We return to our weekly ritual of reviewing my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks, where we take stock of my top 101 SPs moving forward. With more than two months of play in the books, I've changed the visible stats on my table to display numbers from May 1-June 6 for more relevant intel. So the "EV" below is Earned Value via Fangraphs for that period.
Click the link! This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW%. Do note that I leave off most injured players, and removing those injured players can give an illusion that others have risen despite mediocre performances.
To be clear, these Rest of Season ranks are geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues sans most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then it isn't terribly actionable, and I'll intermittently weave in updates of where I'd throw them in if they were healthy. For now, let's dive into my Top 101 SPs and be sure we've got the best rotation possible.
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Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 11
(+/-) | Tier | Player | Rank | EV | $ | $PV | Trend | Notes |
0 | 1 | Jacob deGrom | 1 | 9.1 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Golly, that man is good |
0 | 1 | Gerrit Cole | 2 | 6.4 | 38.5 | 40.0 | -1.5 ▼ | Monitor the spin rate next time, DEFCON 4 |
1 | 2 | Shane Bieber | 3 | 6.4 | 36.5 | 35.0 | 1.5 ▲ | B2B gems, put poor May behind him |
1 | 2 | Max Scherzer | 4 | 13.5 | 36.5 | 31.0 | 5.5 ▲ | I wouldn't argue his being 2nd |
1 | 2 | Brandon Woodruff | 5 | 11.4 | 35.0 | 29.5 | 5.5 ▲ | Can anchor a staff, in full command |
-3 | 2 | Trevor Bauer | 6 | 4.7 | 33.0 | 36.0 | -3.0 ▼ | Ks down, BBs up; spin rate worry? |
0 | 2 | Yu Darvish | 7 | 6.7 | 32.5 | 33.0 | -0.5 ▼ | You can see CSW% lagging, command seems off |
1 | 3 | Corbin Burnes | 8 | 11.3 | 28.5 | 28.0 | 0.5 ▲ | The breakout season continues |
-1 | 3 | Clayton Kershaw | 9 | 6.6 | 28.0 | 28.5 | -0.5 ▼ | HRs biting, but peripherals all healthy |
1 | 3 | Zack Wheeler | 10 | 16.7 | 26.0 | 24.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Maintaining plus control w/ big Ks |
3 | 3 | Kevin Gausman | 11 | 15.7 | 26.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 ▲ | If you blur your vision, stats are deGrom-esque |
-2 | 3 | Tyler Glasnow | 12 | 2.3 | 25.5 | 26.0 | -0.5 ▼ | Strong SP2, wouldn't want him as my No. 1 |
0 | 3 | Walker Buehler | 13 | 2.2 | 24.5 | 24.5 | 0.0 ▬ | Great ratios, Ks should pick up a bit |
2 | 3 | Lucas Giolito | 14 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Here he comes, did you keep the faith? |
0 | 3 | Lance Lynn | 15 | 6.2 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Ks trailing, peripherals a bit frightful |
1 | 4 | Aaron Nola | 16 | 4.6 | 20.5 | 21.0 | -0.5 ▼ | 1 step forward, 2 back; not commanding zone well |
1 | 4 | Trevor Rogers | 17 | 9.0 | 20.5 | 19.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
3 | 4 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | 18 | 3.8 | 19.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 ▲ | |
0 | 4 | Julio Urias | 19 | 7.2 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 4 | Carlos Rodon | 20 | 6.9 | 18.5 | 14.5 | 4.0 ▲ | Not slowing down, velocity sustaining |
10 | 4 | Freddy Peralta | 21 | 8.7 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 ▲ | In a rhythm with mechanics, love it |
1 | 4 | Joe Musgrove | 22 | 5.7 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Early Musgrove is back, not luck-driven |
2 | 4 | Max Fried | 23 | 7.5 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 2.5 ▲ | April woes are long gone, looks great |
-4 | 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 24 | 4.8 | 15.0 | 16.5 | -1.5 ▼ | Yet to unlock full potential, solid SP3 |
1 | 4 | Pablo Lopez | 25 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 ▲ | Pushed back, health a priority |
4 | 5 | Marcus Stroman | 26 | 3.1 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 2.5 ▲ | |
5 | 5 | Tyler Mahle | 27 | 6.1 | 11.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 ▲ | |
7 | 5 | Shohei Ohtani | 28 | 5.3 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
9 | 5 | Chris Bassitt | 29 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
-2 | 5 | Jose Berrios | 30 | 3.3 | 10.0 | 9.5 | 0.5 ▲ | K/9 is slipping back to usual, FIP/SIERA too |
2 | 5 | Zack Greinke | 31 | 5.9 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
5 | 5 | Robbie Ray | 32 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
-6 | 5 | Ian Anderson | 33 | 4.7 | 9.5 | 11.5 | -2.0 ▼ | Getting into jams lately, defense not helping |
5 | 5 | Sonny Gray | 34 | 3.8 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
24 | 5 | Framber Valdez | 35 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 8.5 ▲ | Looks sharp out of the gate, enjoy |
-2 | 5 | Zach Eflin | 36 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -2.0 ▼ | Still a believer, but must tidy up pitch mix |
-1 | 5 | Blake Snell | 37 | 2.7 | 8.0 | 9.5 | -1.5 ▼ | Ceiling remains high but command burns |
6 | 5 | Adbert Alzolay | 38 | 3.7 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 ▲ | A pesky blister can't stop these AA guns |
3 | 5 | Aaron Civale | 39 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
1 | 6 | Kyle Hendricks | 40 | 4.6 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 ▲ | 5 Ws in a row, QS in 4 of them |
4 | 6 | Taijuan Walker | 41 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 ▲ | Some regression will hit, but Citi is kind |
4 | 6 | Domingo German | 42 | 2.6 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 ▲ | |
0 | 6 | Charlie Morton | 43 | 3.8 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 ▲ | |
4 | 6 | Alex Wood | 44 | 0.9 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 6 | Yusei Kikuchi | 45 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 ▲ | |
5 | 6 | Luis Castillo | 46 | 3.2 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Can he round corner? 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 K @STL |
7 | 6 | Rich Hill | 47 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 ▲ | Of all years, will 2021 have Hill stay healthy? |
-8 | 6 | Michael Pineda | 48 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 6.5 ▲ | BAL scorched him in rematch, should be OK |
4 | 6 | JT Brubaker | 49 | 0.3 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 ▲ | Rebound vs. road Rockies, LAD next |
7 | 6 | Sean Manaea | 50 | 7.4 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 ▲ | |
7 | 6 | Dylan Cease | 51 | 9.4 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 ▲ | Jewels followed by clunkers, upside breaking thru |
N/A | 7 | Kyle Gibson | 52 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 ▲ | Returns w/ 5.1 scoreless IP, @LAD next |
-3 | 7 | Jose Urquidy | 53 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 ▲ | |
1 | 7 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 54 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 ▼ | April wins, May flops, command was OK @NYY |
5 | 7 | Jordan Montgomery | 55 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
N/A | 7 | Tarik Skubal | 56 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 ▲ | The minor-league Ks are here! |
7 | 7 | Luis Garcia | 57 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 ▲ | |
17 | 7 | Austin Gomber | 58 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 ▲ | |
-7 | 7 | Andrew Heaney | 59 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 4.5 | -0.5 ▼ | |
-13 | 8 | Dylan Bundy | 60 | -1.9 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -4.0 ▼ | Stassi's defense offers glimmer of hope |
1 | 8 | Garrett Richards | 61 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 8 | Chris Paddack | 62 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 ▲ | |
3 | 8 | Dinelson Lamet | 63 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 ▲ | 72 pitches with 6 Ks in 4 IP on June 2 |
N/A | 8 | Tony Gonsolin | 64 | N/A | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Finally! Let's roll, Tony |
5 | 8 | Frankie Montas | 65 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
2 | 8 | Jameson Taillon | 66 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | -0.5 ▼ | |
6 | 8 | Shane McClanahan | 67 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | Yanks hit him hard, but whiffs still there |
-1 | 9 | Alek Manoah | 68 | -1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | Dominant debut, humbled in 2nd start |
-6 | 9 | Adam Wainwright | 69 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.5 | -1.0 ▼ | |
4 | 9 | Casey Mize | 70 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | DET youngsters rising, 6+ Ks in 4 straight |
-2 | 9 | Nathan Eovaldi | 71 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 9 | James Kaprielian | 72 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
10 | 9 | German Marquez | 73 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | 5 QS in last 6, Coors is Coors though |
-3 | 9 | Anthony DeSclafani | 74 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 9 | Nick Pivetta | 75 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
-4 | 9 | Cole Irvin | 76 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
5 | 9 | Griffin Canning | 77 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 9 | Marco Gonzales | 78 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 ▲ | Solid in return, temper expectations |
20 | 10 | Alex Cobb | 79 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
11 | 10 | Justin Dunn | 80 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 10 | Ryan Yarbrough | 81 | -1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 10 | Caleb Smith | 82 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | 5 IP, 1 ER, 8 K @MIL on June 6, 'pen success translating |
6 | 10 | Steven Matz | 83 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 10 | Logan Gilbert | 84 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Allow time for growth, he's learning |
-4 | 10 | Brady Singer | 85 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 ▼ | |
4 | 10 | Merrill Kelly | 86 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 10 | Patrick Sandoval | 87 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Those whiffs, wowsers; worth speculating |
-27 | 10 | Matthew Boyd | 88 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 ▼ | |
N/A | 10 | Ross Stripling | 89 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Recent hot streak, no more Dunedin |
-5 | 10 | Dallas Keuchel | 90 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 11 | Ryan Weathers | 91 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 11 | Martin Perez | 92 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 11 | Wade Miley | 93 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
-2 | 11 | Tyler Anderson | 94 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 11 | Jake Odorizzi | 95 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
1 | 11 | Kris Bubic | 96 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-10 | 11 | David Peterson | 97 | -0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 11 | Tucker Davidson | 98 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Nice back-end starter, had crushed AAA |
2 | 11 | Dane Dunning | 99 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-20 | 11 | Patrick Corbin | 100 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 ▼ | |
N/A | 11 | Jackson Kowar | 101 | N/A | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Ugly debut, let's see if he gets a 2nd crack |
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