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NASCAR DFS Prop Picks: Pocono Organics 325 - Monkey Knife Fight

Saturday features an exciting Cup Series race at Pocono Raceway in Pennsylvania. Aric Almirola, Ryan Blaney, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Chase Elliott will make up the top five to start the race. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. If you haven't checked out these games yet, you can start this weekend! There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the betting line, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.

 

Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points and Kyle Busch OVER 16.5 Fantasy Points

Harvick and Busch are projected to be two of the highest fantasy point producers on Saturday and lucky for us, we can bet the over on both of them.

Busch is currently a betting co-favorite at 5 to 1 odds and he won this race last year. Starting in fourth-place gives him an excellent chance to get to the front of the pack and rack up some laps led points early. If he is able to get to the front for 50 laps or so, a top 10 finish would put Busch well on his way to breaking through 16.5 fantasy points.

Harvick is the other co-favorite at 5 to 1 odds and though he doesn't have as good of a chance to get to the front of the pack early, a top-three finish from Harvick seems extremely likely. With just a top-five finish and 25 laps led, Harvick will break through his 17.5 fantasy point threshold.

 

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/3)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Busch OVER 16.5 Fantasy Points, Denny Hamlin UNDER 16.5 Fantasy Points

This prop gives us an excellent chance to be a bit more aggressive. With the limited drivers that MNF offers, finding a few individual props that you are confident about and using them in multiple contests seems to be the way to attack a race.

As mentioned above, Harvick and Busch are projected to be the top two drivers on Saturday. The fact that we can take the over on both of them again in this prop bet is excellent.

As for Hamlin, taking the under seems to be the sharper side when taking this prop as a whole into consideration. If Harvick and Busch are able to hit their overs on fantasy points, there is a really good chance that they will both lead a good chuck of laps. At only 130 total laps, that does not leave many opportunities for drivers like Hamlin to rack up those laps led points. In addition, the RotoBaller NASCAR Lineup Optimizer does not project Hamlin all that well. As long as he leads less than 35 or so laps, expect Hamlin to hit the under on 16.5 fantasy points more often than not.

 

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight 

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller!
Our DFS NASCAR Premium Package features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Drew Deen is an 11-time DFS tournament winner, and has 13 different $3k+ contest finishes - 10 of them coming from NASCAR, including the 2020 Auto Club 400 on March 1st and the 2020 Food City 500 on May 31st. Sean Engel, who won his sixth career tournament at Bristol, and had the top lineup in seven contests and 10 top-two finishes. Be sure to use their weekly NASCAR DFS rankings and DFS lineup picks, updated regularly.

Chase Holden's DFS picks at Martinsville and Texas were tops in the industry, and Chase was a 2019 FSWA finalist for NASCAR Writer Of The Year! Two-time Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew.

Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Adam Hadwin Still Searching For Second PGA Tour Victory

Adam Hadwin will tee it up at Harbour Town Golf Links this week with hopes of finding his second PGA Tour victory. Although his PGA Tour results have not been excellent, Hadwin is a proven grinder. He has multiple wins on the Canadian Tour and a win on the Korn Ferry Tour over the last 10 years, to go along with his 2017 win at the Valspar Championship. Hadwin made the cut last week but was not able to climb the leaderboard over the weekend and ended up finishing 43rd. Hadwin's cheap price and low ownership make him an extremely interesting option for DFS tournaments.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Patrick Reed Will Tee It Up At Harbour Town

Patrick Reed will tee it up this week at the RBC Heritage. Reed continues to be one of the best players in the world, and his very sneaky seventh-place finish last week proves he can move up a leaderboard any given week. So far in 2020, Reed's putter has been extremely hot. He currently ranks third on the PGA Tour in strokes gained in putting. He gains just over one stroke per round with the flat stick. Some may expect some regression, but Reed finishing the season within the top five of strokes gained in putting would be extremely reasonable. Reed's great price throughout the DFS industry will likely make him a popular option in cash and tournament options.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Rafael Cabrera Bello Will Tee It Up At Harbour Town Golf Links

Rafael Cabrera Bello will tee it up for the second straight week and second straight year at Harbour Town Golf Links. Rafa flashed some nice form last week and was able to finish the week in 23rd place at eight-under. In addition, Rafa played well last year at Harbour Town Golf Links, finishing in 16th place at six-under. He has an unbelievable ability to grind out solid finishes on the PGA Tour despite his underwhelming strokes-gained stats. However, he has yet to find a win on the PGA Tour, and because of that, he lacks upside for DFS tournament purposes. His price point and ability to make cuts makes him a viable cash-format option.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Tyrrell Hatton Set To Return After Hiatus

Tyrrell Hatton will tee it up at Harbour Town Golf Links this week in what will be his first start since winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational just prior to the suspension of the season. On top of the win in March, Hatton has two sixth-place finishes and a 14th-place finish in his three other starts during the 2020 season. Though he may not be a household name in the U.S. yet, Hatton has had a very successful start to his professional career in Europe. He has four international wins and has been part of two national teams. His win at the Arnold Palmer should be the first of many for Hatton on the PGA Tour. This week, Hatton is an excellent mid-tier option for DFS cash and tournament contests.

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NASCAR DFS Prop Picks: Dixie Vodka 400 - Monkey Knife Fight

Sunday night features an exciting Cup Series race at Homestead- Miami Speedway. Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, and Chase Elliott will make up the top-5 to start the race. MKF has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. If you haven't checked out these games yet, you can start this weekend! There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the betting line, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.

 

Pick 1: Rapid Fire Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick (+0.5) and Kyle Busch (+1.5)

Simply put, Harvick has been phenomenal at Homestead- Miami Speedway. Since 2014, he has finished within the top-5 each race, has one win, and one runner-up. According to the RotoBaller Premium NASCAR Research Station, Harvick is projected to lead the most laps and has over an 80% chance of finishing within the top-10. On top of all that, Harvick is a 0.5 fantasy point underdog to Truex Jr.

Kyle Busch has been far too good at Miami Speedway to consider betting against him as a 0.5 fantasy point underdog. Since 2015, Busch has two wins, a runner-up, and two other top-10 finishes. I do not expect Busch to lead all that many laps but all he really has to do is finish higher than Elliott to win this part of the prop. Elliott is starting one position behind Busch and has no real success at the Dixie Vodka 400.

 

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (6/6)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick OVER 19.5 Fantasy Points, Martin Truex Jr. UNDER 19.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Busch UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points, Joey Logano OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points, Chase Elliott UNDER 17.5 Fantasy Points, and Brad Keselowski UNDER 16.5 Fantasy Points

We hit a nice 5/5 More or Less contest on Wednesday night for 12x our buy-in so we'll one-up it for Sunday night with a 6/6 More or Less Fantasy Point contest for 24x your buy-in.

The first two props are explained above. Harvick has an excellent chance to lead numerous laps and finish the race within the top-10. More often than not, he'll finish the race with over 19.5 fantasy points. As long as Truex Jr leads less than 35 laps or so, he'll likely stay below that 19.5 fantasy point threshold.

The Kyle Busch prop is certainly the hardest one to pick. The RotoBaller Premium NASCAR Research Station only has Busch's projected laps led at 15. Due to that, and the fact that there are numerous other drivers that are more than capable of dominating this race, taking the under on 18.5 fantasy points seems to be the sharper side.

Since 2015, Logano has one win, and three other top-5 finishes at Homestead- Miami Speedway. Logano has over a 70% chance of finishing within the top-10 and starting in second-place gives him an excellent chance of getting to the front of the pack to rack up some laps led points. A top-10 finish and 40+ laps led will give Logano an excellent chance to beat 16.5 fantasy points.

With this prop, we will have to root for Harvick, Logano, and Hamlin to lead for the majority of the race and collect the majority of the laps led points. As a result, we would expect other drivers, like Elliott and Keselowski, to have much less of an opportunity to collect laps led points. As long as they each lead less than 25 laps or so, they should finish the race with less than 17.5 and 16.5 fantasy points, respectively.

As always, be smart about this high-risk bet. I would recommend betting 1/10th of your bet from the prop pick above.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight 

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller!
Our DFS NASCAR Premium Package features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Drew Deen is an 11-time DFS tournament winner, and has 13 different $3k+ contest finishes - 10 of them coming from NASCAR, including the 2020 Auto Club 400 on March 1st and the 2020 Food City 500 on May 31st. Sean Engel, who won his sixth career tournament at Bristol, and had the top lineup in seven contests and 10 top-two finishes. Be sure to use their weekly NASCAR DFS rankings and DFS lineup picks, updated regularly.

Chase Holden's DFS picks at Martinsville and Texas were tops in the industry, and Chase was a 2019 FSWA finalist for NASCAR Writer Of The Year! Two-time Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew.

Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team.

Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks Editor Note NASCAR Analysis NASCAR DFS DraftKings RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NASCAR DFS Prop Picks: Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 - Monkey Knife Fight

Wednesday night features an exciting Cup Series race at Martinsville Speedway in Virginia. Ryan Blaney, Aric Almirola, Joey Logano, Clint Bowyer, and Martin Truex Jr. will make up the top-5 to start the race. MKF has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. If you haven't checked out these games yet, you can start this weekend! There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the betting line, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.

 

Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Busch UNDER 21.5 Fantasy Points and Martin Truex Jr. UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points

We are back to a short-track this week. In fact, Martinsville is the shortest track in the NASCAR circuit at just over half a mile. With that being said, considering laps led will be more important than ever when making prop picks. As mentioned above, MKF's format offers 0.1 points per lap led.

There were two races at Martinsville in 2019 and both were 500 laps. In those two races, Brad Keselowski started in third and won with 446 laps led and Martin Truex Jr. won the other race after starting in third and leading for 464 laps. Although the short track package is different this season and that much dominance is unlikely, it is clear that if a driver can get out front, they are able to stay there for quite a while.

There is no doubt that Busch and Truex Jr. are two of the most elite drivers in NASCAR but the dominance we've seen the last two races at Martinsville gives us a great opportunity to bet against these drivers. Predicting that one of these two drivers will get to the front of the pack and rack up those laps led points is just too difficult.

So, rather than taking the over on these two prop picks, we will favor the under. At 21.5 and 18.5 fantasy points, there is still plenty of room for both of these drivers to finish within the top-10 of the race and still be under their respective fantasy points. As long as one of these two drivers isn't the one to dominate the race, the unders should hit more often than not.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (5/5)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Busch UNDER 22.5 Fantasy Points, Chase Elliott UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points, Martin Truex Jr. OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points, Joey Logano OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points, Denny Hamlin UNDER 17.5 Fantasy Points

As promised last week, here is an example of a high-risk, high-reward option that MNF offers. It is a five for five More or Less Fantasy Point challenge that pays out at 12x your buy-in. Of course, the odds of this prop hitting are low and you should always be reserved with your bankroll with this type of contest!

Kyle Busch is mentioned above. He is actually given an extra fantasy point in this prop so the under looks even better here.

Chase Elliott will be starting in 11th and the chances of him gaining the ground needed to lead the 100+ laps he'll need to make the over on 18.5 fantasy points reasonable just doesn't seem likely. As long as he finishes below fifth-place, he'll be under 18.5 fantasy points nearly every time.

This prop offers Martin Truex Jr. at 17.5 fantasy points, rather than the 18.5 fantasy points in the previous prop. Due to that and the fact that he had an extremely strong race at Martinsville last year, the over seems like the way to go here. Although this takes away almost all the possibility of winning both props, it does guarantees you get one part of one prop correct. If he happens to get exactly 18 points, you'll get both correct.

If Truex has another great race, this prop is alive and you are 1/5th of your way to 12x your buy-in. If he struggles, you are half the way to 3x your buy-in for the previous prop. I would recommend betting 1/5th of your buy-in for the previous prop on this prop. (Example: $10 to win $30 on the prop above, $2 to win $24 on this prop)

Starting in third-place gives Logano an excellent chance to get to the front and rack up some laps led points. As long as Logano can lead 75+ laps and finish within the top-10, he'll break through his 17.5 fantasy point threshold.

Similar to Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin is starting too far back to seriously consider him a driver that can lead 100+ laps and finish within the top-10.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight 

 

More NASCAR DFS

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups, including our weekly YouTube video:

 

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller!
Our DFS NASCAR Premium Package features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Drew Deen is an 11-time DFS tournament winner, and has 13 different $3k+ contest finishes - 10 of them coming from NASCAR, including the 2020 Auto Club 400 on March 1st and the 2020 Food City 500 on May 31st. Sean Engel, who won his sixth career tournament at Bristol, and had the top lineup in seven contests and 10 top-two finishes. Be sure to use their weekly NASCAR DFS rankings and DFS lineup picks, updated regularly.

Chase Holden's DFS picks at Martinsville and Texas were tops in the industry, and Chase was a 2019 FSWA finalist for NASCAR Writer Of The Year! Two-time Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew.

Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Matt Wallace Searching For First PGA Tour Victory

Matt Wallace will be in the field this week at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Wallace has four international victories and currently ranks 43rd in the Official World Golf Rankings. Wallace has yet to break through for a victory on the PGA Tour. In 10 rounds so far this year, Wallace has shown the ability to excel around the greens. He ranks 16th overall in strokes gained around the green and fourth in sand-save percentage. His ball-striking hasn't been great, but an above-average week off the tee and approaching the green could be the recipe for a great tournament. Wallace is cheap throughout the DFS industry and is worth keeping in your player pool for large-field MME tournament formats.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Danny Willett Still Searching For Second PGA Tour Victory

Danny Willett will tee it up this week at Colonial Golf Course for the Charles Schwab Challenge. The 2016 Masters champion is still looking for his second PGA Tour victory but has had some success on the European Tour. He has been able to move up to 33rd in the official world golf rankings. Prior to the hiatus, Willett made four of five cuts to start his 2020 season, which included an 18th-place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Willett struggles around the greens, ranking 145th overall in strokes gained: around the green so far this season. In addition, he ranks 209th overall in greens in regulation percentage at just 62.96%. As a result, Willett will likely be a low-priced, low-owned DFS option for the majority of tournaments for the remainder of the year.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Abraham Ancer Looks For 10th Straight Made Cut

Abraham Ancer will look to continue his made-cut streak from before the suspension of the season. In his streak of nine straight made cuts leading up to the hiatus, Ancer had three top-10's, including a runner-up finish at The American Express. Ancer has been consistent over the 2020 season. His strokes gained: total is nearly one stroke per round, which is 32nd on the PGA Tour. Ancer has yet to find a PGA Tour victory, but as long as he can continue to make cuts at such a great rate, he is bound to break through soon. Ancer is extremely well-priced throughout the DFS industry and makes for an interesting low-ownership option in tournament and cash formats.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Cameron Smith Looks To Improve After Restart

Cameron Smith enters the high-powered field at Colonial Golf Course this week. Smith was able to find his second PGA Tour victory back in January at the Sony Open. Following the victory and leading up to the suspension of the season, Smith was only able to make two of four cuts. Since turning pro in 2013, he has been able to move to 37th in the official world golf rankings, and there is no doubt that he has a promising career ahead of him. However, this week against such a tough field, Smith should be reserved as a very high-risk option in large-field DFS tournaments. Look for Smith to have a similar outlook for the majority of events for the remainder of the season.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Adam Hadwin Will Tee It Up At Colonial

Adam Hadwin will be in the field for the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Golf Course. The Canadian had a really strong start to the 2020 season with a second- and fourth-place finish. However, in his last six outings before the hiatus, Hadwin struggled a bit. His highest finish was 26th-place and he missed one cut. Over his 20 rounds in the 2020 season, he ranks 13th in strokes gained: total. With such a difficult field this week at Colonial, Hadwin is nothing more than an accessory piece for DFS tournament lineups.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Patrick Reed Looks To Restart His Hot Season

Patrick Reed will look to restart his streak of excellent golf this week at Colonial Golf Course. Prior to the hiatus, Reed had five top-10 finishes over his nine starts during the 2020 season. One of those top-10 finishes was a win at the WGC Mexico Championship in February. Reed has rarely ranked among the top of the strokes-gained stats throughout his career, but his putting has been consistently improving. In 2018, he finished the season 72nd in strokes gained: putting. In 2019, he finished 44th. This season, he is currently third, gaining over one stroke per round in putting. If he can remain in the top 10 throughout the rest of the season, look for Reed to pick up some more wins.

Categories
Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Rafael Cabrera Bello Will Tee It Up At Colonial Golf Course

Rafael Cabrera Bello will tee it up at the Charles Schwab Challenge this week. After a relatively successful February, Rafa missed the cut at the Arnold Palmer Invitational with rounds of 74 and 82 in what was the last full event before the PGA Tour suspended the season. In the small sample size of his 2020 season, Rafa ranks below-average in nearly all strokes-gained stats. He ranks 138th in strokes gained: total. Cabrera Bello has shown the ability to make cuts on the PGA Tour, but he will likely remain a risky, low-priced DFS option for the remainder of the season.

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NASCAR Prop Picks for Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 - Monkey Knife Fight

This weekend features an exciting Cup Series race at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Georgia. Qualifying has already been completed at it looks like Chase Elliott, Aric Almirola, Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, and Clint Bowyer will make up the top-5 to start the race. MKF has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. If you haven't checked out these games yet, you can start this weekend! There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the betting line, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.

 

Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick OVER 19.5 Fantasy Points and Chase Elliott UNDER 19.5 Fantasy Points

We are back to a larger sized track this week and on most DFS sites, that means that the laps led bonus will be slightly less essential than it was last week on the Bristol Motor Speedway short-track. However, the MKF format makes it so that regardless of track length, factoring in laps led is essential.

Kevin Harvick has been excellent at Atlanta Motor Speedway over the past seven years. In those seven races, he has only one finish out of the top-10, has one win, and one runner-up. Starting in ninth-place has nearly no negative impact on him and Harvick can be expected to get up close to the lead extremely early in this race. According to the RotoBaller Premium Research Station, Harvick has the highest projection for laps led and finish position. As long as Harvick can stay in the race and finish within the top-10, he has a great chance of breaking through 19.5 fantasy points.

As for Chase Elliott, he has not been all that great at Atlanta Motor Speedway. In order for Harvick to surpass 19.5 fantasy points, he would need a top-5 finish and at least 50 laps led. Due to the fact that he is starting in pole position, it can be expected that he'll lead right around 50 laps or so. However, his 19th-place finish last year and a 10th-place finish in 2018 do not make it easy to believe he'll get that top-5 finish this year. As long he remains under 100 laps led, expect Elliott to hit the UNDER more often than not.

 

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Pick 2: Rapid Fire Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick (-0.5) and Brad Keselowski (+1.5)

This is my favorite prop pick that MKF is offering this week. A Rapid Fire, two for two, that pays out at 3x your buy-in. Sign me up!

The first part of the prop pick is explained above. Harvick seems to be set-up a lot better than Elliott to lead more laps and finish the race in a higher position.

As for the second part, this is where it becomes interesting. Simply put, Kyle Busch is an elite driver and can win a race any given week. Busch won at Atlanta in 2013 and since then has had three other top-10 finishes. He comes into the race among the leaders in odds to win the race and second in odds for a top-10 finish. However, Keselowski has been scorching hot of late, and betting against him just doesn't seem right.

His two wins over the last three Cup Series races should be enough evidence to convince you that he has just as good a chance of winning this race as anyone but if it doesn't, hopefully, this will. His last three outings at Atlanta Motor Speedway have been a win in 2017, a runner-up in 2018, and a win last year. On top of all that, he is a 1.5 fantasy point underdog.

Play the Rapid Fire Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight 

 

Pick 3: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/3)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick OVER 19.5 Fantasy Points, Chase Elliott UNDER 19.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Busch UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points

I have already talked about all the drivers in this prop bet. This is just more of an introduction to the different types of contests that MKF offers. This contest, rather than having to get every piece of the puzzle correct, only requires you to get two of the three correct for 1.5x your buy-in.

For those more familiar with other DFS sites, this contest is more similar to cash formats (head to heads or double-ups) and the contests above are more like tournament formats. So, moving forward, always feel free to find some lower-risk contest like this one to utilize the drivers talked about!

Next race, I'll introduce you to some more of the high-risk, high-reward options that MKF offers!

 

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

More NASCAR DFS

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups, including this weekly YouTube video:

And be sure to follow @ChefBoiRDeen to make sure you do not miss any updates to the article.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller!
Our DFS NASCAR Premium Package features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Drew Deen is an 11-time DFS tournament winner, and has 13 different $3k+ contest finishes - 10 of them coming from NASCAR, including the 2020 Auto Club 400 on March 1st and the 2020 Food City 500 on May 31st. Sean Engel, who won his sixth career tournament at Bristol, and had the top lineup in seven contests and 10 top-two finishes. Be sure to use their weekly NASCAR DFS rankings and DFS lineup picks, updated regularly.

Chase Holden's DFS picks at Martinsville and Texas were tops in the industry, and Chase was a 2019 FSWA finalist for NASCAR Writer Of The Year! Two-time Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew.

Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team.

Categories
Advertorial (hidden from partners and app) Betting Picks - Sports Bets, Wagers, Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks Editor Note NASCAR Analysis NASCAR DFS DraftKings RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

NASCAR Prop Picks for Food City 500 - Monkey Knife Fight

This weekend features an exciting Cup Series race at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee. Qualifying has already been completed at it looks like Brad Keselowski, Aric Almirola, Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, and Martin Truex Jr. will make up the top-5 to start the race. MKF has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. If you haven't checked out these games yet, you can start this weekend! There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the betting line, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.

 

Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Joey Logano UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points and Kyle Busch OVER 18.5 Fantasy Points

Joey Logano has run really well over his career at Bristol Motor Speedway. He has two career wins and two top-5 finishes over his last three races there. Kyle Busch has 12 top-5 finishes at Bristol throughout his career, which includes eight wins. Three of those wins have come in his last five outings at Bristol.

Regardless of results though, considering some numbers and theories can establish some well-developed ideas to make some money on MKF this week. First and for most, if either of these drivers finishes out of the top-10, the vast majority of the time they will be below that 18.5 fantasy point threshold.

For example, in all of Logano's top-10 finishes at Bristol Motor Speedway he averages 74.5 laps led. That translates to 7.45 fantasy points. If you combine that with a 10th- place finish, that only equals 17.45 fantasy points. However, when you do that same analysis for Busch, he averages 117.7 laps led per top-10 finish. That, combined with a top-10 finish, would put him well above the 18.5 fantasy point threshold. 

Due to his recent results at Bristol and his ability to get out front for large chunks of the race, the OVER on Kyle Busch has to be the play this weekend. Siding with the UNDER on Logano stills allows him to lead for nearly 80 laps as long as he drops out of the top-10 by the end of the race. That is too good to pass up on.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Pick 2: Rapid Fire Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Busch (-0.5) and Kevin Harvick (+0.5)

The first part of the prop bet, Kyle Busch (-0.5), is explained in detail above.

As for Kevin Harvick vs. Martin Truex Jr., Harvick seems to be set up significantly better in this race than Truex, and he comes with a +0.5 fantasy point buffer. Over Truex's last 15 races at Bristol, he has only cracked the top-10 one time with an eighth-place finish in 2017.

Over those 15 races, he has only led a total of 214 laps. As for Harvick, he has seven top-10 finishes over his last 10 outings at Bristol, including a win and runner-up. Harvick will be starting a little farther back than Truex but there is no doubt that he has a better chance to not only finish higher by the end of the race but also to rack up some laps-led points. The +0.5 fantasy point line just sweetens the pot.

Play the Rapid Fire Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight 

 

Pick 3: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/3)

Recommended Prop Pick: Joey Logano UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Busch OVER 18.5 Fantasy Points, Kevin Harvick OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points

I have already talked about all the drivers in this prop bet. This is just more of an introduction to the different types of contests that MKF offers. This contest, rather than having to get every piece of the puzzle correct, only requires you to get two of the three correct for 1.5x your buy-in.

For those more familiar with other DFS sites, this contest is more similar to cash formats (head to heads or double-ups) and the contests above are more like tournament formats. So, moving forward, always feel free to find some lower-risk contest like this one to utilize the drivers talked about!

 

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Abraham Ancer To Make Second Players Appearance

Abraham Ancer will tee it up at The Players for the second time in his career after finishing 12th last year in his debut. Ancer is a player that is certainly trending in the right direction; he has top-15s in three of his last five starts, has made the cut in each of those events and now ranks 19th on the PGA Tour in scoring average. His low price throughout the DFS industry will likely elevate his ownership to 15% in tournaments, but regardless, he makes for an excellent play. His recent play and previous scores at the Players Stadium Course are enough to consider him a serious threat to move up the leaderboard this week. Ancer is also an excellent cash-game option.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Brandt Snedeker Looks To Continue Strong Play At The Players

Brandt Snedeker enters the field this week at The Players with hopes of improving on his impressive fifth-place finish last year at the Players Stadium Course. Though he isn't an elite player, Snedeker has proven, even of late, that he can make a run at some big tournaments. The 39-year-old can go out and compete against any field, specifically at a shorter track like the Players Stadium Course. Snedeker will likely garner some ownership due to his low price and recent results, but he remains an excellent tournament and cash-game option.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Cameron Champ Looks To End Drought

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Adam Hadwin Looks To Make His Mark At The Players

Adam Hadwin enters The Players as an extremely underestimated golfer. The Canadian has proven he can play some terrific golf and move himself up leaderboards, yet he remains one of the lower-priced and owned golfers this week. This will be Hadwin's sixth appearance at The Players. He has three made cuts, which is nothing incredibly impressive, but his ability to get hot any given week makes him an interesting DFS tournament option. Avoid Hadwin in cash formats but feel free to use him as a low-upside sleeper pick for fantasy tournaments.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Patrick Reed Looks To Continue Hot Streak

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Rafael Cabrera Bello Will Tee It Up At The Players

Rafael Cabrera Bello will tee it up at The Players this week in hopes of shaking off his 74-82 missed-cut performance last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Rafa has had some success at The Players; he missed the cut last year but finished 17th in 2018 and fourth in 2019. Rafa's fair price across the DFS industry and his streak of average golf will keep his ownership way down in tournaments this week. Due to his inconsistent and poor recent play, he should be seen as a high-risk tournament option with some upside.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Tyrrell Hatton Looks For Back-To-Back Wins

Tyrrell Hatton, coming off of his win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week, will tee it up this week at the Players Stadium Course. His win last week added on to his sixth-place finish at the World Golf Championship just a few weeks ago. This will be Hatton's fourth appearance at The Players, but he has yet to find much success. Hatton missed the cuts in 2019 and 2018. He finished 41st in 2017. Due to his win last week and relatively low price across the DFS industry, his ownership will likely be at around 20 percent in tournaments, which is on the high side for PGA. Hatton makes for an excellent cash option, but considering his relatively high ownership and poor history at The Players, a tournament fade may be an interesting idea.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Wyndham Clark Looks To Build Off Of Hot February

Wyndham Clark wrapped up February with an 11th-place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week. That finish topped off a nice month that also included 17th- and 18th-place finishes. This will be Clark's first outing at Bay Hill Golf Course, but it shouldn't be too much of a concern, as he showed he is more than capable of posting low numbers at difficult Florida courses, as seen by his fourth-round 66 last week. Clark should remain relatively unowned, and because of that he can be used in DFS tournament formats. Though he isn't an elite option, he does provide enough upside to rack up some fantasy points and move a lineup up a leaderboard.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Max Homa Will Make Arnold Palmer Invitational Debut

Max Homa will tee it up this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational for the first time in his career. The California native is coming off of a hot West coast swing which included ninth-, sixth-, 14th- and fifth-place finishes in four consecutive starts. For the most part, Homa's play has remained under-the-radar and as a result, he will likely remain barely owned this week in DFS tournaments. Without any previous outings at Bay Hill, it is hard to predict just how well Homa will do this week, but his recent play and low ownership are enough to warrant a lineup spot in tournament formats.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Doc Redman Will Look To Rebound At Bay Hill

Doc Redman will look to rebound after missing the cut last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Prior to the missed cut at the API, Redman had made five straight cuts dating back to The American Express. Redman is a fun player to watch, as he is capable of stacking birdies, but the bogey train can hit him hard as well. Due to that, his ability to climb PGA Tour leaderboards just hasn't consistently been there. Across DFS sites, Redman remains one of the lowest-priced players in the field. Because of his birdie-making abilities, he can make for an interesting salary saver as a punt option.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Matt Wallace Looks To Improve After Missed Cut

Matt Wallace will look for an improved performance this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational after missing the cut last week at the Honda Classic. Last year was Wallace's first appearance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and he was able to post scores of 71-69-69-71 for a sixth-place finish. Though his recent play hasn't been great, Wallace does offer some upside due to his consistent play last year. Wallace is one of the better cheap options throughout the DFS industry and will likely draw low ownership. He makes for a great DFS tournament value play.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Abraham Ancer Looks To Improve At Bay Hill

After missing the cut in 2019 at Bay Hill Golf Course, Abraham Ancer will look to make some improvements this week. In his four 2020 starts, Ancer has made the cut each time and has a second-place finish at The American Express. In addition, Ancer finished T12 two weeks ago at the Mexico Championship. At his reasonable price tag throughout the DFS industry, Ancer makes for a nice value option in any lineup. His ability to get into the top 20 has been elite over the past couple of years. That sort of upside is essential when it comes to DFS tournament lineups.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Patrick Reed Looks To Win In Two Straight Starts

Patrick Reed enters the field this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitation in hopes of going back-to-back after winning two weeks ago at the WGC Mexico Championship. This will be Reed's third year in a row playing at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Reed has a seventh-place finish in 2018 and a 50th-place finish in 2019. Reed, as always, is one of the more expensive players on all DFS sites, but he does offer a nice discount from players like Rory McIlroy and Tommy Fleetwood. With the upside that Reed has on any given week and his solid play over the last two years at Bay Hill Golf Course, Reed makes for an excellent cash and tournament option.

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Golf Analysis News - Fantasy Golf and PGA

Rafael Cabrera Bello Will Tee It Up At Bay Hill Golf Course

Rafael Cabrera Bello will tee it up at Bay Hill Golf Course for the Arnold Palmer Invitational in hopes of improving on his third-place finish last year. Rafa finished the 2019 API with rounds of 65-75-70-69 to finish just three shots off the lead. Though the 75 isn't ideal, his opening-round 65 is an excellent sight for any DFS player. Cabrera Bello finished 16th and 17th in the two tournaments he played in February. It is clear that his game is well put together right now. Though he isn't a building block for lineups this week, Rafa makes for an excellent tournament option.