Updated Outfielder Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Mixed Leagues (July)

With Opening Day of the 2020 MLB season just a few days away, we have a new batch of updated fantasy baseball rankings for you here at RotoBaller. The unpredictable effects of COVID-19 and the implementation of the 60-game season will make the upcoming fantasy campaign the most unique we have ever seen. Not only because of the schedule structure, but because of the inevitable impact of the pandemic.

Drafting healthy players will be like walking through a minefield this year since we've already seen a wide range of players test positive for the virus. Even though these players should recover in time for the beginning of the campaign, the long-term impact could compromise their strength and endurance. The in-season struggle of maintaining the players' well-being will be a balancing act, so we can only hope all players and staff do their part to keep everyone healthy. With two-thirds of games now played within the division and the remaining third versus interleague counterparts, this setup gives some hitters in certain divisions advantages over others. Considering the effect of Park Factors and the pitching staffs they'll face within their division, factoring in these elements is essential in such a short season.

Don't forget to bookmark our main fantasy baseball rankings page which is loaded up with rankings, tiers, auction dollar values, player stats, projections, news and more for Mixed Leagues, H2H Points Leagues, Dynasty Leagues, 2020 Redraft Prospects, Dynasty Prospects and more! With that said, let's analyze the landscape of the outfield. There's a lot to cover, so we'll move swiftly.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including Best MLB Series, NFL Series, NBA Writer, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

Updated Outfielder Rankings - 5x5 Mixed Leagues

In case you missed it, our very own "Big Pick Nick" Mariano was named the #1 overall most accurate industry expert ranker for the 2018 season. Be sure to follow his updated rankings all season long!

Rank	Tier	Player	Pos	Nick M	Nick G	Pierre	David	Riley
1	1	Ronald Acuna Jr.	OF	1	1	1	1	1
2	1	Christian Yelich	OF	2	2	2	2	2
3	1	Cody Bellinger	1B/OF	6	3	3	3	4
4	1	Mike Trout	OF	3	4	7	7	3
5	1	Mookie Betts	OF	4	6	9	4	6
6	2	Juan Soto	OF	11	9	12	11	7
7	2	J.D. Martinez	OF	15	15	27	14	16
8	2	Starling Marte	OF	17	18	23	27	24
9	2	Bryce Harper	OF	24	21	21	20	15
10	3	George Springer	OF	33	24	38	29	35
11	3	Austin Meadows	OF	51	33	22	40	25
12	3	Ketel Marte	2B/SS/OF	37	39	54	33	37
13	3	Yordan Alvarez	OF	44	35	68	34	27
14	3	Eloy Jimenez	OF	47	55	53	51	53
15	3	Giancarlo Stanton	OF	35	58	75	49	38
16	4	Kris Bryant	3B/OF	66	70	64	32	51
17	4	Marcell Ozuna	OF	48	47	59	80	62
18	4	Eddie Rosario	OF	69	53	47	67	76
19	4	Charlie Blackmon	OF	42	60	99	44	42
20	4	Aaron Judge	OF	45	50	98	88	56
21	4	Joey Gallo	OF	65	76	86	55	66
22	4	Nick Castellanos	OF	68	71	71	81	69
23	4	Whit Merrifield	2B/OF	63	49	103	84	92
24	5	Ramon Laureano	OF	71	92	80	74	86
25	5	Victor Robles	OF	89	56	69	104	72
26	5	Tommy Pham	OF	77	78	111	53	79
27	5	Jeff McNeil	2B/3B/OF	87	80	78	93	98
28	5	Andrew Benintendi	OF	95	86	66	103	89
29	5	Jorge Soler	OF	79	64	140	77	81
30	5	Michael Brantley	OF	118	108	62	96	95
31	5	Luis Robert	OF	97	90	113	106	118
32	5	Michael Conforto	OF	112	114	91	95	105
33	5	Max Kepler	OF	126	103	81	110	108
34	5	Franmil Reyes	OF	104	107	129	117	102
35	6	Kyle Schwarber	OF	127	97	133	130	113
36	6	Oscar Mercado	OF	131	127	101	141	119
37	6	Danny Santana	OF/CI/MI	113	89	168	190	147
38	6	Bryan Reynolds	OF	182	129	108	147	180
39	6	Yasiel Puig	OF	147	126	219	113	114
40	6	David Dahl	OF	170	125	120	205	134
41	6	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	2B/OF	153	144	184	161	142
42	6	Justin Upton	OF	150	182	149	169	160
43	7	Alex Verdugo	OF	192	187	137	185	219
44	7	Andrew McCutchen	OF	167	154	176	217	166
45	7	Avisail Garcia	OF	213	174	164	163	213
46	7	J.D. Davis	3B/OF	204	164	223	128	189
47	7	Lorenzo Cain	OF	191	161	154	222	174
48	7	Willie Calhoun	OF	216	192	148	174	169
49	7	Byron Buxton	OF	138	167	253	176	156
50	7	Adam Eaton	OF	156	149	225	212	205
51	7	Ryan Braun	OF	184	155	197	208	193
52	7	Hunter Dozier	1B/3B/OF	210	203	161	186	184
53	8	Scott Kingery	MI/3B/OF	185	194	178	247	181
54	8	Shin-Soo Choo	OF	188	234	170	213	217
55	8	Mallex Smith	OF	203	207	241	155	206
56	8	Nick Senzel	OF	202	191	248	184	171
57	8	Joc Pederson	1B/OF	218	222	230	157	227
58	8	Brian Anderson	3B/OF	227	195	192	232	230
59	8	Tommy Edman	2B/3B/OF	155	151	287	253	161
60	8	Garrett Hampson	2B/SS/OF	169	201	175	309	190
61	8	Kyle Tucker	OF	220	220	186	233	172
62	8	Randal Grichuk	OF	226	250	247	195	223
63	8	Mark Canha	1B/OF	230	216	243	229	233
64	8	Austin Hays	OF	244	229	257	231	254
65	8	David Peralta	OF	245	246	283	230	242
66	8	Aaron Hicks	OF	158	226	365	304	314
67	8	Hunter Renfroe	OF	238	241	220	356	214
68	8	Nomar Mazara	OF	324	253	285	194	272
69	8	Trent Grisham	OF	231	329	245	262	268
70	8	Corey Dickerson	OF	330	271	234	234	274
71	9	A.J. Pollock	OF	209	209	334	327	270
72	9	Brett Gardner	OF	256	267	291	290	253
73	9	Austin Riley	OF	280	263	296	270	282
74	9	Dylan Carlson	OF	271	285	298	279	234
75	9	Wil Myers	1B/OF	232	275	239	391	259
76	9	Niko Goodrum	1B/MI/OF	273	251	340	284	311
77	9	Mike Yastrzemski	OF	366	257	246	292	288
78	9	Yoenis Cespedes	OF	255	259	429	268	284
79	9	Brandon Nimmo	OF	335	240	264	376	372
80	9	Brandon Belt	1B/OF	295	320	328	275	375
81	9	Shogo Akiyama	OF	266	245	452	256	252
82	9	Jo Adell	OF	304	349	382	219	247
83	9	Sam Hilliard	OF	292	331	352	281	315
84	9	Teoscar Hernandez	OF	288	295	284	421	294
85	9	Kyle Lewis	OF	239	360	292	411	290
86	10	Anthony Santander	OF	318	243	431	328	264
87	10	Jesse Winker	OF	339	279	363	367	370
88	10	Kevin Kiermaier	OF	395	334	289	339	346
89	10	Yoshitomo Tsutsugo	OF	240	317	460	340	389
90	10	Franchy Cordero	OF	275	314	487	288	316
91	10	Ian Happ	2B/3B/OF	362	363	441	200	326
92	10	Gregory Polanco	OF	338	301	391	363	334
93	10	Ender Inciarte	OF	399	372	355	291	478
94	10	Hunter Pence	OF	301	396	339	388	411
95	10	Cameron Maybin	OF	225	324	501	375	318
96	10	Jon Berti	MI/3B/OF	346	342	433	305	309
97	10	Jake Fraley	OF	291	337	443	#N/A	330
98	10	Jose Peraza	2B/SS/OF	206	355	498	379	349
99	10	Kole Calhoun	OF	297	339	471	336	275
100	11	Harrison Bader	OF	327	354	419	378	382
101	11	Eric Thames	1B/OF	433	376	364	320	333
102	11	Jurickson Profar	2B/OF	487	371	262	390	363
103	11	Aristides Aquino	OF	394	407	318	416	337
104	11	Domingo Santana	OF	314	341	453	429	376
105	11	Raimel Tapia	OF	298	391	475	#N/A	413
106	11	Mike Tauchman	OF	348	380	422	426	345
107	11	Jarrod Dyson	OF	372	437	380	394	355
108	11	Stephen Piscotty	OF	365	412	406	418	425
109	11	Tyler O'Neill	OF	368	395	457	#N/A	400
110	11	Jason Heyward	OF	369	350	513	395	341
111	11	Jackie Bradley Jr.	OF	370	373	519	372	441
112	11	Victor Reyes	OF	457	379	426	374	480
113	11	Chris Taylor	2B/SS/OF	352	427	562	303	440
114	12	Kevin Pillar	OF	414	479	440	314	339
115	12	Billy Hamilton	OF	413	413	#N/A	#N/A	362
116	12	Jose Martinez	OF	428	470	366	393	368
117	12	Leury Garcia	SS/OF	377	385	496	#N/A	381
118	12	Alex Dickerson	OF	374	428	469	#N/A	421
119	12	JaCoby Jones	OF	341	416	549	#N/A	436
120	12	Jay Bruce	OF/1B	503	455	361	#N/A	492
121	12	Roman Quinn	OF	409	431	489	#N/A	481
122	12	Alex Gordon	OF	371	426	546	#N/A	384
123	12	Adam Haseley	OF	379	423	543	#N/A	371
124	12	Josh Reddick	OF	391	434	522	#N/A	432
125	12	Derek Fisher	OF	491	510	359	#N/A	455
126	12	Kike Hernandez	2B/SS/OF	389	419	557	#N/A	395
127	13	Tim Locastro	OF	415	462	516	#N/A	#N/A
128	13	Dominic Smith	1B/OF	448	499	482	431	#N/A
129	13	Christin Stewart	OF	481	494	423	#N/A	462
130	13	Brian Goodwin	OF	442	493	499	#N/A	435
131	13	Josh Rojas	2B/3B/OF	546	532	510	350	471
132	13	Braden Bishop	OF	446	524	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
133	13	Clint Frazier	OF	498	515	509	420	453
134	13	Manuel Margot	OF	461	492	505	#N/A	424
135	13	Josh Naylor	OF	445	496	517	#N/A	#N/A
136	13	Steven Souza Jr.	OF	463	497	525	#N/A	434
137	13	Dexter Fowler	OF	501	452	533	#N/A	443
138	13	Dwight Smith Jr.	OF	454	533	520	#N/A	#N/A
139	13	Marwin Gonzalez	1B/3B/OF	505	501	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
140	13	Tony Kemp	2B/OF	511	528	486	#N/A	#N/A
141	13	Johan Camargo	3B/SS/OF	556	527	444	#N/A	#N/A
142	13	Jordan Luplow	OF	515	516	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
143	13	DJ Stewart	OF	#N/A	477	559	#N/A	#N/A
144	13	Albert Almora Jr.	OF	#N/A	519	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
145	13	Matt Kemp	OF	452	591	#N/A	#N/A	445
146	13	Lewis Brinson	OF	571	#N/A	473	#N/A	#N/A
147	14	Adam Duvall	OF	520	563	526	#N/A	485
148	14	Ehire Adrianza	MI/CI/OF	#N/A	#N/A	538	#N/A	#N/A
149	14	Anthony Alford	OF	#N/A	#N/A	540	#N/A	#N/A
150	14	Harold Ramirez	OF	529	547	545	#N/A	#N/A
151	14	Jose Osuna	1B/3B/OF	#N/A	554	544	#N/A	#N/A
152	14	Chad Pinder	2B/3B/OF	507	592	555	#N/A	#N/A
153	14	Tyler Naquin	OF	#N/A	553	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
154	14	Delino DeShields	OF	570	#N/A	537	#N/A	#N/A
155	14	Greg Allen	OF	555	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
156	14	Matt Beaty	1B/3B/OF	539	571	#N/A	#N/A	497
157	14	Jake Marisnick	OF	#N/A	556	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
158	14	Brett Phillips	OF	#N/A	557	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
159	14	Ben Gamel	OF	#N/A	559	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
160	15	Josh VanMeter	1B/2B/OF	606	567	528	#N/A	484
161	15	Jake Bauers	1B/OF	630	548	527	#N/A	#N/A
162	15	Jake Cave	OF	601	540	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
163	15	Travis Demeritte	OF	548	595	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
164	15	Monte Harrison	OF	578	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
165	15	Stephen Vogt	C/OF	636	598	511	#N/A	#N/A
166	15	Randy Arozarena	OF	598	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
167	15	Seth Brown	1B/OF	666	#N/A	532	#N/A	#N/A
168	15	Phillip Ervin	OF	643	560	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
166	15	Mitch Haniger	OF	661	564	#N/A	#N/A	386
167	15	Cedric Mullins II	OF	635	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
168	15	Alex Kirilloff	OF	649	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
169	15	Billy McKinney	OF	655	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
170	15	Brandon Dixon	1B/OF	658	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
171	15	Cristian Pache	OF	675	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
172	15	Lane Thomas	OF	689	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A

 

Rankings Analysis - Upper Tiers

Tier One

It’s strange not seeing Mike Trout at the top, right? His wavering attitude towards playing in 2020 has caused drafters (and rankers) to cool on the superstar, who already faced pressure from other stars regarding his No. 1 status. The hesitation to play in ‘20 has pushed him below 10th in some high-stakes drafts, though we all can’t go that far. Pierre and David have him seventh, which is probably the wise move, but I can’t shift him any lower without further news. As of now, he's here and he's spectacular:

Sunny days, Mike Trout HRs, and (air) hi-fives ?

We missed @angels baseball. pic.twitter.com/Y4l94FKuaB

— FOX Sports West (@FoxSportsWest) July 12, 2020

Usually a group can’t agree on Acuña or Yelich, but we all have Ronald at 1 and Yelich 2. My rationale is just Yelich’s own recent durability concerns, as well as Atlanta being a better target (especially with the AL East in play). No one will feel lousy walking away from a draft with Yelich, though!

Then we’ve got the Hollywood boys, as Cody Bellinger has fiddled with his swing mechanics and Mookie Betts suddenly doesn’t have to hit behind the pitcher slot. I’d been down on Betts for that reason, but now I’m feeling dandy. Bellinger is a bit streakier than the rest of these options, hence my trepidation to elevate him beyond the rest.

 

Tier Two

Juan Soto calmed fears by reporting to camp last week, allowing us all to exhale. While expectations must be tempered for young players coming off what many would consider a career year, his only fantasy limitation is modest speed. That’s it. Draft with confidence at the end of the first round!

Pierre is down on J.D. Martinez, almost a full round’s worth, which probably has to do with softening metrics and the loss of Betts. His xwOBA was an astounding .428 in 2017 and that held strong at .417 in '18, but slipped to "only" .397 in '19. Going from the top of the leaderboard to the 96th percentile isn't awful, but I get investing in bats trending up rather than down. JDM is such a cerebral bat and that lineup is still well above average, so I’ll stay aggressive with Martinez and the monster as my second-round pick with a smile.

I recently spoke with a colleague about Starling Marte being a great value for the NL MVP futures bet thanks to a +10,000 line -- not just because of Kevin Malone’s adage, I swear. Marte turned in his highest sprint speed last season and AZ shouldn’t be shy about deploying their newest weapon on the basepaths.

Tier Three

High atop Houston’s batting order, George Springer should have another strong season compiling power numbers with a healthy average and R+RBI tally nearing 70 during this sprint. He could lead the MLB in plate appearances and the shorter season could help his body not wear down. The last time he topped 140 games played was 2016, but that's baked in at his ADP and he still crushed 39 homers in just 122 games last year! Most would kill for that in a full 162.

My Austin Meadows rank is tied to the coronavirus diagnosis, as he was Marte’s AL MVP bet counterpart in the aforementioned conversation. Alas, the risk is too great here against several other players with similar output sans illness. If not for this, I’d be right there with my colleagues around the 30 range. He’s a little behind Yordan Álvarez on an estimated recovery track, hence Álvarez being 44th for me. Others might gauge the situation differently and also still not trust Yordan’s knees throughout the year.

I love Eloy Jiménez in that budding White Sox offense, but not as much as I love Giancarlo Stanton’s potential in the Bronx. I know, the calf is already dinged and he’s likely DHing to start, but the man has first-round potential when healthy. This is an acceptable risk-reward discount, with many drafts seeing him nab him and Aaron Judge in back-to-back rounds.

 

Tier Four

Kris Bryant made news by starting at first base on July 20, which isn’t a good sign for Anthony Rizzo (back) but helps Bryant’s fantasy stock. But if Rizzo isn’t batting behind Bryant, I can’t say I see the path that David does with that 32nd rank. That said, summer at Wrigley can be quite the power tunnel.

Charlie Blackmon is back with the Rockies and should be ready around Opening Day, if not the opener itself. You can draft him with confidence, especially if his program to help with the Coors hangover yields results.

I fear I’m woefully underweight on Nick Castellanos’ potential in Great American Ballpark this year. That man is a Statcast darling, just look at all of these red top-10 percentage markers:

Alas, Comerica Park has done him dirty thus far, but GABP can help make this man that’s ranked 16th or better in barrels in each of the past three seasons into a stud. EVAnalytics has GABP ranked with the third-friendliest park factor for homers in the game.

 

Rankings Analysis - Mid Tiers

Tier Five

The only one I’m highest on here is Ramon Laureano, who had a plus .272 xBA last year (70th percentile) with 84th-percentile sprint speed. My dream is that he improves against non-fastballs, but his power-speed combo while likely batting second behind Marcus Semien and ahead of Matts Olson and Chapman is a dream spot. Churn the PAs and good things will come.

Then you have to ask yourself some serious questions: 

-Can Victor Robles make a Year-2 leap? I say meh, leap is a strong word but power-speed gets you far as a baseline -- Nick G seems to believe, though.
-Will Andrew Benintendi rebound and earn Boston’s vacated leadoff slot? Most of us think so, but his ceiling doesn’t justify much more risk than around pick 100.
-Does Jorge Soler’s power regress to simply “above-average” rather than world-beater? Doubtful, not unless the baseballs change -- unless you ask Pierre!
-Is Luis Robert the next Acuna, or does he struggle against breaking stuff and hit the bench? He’s not being drafted like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was last season, so I think most are aware of the floor here.

#FranmilForALHomeRunLeader

 

Tier Six

Nick G has both Danny Santana (89) and Kyle Schwarber (97) inside his top 100, the only ranker to have anyone that high in this set. Let it be known that I still drafted Santana in our RotoBaller Experts League draft and my fellow Nick was not pleased. But that Zobristian eligibility with power and speed in this era is so valuable, especially since we have to anticipate plugging myriad roster leaks throughout the year.

I want to buy into David Dahl, but every time I get there some news surfaces about missing a workout due to core soreness or something.

David Dahl- Core- #Rockies manager Bud Black said today that Dahl was held out of the team's last two intrasquad games due to "core soreness," Thomas Harding of https://t.co/wznV8oM89I reports. He is day to day for now.

— Fantasy Baseball Injury Guru (@mlbinjuryguru) July 16, 2020

With so many other talented players that can spell Dahl, I don’t think the playing time is there for a big year. I hope I’m wrong, but there's similar ceiling with less risk later in drafts.

The aforementioned loaded Halos lineup has a hopeful renaissance season out of Justin Upton, whose toe and knee simply ruined 2019. Prior to that, he’d slugged 30-plus homers in three straight years and had swiped at least eight bases in each of his last 10 seasons. He debuted at 19 so you may think he’s eligible for an AARP card, but he’s only 32 years young. Even if Trout opts out, Upton, Anthony Rendon, and Shohei Ohtani can create excitement.

 

Tier Seven

I likely still have a healthy Alex Verdugo too low, but major back operations scare the daylights out of me. Another major scare comes with Willie Calhoun’s hip strain and that he’s still reportedly uncomfortable in the batter’s box when pitches come up and in. You would be too if you got your jaw broken by one. Empathy aside, we must be willing to address and react to the human parts of the game as well as the metrics.

Byron Buxton may get hurt on the hill that I’m dying on for him, but I will gladly join the fight. Minnesota’s offense is simply too stacked and Buxton’s respectable pop and insane speed could create such a profit here. I can’t say no to this. He gave us a scare by getting his cleat stuck in the grass and getting carted off last week, but he ran in the outfield on July 18 and Rocco Baldelli says the swelling isn't becoming an issue. He can push for 60 R+RBI with 8 HRs and 10-plus swipes.

If you miss out on these flashy players, it seems like every draft has Adam Eaton, Andrew McCutchen, and Ryan Braun all going quite cheap. The DH could help them all see additional playing time, or simply be more rested for when they do play. Don't let yourself get blinded by shiny new toys and miss out on the vets. Of course, I must now add that Braun is dealing with apparent injuries to his neck, oblique, and back. So maybe passing on him is wise!

 

Tier Eight

Pierre and I are out here making sure y’all remember the name, Shin-Soo Choo. Now a spry 38-year-old, Choo is coming off a career-high 24 homers and his highest steal tally (15) since 2013. I’m a tad worried by his rising strikeout and whiff rates, with the swinging-strike rate climbing from 8.8% in 2017 to 11.7% last year, but the results are there. If you need a steady hand in the late rounds, go Choo. He's still got an extra gear!

How about this.. With runners at first and second.... Josh Jung stole third base... heads up play.... then Shin-Soo Choo drops a bunt and beats it out for an RBI hit.... the game is 6-6..... Two heads up plays by a rookie and the oldest player on the team

— TR Sullivan (@Sullivan_Ranger) July 19, 2020

I spy quite the polarizing figure in Tommy Edman, who Riley, Nick G, and myself have around 160th compared to David (253) and Pierre (287). On Edman’s side is a potential everyday 3B role if Matt Carpenter is preserved in the DH role. The youngster delivered 11 homers and 15 steals with a .304/.350/.500 slash line in 349 PAs as a rookie, with results coming against both lefties (.964 OPS) and righties (.810 OPS). My hope is for 50 games, about five homers and 6-7 steals with a plus average.

Both Garrett Hampson and Kyle Tucker have serious talent, with Tucker boasting first-round-fantasy-pick skills, but they’re on teams that won’t commit to playing them. Tucker is behind veteran Josh Reddick, while Hampson is surrounded by an aging Daniel Murphy and Matt Kemp, with Brendan Rodgers knocking at the door too. Targeting skill blocked by lesser roadblocks is a savvy move here, just be sure to track how much risk you’ve taken on by this point in drafts.

It’s a bird, it’s a plane...it’s Aaron Hicks! His ADP is suppressed on most sites thanks to his recovering from Tommy John surgery this offseason. Now he represents a cheap ticket to the Yankees lineup and hitter-friendly park that may bat leadoff if DJ LeMahieu isn’t ready, or near the five- or six-hole if DJL can go. If you can get on this NYY ride at a discount, you do it.

 

Tier Nine

Here is a glut of NL players who are helped by the DH addition. A.J. Pollock gets some more paths to playing time in LA, while Austin Riley could either open in the OF or DH. Dylan Carlson is provided with an avenue to play if STL wants to see what he can do in the bigs, while Wil Myers could keep his legs fresh and, along with the Franchy Cordero trade, may break 50 games in ‘20. Perhaps the biggest beneficiary of all is Yoenis Cespedes, who will hope to avoid aggravating his heel injuries or any soft-tissue strains.

I want to put Sam Hilliard in that group, but it seems the Rox are giving the first crack at DH to Mr. Matt Kemp. And Ian Desmond’s vacated starts are reportedly going to Raimel Tapia first, who does deserve his own chance but doesn’t boast the fantasy ceiling of Hilliard. More on that in a bit. Topping 40 homers and 20 steals on the year deserves priority, dadgummit.

Kyle Lewis is getting loads of buzz lately as videos of casual homers trickle out of Seattle, with many wondering if he’s finally put things together. Inconsistency has defined his pro career thus far, but we saw a glimpse of his potential last September. Let’s hope for the best here. And shoutout to one of the quietest 10-homer threat in this short season, Tesocar Hernandez.

 

Tier 10

Let’s take a step back from walls of text and simply see who everyone’s top three is in this tier:

Mine: Jose Peraza (206), Cameron Maybin (225), and Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (240).

Nick G: Anthony Santander (243), Jesse Winker (279), Gregory Polanco (301).

Pierre: Kevin Kiermaier (289), Hunter Pence (339), Ender Inciarte (355).

David: Ian Happ (200), Franchy Cordero (288), Ender Inciarte (291).

Riley: Anthony Santander (264), Kole Calhoun (275), Jon Berti (309).

Barely any crossover! The point here is that this is where you really need to just get your guys. Don’t let ADP sway you into taking someone you might not want. Your personal ranks are likely to really separate from the crowd once you dig this deep. Believe in yourself (or those of us that you like, cough me cough) and go for it.

 

Rankings Analysis - Lower Tiers

Tier 11

As discussed earlier, “the starting left field job is Raimel Tapia’s to lose.” per The Denver Post’s Kyle Newman and MLB.com’s Thomas Harding talked up his improved physique back in March. I’m not here to sell you on the “best shape of his life” stuff, but I will try to sell you on “playing time in Coors Field” stuff.

Expecting big things from #Rockies OF Raimel Tapia. He just sent one into the bullpen for a home run off Wade Davis. I wrote about some adjustments he made during original Spring Training: https://t.co/di6iBPixZo

— Thomas Harding (@harding_at_mlb) July 14, 2020

It can’t all be sunshine and rainbows, though, as we must accept that Aristides Aquino isn’t starting the season with the big boys. He had quite a run in ‘19 but still has to work on a more consistent swing. It isn’t all about raw power! Not to mention, Cincy’s lineup is a tough one to crack and they don’t want him wasting away on the bench when he could be training with full reps every day off-site.

And I’m the pessimist with Eric Thames, who I’m probably being way too harsh towards. If he grows against southpaws through seeing them more than I’m willing to be wrong, but I don’t want a platoon bat this high up. Hitting .197 in 314 career ABs against lefties isn’t a death sentence, but I’d rather avoid the headache.

 

Tier 12

I know, most of you aren’t dealing with Billy Hamilton again. He only reported to camp a few days ago and is a one-dimensional asset on a crummy offense. But if you’re punting speed until the bitter end then here’s your stash to compete. Another option is Philadelphia’s Roman Quinn, a more talented hitter with big wheels who simply cannot stay healthy. Check out number five:

JaCoby Jones should get consistent playing time in Detroit alongside Cameron Maybin while Christin Stewart and Victor Reyes split the third OF spot. If you value volume here then players such as Josh Reddick and Alex Gordon are here for you. And those speculating on late power can go with Jay Bruce at Citizens Bank, while Tampa Bay’s Jose Martinez providing some pop with a plus average.

 

Tier 13

If you missed on Billy Hamilton or simply refuse to roster him (I get it) then peek at Arizona’s Tim Locastro, 2019’s sprint speed champion. San Diego’s trade of Franchy Cordero opens the door for Josh Naylor to get meaningful PAs, but that’s an NL-only move. Others in that camp would be Steven Souza Jr. recapturing his form at Wrigley or Matt Kemp’s senior tour at Coors Field.

The 35-year-old slugger is in the right place for a swan song. He’s not the star bat of 2012 anymore, but he’s said how well he sees the ball at Coors and it shows. In 375 career PAs a mile up, Kemp owns a .327/.389/.616 slash with 21 homers. He won’t get to face Rockies pitching here and is probably limited to DH appearances, but those with deep benches could do worse than siding with Coors.

 

Tiers 14 & 15

I know, you’re scraping here. You’re going for any sort of ceiling at this point. This is where drafters see if Chad Pinder can get consistent work in Oakland. Does Atlanta insert Adam Duvall into their powerful lineup enough for streamers to take advantage? I still have a twinkle of hope for Jake Bauers but I admit the path to relevance is long and arduous.

My favorite lottery ticket is Miami’s Monte Harrison, who has Harold Ramirez in right field blocking one avenue. Center could also be in play thanks to Jonathan Villar’s versatility, as well as the DH spot. Lest we forget he hit nine homers with 20 steals (on 22 attempts) through 56 Triple-A games last year. Reports were surfacing that he could crack the Opening Day roster. Alas, Harrison is not on the initial 30-man roster to start the year but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him up by early August. Even Craig Mish noted the surprise that Harrison wasn't on the team:

The Miami Marlins travel roster to Atlanta to take on the Braves Tuesday & Wednesday. Outfielder Monte Harrison is on the trip, but in a bit of a surprise, I’m told he did not make the Marlins final 30-man roster. He will head over to the Jupiter Camp after the exhibitions. pic.twitter.com/yqKOgvSwzk

— Craig Mish (@CraigMish) July 20, 2020

 

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