RADIO
Week 11 is upon us, and we're graced with 11 games on the DraftKings Main slate, beginning at noon on Saturday. It's definitely a weaker plate of games this week, but that's not too surprising as last week was one of the best we've had in a month. Home favorites dominate the slate, as nine of the 11 home teams are favored - only Washington State and Ohio State are road favorites. The average spread on this week's slate is just over 12 points as well, with the average projected game total at 57.8.
As I alluded to above there is some serious ugliness in this slate. Of the four games with Vegas projected totals north of 60, three of those games feature spreads 13 points or higher. Certainly those games are not to be completely ignored on this slate, but it does leave a lot of guess-work as to who should be stacked, and which side of the ball to go heavier on. My lean, as always, is to target the ground game of the heavy favorites and the air attack of the big underdogs. My favorite game stack of the week is the contest between Washington State at Colorado, which features an over of 60 and just a 6.5 point spread, the visiting Cougars as the favorite.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy college football lineup picks for DraftKings on 11/10/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @kpLuch.
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DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks
Gardner Minshew II - QB, at Colorado ($8,700)
It's almost comical how often Minshew and the Cougars throw the ball, and he has the type of matchup that could have us laughing all the way to the DraftKings bank. He's attempted 50 or more passes in three consecutive weeks, and he does so with efficiency, accuracy and while throwing the long ball. In fact, in those past three weeks at huge volume, his worst completion percentage was 68%. I love his price this week, the high total, and the fact that Vegas is projecting this game to stay competitive throughout. I also love the price drop from last week, which really only happened because his team struggled to find the end zone. It should be a much different story come Saturday afternoon. Colorado is a solid opponent, but they've also been very vulnerable through the air, having allowed 237 pass yards per game through nine contests. I like him in both cash games and tournaments this weekend.
Taylor Cornelius - QB, at Oklahoma ($7,700)
For those of you focusing on GPP tournaments this weekend, Cornelius should be on your radar. They've got a tough matchup ahead of them, but there is likely to be a huge opportunity for the signal caller. Oklahoma isn't very strong defensively (they've bludgeoned a few teams almost entirely thanks to the high powered offense), and they've been susceptible to big plays - namely through the air. Through nine games they've allowed an averaged of 247 yards through the air, compared to just 144 on the ground. Those numbers are a little skewed due to the offense scoring so often and the defense getting back onto the field, but that's exactly the angle I'm playing to with Cornelius and the Cowboys. They're 21 point underdogs in a game that features a massive 79.5 point total. That normally indicates a pass-heavy game script as they're likely to be playing from behind, and Cornelius has the skill set to lead them through the air. He's thrown for nearly 2,700 yards this year with 20 scores, with a solid completion percentage at 60%. This has some risk, but the opportunity for a big return on investment is there thanks to the high volume.
Also consider at Quarterback: Jordan Ta'amu - QB, at Texas A&M ($8,000) - GPP only
DraftKings DFS Running Backs
Trayveon Williams - RB, vs Ole Miss ($7,500)
Trayveon has an enormous opportunity ahead of him this weekend against the Rebels. The analytics tell the story (of course), but as someone who has sat through a handful of Ole Miss games this season, I can tell you without question that their defense is horrendous. The fact that they've allowed over 200 yards on the ground (on average) each week only tells part of the story - they've surrendered roughly 500 yards a game in total, too, and they're banged up. Williams is coming off of a huge game against Auburn, a much tougher opponent than Ole Miss, in which he erupted for 44 DraftKings points. He found the end zone three times and was good for more than 100 yards on 17 carries. He's not a complete workhorse as the carries per game sit in the teens, but he's efficient and can break for big plays. Adding to his floor and points ceiling is the fact that he's a dynamic back, and has averaged four catches out of the backfield each week in the past four weeks.
Connor Heyward - RB, vs Ohio State ($5,600)
This play hinges on LJ Scott's availability, but my money says Scott will be unavailable for the sixth week in a row - which really sets up Heyward well. In his first real "starting back workload" of the season last week, Heyward was terrific, piling up 157 yards on 15 carries and he found the end zone twice. This matchup looks a little scary on paper, but Ohio State's run defense has been below average at best over the past five weeks. Last week I touched on how many 125+ yard rushers they've allowed, and if the workload is there (which it should be) Heyward will be in a similar position to join that group.
Also Consider at Running Back: Jonathan Taylor - RB, at Penn State ($8,600)
DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers
Tylan Wallace - WR, at Oklahoma ($8,300)
Tylan Wallace has developed a big relationship over the past few weeks with quarterback Taylor Cornelius, emerging as his favorite target. He has over 340 yards receiving in the past two weeks and even with the price hike, I think he's in a good spot to continue the trend. I love pairing him with Cornelius in tournaments, not just because of the relationship, but due to the high game total and the pass-heavy script I talked about above in the quarterbacks section.
Jalen Hurd - WR, at Iowa State ($6,600)
After a pair of down weeks (by his standards), Hurd bounced back incredibly well last weekend to haul in seven catches, good for 96 yards and a touchdown. He's a big play type of receiver that also gets targets in bunches - which helps both his points floor and ceiling. Baylor is a fairly sizable underdog on the road this week at 14.5 points, which should make the Bears' gameplan pretty pass heavy.
Also Consider at Wide Receiver: CeeDee Lamb - WR, vs Oklahoma State ($7,200)
