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ADP Arbitrage - Best-Ball Draft Values


As we continue our progression toward the highly-anticipated regular season, the team at RotoBaller continues to generate news, data-fueled analysis, and updated rankings that provide your pathway to effective draft preparations and roster modifications. That includes our commitment toward supplying you with the resources that you need in order to construct teams that will contain a favorable percentage of productive components in the Best-Ball format.

You are already aware that the decisions you make during each round of your Best-Ball drafts are critical. You are presented with the advantage of avoiding all forms of in-season roster management. However, that also leaves you without a waiver wire if your players are sidelined, or are unable to deliver the level of production that you envisioned. This article will improve your chances of maximizing each selection by locating players that should surpass the expectations of their current ADPs.

These performers currently remain available beyond Round 7 in most drafts. But their eventual output could provide the opportunity to bypass other players of the same position who are being selected earlier during your draft process. Any doubts regarding the importance of capitalizing on each opportunity throughout the entire selection process should be eviscerated by a reminder that Lamar Jackson (ADP116), Austin Ekeler (ADP75). DeVante Parker (ADP194), D.J. Chark (ADP234), and Darren Waller (ADP158) were all available after Round 7 in FFPC drafts last August.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, rankings, projections, 15 lineup tools and daily Premium DFS research/tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station and so much more! Sign Up Now!

 

Quarterbacks

Daniel Jones (QB14/ADP114) or Deshaun Watson (QB5/ADP68)

Some owners are unable to resist the temptation of seizing Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes early in their drafts, while others prefer to target one of the four quarterbacks with ADPs in Round 5-6. (Dak Prescott/Kyler Murray/Russell Wilson/Watson). But if you are willing to exercise patience until Round 9, Jones provides a low-end QB1 alternative that allows you to address the critical running back and wide receiver positions until that point in your draft process.

Jones exploded onto the landscape during the first start of his rookie season, by generating 336 yards through the air, 28 more on the ground, and also producing four touchdowns.

That solidified his status as the Giants’ starter for 11 of the team's final 13 matchups, although an ankle issue cemented Jones to the sidelines in Weeks 14-15. He still assembled 3,027 yards, (232.8 per game), and finished eighth in play-action completion percentage during his (69.4%). Jones also ranked third in aggressiveness according to NextGenStats (22.4), and finished sixth among quarterbacks with 21.5 rushing yards per game. It was also encouraging that he tied for fifth in passing touchdowns after ascending into the lineup.

Weeks 3-17 Passing TD INT ATT YDS
Jameis Winston 31 27 565 4707
Lamar Jackson 29 6 344 2531
Russell Wilson 26 5 461 3615
Drew Brees 25 2 330 2571
Daniel Jones 24 12 455 3010
Kirk Cousins 24 4 402 3275
Dak Prescott 23 10 534 4228
Aaron Rodgers 23 4 505 3590
Jimmy Garoppolo 23 11 424 3516
Carson Wentz 23 5 525 3495
Deshaun Watson 23 11 436 3425
Ryan Tannehill 22 6 286 2742
Matt Ryan 21 9 527 3842
Jared Goff 20 15 559 4169
Philip Rivers 20 18 521 3989
Baker Mayfield 20 17 461 3217
Derek Carr 19 6 449 3597
Tom Brady 19 8 549 3452
Ryan Fitzpatrick 19 9 452 3255
Patrick Mahomes 19 5 407 3210
Kyler Murray 18 11 448 3065

Jones also finished seventh among signal-callers in rushing yards after he elevated into the starting lineup.

Weeks 3-17 Rushing ATT YDS TD
Lamar Jackson 157 1080 7
Kyler Murray 87 527 4
Josh Allen 92 451 7
Deshaun Watson 74 368 5
Russell Wilson 65 312 3
Gardner Minshew 60 282 0
Daniel Jones 44 274 2
Carson Wentz 55 235 0
Ryan Fitzpatrick 52 229 4
Jameis Winston 50 228 1
Patrick Mahomes 41 217 2
Dak Prescott 43 196 3
Jacoby Brissett 46 194 4
Ryan Tannehill 41 187 4
Aaron Rodgers 42 175 1
Mitchell Trubisky 44 174 2
Jeff Driskel 22 151 1
Baker Mayfield 28 141 3
Matt Ryan 30 120 1

His ball security represents an area that needs improvement, as he tossed 12 interceptions, and accumulated 18 fumbles. But Jones will benefit from the presence of elite playmaker Saquon Barkley, who finished seventh among backs with 5.6 targets per game. Jones’ three-pronged arsenal at wide receiver can deliver respectable production in any given matchup (Darius Slayton/Golden Tate/Sterling Shepard), while Evan Engram is a highly skilled weapon whenever he eludes his injury-laden history (14 missed games). This should instill confidence that Jones will sustain low-end QB1 production, while only requiring the investment of his Round 9 ADP.

Watson can still function as an asset for your roster. But he will enter Week 1 with challenges at wide receiver that are not shared by other quarterbacks being selected in Rounds 5-6. Murray will benefit from the arrival of Watson’s former teammate DeAndre Hopkins, while Prescott received an enormous injection of talent (CeeDee Lamb) that only adds to his potent collection of options. The 31-year old Wilson continues to thrive despite the constraints of Seattle’s offensive approach and will also operate with Tyler Lockett and a rapidly improving D.K. Metcalf.

Unfortunately for Watson, he will be performing with an enormous obstacle that was constructed by his own head coach. Bill O’Brien extracted his most critical weapon, which will force Watson to operate without an option that offers the proficiency and consistency that he received from Hopkins. Houston's refurbished unit will deliver the potential for speed. But there is risk in presuming that his remaining options can remain on the field with enough consistency to deploy it.

Will Fuller’s big-play potential has consistently been circumvented by his inability to evade lingering health issues, which has propelled his running total of missed games to 22 during his first four seasons. Brandin Cooks accumulated 348 targets, 223 receptions, and 3,459 yards from 2016-2018. However, his forgettable 2019 season included his lowest target (72), reception (42), and yardage totals (583) since 2014. He has also absorbed five concussions during his career.  Randall Cobb has only surpassed 1,000 yards once in nine seasons (2014), while there is no justification in expecting Kenny Stills to elevate beyond his usual inconsistency. Watson will also perform behind an offensive line that finished just 27th in Football Outsiders’ pass protection rankings and provides reasons for concern beyond left tackle Laremy Tunsil.

 

Running Backs

Zack Moss (RB46/ADP120) or Devin Singletary (RB25/ADP48)  

This is not a dismissal of Singletary’s elusiveness or his accomplishments as a rookie. He overcame an early-season hamstring issue to finish sixth among all backs in rushing yards from Weeks 9-15 (79.6 per game/4.8 per carry). Singletary also performed on 72.4% of the offensive snaps, while the eternally youthful Frank Gore registered an average of 27.5% during Singletary’s most proficient span.

When it became apparent that the Bills were not including Gore on their 2020 roster, this fueled speculation that the 5’7”, 200-pound Singletary might function as Buffalo’s lead back during his second season. This would have vaulted him into top-15 RB consideration if it had occurred.

However, his value plunged when Buffalo secured Moss with the 86th overall pick in April’s draft. The injection of Moss into the equation has ensured the continuation of a two-man touch distribution within Buffalo’s backfield. It also creates the likelihood that he will exceed the usage that was attained by the 37-year old Gore in 2019 (179 touches/166 attempts/35% snap count).

It also creates a considerable incentive for bypassing Singletary at his lofty ADP. The second-year back is still being selected in Round 4, when wide receivers Robert WoodsCooper Kupp, and Metcalf are attainable for your rosters. Moss remains available seven rounds later, even though he appears destined to procure a significant workload.

The 5’10”, 200-pound Moss assembled 3,685 yards on 628 attempts during his final three seasons with Utah (5.87 per attempt). He also produced 36 rushing touchdowns during that span, while accruing 1,400+ yards from scrimmage during both seasons in which he performed during 13 matchups (1,416/1,804). He became the first player in school history to surpass 1,000 rushing yards in three different seasons, while Moss was also named Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year during 2019. He also fumbled just one time in 2019, while losing a total of four during his tenure as a starter.

He is not a burner. But he did improve his 40 time in March (4.52), after managing just 4.65 during the NFL Combine. He is a physical runner who moves with sufficient power to commandeer opportunities in the red zone. This should relegate Singletary to third among Bills in red zone attempts for a second consecutive year. Singletary's 18 carries near the goal line trailed both Gore (25) and Josh Allen (21) in 2019, and Singletary could encounter difficulty reaching his 2019 total. Buffalo GM Brandon Beane has equipped Allen with the most talented cluster of receivers since his arrival in 2018 (Stefon Diggs/John Brown/Cole Beasley). But the Bills should still rely heavily on their ground game when positive game scripts develop. This should occur with frequency as Buffalo’s formidable defensive unit should keep all matchups close.

There are too many factors in this restructured backfield that will place restraints on Singletary's involvement. That should compel owners to avoid him at his ADP (48). But Moss presents appealing value at his Round 11 ADP.  

Jordan Howard (RB40/ADP100) or Le’Veon Bell (RB22/ADP38)

As your drafts advance into Round 9, you can locate Howard among your available options. He was the 10th back to be selected during the 2016 NFL Draft, then was promptly entrusted with 252 attempts as a rookie. He capitalized on that massive workload by finishing second only to Ezekiel Elliott in rushing yards during his first season (1,313). He also eclipsed 100 yards in seven different contests which propelled him to ninth in standard scoring. His rushing production has consistently declined since that initial season, which culminated with last year’s career-worst output (525). However, his overall yardage and touchdown totals remain favorable after four seasons.

He is now primed to experience a statistical resurgence during his first year with Miami. Howard should be presented with the opportunity to secure early-down responsibilities while sharing touches with former 49er Matt Breida. Howard will also supply the Dolphins’ ground game with a steady resource while raising the effectiveness of an anemic rushing attack that ranked 32nd in yardage (72.3 per game), and tied for 31st in yards per attempt (3.3) during 2019.

While Howard is projected to operate in a timeshare with Breida, Bell is the theoretical lead back in New York. But what should be a cavernous path toward an extensive workload could suddenly shift to production-inhibiting restraints at any point during the season. The former Steeler is vulnerable toward having his value negatively impacted due to questionable usage by Adam Gase. During his three healthy seasons from 2014-2017, Bell finished among the top three in PPR scoring, while assembling 3,920 yards and 27 touchdowns on the ground. He also collected 243 receptions and 2,125 yards as a receiving weapon. But those exceptional seasons should be extracted from your current draft planning due to the enormous disparity between his previous situation with Pittsburgh, and his precarious tenure under the direction of an increasingly maligned Gase.

Bell was entrusted with a sizable workload during 2019, as his 245 attempts placed him 11th overall. But he was relegated to just 24th in rushing yardage (789), as a byproduct of his concerning average of 3.2 yards per attempt. Bell was functioning behind an offensive line that ranked 31st in Football Outsiders’ run blocking ratings, which also contributed to the Jets’ ranking of 31st in both rushing offense (78.6 yards per game) and rushing touchdowns (6). The highly deficient unit was bolstered by offseason addition of Mekhi Becton, Greg Van Roten, George Fant, and Connor McGovern onto the roster.

However, New York also added Gore and drafted former Florida Gator Lamical Perine. The revamped depth chart will reunite Gore with Gase while increasing the likelihood that Gase will subject his most talented back to ill-conceived restrictions with his workload. This would keep him from procuring the mammoth touch total that some are anticipating.  It would also result in Howard receiving a workload that matches Bell's. You can avoid potential disappointment by eschewing Bell at his current ADP, and targeting Howard in Round 9.

 

Wide Receivers

Mecole Hardman (WR42/ADP123) or Courtland Sutton (WR18/ADP51)

41 receivers are being selected before Hardman. This presents owners with a tantalizing option in Round 11, as he delivers the potential for a statistical explosion during any matchup. That should also ignite interest in the advantages of including him on Best-Best rosters, where Hardman’s inconsistent production will be less impactful. His big-play capabilities were unfurled slowly during his rookie season (41 targets/26 receptions/538 yards), as Hardman’s operated within a talent-rich Kansas City offense.

He did generate six touchdowns and collected nine receptions of 20+ yards. But his blazing speed should be unleashed with greater propensity as his growth curve progresses. Hardman did lead all receivers in yards after catch per reception, while also pacing his position in both yards per target (13.1) and yards per reception (20.7) among receivers that accrued 40+ targets. Even though Clyde Edwards-Helaire has joined Kansas City’s potent assemblage of weapons, Hardman’s increased target share should be built at the expense of returning veterans Sammy Watkins and Demarcus Robinson, while his home run ability will pay dividends during the season.

While Hardman supplies enticing value at his current ADP. Sutton is being selected 72 slots earlier. He was cemented as Denver’s primary receiving weapon last season, while his WR1 status propelled him to the NFL lead in percentage share of the team’s air yards (42.93).

Sutton’s usage and production also surged impressively during his second season, as he finished 15th in targets (125/7.8 per game), 19th in PPR scoring, 17th in yardage (1,112), seventh in red-zone targets, and 16th in air yards (1,436). Sutton was also 17th overall in completed air yards (749), and 11th in yards per route (2.48).

These numbers were also attained while he operated with Joe Flacco, and Brandon Allen under center for 11 matchups. Sutton was 16th in targets after 12 contests (85/7.7 per game), and was 13th overall in yardage (832/75.6 per game) during that span.

Weeks 1-12 Targets Yards/Targ Recepts Yards
Michael Thomas 124 10 104 1242
Chris Godwin 98 10.9 70 1071
Mike Evans 105 9.9 62 1043
Julio Jones 101 9.4 64 950
D.J. Moore 103 8.8 68 905
Amari Cooper 81 10.9 56 886
Cooper Kupp 104 8.5 67 880
Stefon Diggs 65 13.5 46 880
John Brown 89 9.6 58 856
Jarvis Landry 97 8.7 59 843
DeAndre Hopkins 112 7.5 81 839
D.J. Chark 91 9.2 56 834
Courtland Sutton 85 9.8 50 832
Tyler Lockett 78 10.7 63 831
Julian Edelman 112 7.2 76 809
Keenan Allen 107 7.4 70 796
Kenny Golladay 80 9.9 43 792
Odell Beckham 97 8 54 776
Allen Robinson 96 8 63 764

Denver transitioned to Drew Lock in Week 13, and Sutton’s usage remained sizable (8 targets per game). But even though his level of opportunity remained favorable, his yards per game and yards per target averages declined noticeably during his five games with Lock.

Weeks 1-12 Without Lock

Targets Targs/Game Yards Yards/Targ Yards/Game Recepts Recepts/Game
85 7.7 832 9.8 75.6 50 4.5

Weeks 13-17 With Lock

Targets Targs/Game Yards Yards/Targ Yards/Game Recepts Recepts/Game
40 8 280 7 56 22 4.4

Denver only ranked 28th in passing during 2019 (194.7 yards per game), as DaeSean Hamilton finished second behind Sutton with substandard numbers (52 targets/28 receptions/297 yards). John Elway addressed this deficiency by securing Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler during the draft. But the newcomers will combine with Noah Fant to supply legitimate competition for Sutton.

This could ensure a reduction in targets and output for Sutton, who is also dependent on Lock to effectively spearhead the refurbished attack. The potential for this statistical dropoff is a factor to consider before you deploy an early fifth-fourth round selection on Sutton.

Christian Kirk (WR38/ADP112) or Keenan Allen (WR21/ADP58)

Kirk was included in my free agency losers at his position, following the unexpected arrival of Hopkins. However, that conclusion was focused on Kirk’s diminished prospects of functioning as Arizona’s WR1 due to the presence of the former Texan. Kirk is still positioned to accumulate favorable usage and production within the Cardinals’ reenergized attack.

Kirk was sidelined for three matchups last season (ankle), but still finishing second on the team in targets (108), receptions (68) and receiving yardage (709). His team-high 8.3 targets per game average included eight games in which he captured 8+, while his per-game averages in receptions (5.2) and yardage (54.5) would have expanded his season totals to 83 receptions and 872 yards over 16 games.

His path to a significant rise in output is encumbered by the addition of Hopkins. But he still presents greater potential as a frequent contributor to weekly scoring totals than an assortment of receivers that are being selected before him. While Kirk is functioning in an ascending attack that will capitalize on his capabilities, Allen will be performing within a transformed offense that will reduce his opportunity to replicate the numbers that he has delivered since 2017 (444 targets/303 receptions/ 3,788 yards).

Allen has been a highly productive roster component while finishing as a top-6 scorer in two of the last three seasons. But he now enters his first season without Philip Rivers, while transitioning to signal callers that will not distribute the ball with the same volume that that enabled Allen to flourish with his former quarterback.

The Chargers also appear primed to increase their reliance on the ground game, which creates another obstacle that should prohibit Allen from approaching the numbers that owners have been accustomed to. LA ranked sixth in pass play percentage during 2019 (63%), and the Chargers finished among the top 14 in that category in five of the past six seasons.

However, Shane Steichen orchestrated the offense for eight games after Ken Whisenhunt was jettisoned as coordinator in late October. The Chargers had averaged 20 attempts per game with Whisenhunt directing the offense. But that average rose to 26 per game after Steichen ascended into playcalling responsibilities. He now becomes the architect for LA's attack and should diminish the team's dependence on passing, while placing restraints on Allen's opportunities.

Allen's acumen as a route runner will not be impacted by the impending changes with LA’s personnel and the team's strategic approach. But his numbers definitely will. The alterations in Allen’s environment have supplied the incentive to bypass him at his current ADP. But Kirk should contribute to his owners’ scoring totals with enough frequency to supply an appealing Best-Ball target in Round 10.

 

Tight Ends

Rob Gronkowski (TE11/ADP82) or Zach Ertz (TE4/ADP36)

We are steadily emerging from what had been the annual nightmare of contending with the tight end position. Owners are still presented with several elite options (Travis Kelce/George Kittle), while Mark Andrews has ascended beyond Zach Ertz as the next logical candidate that should be targeted. But the decision-making process beyond those early-round options has become less problematic due to an influx of possibilities in Rounds 7-12 that can become productive resources on your rosters.

This collection of choices includes Mike GesickiNoah Fant, Dallas GoedertT.J. Hockenson, Austin Hooper, Jared Cook, and Hayden Hurst. But this breakdown will focus on a high profile veteran who has resurfaced in a new environment.

The 31-year old Gronkowski returns after a one-year hiatus and should extend his legacy by accruing a respectable level of fantasy scoring with the Buccaneers. His prolific career is already brimming with historic accomplishments that were achieved during his nine seasons with Tom Brady.

Even though he was absent from football in 2019, the 5-time Pro Bowler will reconvene with his former quarterback within a Bruce Arians offense. This will enable Gronkowski to operate as a TE1 for owners while expanding his career total of 79 touchdowns. There is every reason to invest in his remaining talent and his track record with Brady - particularly at his Round 7 ADP (82). Exercising this degree of patience when selecting your tight end provides the opportunity to address other positions. But it will also involve sidestepping the options that will be available during the earlier rounds.

Since only four tight ends are being selected prior to Round 5, we will examine the advantage of bypassing the 30-year old Ertz. As with several players that were mentioned previously, this is not an indictment on Ertz’ existing talent or his prospects of performing as a consistent point producer. Ertz has averaged 124 targets, 86 receptions, and 914 yards since 2015 while finishing among the top four in PPR scoring during each of the last three seasons. He has also eclipsed 9 targets per game in each of his last two seasons, averaged at least 7.5 per game since 2015, and produced 22 touchdowns since 2017.

While he could finish among the top four in scoring during 2020, the steady ascension of Goedert during 2019 (87 targets/58 receptions/607 yards/5 touchdowns) looms as a conceivable threat to reduce Ertz’ opportunities. The addition of dynamic rookie Jalen Reagor can also impact his usage, as can the prospective return of 33-year DeSean Jackson. This provides your motivation to target Gronkowski, whose track record of high-quality production vaults him atop the burgeoning list of options that will be attainable after Round 7. It should be mentioned that he remains available until Round 9 in NFBC drafts (ADP104).

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The fantasy trade market is always a fun one to evaluate. Articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" pieces but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to trade for those that are cold and trade away those hot. Now, six weeks into the season, we have several big-name players underperforming... Read More


Re-Evaluating the Rookie Running Back Class of 2020

We're six weeks into the 2020 NFL season and are starting to get some good ideas of what usage patterns are looking like. Which means we probably have enough data now to start to re-evaluate where certain players stand in relation to other players. For example, we've got a better idea of how this year's... Read More


WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid - Week 7

The CB Matchup Chart has been a helpful resource all season, specifically in Week 6. Last week's article was predictive in forecasting boom games for Julio Jones, Justin Jefferson, and Christian Kirk. It also predicted let-downs from Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp, and Mike Evans. This week's chart will give the most accurate landscape of CB matchups yet,... Read More


Pivot Plays and Post-Waiver Pickups - Week 7

Things are starting to get difficult for fantasy football managers. Indianapolis, Minnesota, Miami and Baltimore all have the week off, so fantasy managers are already playing shorthanded. Fielding a full lineup is going to be tough as it is if you have a few injuries. If one of your key guys is listed as questionable... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Shallow and Deep-League Pickups

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. Each week we will be providing streamer advice for all of those who need it, which is pretty much anyone and everyone. Streaming players with the best matchups each week as well as during your stud's bye weeks is an integral part of winning a fantasy championship... Read More


Lies, Damned Lies, and Fantasy Football Statistics (Week 7)

The more data we get as the season goes on, the better equipped we are to interpret matchups and make informed decisions. Then Week 6 comes along and blows it all to hell. The unpredictability of sports is what keeps us intrigued, as frustrating as it may be at times. Numbers are supposedly to be... Read More


Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts for Week 7

It's Week 7 and we are officially halfway through the fantasy regular season. With fingers crossed that the season continues to operate with minimal disruption, we can allow football to the forefront of our minds as it appears all games will be played as scheduled this week. Assuming that's the case, fantasy GMs rostering Ravens,... Read More


Booms and Busts - Starts and Sits for Week 7 Lineups

Week 6 in the NFL brought what may be one of the cleanest weeks of action to begin the season. With no catastrophic injuries affecting teams for the remainder of the year, the play on the field seemed to settle in as the more well-known players performed up to par. With big weeks from Derrick... Read More


Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: DeSean Jackson Helped Off The Field Thursday Night K.J. Hamler Could Make His Return In Week 7 Devonta Freeman Questionable To Return Monday Night Michael Thomas Officially... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 6 Analysis

Your wide receivers remain essential components toward your primary goal of securing league championships. As this unique regular season continues to unfold, an expanding assortment of tools is available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge regarding this critical position. Those results are contained in this weekly statistical breakdown of multiple categories,... Read More


Week 7 IDP Rankings, Streamers, and Notes

The big IDP news of the week happened just this Thursday morning, as our rankings were being finalized. It was pretty big news, too. Yannick Ngakoue was traded to the Baltimore Ravens! Let’s discuss just how big this news is, and whether it’s good or bad for his short and long term fantasy prospects, shall... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings  ... Read More


Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Week 7

The fantasy trade market is always a fun one to evaluate. Articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" pieces but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to trade for those that are cold and trade away those hot. Now, six weeks into the season, we have several big-name players underperforming... Read More


Re-Evaluating the Rookie Running Back Class of 2020

We're six weeks into the 2020 NFL season and are starting to get some good ideas of what usage patterns are looking like. Which means we probably have enough data now to start to re-evaluate where certain players stand in relation to other players. For example, we've got a better idea of how this year's... Read More


WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid - Week 7

The CB Matchup Chart has been a helpful resource all season, specifically in Week 6. Last week's article was predictive in forecasting boom games for Julio Jones, Justin Jefferson, and Christian Kirk. It also predicted let-downs from Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp, and Mike Evans. This week's chart will give the most accurate landscape of CB matchups yet,... Read More


Pivot Plays and Post-Waiver Pickups - Week 7

Things are starting to get difficult for fantasy football managers. Indianapolis, Minnesota, Miami and Baltimore all have the week off, so fantasy managers are already playing shorthanded. Fielding a full lineup is going to be tough as it is if you have a few injuries. If one of your key guys is listed as questionable... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Shallow and Deep-League Pickups

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. Each week we will be providing streamer advice for all of those who need it, which is pretty much anyone and everyone. Streaming players with the best matchups each week as well as during your stud's bye weeks is an integral part of winning a fantasy championship... Read More


Lies, Damned Lies, and Fantasy Football Statistics (Week 7)

The more data we get as the season goes on, the better equipped we are to interpret matchups and make informed decisions. Then Week 6 comes along and blows it all to hell. The unpredictability of sports is what keeps us intrigued, as frustrating as it may be at times. Numbers are supposedly to be... Read More


The King's Week 7 Fantasy Football Lineup Rankings (Premium Content)

Welcome back, RotoBallers!  Below you will find my Week 7 fantasy football lineup rankings. The ranks are available in PPR, Half PPR and Standard formats. They will be updated as needed, so make sure to check back for the latest versions. Skill Position analysis is primarily based on the PPR ranks. The rankings are powered by... Read More


Slow Starters Ready to Break Out in Fantasy?

We are now more than a third of the way into the fantasy football season and a seemingly clearer picture is available across the landscape. After a pandemic-shortened offseason and lack of preseason exposure, there were plenty of worries headed into the first month specifically. Thus far, one of the most prevalent topics with regards... Read More


Fantasy Football Warning Signals for Week 7

The warning signals get brighter by the week since we have more data to work from. The larger the sample size the easier it is for us to connect the dots from the latest trends. Football is a game of small samples and many variables, making it one of the hardest sports to predict. How... Read More


How to Value Clyde Edwards-Helaire with Le'Veon Bell in KC

Clyde Edwards-Helaire or Jonathan Taylor? Coming into the season this was the biggest question for fantasy GMs, both dynasty managers who were thinking long-term and redraft managers who wanted to know who would be better for this season. There were many different theories and believe me when I say, both sides thought they were 100%... Read More


NextGen Stats - Quarterback Breakdowns and Takeaways

It's been a month since the last time we took a look at our beloved quarterbacks. Numbers are numbers, and numbers don't lie. You can twist them, but looking at them objectively, numbers say that no matter what, rushing the ball is almost always a worse option than passing it in today's game. That's why... Read More


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More


Coaching Matters: Offenses That Will Improve From Week 6

This series continues into its sixth week of where I dive into offensive areas that will improve or decline based on coaching in order to glean insight as to fantasy football value. In Week 6, we saw performances such as Ryan Tannehill throwing for 364 passing yards, the Houston Texans running backs combining for 66 rushing yards, and the New... Read More


Tape Tells All: D'Andre Swift's Week 6 Performance

Welcome to another edition of Tape Tells All. I've been thinking of rebranding as just TAPE. All-Caps like that. Probably wouldn't be a good idea for SEO purposes, right? Anyways, this week we'll be discussing Detroit Lions rookie running back D'Andre Swift. Swift set a lot of career highs this week, with bests in carries... Read More


Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

Week 6 was like the 2020 of fantasy football weeks. All those great matchups meant nothing, those studs let you down, and your bench likely went crazy. The good news is that we didn't have any season-ending injuries to running backs or games canceled due to COVID, so in retrospect maybe we shouldn't complain. The... Read More


FAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Whether it's injuries, bye-week blues, or simply poor performance, we've got the waiver-wire cure...but it just might cost you! Alongside our famous waiver wire pickups list and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Budget (FAB). In... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 7 Lightning Round

Week 6 was relatively healthy and had no coronavirus delays, so let's just take a moment to bask in that. That said, we still saw Miles Sanders (knee) and Zach Ertz (ankle) go down, while Mark Ingram (ankle) has a bye to get healthy. Week 7 byes are Baltimore, Indianapolis, Miami, and Minnesota. Let's get... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Fantasy GMs are to be commended for rising to the unique challenges that have unfolded during this regular season. Injuries to critical players is an unwelcome reality that occurs every year. This is also the case for backs that were expected to operate as RB1s, but have been relegated to committees. However, this season has... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Six weeks of NFL football are behind us, aside from a pair of Monday games, including a late afternoon game between the Bills and the Chiefs. In terms of wide receiver production this week, we didn't have the huge breakouts like we had in Week 5. Chase Claypool didn't score four touchdowns. In fact, only... Read More


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