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Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top 101 Baller Ranks

kyle wright fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups draft sleepers pitchers

With a shortened April now in the rearview mirror, let's move into May with a fresh stroll through my weekly-updated top 101 starting pitcher rankings - looking at rest-of-season values. RotoBallers can once again peruse my notes regarding key movers and then scroll through the top-101 in a table with tiers, ranks, earned value via Fangraphs, and even more notes! Let's hit another edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW% from 2022. Do note that I leave off injured players, but for now, I will include them at the bottom with a rank of where they'd appear when healthy. I highly encourage you to click the linkCLICK IT!

As is tradition, these fantasy baseball starting pitcher ranking are geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues and focus on healthy players. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then that doesn't help anyone. I threw the injured players at the bottom with a rank that would apply were they healthy. And now we head into this week's top-101 SP!

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Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

Another week into the season means slightly more stabilization, but there are still plenty of new velocities, repertoires, and batted-ball data nuisances to chew on.

Most of the studs are performing well, likely aided by the wet-sock ball. I’ve experimented in a few roto leagues with aggressive streaming and trying to go way over the innings pace by stacking these early, pre-summer games before the potential flip. Once the dew point and humidity pendulums swing with the summer, then we could see a more familiar, bouncier ball. 

(Or you can don the tinfoil hat with me and wonder whether Mister Manfred is going to suddenly tag in a different ball if the suppressed offense continues to have people rumbling).

-Kevin Gausman continues to mystify batters in 2022, logging an absurd 0.46 FIP and 1.53 xFIP through his first five starts. He’s making history with a 41/0 K/BB ratio through 31 ⅔ IP and hasn’t gotten cheap opponents either. So far, Gaus has carved up the Rangers, the Yankees, the Red Sox (twice), and now the Astros. Each outing has come with a BABIP north of .300 to fuel a .383 BABIP on the young season, which sounds crazy but is sensible with someone attacking the zone so relentlessly that he’s issued zero walks. I still have some concerns that he could lose the feel of his splitter like the second half of 2021, or that the AL East will perk up come summertime, but the Cy Young levels of dominance cannot be ignored.

-Shane McClanahan is another ALE stud worthy of enhanced praises. I mean, just look at that gargantuan strikeout rate that’s flirting with 40%. And they’re saying Shane Baz is meant to be the better young arm in Tampa?! Oh, dear. Shane-o-Mac may give up a few dingers (26.7% HR/FB rate early is lofty, that was 14.3% last year) but his 1.55 xFIP points to what could be should things stabilize. Now, if a few home runs are the cost of doing business for the 14.0 K/9, then we can live with that too. Let’s see how his command holds up throughout his first full season, but his ceiling is presenting itself.

-Robbie Ray has stumbled out of the gates in 2022, with a 20.8% strikeout rate that would mark a career-worst for the southpaw. It looks even worse when you frame it as a 7.71 K/9, especially given he’s still got a walk rate around 10%. The good news is that he’s only yielded more than three earned runs in one of five starts so you aren’t getting drenched in lava by starting him. More actionable good news is that his latest start on April 30 saw his average four-seam velocity creep up to 93.6 mph after his first four games were in the 91.5-92.5 range. That increase brought a season-high eight strikeouts along with it, so let’s hope we’re witnessing the start of a turnaround. That said, he still falls on the ranks given how well others are performing. 

*The same goes for Jose Berrios, who is doing okay with four earned in his last three starts (only 15 K in 18 ⅔ IP).

-Charlie Morton continues his quest for command after issuing four walks with just one strikeout in a short, 2 ⅓ IP outing against the Cubs on April 27. It’s hard to watch but we’ll take solace in his velocity being there and his history of slow Aprils. Everyone is pointing to last year’s 5.00-plus ERA in the early going, which is fine, but he also didn’t have a regular offseason while rehabbing the broken leg. Well, no one had a regular offseason thanks to greedy MLB owners. You get it.

-Alex Cobb had a very strange return from the injured list on Sunday. He’d throw 22-of-40 pitches for strikes, but all three of his walks came after a poor error by Jason Vosler at third base turned a potential double-play into chaos. He also balked in a run towards the end. If he winds up heading right back to the IL, then so be it, but I wager he’ll be fine to deploy in all formats next time around. This was just some rusty command mixed with rotten luck. If anyone panic drops him in your league, then you better pounce.

-Tylor Megill, Kyle Wright, Jesus Luzardo, and Nestor Cortes continue their rise through the ranks. CyLord MeGoat sparked a combined no-hitter, Wright turned in yet another QS gem with eight whiffs and only one earned run, Luzardo notched wins over Atlanta and Seattle with back-to-back one-run outings last week, and Cortes now has a 28/3 K/BB in 20 ⅔ IP. Nasty Nestor’s next game comes against the hard-hitting Blue Jays in Toronto, which will be quite the game!

-Eduardo Rodriguez looks lost, but not as lost as Matt Brash or Yusei Kikuchi at least. The three of them are hurting fantasy teams, with ERod entering bench territory. I’m still stashing Brash in most leagues because of his incredible Stuff scores but George Kirby is knocking on the door. Kikuchi is a drop for me, as there’s little room for error in the AL East and the upside isn’t really worth the roster slot.

-Drew Rasmussen and Eric Lauer are making noise on the lower half of the table. Rasmussen finally worked deeper into a start and struck out nine Mariners over six innings. He hit 84 pitches and should get a start against Oakland next in a bid to maintain momentum. And then Lauer has thrown three straight quality starts, but his last two have come with 13 and 11 strikeouts, respectively. He’ll put his new approach to the test against the Braves in Atlanta on May 6, but he passed his April audition with flying colors.

 

Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

These are rest-of-season fantasy baseball rankings for starting pitchers.

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ $PV Trend Notes
0 1 Corbin Burnes 1 $4.0 44.0 43.0 1.0 ▲ Run support rudeness is outside of his control
0 1 Max Scherzer 2 $6.9 42.0 42.0 0.0 ▬ That arm sure looks lively to me
0 1 Gerrit Cole 3 $2.7 42.0 42.0 0.0 ▬ Able to attack edges more with Trevino it seems
0 1 Brandon Woodruff 4 $4.1 39.0 40.0 -1.0 ▼ I know, it's not ideal but 2.62 FIP, 3.87 SIERA
0 2 Walker Buehler 5 $3.5 38.5 37.5 1.0 ▲ Getting the strikeouts that we wanted from the start
1 2 Julio Urias 6 $1.5 34.0 34.0 0.0 ▬ Know he's deceptive but 4.30+ FIP/xFIP/SIERA, .170 BABIP
1 2 Freddy Peralta 7 $3.6 33.5 33.5 0.0 ▬ Nice get-right start v. PIT, draws CIN next too
1 2 Lucas Giolito 8 $2.5 33.0 33.0 0.0 ▬ Looks 100%, hope CHW can supply some wins soon
1 2 Shane Bieber 9 $4.6 30.0 29.0 1.0 ▲ Doing well but lacking that true upside w/o top velo
2 2 Joe Musgrove 10 $6.0 29.5 27.0 2.5 ▲ Incredible control, good results from skill not luck
2 2 Carlos Rodon 11 $9.5 29.5 25.5 4.0 ▲ Just stay healthy, just stay healthy, just stay healthy
9 2 Kevin Gausman 12 $11.5 28.0 19.0 9.0 ▲ Beasting in return to ALE, can this hold in summer?
-7 3 Logan Webb 13 $4.9 27.5 34.5 -7.0 ▼ Grounders can mean horrid BABIP luck, control still ++
-3 3 Sandy Alcantara 14 $3.5 25.5 28.0 -2.5 ▼ Good, but not the great we saw late '21 w/ big Ks
1 3 Dylan Cease 15 $5.4 24.5 23.5 1.0 ▲
4 3 Clayton Kershaw 16 $6.9 23.0 19.5 3.5 ▲ Hat tip to the future HoF, current Dodgers K leader
2 3 Justin Verlander 17 $4.5 22.0 20.0 2.0 ▲ Another all-time great looking strong
4 3 Shane McClanahan 18 $4.8 21.5 18.5 3.0 ▲
-1 3 Max Fried 19 $6.3 21.0 21.0 0.0 ▬ Minuscule BB% helping him navigate any traffic woes
-3 3 Alek Manoah 20 $4.0 21.0 22.0 -1.0 ▼
-6 3 Zack Wheeler 21 $1.8 21.5 24.0 -2.5 ▼
6 3 Nathan Eovaldi 22 $1.5 19.0 14.0 5.0 ▲
-9 4 Robbie Ray 23 $2.1 18.5 24.5 -6.0 ▼ If we can't rely on big Ks w/ more fire then upside is poof
-1 4 Yu Darvish 24 $2.5 18.0 17.5 0.5 ▲
0 4 Frankie Montas 25 $3.2 17.0 17.0 0.0 ▬
1 4 Aaron Nola 26 $2.3 17.0 17.0 0.0 ▬
2 4 Chris Bassitt 27 $3.8 16.0 13.5 2.5 ▲
2 4 Shohei Ohtani 28 $5.4 15.0 13.0 2.0 ▲ Right groin tightness, could be short-term trouble
3 4 Pablo Lopez 29 $7.5 14.0 12.5 1.5 ▲
4 4 Logan Gilbert 30 $5.7 13.5 11.0 2.5 ▲
-5 5 Jose Berrios 31 $0.0 13.5 17.0 -3.5 ▼
-1 5 Sean Manaea 32 $3.2 13.0 13.0 0.0 ▬
0 5 Michael Kopech 33 $4.2 13.0 12.0 1.0 ▲
-10 5 Charlie Morton 34 -$1.8 13.0 17.0 -4.0 ▼
0 5 Trevor Rogers 35 $2.7 12.5 10.5 2.0 ▲
6 5 Kyle Wright 36 $8.4 11.0 7.0 4.0 ▲ Early 2022 breakout continues dominating
3 6 Tylor Megill 37 $5.5 10.5 8.0 2.5 ▲ Five innings of no-hit ball will help anyone's stock
0 6 Zac Gallen 38 $4.0 10.0 8.5 1.5 ▲
-2 6 Framber Valdez 39 $2.5 10.0 9.0 1.0 ▲
3 6 Jesus Luzardo 40 $4.9 9.5 7.0 2.5 ▲ Strong two-step last week, notching 2 Ws w/ 1 ER in each
3 6 Nestor Cortes 41 $6.9 9.5 7.0 2.5 ▲ Nasty, nasty, nasty
-1 6 Jordan Montgomery 42 $2.6 9.0 7.0 2.0 ▲
3 6 Joe Ryan 43 $4.5 9.0 6.5 2.5 ▲ Challenges with deceptive fastball, .163 BABIP!
-5 7 Luis Garcia 44 $0.3 8.5 8.5 0.0 ▬
0 7 Carlos Carrasco 45 $3.5 7.5 6.5 1.0 ▲
-10 7 Alex Cobb 46 $3.6 7.0 9.5 -2.5 ▼
N/A 7 Garrett Whitlock 47 $4.5 7.0 N/A N/A Getting a chance in rotation, though bullpen needs him
1 7 Patrick Sandoval 48 $5.1 7.0 6.0 1.0 ▲
-1 7 Tyler Mahle 49 $6.2 6.5 6.5 0.0 ▬
0 7 Ian Anderson 50 -$0.6 6.0 5.5 0.5 ▲
0 7 Tanner Houck 51 $2.9 6.0 5.5 0.5 ▲
0 7 Alex Wood 52 $0.5 5.5 5.0 0.5 ▲
0 7 Luis Severino 53 $2.1 5.5 5.0 0.5 ▲
N/A 7 MacKenzie Gore 54 $3.3 5.5 N/A N/A Snell & Clevinger nearly ready, will SD wiggle Gore in?
-1 7 Noah Syndergaard 55 $3.9 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬
1 7 Tarik Skubal 56 $7.3 5.0 4.5 0.5 ▲ New changeup grip yielding healthy results
-2.0 8 Adam Wainwright 57 $2.5 4.5 5.0 -0.5 ▼
3 8 Marcus Stroman 58 -$0.1 4.5 3.5 1.0 ▲
-12 8 Eduardo Rodriguez 59 $1.3 4.5 6.5 -2.0 ▼ Spacious Comerica not working out so far
-1 8 Triston McKenzie 60 $2.8 4.5 4.0 0.5 ▲
4 8 Merrill Kelly 61 $7.2 4.5 3.5 1.0 ▲ Toyed w/ STL over 7 scoreless, gets road Rockies next
-4 8 Jose Urquidy 62 $0.2 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
-3 9 Hunter Greene 63 -$1.5 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
-2 9 Jameson Taillon 64 $2.4 4.0 3.5 0.5 ▲
1 9 Tony Gonsolin 65 $2.5 3.5 3.0 0.5 ▲
14 9 Drew Rasmussen 66 $2.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 ▲
9 9 Eric Lauer 67 $5.0 3.5 2.5 1.0 ▲ B2B games w/ 11+ Ks is special, gets ATL next
-4 9 Ranger Suarez 68 $0.7 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
1 9 Reid Detmers 69 $0.6 3.5 3.0 0.5 ▲
7 9 Cristian Javier 70 $1.7 3.5 2.5 1.0 ▲ Notched W in first start of '22, reached 84 pitches
0 10 Cal Quantrill 71 $1.4 3.0 2.5 0.5 ▲
0 10 Kyle Gibson 72 $2.3 3.0 2.5 0.5 ▲
1 10 Josiah Gray 73 $1.8 3.0 2.5 0.5 ▲ If command is there then movement can dominate
-5 10 German Marquez 74 $0.4 2.5 3.0 -0.5 ▼
-7 10 Kyle Hendricks 75 $0.3 2.5 3.0 -0.5 ▼
-3 10 Steven Matz 76 $4.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
6 10 Michael Lorenzen 77 $0.8 2.5 1.5 1.0 ▲ Took shutout into 9th v. CWS, deep arsenal working well
-22 10 Matt Brash 78 -$1.8 2.5 4.5 -2.0 ▼
9 10 Paul Blackburn 79 $6.0 2.5 1.0 1.5 ▲
-1 10 Zach Eflin 80 $4.2 2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 10 Taijuan Walker 81 $1.3 2.0 N/A N/A 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 K in return; little rust even if low whiffs
0 11 Mitch Keller 82 $0.4 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
-16 11 Yusei Kikuchi 83 -$2.3 1.5 3.0 -1.5 ▼ Pete Walker magic hasn't kicked in yet, wait and see
-6 11 Aaron Civale 84 -$0.7 1.5 2.0 -0.5 ▼
-4 11 Marco Gonzales 85 -$1.2 1.5 2.0 -0.5 ▼
5 11 Dylan Bundy 86 $4.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-3 11 Zach Plesac 87 $0.9 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-2 11 Glenn Otto 88 $1.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-2 11 Aaron Ashby 89 $0.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ Spot starts are worthwhile, but the walks need to chill
N/A 11 Bruce Zimmermann 90 $5.0 1.5 N/A N/A
-6 11 Nick Martinez 91 -$3.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-3 12 Austin Gomber 92 $2.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-1 12 Michael Pineda 93 -$1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-1 12 Chris Flexen 94 $2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-1 12 Zack Greinke 95 $2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-1 12 Miles Mikolas 96 $5.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 12 Tyler Anderson 97 $2.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 12 Brad Keller 98 $3.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 12 Corey Kluber 99 $2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 12 Dakota Hudson 100 $0.0 1.0 N/A N/A
0 12 Michael Wacha 101 $2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
INJ Jacob deGrom 1 N/A MRI showed "considerable healing", not throwing yet
INJ Chris Sale 15 N/A Threw 7-pitch bullpen, aiming for early June
INJ Lance Lynn 25 N/A Throwing bullpen sessions, hope for late May
INJ Jack Flaherty 30 N/A Throwing on flat ground from 240 feet, mound to come
INJ Luis Castillo 35 N/A Threw 48 pitches in latest rehab start, return soon
INJ Sonny Gray 35 -$0.6 May return later this week, rehab start went well
INJ Lance McCullers Jr. 35 N/A I'm not expecting much in 2022 from LMC
INJ Blake Snell 40 $0.0 Threw 4 scoreless IP in High-A rehab start
INJ Shane Baz 50 N/A He'll need to ramp up at AAA, timeline still unclear
INJ Andrew Heaney 50 $3.8 Still not throwing, LAD will be conservative
INJ Mike Clevinger 55 N/A Expected back for mid-week start
INJ Stephen Strasburg 60 N/A Facing live hitters, late May could be in the cards
INJ Nick Lodolo 60 $0.7 Lower back strain, hoping it doesn't require long
INJ Jon Gray 65 -$0.4 Knee sprain, hoping to be minor and back shortly
INJ Anthony DeSclafani 65 $0.9 Ankle inflammation, same inj. as '21, severity TBD
INJ Hyun Jin Ryu 75 -$0.8 Threw three-inning live BP session on April 30
INJ Bailey Ober 75 $2.4 Right groin tightness, hoping to miss only 1-2 starts
INJ Luis Patino 80 $0.1 Oblique injuries suck; 60-day IL means at least June
INJ Casey Mize 80 $0.80 Began throwing program last week


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