs as well. Chubb should be a focal point of the Browns' offense and is a strong candidate to get in the end zone.
Tyreek Hill is a scoring machine as he scored 15 receiving touchdowns on the season, which ranked second among wide receivers behind only Davante Adams. Hill played in 15 games this season and managed to score in 11 of those games with multiple scores coming in three games. The Browns have allowed wide receivers to score 21 total touchdowns on the season, which ranks sixth-worst in the league. Hill is a must-play in this prop.
Travis Kelce is another major threat to score for the Chiefs as he tied for the lead among tight ends with 11 touchdown receptions. He played in 15 games and scored in 10 of them with one multiple score game. He has also scored in four straight games and five of his previous six games. This matchup for Kelce against the Browns is also a strong one as Cleveland allowed 10 receiving touchdowns to tight ends on the season, which ranked tied for fourth-worst in the league and is the most allowed by any remaining playoff team.
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Bucs @ Saints
Recommended Prop Picks:
Tom Brady less than 307.5 passing yards: I am not going to lie, this is kind of a tough prop, but several cases can be made for the under here. First and foremost, Brady faced these Saints twice in 2020 and managed to throw for just 448 yards combined in the two games and never sniffed 300 passing yards in either game. The Saints have been pretty strong against quarterbacks on the season as well as they have not allowed a single quarterback to throw for 300 yards in 2020. The best passing day for any quarterback against the Saints came in Week 16 when Kirk Cousins threw for 291 yards. The Saints have also been vulnerable against the run lately as they have given up over 400 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns in their last five games. The Bucs may come out early and try to establish the run, which could cut down on Brady's overall total and land him under 300 passing yards.
Michael Thomas more than 79.5 receiving yards: Michael Thomas returned to action last week vs. the Bears and promptly hauled in five of his seven targets for 73 receiving yards and a score. I think Thomas gets targeted a bit more in this game as the Buccaneers Defense is a pass funnel as they are ranked best in the league in terms of rushing yards allowed to backs, but rank 12th-worst in terms of receiving yards allowed to wideouts. The Bucs have also allowed eight receivers to go over 100 yards on the season, including last week when they allowed Cam Sims to haul in seven targets for 104 yards.
Bonus: If you wanted to roll the dice a little further and make this a 3/3 prop, you could play Drew Brees more than 275.5 passing yards. As aforementioned, the Bucs set up as a pass funnel and have allowed eight quarterbacks to throw over this total. While Brees did not eclipse this total in either of his two games against the Bucs, he was not really forced to as the Saints got up huge in the second game and were able to melt the game away.
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